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Championship logo Championship

Swansea VS Derby

Swansea logo

Swansea
E. Galbraith 90'
1-2
Full Time
Derby logo

Derby
J. Ward 34'
L. Salvesen 53'
Swansea.com Stadium Tuesday, Nov 25, 2025 At 14:45 Est Andrew Kitchen, England

Recent Form

Head to Head

Feb 14, 2026
Derby Derby VS Swansea Swansea
2 - 0
Championship Championship Pride Park Stadium 2025
Nov 25, 2025
Swansea Swansea VS Derby Derby
1 - 2
Championship Championship Swansea.com Stadium 2025
Apr 5, 2025
Swansea Swansea VS Derby Derby
1 - 0
Championship Championship Swansea.com Stadium 2024
Nov 27, 2024
Derby Derby VS Swansea Swansea
1 - 2
Championship Championship Pride Park Stadium 2024
Apr 9, 2022
Swansea Swansea VS Derby Derby
2 - 1
Championship Championship Swansea.com Stadium 2021

Match Events

Swansea Swansea
Derby Derby
34'
⚽
J. Ward
Assist: C. Elder
53'
⚽
L. Salvesen
56'
⇄
L. Cullen
On: L. Cullen Off: G. Franco
Substitution
57'
⇄
L. Cullen
On: L. Cullen Off: G. Franco
Substitution
57'
⇄
Ronald
On: Ronald Off: B. Manuel Hedilazio
Substitution
57'
⇄
J. Fulton
On: J. Fulton Off: M. Stamenic
Substitution
57'
⇄
J. Fulton
On: J. Fulton Off: M. Stamenic
Substitution
57'
⇄
Ronald
On: Ronald Off: M. Benson
Substitution
71'
⇄
L. Salvesen
On: L. Salvesen Off: K. Jackson
Substitution
74'
⇄
J. Eom
On: J. Eom Off: Z. Inoussa
Substitution
80'
⇄
P. Agyemang
On: P. Agyemang Off: A. Weimann
Substitution
80'
⇄
J. Ward
On: J. Ward Off: R. Nyambe
Substitution
82'
Ben Brereton Díaz
Yellow Card
Foul
83'
⇄
Z. Vipotnik
On: Z. Vipotnik Off: A. Idah
Substitution
90'
⚽
E. Galbraith
90'+4
Callum Elder
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
90'+5
Yellow Card

Lineups

Swansea Swansea (4-3-3)

Starting XI
J. Key
J. Key #2
D
J. Fulton
M
B. Cabango
D
Z. Vipotnik
F
J. Eom
J. Eom #10
F
J. Tymon
J. Tymon #14
D
C. Burgess
D
L. Cullen
L. Cullen #20
M
L. Vigouroux
G
E. Galbraith
M
Ronald
Ronald #35
F

Match Statistics

Swansea Swansea
Derby Derby
73% Possession 27%
9 Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Blocked Shots 2
10 Fouls 20
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
3 Saves 3
678 Passes 241
585 Accurate Passes 160
86% Pass Accuracy 66%

Team Comparison

48.2
Overall Strength
51.1
46% Attacking Power 54%
50% Defensive Strength 50%
47.4% Current Form 52.6%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Swansea Swansea
Derby Derby
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
26% | 26%
Avg Total Goals
2.5 | 2.8

Cards Analysis

Swansea 1.7/Game
76
1
0-15'
4
16-30'
13
31-45'
18
46-60'
12
61-75'
18
76-90'
12
Derby 2.3/Game
102
2
0-15'
5
16-30'
13
31-45'
17
46-60'
26
61-75'
20
76-90'
23

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Swansea
18W 10D 0L | 57:59 | 1.39 ppg
Derby
20W 9D 0L | 67:59 | 1.5 ppg
2024/2025
Swansea
17W 10D 0L | 51:56 | 1.33 ppg
Derby
13W 11D 0L | 48:56 | 1.09 ppg
2023/2024
Swansea
15W 12D 0L | 59:65 | 1.24 ppg
Derby
28W 8D 0L | 78:37 | 2 ppg

Match Result

Away Win
Confidence: 71.7%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
83.9%

Both Teams Score

No
72.4%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Swansea 4.8%
Draw 23.5%
Derby 71.7%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
55.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 98.1% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 92.4% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 92.4% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 90.1% Good ✓ Correct
Over 8 Shots on Target No 88.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 3 Cards No 84.7% Good ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 83.9% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 83.9% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 79.4% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 79.4% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 73.9% Good ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score No 72.4% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves No 71.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Match Result Away Win 71.7% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 69.7% Good ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 69.6% Good ✓ Correct
Home More Shots Yes 69.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 63.2% Fair ✕ Wrong
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' No 54.5% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals No 53.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 1.5 Goals Yes 53.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 49.2% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 0-0 20.6% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
79.4%
Over 1.5
46.9%
Over 2.5
16.1%
Over 3.5
7.6%
Under 0.5
20.6%
Under 1.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
83.9%
Under 3.5
92.4%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
28.0%
HT Draw
49.2%
HT Away Win
22.8%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
45.5%
Goals After 80'
36.8%
Goals Both Halves
28.2%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
26.1%
Over 11 Corners
9.9%
Home Most Corners
69.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
15.3%
Over 5 Cards
1.9%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
11.2%
Home More Shots
69.1%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
48.3%
Away Exceed xG
47.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
21.2%
High xG Variance
37.9%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
7.8
Total Cards
2.1

League Position

Swansea Swansea
64 Points 11
Derby Derby
69 Points 8

Quick Links

Swansea Swansea
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