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Model v5 · Updated 23 Sep 2026

Our track record

Every forecast checked against the final 90-minute result, by league, competition and season. Nothing is hand-picked: every graded match counts.

The backtest runs model v5 over past seasons from Jun 2008 to Sep 2026. For every match it only uses information that existed before kickoff, exactly as if the forecast had been published that day. The model was tuned on matches from January 2025 to April 2026; every other month is an out-of-sample test.

League
All leagues

Summary

Graded matches
1,429,771

Model v5

Match result hit rate
51.8%

Always picking the home side: 44.4%

Brier score, 1X2
0.591

Lower is better. Guessing scores 0.667.

Over/Under 2.5 hit rate
59.7%

1,429,771 matches

Both teams to score hit rate
55.5%

1,429,771 matches

Exact score hit rate
11.2%

Out of 121 possible scores

Every market

Results by market

MarketMatchesHit rateBrier scoreLog loss
Match result (1X2)1,429,77151.8%0.59080.9906
Over/Under 1.5 goals1,429,77175.0%0.18050.5433
Over/Under 2.5 goals1,429,77159.7%0.23550.6633
Over/Under 3.5 goals1,429,77169.4%0.20280.5931
Both teams to score1,429,77155.5%0.24620.6856
Exact score1,428,26211.2%-2.9836

Hit rate counts the outcome we marked as most likely. Brier score and log loss grade the full probabilities, so a confident miss costs more than a cautious one.

Season by season

Match result hit rate over time

Match result hit rate over time 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2008: 46.7% · 30 matches 47 2008 2009: 60.0% · 15 matches 60 2009 2010: 46.4% · 2,287 matches 46 2010 2011: 49.4% · 15,796 matches 49 2011 2012: 50.1% · 34,728 matches 50 2012 2013: 50.5% · 34,695 matches 51 2013 2014: 50.7% · 36,329 matches 51 2014 2015: 51.3% · 38,950 matches 51 2015 2016: 50.4% · 52,988 matches 50 2016 2017: 50.9% · 63,863 matches 51 2017 2018: 51.1% · 69,137 matches 51 2018 2019: 50.9% · 95,593 matches 51 2019 2020: 51.3% · 84,631 matches 51 2020 2021: 51.9% · 135,074 matches 52 2021 2022: 52.4% · 154,166 matches 52 2022 2023: 52.3% · 163,709 matches 52 2023 2024: 52.5% · 169,799 matches 53 2024 2025: 52.4% · 164,645 matches 52 2025 2026: 52.6% · 113,336 matches 53 2026
Show as a table
PeriodMatchesHit rateBrier scoreOver/Under 2.5Both teams to score
2026113,33652.6%0.583361.0%56.6%
2025164,64552.4%0.586760.5%56.2%
2024169,79952.5%0.585660.7%55.9%
2023163,70952.3%0.586860.4%55.8%
2022154,16652.4%0.586360.2%55.6%
2021135,07451.9%0.589359.5%54.9%
202084,63151.3%0.594958.9%54.7%
201995,59350.9%0.597159.0%55.4%
201869,13751.1%0.596158.5%55.1%
201763,86350.9%0.598559.1%55.3%
201652,98850.4%0.601958.2%54.9%
201538,95051.3%0.595058.6%55.0%
201436,32950.7%0.600158.5%55.4%
201334,69550.5%0.599358.4%55.4%
201234,72850.1%0.602058.1%55.0%
201115,79649.4%0.609256.0%52.8%
20102,28746.4%0.627954.4%50.9%
20091560.0%0.614540.0%46.7%
20083046.7%0.625533.3%40.0%

Paler bars have fewer than 100 matches and move a lot by chance. The earliest seasons have few matches and little history for the model to learn from, so they read lower.

Do the percentages mean what they say?

Calibration

Forecast probability against how often the outcome happened 0% 0% 50% 50% 100% 100% Forecast 6.4%, happened 7.8% · 145,491 Forecast 16.0%, happened 16.5% · 576,121 Forecast 25.1%, happened 25.6% · 1,671,144 Forecast 34.6%, happened 34.6% · 665,771 Forecast 44.8%, happened 44.0% · 516,100 Forecast 54.6%, happened 53.4% · 357,183 Forecast 64.5%, happened 63.3% · 203,443 Forecast 74.3%, happened 73.5% · 99,451 Forecast 84.2%, happened 82.9% · 41,273 Forecast 93.9%, happened 91.8% · 13,336 Forecast probability

Each dot groups home, draw and away probabilities of similar size. Dots close to the diagonal mean that when we say 60%, it happens about 60% of the time.

Where it works best

By competition group

GroupMatchesHit rateBrier score
Major leagues150,93849.5%0.607
Other men's leagues1,019,02051.0%0.597
Cups109,57255.1%0.566
Women's football35,57762.6%0.494
Youth & reserves52,89253.6%0.583
National teams17,07760.2%0.516
Friendlies44,69554.7%0.577

Groups follow the period and model filters. Mismatched competitions such as cups and women's leagues are easier to call than balanced top divisions.

