Danubio VS Progreso
Recent Form
Head to Head
May 30, 2026
Danubio
VS
Progreso
1 - 2
Danubio
VS
Progreso
Primera División - Apertura
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
2026
Feb 28, 2026
Danubio
VS
Progreso
2 - 2
Danubio
VS
Progreso
Primera División - Apertura
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
2026
Aug 24, 2025
Progreso
VS
Danubio
1 - 0
Progreso
VS
Danubio
Primera División - Clausura
Parque Abraham Paladino
2025
May 31, 2025
Progreso
VS
Danubio
0 - 1
Progreso
VS
Danubio
Primera División - Apertura
Parque Abraham Paladino
2025
Feb 23, 2025
Danubio
VS
Progreso
1 - 1
Danubio
VS
Progreso
Primera División - Apertura
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
2025
Match Events
Danubio
Progreso
26'
⚽
J. Pereyra
41'
Facundo Kidd
Yellow Card
46'
Nicolas Azambuja
Yellow Card
46'
⇄
F. Kidd
On: F. Kidd
Off: F. De Leon
Substitution
54'
⇄
G. Silva
On: G. Silva
Off: M. Copelotti
Substitution
58'
Gianfranco Trasante
Yellow Card
69'
⇄
M. Ferreira
On: M. Ferreira
Off: D. Garcia
Substitution
69'
⇄
M. Peralta
On: M. Peralta
Off: E. Femia
Substitution
77'
⇄
F. Balatti
On: F. Balatti
Off: M. Jourdan
Substitution
77'
⇄
N. Azambuja
On: N. Azambuja
Off: S. Fernandez
Substitution
77'
⇄
A. Cougo
On: A. Cougo
Off: F. Andueza
Substitution
80'
⇄
A. Pinheiro
On: A. Pinheiro
Off: I. Lemmo
Substitution
80'
⇄
J. Dos Santos
On: J. Dos Santos
Off: G. Silva
Substitution
81'
⚽
G. Silva
90'
⚽
G. Silva
90'+4
Damina Garcia
Yellow Card
Lineups
Danubio
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
G
J. Pereyra
#3
M. Rinaldi
#4
E. Cabrera
#7
M. Peralta
#10
I. Rossi
#16
C. Mayada
#18
M. Ferreira
#20
N. Azambuja
#21
T. Cavanagh
#31
F. Balatti
#40
Substitutes
D
M
Progreso
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
A. Pinheiro
#5
A. Colombino
#8
N. Lopez
#11
H. Carroso
#13
F. Kidd
#14
G. Trasante
#16
G. Silva
#18
J. Dos Santos
#25
G. Silva
#27
A. Requena
#33
A. Cougo
#40
Substitutes
F
M
Match Statistics
Match statistics not available
Statistics are not available for this match yet.
Team Comparison
40.6
Overall Strength
37.2
52.3%
Attacking Power
47.7%
56.9%
Defensive Strength
43.1%
44.4%
Current Form
55.6%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Danubio
Progreso
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
18%
|
14%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
2.7
Cards Analysis
Danubio
2.1/Game
42
4
0-15'
1
16-30'
9
31-45'
6
46-60'
10
61-75'
7
76-90'
13
Progreso
2.5/Game
55
1
16-30'
8
31-45'
7
46-60'
10
61-75'
10
76-90'
21
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Danubio
4W 10D 0L
|
23:28
|
1 ppg
Progreso
5W 6D 0L
|
21:37
|
0.95 ppg
2024/2025
Danubio
7W 7D 0L
|
24:30
|
1.27 ppg
Progreso
9W 5D 0L
|
33:36
|
1.45 ppg
2023/2024
Danubio
6W 8D 0L
|
26:23
|
1.18 ppg
Progreso
20W 8D 0L
|
65:37
|
2.06 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
36.8%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
60.1%
Both Teams Score
No
53.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Danubio
37.3%
Draw
36.8%
Progreso
25.9%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
62.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 99.2% | Good | N/A |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 92.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 83.7% | Good | N/A |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 75.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 71.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 68.1% | Good | N/A |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 67.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 63.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 60.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Both Teams Score | No | 53.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.3% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-0 | 15.9% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.7%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
20.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
29.0%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
36.5%
Over 11 Corners
16.4%
Home Most Corners
61.7%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
32.5%
Over 5 Cards
7.2%
Red Card
25.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.8%
Home More Shots
68.1%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.2%
Away Exceed xG
48.2%
Total xG Over 2.5
28.8%
High xG Variance
39.4%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
8.6
Total Cards
2.9
League Position
Danubio
21 Points
14
Progreso
13 Points
16