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France VS Italy

Oct 2
14:45
Stade de France Friday, Oct 2, 2026 At 14:45 Edt

Predicted Outcome

Home 66.38%

Prediction

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Model probabilities are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Outcome probability

Home
66.38%
Draw
19.11%
Away
14.51%

Model expected goals

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Goal probabilities

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Recent Form

All competitions · Earlier completed matches, with a four-hour cutoff buffer. Scores include extra time where played; penalty shootouts are excluded.

Head to Head

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See every moment of this match

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  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
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Events

Team form (last 5)

France France W W L L W
Italy Italy W L W W ?

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Confirmed line-ups, formations and the bench are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
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Starting XI

Formation

Substitutes

Team form (last 5)

France France W W L L W
Italy Italy W L W W ?

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Shots, possession, passing and the full match stats are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
  • Track your favourites Follow your teams and competitions and get new insights for them.
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Match Statistics

Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Passes
Corners
Fouls

Team form (last 5)

France France W W L L W
Italy Italy W L W W ?

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Get the full match analysis

The full model analysis, probabilities and market values are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
  • Track your favourites Follow your teams and competitions and get new insights for them.
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Sample view

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Match probability

Home

Draw

Away

Expected goals (xG)

Home

Away

Shot locations

Team form (last 5)

France France W W L L W
Italy Italy W L W W ?

League Position

Season 2026 · Latest available table, not the standings at kickoff.

France France 6 Points 1
Italy Italy 3 Points 3

Quick Links

Match information

Competition
UEFA Nations League
Round
League A - 3
Date
October 2, 2026
Time
14:45
Stadium
Stade de France
City
Paris
Capacity
81,338
Surface
Natural grass
Weather (forecast)
20°C, Cloudy

Frequently Asked Questions about France vs Italy

Find the answers to the most common questions here.

The match is scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 14:45.

The match will be played at Stade de France in Paris..

This match is part of the UEFA Nations League (2026 season, League A - 3).

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