1064 leagues with at least 30 matches

By league

LeagueMatchesHit rateBrier scoreOver/Under 2.5Both teams to score
Friendlies ClubsWorld 39,55255.0%0.57662.6%56.5%
FA CupEngland 10,69648.2%0.61962.4%57.6%
ChampionshipEngland 8,45045.7%0.63553.5%52.5%
League TwoEngland 8,31844.3%0.64753.7%51.9%
League OneEngland 8,28546.9%0.63152.5%52.5%
National LeagueEngland 8,20047.1%0.62554.0%54.7%
2. LigTurkey 7,38752.0%0.58655.7%51.0%
Primera NacionalArgentina 7,36843.6%0.64266.6%58.8%
Torneo Federal AArgentina 7,30048.7%0.61462.0%56.9%
J2 LeagueJapan 6,40844.7%0.64155.3%52.2%
Serie ABrazil 6,30449.6%0.61456.2%52.1%
Major League SoccerUnited States 6,20250.0%0.61756.8%56.9%
La LigaSpain 6,14952.7%0.58257.2%52.3%
Serie AItaly 6,13153.4%0.58454.6%53.8%
Premier LeagueEngland 6,12053.1%0.58355.1%54.6%
Ligue 2France 5,90043.5%0.64556.8%52.7%
Ligue 1France 5,81349.7%0.60657.1%52.8%
3. LigaGermany 5,76145.9%0.63953.7%54.2%
U19 BundesligaGermany 5,71356.6%0.55869.7%61.5%
Primera CArgentina 5,68741.7%0.65263.7%57.2%
Serie BBrazil 5,61047.0%0.62558.9%53.0%
Serie DBrazil 5,51148.2%0.61458.0%53.8%
Primera B MetropolitanaArgentina 5,47040.1%0.65565.6%57.6%
USL ChampionshipUnited States 5,29848.3%0.61855.8%55.0%
Serie C - Girone AItaly 5,27843.0%0.64459.1%53.4%
USL League TwoUnited States 5,15959.2%0.53768.1%59.9%
Primera DivisionGuatemala 5,11062.8%0.52056.2%54.1%
EredivisieNetherlands 5,02353.9%0.57260.0%57.6%
Süper LigTurkey 5,00150.8%0.60253.9%53.0%
FA TrophyEngland 4,98547.3%0.63062.8%59.9%
1. LigTurkey 4,97247.5%0.61453.8%51.9%
BundesligaGermany 4,94851.4%0.59758.7%56.7%
Ligue 2Algeria 4,91556.1%0.57263.3%58.0%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium 4,81851.2%0.59855.1%54.2%
J1 LeagueJapan 4,79347.0%0.63055.5%55.5%
Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina 4,78444.0%0.63961.7%56.2%
Segunda DivisiónSpain 4,74344.7%0.63860.4%53.3%
Primeira LigaPortugal 4,70554.5%0.56056.0%52.8%
2. BundesligaGermany 4,65444.7%0.64555.6%55.4%
Ligue 3France 4,60641.8%0.65256.8%51.3%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela 4,60147.4%0.62455.0%51.3%
NB IIHungary 4,58247.4%0.62355.4%54.8%
Liga AlefIsrael 4,55847.4%0.62554.7%52.3%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld 4,45450.2%0.62154.0%52.8%
Primera AColombia 4,44647.2%0.62159.2%52.9%
3. Lig - Group 3Turkey 4,34448.3%0.61559.0%53.8%
3. Lig - Group 1Turkey 4,34048.4%0.60757.2%52.2%
2. DivisionBelarus 4,33464.0%0.47972.5%55.5%
3. Lig - Group 2Turkey 4,32246.6%0.62555.3%52.7%
Premier LeagueEgypt 4,23646.3%0.61460.3%52.8%
Thai League 2Thailand 4,21049.7%0.60854.8%54.0%
J3 LeagueJapan 4,13447.2%0.62953.7%52.8%
Liga NacionalGuatemala 4,11555.8%0.57456.2%53.6%
Serie BItaly 4,06143.5%0.64856.2%50.7%
Segunda DivisiónVenezuela 4,03548.4%0.62755.0%53.4%
Super LeagueZambia 4,02746.2%0.62267.9%59.3%
Thai League 1Thailand 3,86052.2%0.58856.1%56.0%
Super League 1Greece 3,83753.9%0.56759.7%58.1%
FKF Premier LeagueKenya 3,81344.6%0.63464.8%57.4%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands 3,79050.4%0.60761.0%59.4%
Premier LeagueGhana 3,77256.7%0.57666.7%60.4%
Championnat NationalBenin 3,76246.3%0.63068.7%61.2%
Ligue 1Algeria 3,76053.0%0.59263.0%57.3%
Persha LigaUkraine 3,75251.3%0.60057.7%54.1%
Primera DivisionEl Salvador 3,74946.6%0.62853.0%50.9%
PremiershipScotland 3,65752.2%0.58254.5%53.3%
NPFLNigeria 3,63166.8%0.49265.3%60.9%
First LeagueRussia 3,57847.1%0.62158.5%55.1%
1st DivisionAlbania 3,53056.7%0.56857.7%56.4%
FriendliesWorld 3,48052.4%0.59055.2%54.7%
Primera DivisiónPeru 3,47351.2%0.59952.3%54.0%
Erovnuli Liga 2Georgia 3,45256.4%0.56557.2%52.7%
National 2 - Group AFrance 3,43543.8%0.64056.7%51.1%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld 3,42554.0%0.58755.5%53.1%
1. DivisionBelarus 3,41952.6%0.58456.4%53.2%
Liga MXMexico 3,39948.1%0.61954.7%53.8%
National 2 - Group CFrance 3,37744.2%0.64255.6%52.4%
National League - NorthEngland 3,30747.4%0.62255.2%54.2%
Regionalliga - MitteAustria 3,29552.4%0.59361.9%57.8%
Division 1Saudi Arabia 3,28245.2%0.63555.3%52.0%
Premier LeagueUganda 3,27848.9%0.60363.1%57.3%
Premier LeagueBelarus 3,27752.1%0.59457.0%55.3%
National League - SouthEngland 3,27046.9%0.63054.2%55.4%
National 2 - Group BFrance 3,26543.5%0.64454.4%52.1%
Segunda LigaPortugal 3,26345.9%0.64153.3%51.1%
Regionalliga - OstAustria 3,23750.1%0.61460.9%57.3%
2. LigaAustria 3,21848.0%0.62757.3%55.6%
NB IHungary 3,18550.3%0.61053.8%54.6%
Premier LeagueUkraine 3,18354.3%0.56857.2%55.5%
Liga Pro Serie BEcuador 3,17947.2%0.62458.4%53.2%
SuperligaDenmark 3,17447.3%0.62554.7%55.6%
FAW ChampionshipWales 3,13157.4%0.55666.2%60.5%
1 LygaLithuania 3,10858.4%0.53863.6%54.6%
Liga IIRomania 3,09354.0%0.58055.7%53.2%
National DivisionLuxembourg 3,08457.3%0.56060.7%55.0%
Super LigaSerbia 3,07256.5%0.55256.6%53.5%
Liga IRomania 3,06648.0%0.62057.6%52.9%
Regionalliga - WestAustria 3,05855.3%0.57565.5%57.7%
GirabolaAngola 3,05751.8%0.58663.9%59.9%
Serie CBrazil 3,04847.1%0.62959.4%52.6%
Football LeagueGreece 3,04654.5%0.56862.9%65.5%
Ligue 1Tunisia 3,04552.2%0.58265.6%61.5%
Liga NacionalHonduras 3,03050.3%0.60953.8%55.0%
Premier LeagueJamaica 3,02746.3%0.62659.3%55.7%
Liga LeumitIsrael 3,01243.2%0.64957.1%54.1%
Primera BColombia 2,99648.9%0.61158.0%52.6%
Super LeagueUzbekistan 2,97656.3%0.56055.3%52.2%
Azadegan LeagueIran 2,97646.7%0.61268.1%61.7%
1. DivisionDenmark 2,97247.2%0.62855.4%53.6%
1. DivisionKazakhstan 2,96959.1%0.54059.4%53.8%
Premier LeagueWales 2,96455.7%0.56359.4%55.0%
Serie C - Girone BItaly 2,96444.4%0.63357.8%51.9%
Liga ProEcuador 2,94449.2%0.61354.5%53.0%
National 2 - Group DFrance 2,94343.2%0.64855.5%53.2%
Serie C - Girone CItaly 2,92347.9%0.61956.9%54.1%
Coupe de FranceFrance 2,91155.1%0.55755.4%52.6%
Prva LigaSerbia 2,88848.2%0.61659.7%56.7%
Segunda DivisiónUruguay 2,87842.4%0.65057.0%52.7%
BundesligaAustria 2,86450.2%0.60956.1%54.1%
Non League Premier - IsthmianEngland 2,84952.0%0.60160.7%58.4%
ChampionshipScotland 2,84746.9%0.62553.6%51.4%
Second LeagueBulgaria 2,83952.2%0.59757.2%55.6%
Non League Premier - Southern SouthEngland 2,81250.3%0.60860.7%58.7%
Esiliiga AEstonia 2,79856.0%0.56968.3%59.3%
MeistriliigaEstonia 2,79864.0%0.48359.9%54.3%
Liga Premier Serie AMexico 2,79055.7%0.56655.2%52.1%
Première DivisionMali 2,78747.4%0.61565.6%63.0%
Non League Premier - NorthernEngland 2,78547.3%0.63155.0%53.5%
Premier LeagueKazakhstan 2,74551.7%0.59354.2%52.0%
Druha LigaUkraine 2,72654.5%0.57752.8%52.8%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico 2,72447.8%0.63055.7%54.0%
Elite OneCameroon 2,70042.8%0.64366.0%59.1%
Primera DivisiónCosta Rica 2,69750.4%0.60554.1%53.1%
VeikkausliigaFinland 2,68549.3%0.61253.4%52.7%
Ligi kuu BaraTanzania 2,67653.0%0.57465.7%59.0%
Premier Soccer LeagueZimbabwe 2,64245.6%0.62669.0%61.9%
Türkiye KupasıTurkey 2,64053.3%0.58554.8%50.6%
Third League - SoutheastBulgaria 2,62963.4%0.49859.4%51.9%
SuperettanSweden 2,62446.6%0.63452.7%55.3%
League OneChina 2,62350.9%0.59654.7%54.0%
1. DivisionNorway 2,61651.0%0.61160.4%59.9%
Campionato Primavera - 2Italy 2,60551.4%0.60259.5%57.3%
Pro LeagueUnited Arab Emirates 2,60455.5%0.57561.2%61.0%
Premier LeagueEthiopia 2,59943.0%0.63965.3%58.4%
Reserve LeagueArgentina 2,59347.4%0.62855.4%53.2%
SuperligaAlbania 2,59050.3%0.60660.3%56.7%
AllsvenskanSweden 2,59050.3%0.60254.9%53.9%
EliteserienNorway 2,57750.4%0.60058.5%56.0%
Third League - SouthwestBulgaria 2,55957.2%0.55255.3%54.0%
I LigaPoland 2,54845.8%0.63755.0%54.2%
Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia 2,54552.9%0.58155.5%56.7%
Tweede DivisieNetherlands 2,54151.2%0.60563.7%59.8%
Birinci DastaAzerbaijan 2,53358.2%0.54856.6%55.2%
Super LeagueChina 2,53352.7%0.57858.0%57.1%
1. LigaLatvia 2,53064.8%0.48169.8%55.7%
Division d'HonneurGuadeloupe 2,52249.8%0.60859.4%55.1%
Liga 1Indonesia 2,51050.2%0.60752.6%53.8%
