Atletico-MG VS Fortaleza EC
Recent Form
Atletico-MG
D
W
W
L
W
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2025
Fortaleza EC
VS
Atletico-MG
1 - 0
Fortaleza EC
VS
Atletico-MG
Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2025
Nov 12, 2025
Atletico-MG
VS
Fortaleza EC
3 - 3
Atletico-MG
VS
Fortaleza EC
Serie A
Arena MRV
2025
Oct 16, 2024
Fortaleza EC
VS
Atletico-MG
1 - 1
Fortaleza EC
VS
Atletico-MG
Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2024
Jun 23, 2024
Atletico-MG
VS
Fortaleza EC
1 - 1
Atletico-MG
VS
Fortaleza EC
Serie A
Arena MRV
2024
Nov 1, 2023
Atletico-MG
VS
Fortaleza EC
3 - 1
Atletico-MG
VS
Fortaleza EC
Serie A
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
2023
Match Events
Atletico-MG
Fortaleza EC
16'
⚽
Paulinho
Assist: Rubens
44'
⚽
J. Lucero
Assist: G. Escobar
51'
G. Escobar
Yellow Card
Holding
56'
⚽
Paulinho
Assist: Hulk
61'
⚽
Hulk
Penalty
66'
⇄
Yago Pikachu
On: Yago Pikachu
Off: Pedro Rocha
Substitution
66'
⇄
G. Escobar
On: G. Escobar
Off: Dudu
Substitution
66'
⇄
Caio Alexandre
On: Caio Alexandre
Off: Marinho
Substitution
78'
⇄
T. Pochettino
On: T. Pochettino
Off: Lucas Crispim
Substitution
78'
⇄
Thiago Galhardo
On: Thiago Galhardo
Off: I. Machuca
Substitution
84'
⇄
Paulinho
On: Paulinho
Off: Edenílson
Substitution
85'
⇄
Rubens
On: Rubens
Off: C. Pavón
Substitution
88'
Pedro Rocha
Yellow Card
Roughing
90'
⇄
M. Zaracho
On: M. Zaracho
Off: Igor Gomes
Substitution
90'
⇄
Hulk
On: Hulk
Off: Cadu
Substitution
90'+5
⇄
R. Saravia
On: R. Saravia
Off: Pedrinho
Substitution
Lineups
Atletico-MG
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
Otávio
#5
Hulk
#7
Paulinho
#10
Guilherme Arana
#13
M. Zaracho
#15
Everson
#22
A. Franco
#23
R. Saravia
#26
M. Lemos
#28
Jemerson
#34
Rubens
#44
Substitutes
D
F
M
D
M
F
M
Fortaleza EC
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
João Ricardo
#1
Tinga
#2
D
D
M
M
J. Lucero
#9
José Welison
#17
Yago Pikachu
#22
G. Escobar
#33
Thiago Galhardo
#91
Substitutes
F
D
Match Statistics
Atletico-MG
Fortaleza EC
57%
Possession
43%
11
Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
2
10
Fouls
15
0
Corners
4
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
1
1
Saves
1
502
Passes
380
408
Accurate Passes
291
81%
Pass Accuracy
77%
Team Comparison
56.8
Overall Strength
49.1
53.6%
Attacking Power
46.4%
57.9%
Defensive Strength
42.1%
55.9%
Current Form
44.1%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Atletico-MG
Fortaleza EC
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
39%
|
26%
Avg Total Goals
2.2
|
2.4
Cards Analysis
Atletico-MG
2.6/Game
94
3
0-15'
3
16-30'
7
31-45'
18
46-60'
23
61-75'
21
76-90'
25
Fortaleza EC
2/Game
76
1
0-15'
9
16-30'
12
31-45'
14
46-60'
14
61-75'
14
76-90'
14
Season Comparison
2023/2024
Atletico-MG
19W 9D 0L
|
52:32
|
1.74 ppg
Fortaleza EC
15W 9D 0L
|
45:44
|
1.42 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
44.8%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
61.8%
Both Teams Score
Yes
63.5%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Atletico-MG
44.8%
Draw
32.8%
Fortaleza EC
22.4%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 95.9% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 95.9% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 82.8% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 82.8% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 78.5% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 72.8% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 64.3% | Fair |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 64.1% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 63.6% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 63.5% | Fair |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 61.8% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 61.8% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 60.5% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 60.5% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 60.1% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 57.9% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 53.1% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Fair |
| Match Result | Home Win | 44.8% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 10.5% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
95.9%
Over 1.5
82.8%
Over 2.5
61.8%
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 0.5
4.1%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Under 2.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.8%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
20.2%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
78.5%
Goals After 80'
35.7%
Goals Both Halves
72.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
60.1%
Over 11 Corners
35.9%
Home Most Corners
57.9%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
63.6%
Home More Shots
53.1%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
52.2%
Away Exceed xG
51.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
61.8%
High xG Variance
46.0%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.5
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Atletico-MG
66 Points
3
Fortaleza EC
54 Points
10