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Bayern München VS VfB Stuttgart

Bayern München logo

Bayern München

H. Kane 55'
H. Kane 80'
H. Kane 90'
3-0
Full Time
Fußball Arena München Saturday, May 23, 2026 At 14:00 Edt Sven Jablonski, Germany

Predicted Outcome

Home 65.41%

Prediction

Model probabilities are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Outcome probability

Home
65.41%
Draw
29.19%
Away
5.40%

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Goal probabilities

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All competitions · Earlier completed matches, with a four-hour cutoff buffer. Scores include extra time where played; penalty shootouts are excluded.

Head to Head

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Bayern München VS VfB Stuttgart - Match Preview

Tactical Supremacy in Berlin

The DFB Pokal final brings together two of the most distinct tactical identities in German football, as Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart clash at the Olympiastadion. Under Vincent Kompany, Bayern München have consolidated their status as domestic titans, boasting an xG per game of 3.02 that reflects their relentless offensive efficiency. Their journey to this final has been defined by a high-possession style that suffocates opponents, a trait exemplified by J. Kimmich, who continues to orchestrate play with masterful precision. With H. Kane leading the line and M. Olise in career-best form, the Bavarians carry an offensive weight that few can withstand.

The Hoeneß Blueprint

Conversely, VfB Stuttgart, marshaled by Sebastian Hoeneß, arrive as a team built on defensive structural integrity and clinical counter-attacking. Their 0.50 xGA per game is a testament to the discipline instilled by Hoeneß, creating a platform for players like D. Undav and E. Demirović to strike when spaces emerge. The VfB Stuttgart squad has proven they can weather sustained pressure, yet the leap from their tactical consistency to defeating a side with A. Davies and Kim Min-Jae at the back is substantial. They will need to exploit any potential lapse from a Bayern München defense that occasionally pushes too high in its quest for total control.

Defining the Outcome

Looking at the head-to-head metrics, Bayern München hold a commanding 15-2 record across 20 meetings, illustrating their psychological edge in this fixture. While VfB Stuttgart rely on the tactical fluidity of A. Stiller and C. Führich to transition from defense to attack, the sheer volume of shots—averaging 19.7 for the Bavarians against 10.7 for VfB Stuttgart—suggests that the match will be played on Bayern München terms. M. Neuer, provided he shakes off late fitness concerns, remains a formidable barrier, and the collective importance rating of the Bayern München spine points toward a side optimized for high-stakes competition. Expect the champions to dominate the ball, sustain pressure until cracks form, and eventually secure the trophy through a decisive second-half surge.

Verdict

Bayern München possess the necessary attacking depth and historical dominance to stifle VfB Stuttgart's disciplined setup. A controlled, high-possession victory is the most probable outcome.

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Events

Team form (last 5)

Bayern München Bayern München W W D D L
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart D W D D ?

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Starting XI

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Substitutes

Team form (last 5)

Bayern München Bayern München W W D D L
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart D W D D ?

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Match Statistics

Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Passes
Corners
Fouls

Team form (last 5)

Bayern München Bayern München W W D D L
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart D W D D ?

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Match probability

Home

Draw

Away

Expected goals (xG)

Home

Away

Shot locations

Team form (last 5)

Bayern München Bayern München W W D D L
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart D W D D ?

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Match information

Competition
DFB Pokal
Round
Final
Date
May 23, 2026
Time
14:00
Stadium
Fußball Arena München
City
München
Capacity
75,024
Surface
Natural grass
Weather (forecast)
26°C, Clear sky

Frequently Asked Questions about Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

Find the answers to the most common questions here.

The final score was Bayern München 3 - 0 VfB Stuttgart.

The match will be played at Fußball Arena München in München..

This match is part of the DFB Pokal (2025 season, Final).

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