Professional LeagueOman 2,49346.7%0.62555.1%55.7%
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Spain 2,49345.5%0.63657.8%53.4%
Premier LeagueRussia 2,48852.0%0.59757.6%56.1%
Premier Soccer LeagueSouth Africa 2,47643.7%0.63465.2%54.9%
Ettan - NorraSweden 2,46851.9%0.59963.8%61.4%
Ettan - SödraSweden 2,46848.0%0.61756.4%56.3%
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Spain 2,44946.3%0.63458.2%53.4%
EkstraklasaPoland 2,44044.9%0.63854.8%53.0%
1st DivisionSouth Africa 2,43841.2%0.65561.2%54.6%
Primera DArgentina 2,43644.8%0.63763.3%59.4%
Ligat Ha'alIsrael 2,43449.5%0.60855.9%52.7%
Division IntermediaParaguay 2,42744.1%0.64253.6%51.4%
Primera División FemeninaSpain 2,42660.1%0.50658.2%55.1%
Primera DivisiónBolivia 2,42657.9%0.55059.4%56.0%
V.League 1Vietnam 2,41449.2%0.61555.7%56.2%
Botola ProMorocco 2,40846.6%0.61961.1%52.0%
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueIran 2,39245.2%0.61967.3%58.9%
Non League Div One - Isthmian South EastEngland 2,38652.9%0.58363.2%58.9%
Non League Div One - Isthmian South CentralEngland 2,38554.7%0.58263.2%58.2%
Non League Div One - Isthmian NorthEngland 2,36054.1%0.57959.4%56.1%
1. Liga PromotionSwitzerland 2,35349.3%0.61963.6%61.6%
Division 1United Arab Emirates 2,33156.8%0.56759.2%58.9%
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueWorld 2,32954.8%0.57452.9%53.9%
Czech LigaCzech Republic 2,32555.0%0.57355.3%51.7%
First LeagueArmenia 2,30360.7%0.51666.3%54.6%
Regionalliga - SudWestGermany 2,30350.2%0.61257.6%56.3%
Premyer LiqaAzerbaijan 2,30153.3%0.58355.5%52.4%
A LygaLithuania 2,30158.0%0.53955.7%54.4%
Regionalliga - WestGermany 2,30149.9%0.61058.0%55.5%
Non League Div One - Southern SouthEngland 2,29851.0%0.59760.9%56.7%
Japan Football LeagueJapan 2,28448.0%0.62655.9%52.9%
K League 2South Korea 2,27245.6%0.63751.8%51.7%
II Liga - EastPoland 2,27145.2%0.63655.7%53.9%
A-LeagueAustralia 2,26146.7%0.63057.5%58.7%
Erovnuli LigaGeorgia 2,26052.0%0.59255.9%51.1%
Liga de AscensoCosta Rica 2,25949.4%0.60855.7%56.4%
1st League - FBiHBosnia 2,24958.0%0.56055.6%52.0%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Spain 2,22946.8%0.62754.8%51.6%
Second LeagueNorth Macedonia 2,21760.8%0.51858.4%52.6%
Suomen CupFinland 2,21361.5%0.52572.8%52.9%
Stars LeagueQatar 2,20751.2%0.59860.0%58.1%
K League 1South Korea 2,20043.2%0.64753.1%50.8%
HKFA 1st DivisionHong Kong 2,18657.4%0.53570.1%60.4%
VirsligaLatvia 2,18658.8%0.53256.0%53.9%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Spain 2,18655.2%0.56155.8%54.5%
YkkönenFinland 2,17049.7%0.61059.4%56.2%
Primera DivisiónChile 2,16846.8%0.63551.6%53.0%
Sudani Premier LeagueSudan 2,15950.6%0.59763.3%58.5%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Spain 2,15648.6%0.61357.7%52.5%
2. ligaSlovakia 2,15154.2%0.57956.1%53.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Spain 2,13751.0%0.59858.1%54.0%
Super League 2Greece 2,13753.7%0.57959.5%60.2%
First LeagueBulgaria 2,13253.8%0.57155.4%54.7%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Spain 2,12751.0%0.59557.5%56.6%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Spain 2,12647.3%0.61857.9%55.1%
Primera DivisiónUruguay 2,12544.8%0.63555.4%52.7%
First NLCroatia 2,12047.8%0.62855.6%52.3%
Magyar KupaHungary 2,11865.8%0.47067.7%52.2%
Brisbane Premier LeagueAustralia 2,11461.4%0.52075.4%64.6%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Spain 2,10545.9%0.62855.6%51.8%
1st League - RSBosnia 2,09359.9%0.53157.3%52.8%
PremiershipNorthern Ireland 2,09058.1%0.54956.3%55.4%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Spain 2,08946.1%0.63360.9%56.3%
Premier LeagueBotswana 2,08850.5%0.59756.6%50.9%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Spain 2,08350.1%0.60355.7%53.1%
Serie D - Girone AItaly 2,07746.7%0.62856.2%51.3%
Liga MX FemenilMexico 2,07664.0%0.48460.5%56.9%
NB III - SouthwestHungary 2,06857.1%0.54360.4%55.3%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Spain 2,06649.5%0.60359.5%56.7%
Serie D - Girone BItaly 2,06243.5%0.64854.8%54.8%
CupBelgium 2,05758.4%0.55065.9%53.0%
NB III - NortheastHungary 2,05554.5%0.57360.3%56.2%
First Amateur DivisionBelgium 2,05149.9%0.60857.3%54.9%
Denmark Series - Group 1Denmark 2,05051.0%0.60861.5%59.2%
Super LeagueKenya 2,04950.9%0.60159.7%56.0%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Spain 2,04947.2%0.62555.1%53.3%
Denmark Series - Group 2Denmark 2,04854.4%0.58067.8%62.0%
Ligue HaïtienneHaiti 2,04650.2%0.60473.4%67.8%
Non League Div One - Northern WestEngland 2,04449.1%0.61456.6%57.5%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Spain 2,03650.5%0.60457.3%54.6%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Spain 2,02950.4%0.59856.9%54.3%
Primera BChile 2,02641.7%0.65553.3%50.7%
III Liga - Group 1Poland 2,02449.4%0.60962.2%58.6%
NB III - NorthwestHungary 2,01854.8%0.57757.2%54.2%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Spain 2,01752.1%0.60053.1%52.3%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Spain 2,01756.1%0.55956.2%52.4%
Iraqi LeagueIraq 2,01445.6%0.61760.0%52.9%
Primera DivisionNicaragua 2,01354.2%0.57554.1%53.3%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Spain 2,01352.3%0.58755.4%52.5%
III Liga - Group 4Poland 2,01353.5%0.58758.9%54.7%
Super LeagueSwitzerland 2,01247.6%0.62458.9%60.4%
Non League Div One - Northern MidlandsEngland 2,01051.7%0.59358.5%53.3%
1. DeildFaroe Islands 2,01058.7%0.54472.2%61.5%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Spain 2,00749.2%0.61454.3%54.0%
MeistaradeildinFaroe Islands 2,00561.1%0.50364.3%57.1%
Regionalliga - NordostGermany 2,00451.0%0.60556.9%54.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Spain 2,00450.7%0.59753.8%52.0%
Campionato Primavera - 1Italy 2,00446.0%0.63257.9%58.5%
Regionalliga - BayernGermany 2,00149.9%0.61457.8%54.1%
Ligue 1Guinea 1,99647.9%0.61861.9%57.1%
CampionatoSan Marino 1,97459.5%0.53457.6%53.0%
Denmark Series - Group 3Denmark 1,97049.7%0.60665.9%63.7%
III Liga - Group 2Poland 1,95650.5%0.59958.8%57.8%
League OneScotland 1,94949.4%0.61455.6%54.9%
Premier LeagueKuwait 1,94757.6%0.54556.4%54.0%
III Liga - Group 3Poland 1,93750.2%0.60061.4%58.9%
K3 LeagueSouth Korea 1,93646.3%0.63254.2%49.5%
Serie D - Girone DItaly 1,93547.5%0.62056.1%55.5%
Premier LeagueArmenia 1,93453.6%0.57157.0%54.8%
FNLCzech Republic 1,93448.4%0.62154.6%55.3%
2nd Division - Group BAlbania 1,93267.8%0.46656.3%51.4%
Botola 2Morocco 1,92439.7%0.65564.6%53.1%
League TwoScotland 1,92347.9%0.62754.4%52.4%
Premijer LigaBosnia 1,92355.2%0.56759.9%55.0%
Non League Premier - Southern CentralEngland 1,92249.6%0.60957.1%55.9%
Ligue 1Ivory Coast 1,92141.5%0.65164.7%56.6%
Youth ChampionshipRussia 1,92156.2%0.56262.4%55.7%
Serie D - Girone CItaly 1,91945.4%0.63456.0%52.5%
Division 2 - Norra GötalandSweden 1,91351.9%0.59264.9%60.6%
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSweden 1,91353.2%0.58568.4%61.8%
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSweden 1,91350.1%0.60663.3%59.3%
Division 2 - Västra GötalandSweden 1,91253.1%0.58867.0%61.1%
MLS Next ProUnited States 1,91247.8%0.63965.1%65.0%
Division 2 - NorrlandSweden 1,89957.6%0.55566.4%61.3%
Premier League 2 Division OneEngland 1,88948.8%0.62770.4%65.6%
Division 2 - Norra SvealandSweden 1,88955.3%0.56766.0%58.4%
Oberliga - HessenGermany 1,88251.6%0.60868.4%61.5%
Serie D - Girone HItaly 1,88047.6%0.62553.8%53.4%
2. DivisionCyprus 1,87850.9%0.60853.4%52.8%
Ligue 1Senegal 1,87238.6%0.65171.4%62.1%
Challenge LeagueMalta 1,87150.9%0.59558.1%57.0%
Derde DivisieNetherlands 1,87150.3%0.61565.6%60.1%
Regionalliga - NordGermany 1,85851.3%0.60663.0%58.6%
Serie D - Girone IItaly 1,85851.3%0.59956.2%54.6%
Oberliga - NiederrheinGermany 1,85452.7%0.58967.1%60.9%
3. liga - MSFLCzech Republic 1,85252.4%0.59460.7%56.1%
First LeagueNorth Macedonia 1,84852.5%0.59257.4%52.8%
Premier LeagueMalta 1,84551.6%0.59555.1%55.3%
