Derby VS Swansea
Recent Form
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2026
Derby
VS
Swansea
2 - 0
Derby
VS
Swansea
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2025
Nov 25, 2025
Swansea
VS
Derby
1 - 2
Swansea
VS
Derby
Championship
Swansea.com Stadium
2025
Apr 5, 2025
Swansea
VS
Derby
1 - 0
Swansea
VS
Derby
Championship
Swansea.com Stadium
2024
Nov 27, 2024
Derby
VS
Swansea
1 - 2
Derby
VS
Swansea
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2024
Apr 9, 2022
Swansea
VS
Derby
2 - 1
Swansea
VS
Derby
Championship
Swansea.com Stadium
2021
Match Events
Derby
Swansea
2'
⚽
Ž. Vipotnik
Assist: M. Peart-Harris
14'
⚽
Ronald
Assist: L. Cullen
34'
Callum Elder
Yellow Card
Foul
60'
⇄
H. Darling
On: H. Darling
Off: C. Christie
Substitution
62'
⇄
C. Elder
On: C. Elder
Off: C. Forsyth
Substitution
62'
⇄
K. Goudmijn
On: K. Goudmijn
Off: L. Thompson
Substitution
62'
⇄
C. Blackett-Taylor
On: C. Blackett-Taylor
Off: T. Barkhuizen
Substitution
65'
⚽
N. Mendez-Laing
Penalty
66'
⇄
K. Naughton
On: K. Naughton
Off: J. Key
Substitution
66'
⇄
Ž. Vipotnik
On: Ž. Vipotnik
Off: F. Bianchini
Substitution
73'
Myles Peart-Harris
Yellow Card
79'
⇄
K. Jackson
On: K. Jackson
Off: D. Brown
Substitution
79'
⇄
M. Harness
On: M. Harness
Off: J. Collins
Substitution
84'
⇄
M. Peart-Harris
On: M. Peart-Harris
Off: A. Abdulai
Substitution
84'
⇄
Gonçalo Franco
On: Gonçalo Franco
Off: J. Fulton
Substitution
88'
Curtis Nelson
Yellow Card
Argument
90'+1
Liam Thompson
Yellow Card
Argument
Lineups
Derby
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
K. Wilson
#2
E. Cashin
#6
N. Mendez-Laing
#11
K. Goudmijn
#17
M. Harness
#18
K. Jackson
#19
C. Elder
#20
M
E. Adams
#32
C. Nelson
#35
Substitutes
F
Swansea
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
B. Cabango
#5
H. Darling
#6
M. Grimes
#8
Ž. Vipotnik
#9
J. Tymon
#14
Gonçalo Franco
#17
L. Cullen
#20
L. Vigouroux
#22
M. Peart-Harris
#25
K. Naughton
#26
Ronald
#35
Substitutes
D
M
D
Match Statistics
Derby
Swansea
43%
Possession
57%
18
Shots
3
7
Shots on Target
2
5
Blocked Shots
1
16
Fouls
14
6
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
1
2
Offsides
1
0
Saves
5
352
Passes
500
272
Accurate Passes
403
77%
Pass Accuracy
81%
Team Comparison
44.1
Overall Strength
47.2
48.5%
Attacking Power
51.5%
50%
Defensive Strength
50%
43.3%
Current Form
56.7%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Derby
Swansea
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
26%
|
30%
Avg Total Goals
2.2
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
Derby
1.7/Game
78
0
0-15'
5
16-30'
9
31-45'
15
46-60'
20
61-75'
10
76-90'
19
Swansea
1.2/Game
56
1
0-15'
5
16-30'
3
31-45'
11
46-60'
8
61-75'
14
76-90'
16
Season Comparison
2024/2025
Derby
13W 11D 0L
|
48:56
|
1.09 ppg
Swansea
17W 10D 0L
|
51:56
|
1.33 ppg
2023/2024
Derby
28W 8D 0L
|
78:37
|
2 ppg
Swansea
15W 12D 0L
|
59:65
|
1.24 ppg
2022/2023
Derby
21W 13D 0L
|
67:46
|
1.65 ppg
Swansea
18W 12D 0L
|
68:64
|
1.43 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
36.5%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
55.4%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58.5%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Derby
36.5%
Draw
33.0%
Swansea
30.5%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 94.5% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 94.5% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 78.5% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 78.5% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 76.2% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 71.9% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 67.0% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 67.0% | Fair |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 66.4% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 61.7% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 58.8% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 58.5% | Fair |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 55.4% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 55.4% | Fair |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 55.4% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 52.0% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 51.7% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 49.2% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 36.5% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 11.6% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
94.5%
Over 1.5
78.5%
Over 2.5
55.4%
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 0.5
5.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.0%
HT Draw
49.2%
HT Away Win
21.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
66.4%
Goals After 80'
38.3%
Goals Both Halves
55.4%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
51.7%
Over 11 Corners
28.1%
Home Most Corners
58.8%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
23.8%
Home More Shots
52.0%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
51.6%
Away Exceed xG
51.0%
Total xG Over 2.5
55.4%
High xG Variance
44.5%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.8
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Derby
50 Points
19
Swansea
61 Points
11