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Championship logo Championship

Derby VS Swansea

Derby logo

Derby
R. Brewster 47'
P. Agyemang 67'
2-0
Full Time
Swansea logo

Swansea
Pride Park Stadium Saturday, Feb 14, 2026 At 10:00 Est Andrew Kitchen, England

Recent Form

Head to Head

Feb 14, 2026
Derby Derby VS Swansea Swansea
2 - 0
Championship Championship Pride Park Stadium 2025
Nov 25, 2025
Swansea Swansea VS Derby Derby
1 - 2
Championship Championship Swansea.com Stadium 2025
Apr 5, 2025
Swansea Swansea VS Derby Derby
1 - 0
Championship Championship Swansea.com Stadium 2024
Nov 27, 2024
Derby Derby VS Swansea Swansea
1 - 2
Championship Championship Pride Park Stadium 2024
Apr 9, 2022
Swansea Swansea VS Derby Derby
2 - 1
Championship Championship Swansea.com Stadium 2021

Match Events

Derby Derby
Swansea Swansea
27'
P. Agyemang
Yellow Card
44'
M. Stamenic
Yellow Card
Misses Next Match
47'
⚽
R. Brewster
51'
M. Clarke
Yellow Card
65'
⇄
J. Eom
On: J. Eom Off: Gustavo Nunes
Substitution
65'
⇄
L. Cullen
On: L. Cullen Off: L. Walta
Substitution
67'
⚽
P. Agyemang
Assist: C. Elder
72'
⇄
R. Brewster
On: R. Brewster Off: L. Thompson
Substitution
72'
⇄
O. Fraulo
On: O. Fraulo Off: B. Clark
Substitution
76'
B. Cabango
Yellow Card
77'
⇄
G. Franco
On: G. Franco Off: M. Yalcouye
Substitution
77'
⇄
Ronald
On: Ronald Off: M. Widell
Substitution
85'
⇄
M. Stamenic
On: M. Stamenic Off: J. Fulton
Substitution
88'
⇄
S. Szmodics
On: S. Szmodics Off: J. Banel
Substitution
88'
⇄
P. Agyemang
On: P. Agyemang Off: L. Salvesen
Substitution
90'+5
⇄
B. Brereton Diaz
On: B. Brereton Diaz Off: C. Morris
Substitution

Lineups

Match Statistics

Derby Derby
Swansea Swansea
29% Possession 71%
11 Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Blocked Shots 6
16 Fouls 11
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
2 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
226 Passes 580
159 Accurate Passes 502
70% Pass Accuracy 87%

Team Comparison

51.1
Overall Strength
48.2
54% Attacking Power 46%
50% Defensive Strength 50%
52.6% Current Form 47.4%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Derby Derby
Swansea Swansea
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
26% | 26%
Avg Total Goals
2.8 | 2.5

Cards Analysis

Derby 2.3/Game
102
2
0-15'
5
16-30'
13
31-45'
17
46-60'
26
61-75'
20
76-90'
23
Swansea 1.7/Game
76
1
0-15'
4
16-30'
13
31-45'
18
46-60'
12
61-75'
18
76-90'
12

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Derby
20W 9D 0L | 67:59 | 1.5 ppg
Swansea
18W 10D 0L | 57:59 | 1.39 ppg
2024/2025
Derby
13W 11D 0L | 48:56 | 1.09 ppg
Swansea
17W 10D 0L | 51:56 | 1.33 ppg
2023/2024
Derby
28W 8D 0L | 78:37 | 2 ppg
Swansea
15W 12D 0L | 59:65 | 1.24 ppg

Match Result

Away Win
Confidence: 61.4%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
63.1%

Both Teams Score

No
56.3%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Derby 13.2%
Draw 25.5%
Swansea 61.4%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
73.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 8 Shots on Target No 99.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 90.1% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 89.4% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 89.4% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 80.6% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 80.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 73.9% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 69.7% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 66.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 66.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 63.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 63.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 63.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 62.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Away Win 61.4% Good ✕ Wrong
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots No 59.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score No 56.3% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners No 53.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves No 50.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 49.2% Low ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 0-0 19.6% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
89.4%
Over 1.5
66.0%
Over 2.5
36.9%
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 0.5
10.6%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Under 2.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
80.6%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
29.3%
HT Draw
49.2%
HT Away Win
21.5%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
62.6%
Goals After 80'
36.8%
Goals Both Halves
50.0%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
26.1%
Over 11 Corners
9.9%
Home Most Corners
46.4%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
0.1%
Over 5 Cards
0.1%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.2%
Home More Shots
40.9%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
47.4%
Away Exceed xG
48.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
22.4%
High xG Variance
38.2%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
7.8
Total Cards
0.5

Quick Links

Derby Derby
Profile
Swansea Swansea
Profile
Championship Championship
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Frequently Asked Questions about Derby vs Swansea