Challenge LeagueSwitzerland 1,84550.0%0.61557.9%56.9%
National LeagueMyanmar 1,84058.8%0.53358.8%55.4%
HNLCroatia 1,83955.5%0.56254.7%53.7%
2nd Division - Group AAlbania 1,83264.4%0.48562.0%54.1%
2. SNLSlovenia 1,83251.6%0.60255.0%52.5%
National Soccer LeagueRwanda 1,83248.9%0.61260.8%56.0%
Segunda DivisiónPeru 1,83054.8%0.57555.1%54.8%
Second Amateur Division - VFV ABelgium 1,82247.5%0.63060.3%58.6%
1. DivisionCyprus 1,82154.3%0.57953.9%53.2%
Football League - Lowland LeagueScotland 1,81958.7%0.54668.7%58.4%
Serie D - Girone GItaly 1,80644.6%0.63953.9%54.6%
Serie D - Girone EItaly 1,80544.9%0.63756.5%50.9%
LeagueJordan 1,80151.0%0.59155.7%54.3%
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergGermany 1,80152.5%0.59067.0%60.7%
Serie D - Girone FItaly 1,80045.5%0.63656.5%53.5%
Second Amateur Division - VFV BBelgium 1,79847.2%0.62858.7%57.0%
Vysshaya LigaTajikistan 1,79458.0%0.52956.8%53.7%
ChampionshipNorthern Ireland 1,78150.8%0.60964.3%58.1%
Derde Divisie - SundayNetherlands 1,76150.6%0.61662.7%59.9%
Second League - Group 3Russia 1,76054.4%0.58154.7%51.4%
Liga Panameña de FútbolPanama 1,75841.0%0.65260.8%53.4%
Premier LeagueLebanon 1,74655.7%0.56053.8%55.4%
Oberliga - WestfalenGermany 1,74352.7%0.59364.7%59.7%
3. DivisionCyprus 1,74250.2%0.59952.8%52.9%
Ligue 1Democratic Republic of the Congo 1,73152.9%0.57663.2%60.3%
Primera División - ClausuraUruguay 1,72847.1%0.62354.8%53.8%
Kakkonen - Lohko CFinland 1,72055.5%0.57166.7%56.9%
Third NL - SrediteCroatia 1,72052.6%0.59960.2%56.9%
Second Amateur Division - ACFFBelgium 1,71650.2%0.60659.9%56.5%
Ligue ABurundi 1,70850.8%0.59458.2%53.8%
Feminine Division 1France 1,70768.0%0.42663.5%58.8%
Kakkonen - Lohko AFinland 1,70554.3%0.57762.8%58.1%
Ligue 1Burkina Faso 1,70538.2%0.66571.2%63.1%
Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSerbia 1,70153.3%0.59156.1%52.1%
Professional Development LeagueEngland 1,70050.4%0.61469.3%61.3%
Challenger Pro LeagueBelgium 1,69749.4%0.61354.1%55.2%
Srpska Liga - EastSerbia 1,69561.2%0.52957.1%53.2%
Srpska Liga - WestSerbia 1,68254.1%0.58455.4%56.1%
Third NL - JugCroatia 1,68256.5%0.56555.8%52.4%
Eerste DivisieSuriname 1,68059.8%0.53766.4%62.6%
Premier LeagueLibya 1,66450.5%0.59161.1%56.7%
Friendlies WomenWorld 1,66354.4%0.57756.2%50.5%
Taça de PortugalPortugal 1,66263.2%0.49557.2%51.0%
Non League Div One - Northern EastEngland 1,65746.5%0.62657.5%54.5%
Kakkonen - Lohko BFinland 1,65153.3%0.58465.4%60.2%
Third League - NorthwestBulgaria 1,64762.8%0.49561.1%53.4%
Football League - Highland LeagueScotland 1,64664.3%0.48168.8%56.4%
Second League - Group 2Russia 1,63650.9%0.60252.0%53.2%
Oberliga - HamburgGermany 1,63158.1%0.54575.6%66.3%
Northern NSW NPLAustralia 1,62657.5%0.55368.5%61.4%
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarGermany 1,62255.7%0.56570.5%61.9%
Liga 3Portugal 1,61644.8%0.64055.3%48.4%
Srpska Liga - BelgradeSerbia 1,59251.8%0.59256.6%53.5%
Third NL - ZapadCroatia 1,58858.1%0.55460.3%53.7%
Ligue 2Tunisia 1,58451.1%0.59964.1%58.8%
Super LigaSlovakia 1,58352.7%0.59556.1%52.8%
Second League - Group 1Russia 1,58356.7%0.55356.3%55.0%
Third League - NortheastBulgaria 1,57268.8%0.44162.2%51.5%
Non League Div One - Southern CentralEngland 1,56753.6%0.58465.2%58.7%
West Bank Premier LeaguePalestine 1,56051.2%0.59357.6%52.9%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Spain 1,56044.4%0.64758.9%51.3%
ÚrvalsdeildIceland 1,55952.3%0.59861.8%60.6%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Spain 1,55744.8%0.64158.8%53.6%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Spain 1,55747.8%0.61558.8%53.6%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Spain 1,55747.4%0.62863.6%56.2%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Spain 1,55644.3%0.64459.1%56.0%
CupSlovakia 1,54962.0%0.49870.6%54.8%
DBU PokalenDenmark 1,54865.9%0.45770.7%55.0%
EFL TrophyEngland 1,54147.4%0.64161.3%56.8%
São Paulo Youth CupBrazil 1,52956.6%0.57453.3%50.9%
1a DivisióAndorra 1,52657.9%0.51758.3%52.8%
U21 League 1Algeria 1,50557.5%0.54955.1%54.0%
2. DivisionDenmark 1,50447.7%0.61753.1%54.9%
Central Youth LeaguePoland 1,49650.7%0.60570.1%64.2%
Second LeagueEgypt 1,49645.4%0.62962.3%55.0%
Landesliga - KarntenAustria 1,48847.8%0.63164.1%58.7%
First LeagueMontenegro 1,48345.9%0.62857.2%52.1%
1. SNLSlovenia 1,48149.6%0.61456.5%55.0%
Oberliga - NiedersachsenGermany 1,47550.8%0.60964.5%60.6%
UEFA Youth LeagueWorld 1,47053.2%0.59864.4%56.7%
League CupEngland 1,46652.8%0.58455.7%55.2%
3. liga - CFL ACzech Republic 1,46051.2%0.59861.2%57.3%
1. DeildIceland 1,45952.2%0.59265.1%62.4%
3. liga - WestSlovakia 1,45352.8%0.58857.1%52.1%
USL W LeagueUnited States 1,44166.6%0.46270.9%55.3%
2. DeildIceland 1,43853.0%0.59668.1%64.0%
New South Wales NPLAustralia 1,43750.4%0.60759.3%55.9%
4. liga - Divizie CCzech Republic 1,43456.9%0.56465.0%58.9%
4. liga - Divizie ACzech Republic 1,43157.4%0.55264.4%57.2%
Third Amateur Division - VFV BBelgium 1,42248.6%0.60963.2%61.3%
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdGermany 1,42252.8%0.59162.9%57.7%
Premier LeagueSyria 1,42052.5%0.58759.9%55.6%
CAF Confederation CupWorld 1,41756.3%0.54960.2%62.0%
Oberliga - Nordost-NordGermany 1,41555.9%0.56267.4%59.6%
Third Amateur Division - VFV ABelgium 1,41048.4%0.62358.1%55.2%
Division Profesional - AperturaParaguay 1,40947.9%0.62253.2%54.0%
4. liga - Divizie BCzech Republic 1,40854.3%0.57364.1%57.8%
Frauen BundesligaGermany 1,40568.0%0.43864.3%54.6%
Landesliga - OberosterreichAustria 1,40452.2%0.59766.2%60.2%
Landesliga - WienAustria 1,39952.3%0.59263.5%57.9%
Brasileiro WomenBrazil 1,39762.0%0.50057.4%52.8%
Second LeagueMontenegro 1,39649.4%0.61855.2%54.1%
Landesliga - SteiermarkAustria 1,39552.7%0.59366.8%61.1%
1. Liga Classic - Group 3Switzerland 1,38849.8%0.62062.5%58.0%
Oberliga - BremenGermany 1,38859.4%0.52684.0%70.2%
Cupa RomânieiRomania 1,38654.0%0.58566.4%53.3%
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Switzerland 1,38649.6%0.61364.4%60.9%
1. Liga Classic - Group 2Switzerland 1,38646.9%0.63365.2%61.8%
GFA LeagueGambia 1,38336.2%0.66869.9%58.8%
Pro LeagueTrinidad and Tobago 1,38257.7%0.55061.7%55.9%
AFC Champions League EliteWorld 1,38252.5%0.60856.4%54.1%
3. liga - CFL BCzech Republic 1,38052.1%0.60858.0%54.2%
Super LeagueMalaysia 1,37855.2%0.54856.7%57.5%
Super LeagueMalawi 1,37252.3%0.58860.9%57.4%
Copa Do BrasilBrazil 1,36251.3%0.59260.0%54.6%
Provincial - Brabant VFVBelgium 1,35346.2%0.63857.9%55.1%
USL League OneUnited States 1,35147.9%0.62854.7%57.9%
Landesliga - BurgenlandAustria 1,34553.8%0.57966.2%60.8%
2. Division - Group 2Norway 1,34355.5%0.57065.8%60.5%
Super LigaMoldova 1,34261.6%0.50758.0%53.6%
C-LeagueCambodia 1,34064.2%0.48268.1%60.3%
Premier DivisionIreland 1,33350.3%0.60355.1%50.3%
Oberliga - MittelrheinGermany 1,32857.6%0.55767.4%58.9%
Oberliga - Bayern NordGermany 1,32552.0%0.60462.9%59.5%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Greece 1,32456.4%0.55354.0%53.5%
Landesliga - NiederosterreichAustria 1,32450.8%0.60358.0%57.3%
2. Division - Group 1Norway 1,32455.5%0.57263.1%59.7%
CupGreece 1,31958.8%0.54252.7%52.8%
SuperligaKosovo 1,31851.7%0.58352.5%51.1%
1. Liga U19Czech Republic 1,31853.9%0.58067.8%60.0%
2a DivisióAndorra 1,31665.8%0.46480.7%58.0%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Greece 1,31053.7%0.56659.6%59.7%
Liga Revelação U23Portugal 1,30447.3%0.63256.1%57.9%
Landesliga - VorarlbergligaAustria 1,30050.5%0.61671.4%63.4%
Premier LeagueHong Kong 1,29558.1%0.54366.7%60.2%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Greece 1,29055.2%0.56056.6%59.1%
Premier LeagueKyrgyzstan 1,28960.6%0.52955.7%53.6%
4. liga - Divizie DCzech Republic 1,28854.6%0.56461.2%55.3%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Greece 1,28658.6%0.54458.1%55.5%
Paulista - U20Brazil 1,28558.7%0.54058.8%53.7%
