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Kashima VS Urawa

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Kashima

K. Nono 81'
1-0
Full Time
Kashima Soccer Stadium Saturday, Apr 18, 2026 At 01:00 Edt Masuya Ueda, Japan

Predicted Outcome

Home 62.53%

Prediction

Model probabilities are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Outcome probability

Home
62.53%
Draw
26.25%
Away
11.22%

Model expected goals

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Goal probabilities

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All competitions · Earlier completed matches, with a four-hour cutoff buffer. Scores include extra time where played; penalty shootouts are excluded.

Head to Head

AI

Kashima VS Urawa - Match Preview

As the J1 League enters a critical phase, the narrative at the top of the table is dominated by the relentless consistency of Kashima. Under the guidance of manager T. Oniki, the league leaders have established themselves as the team to beat, combining defensive solidity with clinical attacking phases. Their recent form—a robust run of three wins and two draws—demonstrates a side capable of grinding out results even when not firing on all cylinders. Contrast this with the current dynamic surrounding Urawa, managed by Maciej Skorza. Despite holding a respectable seventh position, the visitors have struggled to maintain momentum, frequently alternating between flashes of brilliance and lapses in concentration.

The Tactical Landscape

Kashima returns to their home fortress, where the atmosphere and pitch dimensions historically favor their controlled, possession-oriented style. Their ability to manage game states has been their hallmark this campaign, backed by the reliable hands of T. Hayakawa in goal and the commanding presence of N. Ueda in the backline. For Urawa, the challenge is to break down this disciplined structure without overextending. R. Watanabe remains their most potent threat, having registered two goals in four appearances, and his ability to find space between the lines will be instrumental if the visitors hope to secure a result. However, Urawa’s reliance on a fluid midfield has at times left them vulnerable on the counter-attack, a weakness that a tactically astute manager like T. Oniki will surely look to exploit.

Momentum and Expectations

Momentum dictates much of the psychological edge in football, and here, Kashima holds a distinct advantage. Sitting at 76 points, they have shown the mental fortitude to stay ahead of a surging Kashiwa Reysol. Conversely, Urawa’s recent form—two wins—suggests they are attempting to stabilize, but a visit to the league leaders is the ultimate test of their newfound composure. Historically, the head-to-head record between these two sides is closely contested, with seven wins for Kashima and three for Urawa across 20 meetings, including ten stalemates. These figures point toward a tightly fought affair where the margin for error is razor-thin.

With no major injury concerns reported for either side in the last 48 hours, both managers have the luxury of fielding near-full-strength squads. The key battle will unfold in the midfield, where Y. Higuchi’s distribution for Kashima will face off against the industrious efforts of Matheus Sávio for the visitors. Expect Kashima to dictate the tempo early on, forcing Urawa to defend deep and rely on set-piece opportunities or quick transitions. The home side’s superior goal difference and proven ability to close out games under pressure make them favorites to extend their lead at the summit of the J1 League table.

Final Verdict

While Urawa possesses the individual quality to disrupt any opponent, their inconsistent form coupled with the formidable nature of Kashima’s home record points to a decisive outcome. The leaders’ tactical discipline should prove sufficient to neutralize the visitors' attacking threats, likely resulting in a hard-fought home victory that consolidates their push for the title.

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Events

Team form (last 5)

Kashima Kashima W ? W W W
Urawa Urawa ? L L ? L

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Starting XI

Formation

Substitutes

Team form (last 5)

Kashima Kashima W ? W W W
Urawa Urawa ? L L ? L

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Match Statistics

Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Passes
Corners
Fouls

Team form (last 5)

Kashima Kashima W ? W W W
Urawa Urawa ? L L ? L

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The full model analysis, probabilities and market values are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
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Match probability

Home

Draw

Away

Expected goals (xG)

Home

Away

Shot locations

Team form (last 5)

Kashima Kashima W ? W W W
Urawa Urawa ? L L ? L

League Position

Season 2026 · Latest available table, not the standings at kickoff.

Kashima Kashima 45 Points 1
Urawa Urawa 25 Points 6

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Match information

Competition
J1 League
Round
Regular Season - 11
Date
April 18, 2026
Time
01:00
Stadium
Kashima Soccer Stadium
City
Kashima
Capacity
40,728
Surface
Natural grass
Weather (forecast)
11°C, Clear sky

Frequently Asked Questions about Kashima vs Urawa

Find the answers to the most common questions here.

The final score was Kashima 1 - 0 Urawa.

The match will be played at Kashima Soccer Stadium in Kashima..

This match is part of the J1 League (2026 season, Regular Season - 11).

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