Derby della Madonnina
AC Milan VS Inter
Recent Form
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2026
AC Milan
VS
Inter
1 - 0
AC Milan
VS
Inter
Serie A
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2025
Nov 23, 2025
Inter
VS
AC Milan
0 - 1
Inter
VS
AC Milan
Serie A
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2025
Apr 23, 2025
Inter
VS
AC Milan
0 - 3
Inter
VS
AC Milan
Coppa Italia
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2024
Apr 2, 2025
AC Milan
VS
Inter
1 - 1
AC Milan
VS
Inter
Coppa Italia
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2024
Feb 2, 2025
AC Milan
VS
Inter
1 - 1
AC Milan
VS
Inter
Serie A
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2024
Match Events
AC Milan
Inter
35'
⚽
Alex
Assist: K. Honda
45'
Stevan Jovetić
Yellow Card
58'
Alex
Yellow Card
64'
⇄
S. Jovetić
On: S. Jovetić
Off: M. Icardi
Substitution
65'
Juraj Kucka
Yellow Card
73'
⚽
C. Bacca
Assist: M. Niang
77'
⇄
I. Perišić
On: I. Perišić
Off: Felipe Melo
Substitution
77'
⚽
M. Niang
79'
⇄
M. Niang
On: M. Niang
Off: M. Balotelli
Substitution
80'
Mario Balotelli
Yellow Card
85'
⇄
C. Bacca
On: C. Bacca
Off: A. Bertolacci
Substitution
87'
⇄
A. Ljajić
On: A. Ljajić
Off: Alex Telles
Substitution
89'
⇄
K. Honda
On: K. Honda
Off: K. Boateng
Substitution
Lineups
AC Milan
Starting XI
K. Honda
#10
A. Romagnoli
#13
R. Montolivo
#18
M. Niang
#19
I. Abate
#20
J. Kucka
#27
G. Bonaventura
#28
L. Antonelli
#31
Alex
#33
C. Bacca
#70
G. Donnarumma
#99
Substitutes
M
M
M
D
Inter
Starting XI
G
Juan Jesus
#5
S. Jovetić
#10
G. Medel
#17
D. Santon
#21
A. Ljajić
#22
Eder
#23
J. Murillo
#24
João Miranda
#25
I. Perišić
#44
M. Brozović
#77
Substitutes
G
F
Match Statistics
AC Milan
Inter
49%
Possession
51%
14
Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Blocked Shots
3
18
Fouls
16
5
Corners
6
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
3
Saves
2
397
Passes
400
315
Accurate Passes
317
79%
Pass Accuracy
79%
Team Comparison
50.2
Overall Strength
55.7
49.5%
Attacking Power
50.5%
46.9%
Defensive Strength
53.1%
42.9%
Current Form
57.1%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
AC Milan
Inter
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
29%
|
39%
Avg Total Goals
2.4
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
AC Milan
2.6/Game
95
3
0-15'
7
16-30'
8
31-45'
18
46-60'
19
61-75'
20
76-90'
26
Inter
3/Game
104
11
0-15'
8
16-30'
9
31-45'
23
46-60'
21
61-75'
18
76-90'
36
Season Comparison
2015/2016
AC Milan
15W 12D 0L
|
49:43
|
1.5 ppg
Inter
20W 7D 0L
|
50:38
|
1.76 ppg
2014/2015
AC Milan
13W 13D 0L
|
56:50
|
1.37 ppg
Inter
14W 13D 0L
|
59:48
|
1.45 ppg
2013/2014
AC Milan
16W 9D 0L
|
57:49
|
1.5 ppg
Inter
15W 15D 0L
|
62:39
|
1.58 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
35.6%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
66.0%
Both Teams Score
Yes
66.4%
Match Outcome Probabilities
AC Milan
35.6%
Draw
33.0%
Inter
31.4%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.7% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 96.7% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 85.3% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 85.3% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 79.4% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 76.7% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 70.2% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 67.2% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 66.4% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 66.0% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 66.0% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 11 Corners | Yes | 58.8% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 56.6% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 55.9% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 55.8% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 55.8% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 53.6% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 35.6% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 9.6% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.7%
Over 1.5
85.3%
Over 2.5
66.0%
Over 3.5
44.2%
Under 0.5
3.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Under 2.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
55.8%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
26.5%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
23.5%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
76.7%
Goals After 80'
32.8%
Goals Both Halves
70.2%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
79.4%
Over 11 Corners
58.8%
Home Most Corners
56.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
53.6%
Home More Shots
55.9%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
53.2%
Away Exceed xG
51.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
66.0%
High xG Variance
47.0%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
12.4
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
AC Milan
57 Points
7
Inter
67 Points
4