WPSLUnited States 1,28464.0%0.49771.3%51.4%
Serie A WomenItaly 1,28366.6%0.45763.7%55.2%
Division Profesional - ClausuraParaguay 1,28346.1%0.62954.4%50.9%
Victoria NPLAustralia 1,27955.5%0.57360.8%55.6%
3. liga - EastSlovakia 1,27958.2%0.53861.6%56.1%
Premier LeagueEswatini 1,27351.6%0.58855.4%55.7%
Landesliga - TirolAustria 1,25755.4%0.57472.0%64.4%
Oberliga - Bayern SüdGermany 1,25151.8%0.60859.5%55.7%
Queensland NPLAustralia 1,23958.7%0.54570.8%61.3%
Diski ChallengeSouth Africa 1,23952.1%0.59656.8%55.9%
League TwoChina 1,23947.3%0.62658.5%54.8%
Landesliga - SalzburgAustria 1,23858.3%0.53470.7%59.8%
First DivisionIreland 1,23751.6%0.59555.1%53.6%
4. liga - Divizie ECzech Republic 1,23454.5%0.57664.0%57.4%
CONMEBOL LibertadoresWorld 1,23453.3%0.57058.6%55.1%
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinGermany 1,23257.2%0.54875.2%63.1%
Welsh CupWales 1,22757.5%0.56774.3%60.0%
Second DivisionQatar 1,22751.8%0.59263.1%58.3%
Brasileiro U20 ABrazil 1,21450.2%0.61057.5%56.3%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group APortugal 1,21049.4%0.61053.8%52.0%
Provincial - AntwerpenBelgium 1,20254.1%0.57864.6%57.9%
Emperor CupJapan 1,20061.3%0.52156.7%50.9%
4. liga - Divizie FCzech Republic 1,20053.3%0.58964.9%58.8%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DPortugal 1,19748.8%0.61255.7%53.0%
Division di HonorAruba 1,19661.6%0.50370.4%60.0%
New South Wales NPL 2Australia 1,19551.0%0.59564.5%60.1%
Premier Intermediate LeagueNorthern Ireland 1,18053.4%0.59065.7%58.8%
Provincial - HainautBelgium 1,17351.9%0.59263.3%59.8%
Provincial - West-VlaanderenBelgium 1,16354.8%0.57766.1%60.9%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BPortugal 1,16251.1%0.60458.0%54.8%
Provincial - NamurBelgium 1,16054.1%0.57573.4%66.6%
Second League - Group 4Russia 1,16056.2%0.56654.6%53.0%
Provincial - LimburgBelgium 1,15653.6%0.59365.9%59.6%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CPortugal 1,15648.3%0.61859.2%55.3%
Provincial - LiegeBelgium 1,15250.9%0.60760.1%58.6%
Third NL - IstokCroatia 1,15253.9%0.58355.3%49.9%
CONMEBOL SudamericanaWorld 1,14750.5%0.59957.6%54.7%
Premier LeagueMauritania 1,14446.8%0.61161.5%55.3%
Liga 2Indonesia 1,14152.1%0.59555.7%52.1%
Provincial - Oost-VlaanderenBelgium 1,13751.4%0.59164.8%58.0%
FA WSLEngland 1,13664.8%0.46660.0%59.0%
Eredivisie WomenNetherlands 1,13165.6%0.47266.4%57.6%
DamallsvenskanSweden 1,13162.2%0.50058.6%54.2%
US Open CupUnited States 1,13053.6%0.57755.6%56.9%
Premier LeagueBangladesh 1,13055.7%0.56555.3%54.6%
Premier LeagueBahrain 1,12049.0%0.60652.9%53.8%
CupCzech Republic 1,11465.1%0.47170.3%54.4%
South Australia NPLAustralia 1,11452.2%0.61064.5%59.7%
National 3 - Group DFrance 1,08649.1%0.61153.0%52.9%
Júniores U19Portugal 1,08150.0%0.60157.9%54.2%
Western Australia NPLAustralia 1,07647.4%0.62166.9%61.5%
Northern Territory Premier LeagueAustralia 1,07563.3%0.49479.8%66.1%
Liga Primera U20Nicaragua 1,07560.4%0.51860.1%55.4%
National 3 - Group FFrance 1,06948.5%0.61954.0%55.6%
National 3 - Group HFrance 1,06946.7%0.62852.9%54.0%
Denmark Series - Group 4Denmark 1,06454.0%0.58170.6%65.9%
National 3 - Group BFrance 1,06044.9%0.63953.5%54.1%
Super League WomenBelgium 1,05968.6%0.42962.9%56.1%
National 3 - Group CFrance 1,05848.2%0.62555.5%54.7%
National 3 - Group EFrance 1,05749.2%0.61852.6%56.3%
CAF Champions LeagueWorld 1,05455.9%0.54364.0%65.0%
Third NL - SjeverCroatia 1,05359.4%0.53762.7%54.5%
KNVB BekerNetherlands 1,04657.9%0.54966.1%55.5%
U18 Premier League - SouthEngland 1,04354.9%0.58479.7%70.0%
ElitettanSweden 1,04356.9%0.54662.2%56.0%
CupRussia 1,03548.6%0.61358.3%50.6%
NWSL WomenUnited States 1,03447.4%0.63649.0%50.4%
Segunda DivisiónChile 1,03344.6%0.64553.4%50.0%
FA CupThailand 1,02762.9%0.49562.4%50.2%
National 3 - Group AFrance 1,02744.3%0.64753.7%55.1%
Premier LeagueSingapore 1,02657.4%0.53568.4%63.6%
CupAustria 1,02564.4%0.48370.0%55.4%
U18 Premier League - NorthEngland 1,02154.9%0.57175.7%64.8%
LFA First DivisionLiberia 1,01049.6%0.61456.3%53.3%
Second NLCroatia 1,00953.9%0.58555.3%53.8%
3. DivisionDenmark 1,00750.9%0.60758.9%57.5%
UEFA Champions League WomenWorld 1,00766.3%0.46966.1%52.1%
Copa del ReySpain 1,00455.9%0.54958.6%53.4%
Liga 1Moldova 99860.3%0.53469.2%59.0%
Provincial - Brabant ACFFBelgium 98956.8%0.56362.9%55.6%
Premier LeagueLesotho 98954.1%0.55960.9%58.3%
FA Women's CupEngland 98753.9%0.58778.4%50.2%
AFC Champions League TwoWorld 98449.6%0.62658.7%53.3%
Third Amateur Division - ACFF BBelgium 98050.1%0.59361.5%58.4%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 1Switzerland 97852.1%0.60267.6%63.9%
DFB PokalGermany 97761.4%0.51162.0%54.2%
3. Division - Girone 6Norway 96960.5%0.52576.8%65.8%
Paulista - A3Brazil 96744.3%0.63558.6%53.2%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 2Switzerland 96452.2%0.60668.5%63.3%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 4Switzerland 96346.7%0.62866.0%61.2%
3. Division - Girone 3Norway 95956.0%0.56774.6%65.0%
3. Division - Girone 4Norway 95957.9%0.55877.3%66.4%
3. Division - Girone 5Norway 95958.8%0.53175.9%64.1%
3. Division - Girone 2Norway 95859.2%0.54074.3%64.6%
3. Division - Girone 1Norway 95760.0%0.53476.9%64.8%
Paulista - A2Brazil 95440.3%0.65759.0%51.9%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 3Switzerland 94651.2%0.61465.2%60.3%
Victoria NPL 2Australia 94651.8%0.60767.5%63.2%
League CupScotland 94363.8%0.49558.9%51.3%
Indian Super LeagueIndia 93048.4%0.61754.2%55.7%
Third Amateur Division - ACFF ABelgium 93054.4%0.57760.2%56.2%
NM CupenNorway 91673.1%0.37375.1%55.6%
Reserve LeagueBelarus 91560.1%0.52466.7%56.9%
Capital Territory NPLAustralia 91262.9%0.51273.9%60.9%
Supreme Division WomenRussia 90066.7%0.45559.7%62.6%
Svenska CupenSweden 89465.0%0.47962.9%51.7%
Provincial - LuxembourgBelgium 89253.5%0.58665.0%57.4%
National 3 - Group JFrance 88349.4%0.61555.5%55.2%
National 3 - Group IFrance 87547.9%0.63053.6%53.4%
I-LeagueIndia 87448.3%0.62355.9%57.7%
J-League CupJapan 87245.6%0.63253.0%51.5%
NPSLUnited States 86461.1%0.50376.6%57.8%
A-League WomenAustralia 85949.8%0.61360.1%58.3%
Liga FemeninaColombia 85758.0%0.54252.9%56.1%
FA CupScotland 85462.1%0.51567.0%55.7%
Copa PerúPeru 84858.6%0.56354.6%50.2%
Coppa Italia Serie DItaly 83845.6%0.64951.7%50.6%
South Australia State League 1Australia 83351.1%0.59164.0%58.0%
State CupIsrael 83055.1%0.57359.8%51.3%
Reserve Pro LeagueBelgium 82756.2%0.56768.7%62.5%
Copa ArgentinaArgentina 82152.5%0.58558.5%53.8%
Ligue 1Congo 82146.9%0.61864.6%63.1%
Division 2Saudi Arabia 80245.0%0.64554.7%52.1%
Elite TwoCameroon 80149.2%0.61855.1%52.6%
Premier LeagueBermuda 78557.2%0.54270.2%61.3%
Premier LeagueMongolia 78163.9%0.48274.6%60.4%
NB III - SoutheastHungary 77755.2%0.55363.7%59.2%
Kansallinen LiigaFinland 76866.1%0.46165.6%54.7%
Queensland Premier LeagueAustralia 76758.4%0.56673.9%64.5%
Women's ChampionshipEngland 76654.2%0.59654.7%52.6%
U19 LeagueUkraine 76658.9%0.53461.9%53.3%
CupUkraine 76454.1%0.57850.9%51.8%
Liga Premier Serie BMexico 75759.7%0.52858.3%52.3%
Premier LeagueMalaysia 75351.1%0.60753.7%59.9%
Druha Liga - Group BUkraine 74158.8%0.53854.9%51.8%
World Cup - Qualification EuropeWorld 74067.6%0.43257.2%57.0%
Premier DivisionGibraltar 73967.8%0.44167.0%53.7%
Taiwan Football Premier LeagueChinese Taipei 73864.0%0.49663.0%51.8%
Liga III - Serie 1Romania 73554.8%0.57956.2%53.1%
Division One LeagueGhana 72854.1%0.59058.5%55.6%
V.League 2Vietnam 72647.7%0.61360.7%57.4%
Paulista - A1Brazil 71748.4%0.61659.3%53.6%
National 3 - Group KFrance 71247.6%0.61654.6%53.4%
Ýokary LigaTurkmenistan 71268.5%0.43959.4%54.1%
AXA Women’s Super LeagueSwitzerland 70868.1%0.44566.4%56.8%
Liga 1 FemininRomania 70772.6%0.38475.7%53.9%
I Liga - WomenSlovakia 70768.5%0.43475.1%55.9%
Canadian Premier LeagueCanada 70745.8%0.63150.6%53.6%
Copa PaulistaBrazil 70242.9%0.65362.5%56.0%
