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Burnley VS Cardiff

Burnley logo

Burnley

Z. Flemming 56'
1-2
Full Time
Cardiff logo

Cardiff

J. Colwill 30'
C. Robinson 35'
C. Robinson 36'
Turf Moor Tuesday, Sep 23, 2025 At 14:45 Edt David Webb, England

Match Events

Burnley Burnley
Cardiff Cardiff
23'
Yellow Card
23'
Lesley Ugochukwu
Yellow Card
30'
J. Colwill
Assist: C. Chambers
34'
Yellow Card
34'
Marcus Edwards
Yellow Card
Foul
35'
C. Robinson
Assist: R. Colwill
36'
C. Robinson
Assist: R. Colwill
56'
Z. Flemming
Assist: M. Edwards
61'
I. Davies
On: I. Davies Off: C. Willock
Substitution
67'
Ryan Wintle
Yellow Card
Foul
68'
L. Ugochukwu
On: L. Ugochukwu Off: J. Banel
Substitution
77'
C. Robinson
On: C. Robinson Off: Y. Salech
Substitution
77'
R. Colwill
On: R. Colwill Off: O. Kellyman
Substitution
77'
J. Colwill
On: J. Colwill Off: D. Turnbull
Substitution
78'
M. Edwards
On: M. Edwards Off: M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
Substitution
78'
A. Broja
On: A. Broja Off: A. Barnes
Substitution
78'
J. Colwill
On: J. Colwill Off: D. Turnbull
Substitution
78'
R. Colwill
On: R. Colwill Off: O. Kellyman
Substitution
87'
Z. Flemming
On: Z. Flemming Off: E. Clark
Substitution
90'
C. Ashford
On: C. Ashford Off: T. Nyakuhwa
Substitution

Lineups

Cardiff Cardiff (4-2-3-1)

Starting XI
W. Fish
W. Fish #2
D
D
M
M
D
N. Trott
N. Trott #13
G
M
P. Ng
P. Ng #38
D
I. Davies
I. Davies #39
M
M
F

Match Statistics

Burnley Burnley
Cardiff Cardiff
47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Blocked Shots 2
13 Fouls 11
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 7
451 Passes 512
377 Accurate Passes 427
84% Pass Accuracy 83%

Team Comparison

30.9
Overall Strength
61.4
33.8% Attacking Power 66.2%
35.5% Defensive Strength 64.5%
15.2% Current Form 84.8%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Burnley Burnley
Cardiff Cardiff
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
11% | 37%
Avg Total Goals
3 | 3.1

Cards Analysis

Burnley 1.4/Game
51
2
16-30'
13
31-45'
11
46-60'
7
61-75'
9
76-90'
13
Cardiff 1.6/Game
71
2
0-15'
5
16-30'
8
31-45'
15
46-60'
17
61-75'
14
76-90'
14

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Burnley
4W 10D 0L | 38:75 | 0.58 ppg
Cardiff
27W 10D 0L | 90:50 | 1.98 ppg
2024/2025
Burnley
28W 16D 0L | 69:16 | 2.17 ppg
Cardiff
9W 17D 0L | 48:73 | 0.96 ppg
2023/2024
Burnley
2W 0D 0L | 5:3 | 2 ppg
Cardiff
19W 5D 0L | 53:70 | 1.35 ppg

Match Result

Draw
Confidence: 49.6%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
60.1%

Both Teams Score

No
53.8%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Burnley 11.2%
Draw 49.6%
Cardiff 39.2%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
61.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 98.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 88.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 85.9% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 74.8% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 66.9% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 66.5% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 66.5% Fair ✓ Correct
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 63.4% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots No 60.7% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 2.5 Goals No 60.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 60.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home Most Corners No 56.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score No 53.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 8 Shots on Target Yes 51.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Draw 49.6% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 1-1 13.3% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
26.8%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
23.2%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
36.6%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
33.2%
Over 11 Corners
14.1%
Home Most Corners
43.8%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
11.7%
Over 5 Cards
1.2%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
51.1%
Home More Shots
39.3%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
8.4
Total Cards
1.8

Frequently Asked Questions about Burnley vs Cardiff