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Edinburgh Derby

Heart Of Midlothian VS Hibernian

Heart Of Midlothian logo

Heart Of Midlothian

C. Halkett 90'
1-0
Full Time
Tynecastle Park Saturday, Oct 4, 2025 At 12:45 Edt David Dickinson, Scotland

Match Events

Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian Hibernian
10'
Yellow Card
10'
Jordan Obita
Yellow Card
Foul
37'
Beni Baningime
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
Yellow Card
46'
Oisin McEntee
Yellow Card
Foul
76'
J. Campbell
On: J. Campbell Off: J. McGrath
Substitution
84'
C. Braga
On: C. Braga Off: E. Kabangu
Substitution
84'
O. McEntee
On: O. McEntee Off: S. Kerjota
Substitution
84'
S. Kingsley
On: S. Kingsley Off: M. Steinwender
Substitution
84'
S. Kingsley
On: S. Kingsley Off: M. Steinwender
Substitution
84'
O. McEntee
On: O. McEntee Off: S. Kerjota
Substitution
88'
K. Bowie
On: K. Bowie Off: T. Klidje
Substitution
88'
A. Kyziridis
On: A. Kyziridis Off: A. Forrest
Substitution
90'
C. Halkett
Assist: S. Kerjota
90'+1
B. Baningime
On: B. Baningime Off: T. Magnusson
Substitution

Lineups

Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian (4-4-2)

Starting XI

Hibernian Hibernian (3-4-1-2)

Starting XI
D
D
F
M. Boyle
M. Boyle #10
F
C. Cadden
C. Cadden #12
M
D
M
J. Obita
J. Obita #21
M
M
F

Match Statistics

Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian Hibernian
62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Blocked Shots 1
10 Fouls 10
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
2 Offsides 3
1 Saves 2
483 Passes 296
403 Accurate Passes 196
83% Pass Accuracy 66%

Team Comparison

63.2
Overall Strength
51.7
53.6% Attacking Power 46.4%
56.4% Defensive Strength 43.6%
61.5% Current Form 38.5%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian Hibernian
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
45% | 29%
Avg Total Goals
2.7 | 2.7

Cards Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian 1.6/Game
59
3
0-15'
3
16-30'
8
31-45'
13
46-60'
14
61-75'
10
76-90'
14
Hibernian 1.9/Game
68
5
0-15'
4
16-30'
7
31-45'
14
46-60'
21
61-75'
14
76-90'
13

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Heart Of Midlothian
24W 8D 0L | 67:34 | 2.11 ppg
Hibernian
15W 12D 0L | 58:44 | 1.5 ppg
2024/2025
Heart Of Midlothian
15W 7D 0L | 52:47 | 1.37 ppg
Hibernian
15W 13D 0L | 62:50 | 1.53 ppg
2023/2024
Heart Of Midlothian
20W 8D 0L | 54:42 | 1.79 ppg
Hibernian
11W 13D 0L | 52:59 | 1.21 ppg

Match Result

Draw
Confidence: 50.8%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
61.1%

Both Teams Score

No
56.0%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Heart Of Midlothian 44.2%
Draw 50.8%
Hibernian 5.0%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
81.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 96.7% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 87.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 80.8% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 78.9% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners Yes 72.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 69.7% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 66.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 64.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 63.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 2.5 Goals No 61.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 60.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 59.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 8 Shots on Target No 57.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score No 56.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots Yes 55.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Match Result Draw 50.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 11 Corners No 50.3% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 49.1% Low ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 1-1 13.3% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
87.6%
Over 1.5
64.8%
Over 2.5
38.9%
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
29.1%
HT Draw
49.1%
HT Away Win
21.8%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
36.9%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
72.5%
Over 11 Corners
49.7%
Home Most Corners
59.8%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
21.1%
Over 5 Cards
3.3%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
43.0%
Home More Shots
55.6%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
11.6
Total Cards
2.3

League Position

Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
80 Points 2
Hibernian Hibernian
57 Points 5

Frequently Asked Questions about Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian