Clásico Paisa
Atletico Nacional VS Independiente Medellin
3-2
Full Time
Recent Form
Atletico Nacional
W
L
W
L
W
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2026
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
2 - 3
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2026
Dec 17, 2025
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
0 - 1
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
Copa Colombia
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Dec 13, 2025
Atletico Nacional
VS
Independiente Medellin
0 - 0
Atletico Nacional
VS
Independiente Medellin
Copa Colombia
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Dec 4, 2025
Atletico Nacional
VS
Independiente Medellin
2 - 1
Atletico Nacional
VS
Independiente Medellin
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Nov 23, 2025
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
0 - 0
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Match Events
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
1'
Luciano Pons
Yellow Card
Foul
5'
⚽
L. Pons
Assist: A. Ricaurte
38'
⚽
S. Gómez
44'
⚽
N. Palacio
Assist: D. Banguero
45'+1
Sebastian Gomez
Yellow Card
Foul
61'
⚽
S. Gómez
Assist: N. Palacio
67'
⇄
F. Pardo
On: F. Pardo
Off: J. Monroy
Substitution
67'
⇄
A. Arregui
On: A. Arregui
Off: D. Torres
Substitution
69'
⇄
Jefferson Duque
On: Jefferson Duque
Off: J. Asprilla
Substitution
69'
⇄
D. Mantilla
On: D. Mantilla
Off: Á. Angulo
Substitution
74'
⇄
G. Gutiérrez
On: G. Gutiérrez
Off: Y. Gómez
Substitution
74'
⇄
L. Pons
On: L. Pons
Off: C. Marrugo
Substitution
76'
⇄
Y. Candelo
On: Y. Candelo
Off: A. Mejía
Substitution
84'
⇄
D. Pabón
On: D. Pabón
Off: A. Andrade
Substitution
86'
Andrés Cadavid
Yellow Card
Argument
89'
⚽
V. Hernández
Assist: D. Cambindo
Lineups
Atletico Nacional
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
A. Román
#6
F
N. Palacio
#15
D. Mantilla
#16
E. Olivera
#18
Y. Candelo
#19
D. Banguero
#20
K. Mier
#23
S. Gómez
#27
C. Devenish
#42
D. Pabón
#88
Substitutes
Independiente Medellin
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
A. Mosquera
#1
G. Gutiérrez
#2
V. Moreno
#3
A. Cadavid
#5
A. Arregui
#8
L. Pons
#9
A. Ricaurte
#10
V. Hernández
#16
F. Pardo
#17
J. Arboleda
#21
D. Cambindo
#27
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
52%
Possession
48%
21
Shots
12
10
Shots on Target
3
5
Blocked Shots
1
5
Fouls
7
7
Corners
0
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Offsides
2
1
Saves
7
511
Passes
481
435
Accurate Passes
408
85%
Pass Accuracy
85%
Team Comparison
54.2
Overall Strength
54.3
52.9%
Attacking Power
47.1%
48.6%
Defensive Strength
51.4%
48.6%
Current Form
51.4%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
33%
|
39%
Avg Total Goals
2.5
|
2.2
Cards Analysis
Atletico Nacional
2.4/Game
112
5
0-15'
7
16-30'
12
31-45'
16
46-60'
25
61-75'
24
76-90'
33
Independiente Medellin
2.2/Game
114
7
0-15'
7
16-30'
13
31-45'
18
46-60'
27
61-75'
30
76-90'
26
Season Comparison
2022/2023
Atletico Nacional
21W 18D 0L
|
71:48
|
1.69 ppg
Independiente Medellin
25W 16D 0L
|
71:51
|
1.69 ppg
2021/2022
Atletico Nacional
23W 14D 0L
|
81:40
|
1.8 ppg
Independiente Medellin
11W 19D 0L
|
31:30
|
1.37 ppg
2020/2021
Atletico Nacional
11W 5D 0L
|
41:35
|
1.73 ppg
Independiente Medellin
6W 5D 0L
|
27:32
|
1 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
66.2%
Both Teams Score
Yes
66.1%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Atletico Nacional
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Independiente Medellin
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.7% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 96.7% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 85.4% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 85.4% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 76.9% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 76.7% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 70.2% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 66.2% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 66.2% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 66.1% | Good |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 60.5% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 59.5% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 58.2% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 55.6% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 55.6% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 54.3% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 54.2% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.6% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 9.5% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.7%
Over 1.5
85.4%
Over 2.5
66.2%
Over 3.5
44.4%
Under 0.5
3.3%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Under 2.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
55.6%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.7%
HT Draw
48.6%
HT Away Win
22.7%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
76.7%
Goals After 80'
40.5%
Goals Both Halves
70.2%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
45.7%
Over 11 Corners
23.1%
Home Most Corners
60.5%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
54.2%
Home More Shots
58.2%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
53.6%
Away Exceed xG
51.5%
Total xG Over 2.5
66.2%
High xG Variance
47.1%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.3
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Atletico Nacional
36 Points
3
Independiente Medellin
34 Points
4