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Edinburgh Derby

Hibernian VS Heart Of Midlothian

Hibernian logo

Hibernian

M. Boyle 7'
1-2
Full Time
Heart Of Midlothian logo

Heart Of Midlothian

W. O'Hora 65'
B. Spittal 86'
Easter Road Stadium Sunday, Apr 26, 2026 At 11:30 Edt Donald Robertson, Scotland

Predicted Outcome

Home 31.5%

Prediction

Model probabilities are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Outcome probability

Home
31%
Draw
41%
Away
27%

Model expected goals

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Goal probabilities

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All competitions · Earlier completed matches, with a four-hour cutoff buffer. Scores include extra time where played; penalty shootouts are excluded.

Head to Head

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Hibernian VS Heart Of Midlothian - Match Preview

Title Aspirations Meet Local Pride

The stakes at Easter Road are absolute. For Heart Of Midlothian, the Premiership title chase is not merely a possibility; it is the imperative. Sitting at the top of the league with 70 points, manager [[manager:Derek McInnes]] has orchestrated a season defined by clinical efficiency and a defensive rigidity that is the envy of the division. Conversely, Hibernian, under the guidance of [[manager:David Gray]], find themselves in a precarious position, battling to secure European qualification while staring down the barrel of an Edinburgh Derby that carries significant emotional weight for the home support.

Tactical Realities and Personnel Strains

The tactical contrast is stark. Heart Of Midlothian arrive with a preference for a structured 4-4-2, a formation that has yielded 16 clean sheets—a testament to the organization implemented by [[manager:Derek McInnes]]. However, they face this high-intensity fixture with an injury crisis that threatens their equilibrium. The loss of midfield playmaker Oisin McEntee for the remainder of the season is a major blow to their creative output, and the absence of Tomas Magnússon further thins their engine room. With Harry Milne also a major doubt due to a calf issue, the visitors will need to rely heavily on the goal-scoring prowess of Cláudio Braga, who has netted 12 times this season, to unsettle the Hibernian backline.

Hibernian must exploit these gaps. [[manager:David Gray]] has favored a 3-4-1-2 setup, providing defensive cover while aiming to release J. McGrath and K. Bowie in transition. The absence of Grant Hanley due to suspension is an undeniable handicap, forcing a reshuffle in a defense that has already struggled with consistency. The home side's reliance on late goals—14 scored in the 76-90 minute bracket—suggests that if they can stay within striking distance, the final quarter of the match could become a pivotal theater for this rivalry.

The Verdict

Intensity will be high, as is standard for the Edinburgh Derby, but the gulf in quality and psychological momentum in this campaign points toward a testing afternoon for the hosts. While the draw is a statistically significant possibility given the rivalry dynamic, the defensive discipline instilled by [[manager:Derek McInnes]] at Heart Of Midlothian should prove sufficient to nullify the threat of J. McGrath and secure at least a point. Expect a tight, attritional contest decided by fine margins, favoring a narrow victory or a stalemate that keeps Heart Of Midlothian at the summit.

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Events

Team form (last 5)

Hibernian Hibernian L W D D D
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian W D W L W

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Starting XI

Formation

Substitutes

Team form (last 5)

Hibernian Hibernian L W D D D
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian W D W L W

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Match Statistics

Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Passes
Corners
Fouls

Team form (last 5)

Hibernian Hibernian L W D D D
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian W D W L W

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Match probability

Home

Draw

Away

Expected goals (xG)

Home

Away

Shot locations

Team form (last 5)

Hibernian Hibernian L W D D D
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian W D W L W

League Position

Season 2025 · Latest available table, not the standings at kickoff.

Hibernian Hibernian 51 Points 5
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 70 Points 1

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Match information

Competition
Premiership
Round
Championship Group - 34
Date
April 26, 2026
Time
11:30
Stadium
Easter Road Stadium
City
Edinburgh
Capacity
20,421
Surface
Natural grass
Weather (forecast)
12°C, Cloudy

Frequently Asked Questions about Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian

Find the answers to the most common questions here.

The final score was Hibernian 1 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian.

The match will be played at Easter Road Stadium in Edinburgh..

This match is part of the Premiership (2025 season, Championship Group - 34).

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