Gaúcho - 2Brazil 70146.8%0.62465.0%58.3%
ToppserienNorway 69565.3%0.47757.3%52.9%
Liga III - Serie 3Romania 69256.4%0.54864.3%57.2%
Liga III - Serie 6Romania 69254.3%0.57659.5%53.3%
League 1 OntarioCanada 69258.8%0.54167.3%60.5%
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationWorld 69270.2%0.42658.4%57.7%
3. Lig - Group 4Turkey 68656.7%0.56253.5%53.8%
Liga III - Serie 7Romania 68559.7%0.53764.7%56.4%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Greece 68151.8%0.59260.6%55.4%
Carioca - 2Brazil 68145.7%0.64359.8%54.9%
World Cup - Qualification AsiaWorld 68163.7%0.48257.1%54.6%
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationWorld 67663.2%0.48964.5%55.3%
Liga III - Serie 2Romania 67563.0%0.49966.2%52.6%
WK-LeagueSouth Korea 67458.0%0.54351.6%50.9%
Liga III - Serie 8Romania 67055.4%0.55055.4%50.4%
U20 LeagueMexico 66847.2%0.63554.8%56.1%
U23 LeagueMexico 66846.7%0.63653.9%54.9%
KvindeligaDenmark 66762.2%0.50759.5%55.0%
FrauenligaAustria 66770.3%0.41367.6%57.4%
Nacional BBolivia 66655.1%0.57961.4%57.8%
Liga III - Serie 5Romania 66554.7%0.57158.9%54.4%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld 66253.2%0.57656.6%55.0%
Liga III - Serie 4Romania 65956.1%0.56855.2%51.7%
Copa ChileChile 65749.9%0.61054.9%52.2%
Liga 3Georgia 65654.7%0.57558.5%53.8%
Calcutta Premier DivisionIndia 64852.3%0.59456.6%51.2%
CupSlovenia 64063.0%0.48573.1%52.7%
Premier LeagueBelize 63657.9%0.54059.7%53.1%
Liga MayorDominican Republic 63649.5%0.60451.1%49.8%
WE LeagueJapan 63555.6%0.55453.2%53.5%
Coppa ItaliaItaly 62859.4%0.53554.8%52.4%
UEFA U19 Championship - QualificationWorld 62362.6%0.49356.8%58.3%
League CupUnited Arab Emirates 61247.1%0.64259.8%55.4%
CupIceland 61165.5%0.47580.2%57.6%
Santosh TrophyIndia 60859.4%0.52459.9%44.2%
CoppaBelarus 60765.2%0.47465.7%50.2%
Premier LeagueBarbados 60657.4%0.54369.0%58.7%
Premier League CupEngland 60549.9%0.62369.4%62.8%
Copa ColombiaColombia 60049.0%0.61153.3%53.2%
2. Frauen BundesligaGermany 59657.4%0.56160.2%51.5%
1. Division WomenNorway 59256.8%0.56260.5%53.2%
3. liga - CenterSlovakia 59057.3%0.55364.9%52.5%
Carioca - 1Brazil 58952.5%0.59256.2%55.7%
2nd Division - Group 2Denmark 58447.8%0.62855.7%53.6%
AmazonenseBrazil 58150.9%0.59056.6%50.9%
AcreanoBrazil 57558.1%0.55859.5%53.0%
Tasmania NPLAustralia 57471.6%0.42074.9%59.6%
Úrvalsdeild WomenIceland 56859.9%0.53764.4%54.0%
U21 Divisie 1Netherlands 56751.1%0.60867.2%61.4%
Mineiro - 2Brazil 56642.0%0.65864.0%55.1%
CupTunisia 56252.1%0.58756.8%54.3%
Copa do NordesteBrazil 55950.4%0.59154.7%48.1%
Primera División RFEF - Group 3Spain 55442.4%0.66259.9%50.9%
CupLuxembourg 54765.6%0.46377.5%60.0%
CupBulgaria 54659.5%0.52861.4%52.9%
World Cup - Qualification AfricaWorld 54457.0%0.54161.6%56.8%
National 3 - Group GFrance 54341.4%0.67852.7%53.8%
Paranaense - 1Brazil 53451.9%0.59259.9%56.2%
Goiano - 1Brazil 53452.8%0.57758.4%56.2%
Primera División RFEF - Group 4Spain 52842.8%0.65357.0%52.7%
National League - NorthernNew Zealand 52860.6%0.53368.0%61.6%
Catarinense - 1Brazil 52744.6%0.63460.7%55.8%
National 3 - Group LFrance 52642.0%0.65856.5%58.0%
National 3 - Group MFrance 52649.8%0.60957.2%54.0%
National Football LeagueFiji 52351.4%0.60457.2%56.2%
Esiliiga BEstonia 51858.9%0.53574.1%66.2%
CupPoland 51156.8%0.56255.8%51.9%
NISAUnited States 50551.7%0.58455.2%50.5%
Liga III - Serie 9Romania 50456.2%0.56860.1%58.3%
Gaúcho - 1Brazil 50248.2%0.60064.3%52.4%
1. Liga WomenCzech Republic 50172.9%0.34871.7%55.9%
1a Divisão - WomenPortugal 50067.8%0.44663.6%59.4%
Liga III - Serie 10Romania 49956.5%0.56755.5%50.5%
Coupe NationaleAlgeria 49864.3%0.49751.4%57.6%
CupEstonia 49168.0%0.45582.5%42.8%
FA CupChina 48956.6%0.56254.0%46.6%
FA CupSouth Korea 48455.4%0.57155.6%51.2%
Baiano U20Brazil 48355.9%0.55860.7%53.6%
Second League - Group CEgypt 48046.3%0.63065.2%59.0%
Second League - Group BEgypt 47948.6%0.61959.9%54.9%
League CupIceland 47662.4%0.51173.3%64.3%
Euro ChampionshipWorld 47661.1%0.49055.7%55.9%
Mineiro - 1Brazil 47552.6%0.59160.8%53.3%
Brasileiro U17Brazil 47455.9%0.54962.0%58.0%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 5Switzerland 47055.7%0.56368.9%58.5%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Greece 46555.1%0.58856.6%53.3%
Challenge CupScotland 45755.4%0.57666.5%56.7%
CONCACAF Champions LeagueWorld 44955.2%0.57554.3%53.7%
Schweizer CupSwitzerland 44570.1%0.40168.8%56.2%
Carioca A2Brazil 43339.0%0.67462.4%53.3%
Division 1Kuwait 42850.9%0.59852.8%52.3%
Championnat D1Gabon 42850.0%0.60661.9%55.1%
Somali Premier LeagueSomalia 42556.0%0.56160.9%54.6%
UEFA U19 ChampionshipWorld 42460.6%0.51363.9%53.8%
CONCACAF Nations LeagueWorld 42464.2%0.49959.2%52.6%
Denmark Series - Relegation RoundDenmark 42350.4%0.62266.4%60.3%
PFLPhilippines 42270.6%0.39269.2%51.7%
PremiershipNew Zealand 41856.0%0.56170.8%64.6%
Regionalliga - TirolAustria 41853.8%0.58670.1%63.4%
Africa Cup of NationsWorld 41847.1%0.61157.7%57.7%
Sul-MatogrossenseBrazil 41552.0%0.59854.0%45.1%
Championnat NationalTogo 41443.5%0.63365.2%63.3%
CapixabaBrazil 41345.8%0.63054.2%54.5%
Second League A - Division A GoldRussia 41243.0%0.65956.6%53.9%
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationWorld 41259.5%0.55456.8%59.0%
Ekstraliga WomenPoland 41165.9%0.45866.2%56.9%
AlagoanoBrazil 41052.9%0.58150.2%52.2%
ParaenseBrazil 40950.1%0.59154.5%53.5%
Cearense - 2Brazil 40846.8%0.63256.1%50.2%
CupCroatia 40769.5%0.43164.9%50.9%
Curaçao Sekshon PagáCuracao 40748.2%0.62354.5%54.8%
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalArgentina 40741.3%0.65162.7%56.3%
Nasjonal U19 Champions LeagueNorway 40656.4%0.57785.5%75.1%
BrasilienseBrazil 40256.5%0.56154.0%48.8%
World Cup - Women - Qualification EuropeWorld 40178.8%0.29967.3%62.8%
Paulista - A4Brazil 40044.3%0.64160.8%59.0%
Western Australia State League 1Australia 40056.8%0.57069.3%65.8%
Pernambucano - 1Brazil 39954.1%0.57654.1%53.6%
Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsSpain 39637.1%0.67269.7%55.1%
African Nations ChampionshipWorld 39543.3%0.62964.6%60.8%
YkkösliigaFinland 39454.6%0.59755.8%55.6%
Premier DivisionAntigua and Barbuda 38965.0%0.50075.3%61.2%
MatogrossenseBrazil 38750.9%0.59157.6%54.3%
Liga MX U21Mexico 38443.2%0.65554.4%50.3%
CupKazakhstan 38349.3%0.62751.7%51.4%
Regionalliga - SalzburgAustria 38353.8%0.59963.7%56.4%
Svenska Cupen - WomenSweden 38360.1%0.51974.7%53.5%
SergipanoBrazil 38149.1%0.59757.2%54.3%
Coupe de la LigueFrance 38047.4%0.62056.1%57.4%
Torneo Promocional AmateurArgentina 37746.2%0.62859.9%60.5%
UEFA U21 ChampionshipWorld 37458.8%0.53763.6%52.4%
Paranaense - 2Brazil 37347.7%0.62254.4%50.7%
David Kipiani CupGeorgia 37252.7%0.58962.6%52.4%
Canadian Soccer LeagueCanada 37163.6%0.48670.6%56.9%
CupBosnia 37064.6%0.47855.9%48.1%
Paulista Série BBrazil 36949.3%0.59554.5%49.9%
A DivisionNepal 36439.6%0.65560.4%59.3%
Cearense - 1Brazil 36451.9%0.58156.6%54.9%
League CupThailand 36453.8%0.57856.0%50.5%
3. liga - BratislavaSlovakia 36060.3%0.52856.4%49.2%
National League - CentralNew Zealand 36062.5%0.49281.9%70.3%
World CupWorld 36050.6%0.61850.3%53.1%
National League - SouthernNew Zealand 35970.2%0.43479.1%63.0%
Liga E PareKosovo 35854.2%0.56154.7%53.6%
CupUzbekistan 35760.8%0.51159.4%56.3%
3. SNL - WestSlovenia 35554.9%0.57265.9%55.5%
Second League A - Division A SilverRussia 35544.5%0.65558.0%45.4%
Coppa Italia Serie CItaly 35443.8%0.64949.7%44.9%
Baiano - 1Brazil 35345.3%0.63158.6%54.7%
PotiguarBrazil 35254.5%0.56152.3%58.5%
Mineiro U20Brazil 35256.5%0.55253.7%52.0%
CupSouth Africa 35047.1%0.63154.6%51.7%
Premier LeagueBhutan 34866.4%0.45074.4%58.0%
Primera DivisionCuba 34755.3%0.57552.7%49.3%
ParaibanoBrazil 34249.1%0.61159.9%51.5%
I-League - 2nd DivisionIndia 34148.4%0.61949.6%49.9%
Paranaense U20Brazil 34055.6%0.54961.2%53.8%
Federation CupBahrain 33955.5%0.58659.9%51.9%
UEFA Nations League - WomenWorld 33865.4%0.49450.0%56.5%
Copa ParaguayParaguay 33656.0%0.54056.0%51.8%
PiauienseBrazil 33645.2%0.62757.1%50.9%
King's CupSaudi Arabia 33564.5%0.49056.4%52.8%
QSL CupQatar 33538.8%0.68064.2%57.9%
Mauritian LeagueMauritius 33453.6%0.57752.1%53.0%
Baiano - 2Brazil 33151.7%0.60158.6%51.4%
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAFWorld 33061.5%0.49760.3%54.8%
CupLatvia 32863.1%0.51177.4%54.9%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 7Greece 32653.4%0.58358.3%55.2%
OFC Champions LeagueWorld 32554.5%0.56269.2%58.5%
U18 Divisie 1Netherlands 32361.0%0.51174.6%61.3%
Pacific Coast Soccer LeagueCanada 32059.1%0.53570.0%58.8%
Lao LeagueLaos 31463.4%0.50163.1%57.3%
Brasileiro de AspirantesBrazil 31151.4%0.60555.0%53.1%
MaranhenseBrazil 31149.2%0.60158.8%58.5%
Catarinense U20Brazil 30861.4%0.51060.1%56.5%
Primeira DivisãoMacao 30772.6%0.38979.5%58.6%
Pro League AUzbekistan 30758.3%0.54853.1%53.1%
Copa do Brasil U20Brazil 30458.2%0.52362.5%51.0%
CupAzerbaijan 30260.6%0.49956.0%48.0%
Malaysia CupMalaysia 30161.1%0.50361.5%57.1%
3. SNL - EastSlovenia 29950.2%0.62160.2%59.5%
Catarinense - 2Brazil 29942.5%0.62460.2%56.2%
CupAlbania 29564.1%0.49454.2%48.5%
Leagues CupWorld 29446.3%0.64862.2%59.9%
Hazfi CupIran 29256.8%0.53758.6%58.6%
Coppa Italia PrimaveraItaly 29055.9%0.59171.7%62.4%
AmapaenseBrazil 28946.4%0.61956.1%50.5%
CupLithuania 28568.4%0.45472.3%53.0%
League CupNorthern Ireland 28266.3%0.47468.4%52.8%
NNSW League 1Australia 27952.3%0.59069.2%60.2%
RondonienseBrazil 27353.8%0.59059.0%59.3%
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld 26951.3%0.58555.4%55.8%
Copa UruguayUruguay 26849.6%0.59954.5%51.1%
USL Super LeagueUnited States 26744.6%0.64050.6%51.7%
Brasiliense U20Brazil 26666.9%0.48567.7%49.6%
UEFA Championship - WomenWorld 26678.2%0.34966.2%50.4%
Chatham CupNew Zealand 26463.3%0.50383.0%57.2%
FAI CupIreland 26365.0%0.46466.2%49.4%
CupaMoldova 26361.6%0.50771.9%53.6%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 6Switzerland 26054.6%0.56071.5%65.0%
Copa de la División ProfesionalBolivia 26050.0%0.61560.0%57.7%
Youth Viareggio CupWorld 26052.3%0.59665.0%52.3%
DFB Junioren PokalGermany 25959.1%0.54973.4%57.9%
Irish CupNorthern Ireland 25957.9%0.52667.2%59.1%
Denmark Series - Promotion RoundDenmark 25853.1%0.60566.3%61.2%
WSL CupEngland 25262.3%0.52665.1%52.8%
CupCyprus 24862.5%0.46962.5%52.4%
Primera División RFEF - Group 5Spain 24842.7%0.67261.7%56.0%
TocantinenseBrazil 24844.4%0.63457.7%48.8%
Tasmania Southern ChampionshipAustralia 24670.3%0.43387.4%68.7%
Cearense U20Brazil 24361.3%0.51953.9%53.9%
Presidents CupUnited Arab Emirates 24265.7%0.51153.3%48.3%
FA TrophyMalta 24263.6%0.48865.3%52.9%
Goiano U20Brazil 24250.8%0.61253.7%55.4%
CupEgypt 23965.3%0.48049.4%55.2%
Euro Championship - QualificationWorld 23969.5%0.43556.5%61.9%
League CupWales 23760.8%0.54068.4%62.4%
Tasmania Northern ChampionshipAustralia 23770.5%0.40389.0%64.6%
Toto Cup Ligat AlIsrael 22842.5%0.65551.3%53.5%
Premier DivisionGrenada 22865.8%0.49973.2%62.7%
Goiano - 2Brazil 22844.7%0.63957.0%47.8%
RoraimenseBrazil 22764.8%0.48763.4%55.9%
Caribbean CupWorld 22654.0%0.58554.9%51.8%
U19 Divisie 1Netherlands 22556.4%0.56977.3%69.8%
USL League One CupUnited States 22447.8%0.60757.1%61.2%
CupSerbia 22356.5%0.52448.0%50.2%
CONCACAF Central American CupWorld 22257.7%0.55055.0%52.7%
League CupEgypt 21938.4%0.72555.7%58.4%
Liga III - Play-offsRomania 21853.7%0.56659.2%56.0%
Copa EcuadorEcuador 21445.3%0.68045.3%55.6%
Carioca U20Brazil 21353.5%0.57852.1%50.2%
CupKosovo 21263.7%0.48460.8%49.5%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group EPortugal 21144.1%0.63162.1%49.3%
Copa FederacionSpain 20849.0%0.62146.6%46.6%
World Cup - U20World 20848.6%0.62651.9%48.1%
World Cup - U17World 20857.2%0.56563.9%55.8%
DFB Pokal - WomenGermany 20659.7%0.52773.8%48.5%
Premier League International CupWorld 20646.6%0.67168.0%64.1%
CupGhana 20450.0%0.61147.1%50.5%
CONCACAF U20World 20471.6%0.43673.0%51.0%
Taça da LigaPortugal 20352.2%0.59850.2%55.7%
CupMorocco 20258.9%0.54351.0%48.0%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group FPortugal 20153.2%0.57158.2%50.7%
Copa VenezuelaVenezuela 20149.8%0.60351.7%44.3%
Paraense U20Brazil 20163.2%0.51567.2%50.7%
Premiership WomenNorthern Ireland 20080.0%0.29880.0%54.5%
Asian GamesWorld 19862.1%0.51459.1%50.0%
Dhivehi Premier LeagueMaldives 19560.0%0.50060.5%56.9%
Pernambucano - U20Brazil 19561.0%0.49753.8%53.8%
Australia CupAustralia 19448.5%0.58264.9%51.5%
World Cup - WomenWorld 19458.8%0.54152.6%51.5%
Sultan CupOman 19254.2%0.56151.0%49.5%
Kakkonen - Play-offsFinland 19258.9%0.53479.7%66.7%
AFC U23 Asian CupWorld 19154.5%0.55449.7%46.1%
National League - NationalNew Zealand 19053.7%0.59974.7%66.3%
ASEAN ChampionshipWorld 19067.9%0.46170.0%56.8%
UEFA Championship - Women - QualificationWorld 19066.3%0.44662.1%61.1%
Asian Cup - QualificationWorld 18968.3%0.42957.7%51.9%
CupNorth Macedonia 18661.3%0.46957.0%48.4%
Alagoano U20Brazil 18659.7%0.51856.5%43.0%
CupVietnam 18556.8%0.54651.4%57.3%
Estadual Junior U20Brazil 18455.4%0.56252.2%56.0%
Copa RioBrazil 18339.3%0.66058.5%57.9%
U21 LeagueUkraine 18265.9%0.47170.3%57.7%
Second League A - Spring Season GoldRussia 18246.2%0.64161.0%53.3%
Shield CupJordan 18052.2%0.60250.0%48.3%
Second League A - Spring Season SilverRussia 18045.0%0.66061.1%56.1%
Capital Territory NPL 2Australia 17660.2%0.50376.1%60.2%
CONCACAF Gold CupWorld 17553.7%0.57251.4%50.9%
AFC U17 Asian CupWorld 17563.4%0.50867.4%46.9%
National League CupEngland 17446.0%0.66270.7%58.0%
Sergipano - 2Brazil 17358.4%0.55453.2%52.0%
AFC U23 Asian Cup - QualificationWorld 17375.7%0.35961.8%58.4%
Super LeagueBhutan 17256.4%0.54379.1%59.3%
Copa Espírito SantoBrazil 17057.1%0.57855.9%51.8%
MFL CupMalaysia 17053.5%0.58252.9%51.8%
Copa VerdeBrazil 16947.9%0.59750.3%46.2%
CupJordan 16863.1%0.49848.8%49.4%
Asian CupWorld 16653.6%0.59453.0%50.0%
Copa Santa CatarinaBrazil 16447.6%0.64047.0%45.7%
Paranaense - 3Brazil 16442.1%0.64751.2%42.7%
Coppa TitanoSan Marino 16358.9%0.56146.6%46.6%
Africa Cup of Nations U20World 16242.0%0.66553.7%54.3%
Carioca CBrazil 15955.3%0.57961.0%44.7%
FA Youth CupEngland 15759.9%0.52873.9%66.2%
League CupFinland 15744.6%0.63561.1%56.1%
Copa Rio U20Brazil 15757.3%0.55656.1%56.7%
Serie C - Promotion - Play-offsItaly 15636.5%0.67454.5%53.2%
LøgmanssteypidFaroe Islands 15558.7%0.53466.5%50.3%
Paraibano 2Brazil 15349.7%0.61251.6%47.7%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 8Greece 15044.7%0.65448.0%50.0%
FA CupMalaysia 14967.8%0.45773.2%58.4%
Oberliga - Relegation RoundGermany 14947.7%0.63265.8%55.0%
FIFA Club World CupWorld 14858.1%0.53456.8%58.8%
Piala IndonesiaIndonesia 14661.6%0.50760.3%45.2%
Canadian ChampionshipCanada 14557.2%0.56055.2%56.6%
Copa AmericaWorld 14450.7%0.61552.1%54.9%
Premier LeagueNamibia 14338.5%0.67351.7%52.4%
Mineiro - 3Brazil 14355.9%0.57844.1%47.6%
Arab Club Champions CupWorld 14252.1%0.56548.6%51.4%
Premier LeagueUkraine 14156.0%0.55561.0%51.1%
Northern Super LeagueCanada 14145.4%0.65463.1%57.4%
Segunda División RFEF - Play-offsSpain 13538.5%0.67871.1%62.2%
CECAFA Senior Challenge CupWorld 13552.6%0.58158.5%57.8%
World Cup - Women - Qualification ConcacafWorld 13480.6%0.37976.9%41.8%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group GPortugal 13251.5%0.60360.6%53.0%
Federation CupBangladesh 13264.4%0.49261.4%46.2%
Paraibano U20Brazil 13259.1%0.54462.1%43.9%
Carioca B2Brazil 13250.0%0.58650.0%44.7%
CONMEBOL Libertadores U20World 13255.3%0.59157.6%47.7%
World Cup - U20 - WomenWorld 13259.8%0.48661.4%47.0%
CONCACAF Caribbean Club ChampionshipWorld 13148.9%0.62959.5%53.4%
AIFF Super CupIndia 12953.5%0.56962.8%56.6%
Olympics MenWorld 12841.4%0.68250.8%53.9%
CONMEBOL Libertadores FemeninaWorld 12865.6%0.48057.8%61.7%
AFC Women's Champions LeagueWorld 12864.8%0.49668.8%34.4%
NWSL Women - Challenge CupUnited States 12544.0%0.65350.4%46.4%
Goiano - 3Brazil 12556.8%0.55855.2%49.6%
Brasileiro U20 BBrazil 12559.2%0.55858.4%47.2%
UEFA U17 ChampionshipWorld 12454.8%0.56167.7%62.1%
Capixaba BBrazil 12357.7%0.56255.3%39.0%
AFC U20 Asian CupWorld 12261.5%0.53259.8%51.6%
CupArmenia 12157.9%0.54961.2%49.6%
CONCACAF Women U17World 12072.5%0.43378.3%40.0%
YkköscupFinland 11946.2%0.64957.1%50.4%
U20 Elite LeagueWorld 11852.5%0.61757.6%61.0%
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld 11665.5%0.48863.8%54.3%
All-Island Cup - WomenWorld 11547.0%0.64863.5%56.5%
Tournoi Maurice RevelloWorld 11443.0%0.64650.9%51.8%
Copa GaúchaBrazil 11348.7%0.60554.0%54.0%
COSAFA CupWorld 11343.4%0.64957.5%48.7%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group HPortugal 11055.5%0.55447.3%53.6%
Npl Nsw U20Australia 11049.1%0.62672.7%64.5%
Maranhense - 2Brazil 10849.1%0.60858.3%43.5%
QFA CupQatar 10739.3%0.67468.2%64.5%
Alagoano - 2Brazil 10761.7%0.52257.0%41.1%
UEFA Europa Cup - WomenWorld 10759.8%0.54557.0%49.5%
Copa AlagoasBrazil 10657.5%0.57650.9%49.1%
Sudamericano U20World 10555.2%0.58552.4%49.5%
CONCACAF Caribbean Club ShieldWorld 10458.7%0.59560.6%44.2%
Emir CupQatar 10354.4%0.54569.9%63.1%
Copa Costa RicaCosta Rica 10348.5%0.60144.7%45.6%
CupMontenegro 10259.8%0.53452.9%40.2%
Olympics Women - Qualification AsiaWorld 10266.7%0.47859.8%44.1%
Pro League U23United Arab Emirates 10242.2%0.62852.0%62.7%
CONCACAF LeagueWorld 10144.6%0.64541.6%51.5%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion RoundPortugal 10043.0%0.63745.0%46.0%
Derde Divisie - Relegation RoundNetherlands 10036.0%0.72452.0%52.0%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 10Greece 9952.5%0.59949.5%48.5%
CONCACAF U17World 9968.7%0.46978.8%46.5%
CupLiechtenstein 9858.2%0.55980.6%55.1%
AFC Challenge LeagueWorld 9745.4%0.61260.8%51.5%
Reykjavik CupIceland 9658.3%0.51976.0%64.6%
Matogrossense 2Brazil 9646.9%0.62057.3%47.9%
League CupSingapore 9552.6%0.61063.2%44.2%
Pernambucano - 2Brazil 9555.8%0.58253.7%52.6%
3. Lig - Play-offsTurkey 9343.0%0.64448.4%49.5%
CONMEBOL - U17World 9156.0%0.57254.9%51.6%
CAF Cup of Nations - U17World 9144.0%0.63653.8%48.4%
League CupSouth Africa 9034.4%0.72844.4%45.6%
Emir CupKuwait 9072.2%0.47161.1%58.9%
COSAFA U20 ChampionshipWorld 8964.0%0.51149.4%43.8%
Copa BicentenarioPeru 8838.6%0.69450.0%48.9%
Shield CupKenya 8853.4%0.56643.2%44.3%
Copa do Brasil U17Brazil 8851.1%0.58665.9%61.4%
Africa Cup of Nations - WomenWorld 8853.4%0.57360.2%56.8%
Victoria Premier League 2Australia 8853.4%0.59960.2%58.0%
Copa Paulino AlcantaraPhilippines 8661.6%0.51462.8%52.3%
CONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification - WomenWorld 8664.0%0.48960.5%45.3%
Copa MXMexico 8457.1%0.58446.4%48.8%
International Champions CupWorld 8445.2%0.68563.1%67.9%
ASEAN Club ChampionshipWorld 8459.5%0.53263.1%58.3%
Copa ConstitucióAndorra 8363.9%0.47257.8%51.8%
Taça Revelação U23Portugal 8363.9%0.55161.4%60.2%
COTIF TournamentWorld 8361.4%0.55145.8%48.2%
Piala PresidenIndonesia 8243.9%0.63441.5%50.0%
Asian Cup Women - QualificationWorld 8280.5%0.34173.2%31.7%
Serie D - Promotion - Play-offsItaly 8165.4%0.56745.7%58.0%
CupSingapore 8056.3%0.54970.0%66.3%
AFC U20 Asian Cup - QualificationWorld 8055.0%0.55056.3%36.3%
Crown Prince CupKuwait 7963.3%0.48754.4%44.3%
Potiguar - U20Brazil 7960.8%0.51359.5%44.3%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Greece 7844.9%0.65764.1%47.4%
Erste Liga CupSwitzerland 7855.1%0.58973.1%56.4%
Paraense A3Brazil 7853.8%0.60160.3%43.6%
Gaúcho - 3Brazil 7855.1%0.58253.8%47.4%
Olympics WomenWorld 7857.7%0.56661.5%52.6%
Oberliga - Promotion RoundGermany 7761.0%0.53067.5%66.2%
Arab CupWorld 7757.1%0.55042.9%54.5%
UEFA U19 Championship - WomenWorld 7553.3%0.59153.3%53.3%
CECAFA Club CupWorld 7447.3%0.64048.6%59.5%
Brasiliense BBrazil 7353.4%0.52854.8%42.5%
Paraense B1Brazil 7330.1%0.69552.1%54.8%
Non League Div One - Play-offsEngland 7261.1%0.54761.1%58.3%
Copa LDFDominican Republic 7261.1%0.51348.6%47.2%
OFC Pro LeagueWorld 7250.0%0.63461.1%56.9%
8 CupSouth Africa 7135.2%0.69639.4%53.5%
Premier LeaguePakistan 7146.5%0.60246.5%42.3%
ASEAN Championship U19World 7065.7%0.43561.4%50.0%
CONMEBOL U20 FemeninoWorld 7055.7%0.53955.7%55.7%
AFC U17 Asian Cup - QualificationWorld 6966.7%0.50166.7%39.1%
Liga WomenPeru 6968.1%0.45868.1%58.0%
CONCACAF Nations League - QualificationWorld 6877.9%0.40966.2%50.0%
AFC U20 Asian Cup - WomenWorld 6860.3%0.50964.7%41.2%
Sergipano U20Brazil 6765.7%0.45759.7%44.8%
Rock CupGibraltar 6672.7%0.42460.6%50.0%
Yemeni LeagueYemen 6639.4%0.64353.0%45.5%
EAFF E-1 Football ChampionshipWorld 6663.6%0.49257.6%47.0%
King's CupBahrain 6558.5%0.51758.5%49.2%
SAFF ChampionshipWorld 6566.2%0.50855.4%50.8%
Regionalliga - NorthAustria 6350.8%0.62369.8%58.7%
Division 2 - Play-offsSweden 6245.2%0.68374.2%66.1%
Torneo Amistoso de VeranoBolivia 6256.5%0.53767.7%58.1%
World Cup - Qualification OceaniaWorld 6157.4%0.59062.3%52.5%
Southeast Asian GamesWorld 6175.4%0.47465.6%59.0%
Coppa Italia WomenItaly 6055.0%0.59363.3%48.3%
Gulf Cup of NationsWorld 6045.0%0.64055.0%55.0%
Africa U23 Cup of Nations - QualificationWorld 6033.3%0.74245.0%38.3%
Regionalliga - SouthAustria 6048.3%0.62866.7%58.3%
FA CupHong Kong 5949.2%0.59859.3%66.1%
Third Amateur Division - Play-offsBelgium 5855.2%0.56375.9%65.5%
Potiguar - 2Brazil 5759.6%0.51752.6%35.1%
AGCFF Gulf Champions LeagueWorld 5749.1%0.65049.1%52.6%
FA CupOman 5740.4%0.66052.6%56.1%
Provincial - Play-offs ACFFBelgium 5655.4%0.59466.1%50.0%
Serie D - Championship RoundItaly 5650.0%0.62957.1%69.6%
Amazonense - 2Brazil 5646.4%0.64160.7%53.6%
The Atlantic CupWorld 5650.0%0.66060.7%46.4%
CONMEBOL - U17 FemeninoWorld 5554.5%0.54458.2%49.1%
Australian ChampionshipAustralia 5547.3%0.65056.4%58.2%
Primera División RFEF - Play OffsSpain 5440.7%0.62348.1%42.6%
Cearense - 3Brazil 5448.1%0.61763.0%46.3%
Copa De La LigaPeru 5444.4%0.66846.3%55.6%
African Nations Championship - QualificationWorld 5339.6%0.70766.0%56.6%
U19 leagueTurkey 5356.6%0.59067.9%54.7%
Asian Cup WomenWorld 5269.2%0.40365.4%55.8%
Copa PresidenteEl Salvador 5246.2%0.63455.8%53.8%
CONCACAF W Champions CupWorld 5162.7%0.46670.6%33.3%
Copa America FemeninaWorld 5070.0%0.40468.0%54.0%
Pacific GamesWorld 4965.3%0.39971.4%42.9%
U19 leagueSerbia 4951.0%0.62779.6%75.5%
Senior ShieldHong Kong 4856.3%0.59564.6%56.3%
CONCACAF U20 - QualificationWorld 4872.9%0.40275.0%60.4%
UEFA U17 Championship - WomenWorld 4847.9%0.60150.0%45.8%
Confederations CupWorld 4753.2%0.58653.2%57.4%
Kakkosen CupFinland 4663.0%0.56473.9%60.9%
ASEAN Championship U23World 4663.0%0.50256.5%60.9%
Provincial - Play-offs VVBelgium 4445.5%0.56570.5%63.6%
CupLebanon 4369.8%0.42351.2%37.2%
Gamma Ethniki - Promotion GroupGreece 4360.5%0.55667.4%46.5%
Copa Fares LopesBrazil 4341.9%0.68737.2%41.9%
Hun Sen CupCambodia 4358.1%0.50465.1%51.2%
AFC Challenge CupWorld 4351.2%0.64255.8%48.8%
Copa NicaraguaNicaragua 4355.8%0.63655.8%60.5%
1. Liga Classic - Play-offsSwitzerland 4238.1%0.71447.6%64.3%
Serie A Cup WomenItaly 4276.2%0.42859.5%45.2%
Fotbolti.net Cup AIceland 4156.1%0.52387.8%73.2%
AFC U17 Asian Cup - WomenWorld 4170.7%0.42778.0%46.3%
Kings World Cup NationsWorld 4050.0%0.584100.0%97.5%
Serie D - Relegation - Play-offsItaly 3948.7%0.64646.2%46.2%
Copa De La LigaChile 3959.0%0.58748.7%56.4%
SWF Scottish CupScotland 3855.3%0.60086.8%42.1%
Olympics Men - Qualification ConcacafWorld 3834.2%0.68452.6%42.1%
Copa Sul-SudesteBrazil 3850.0%0.63136.8%42.1%
SWPL CupScotland 3764.9%0.50583.8%54.1%
K4 LeagueSouth Korea 3745.9%0.66067.6%62.2%
Copa por MéxicoMexico 3644.4%0.66436.1%44.4%
Olympics Women - Qualification CAFWorld 3652.8%0.54447.2%41.7%
CONMEBOL Nations League WomenWorld 3658.3%0.54066.7%50.0%
CONCACAF SeriesWorld 3542.9%0.62657.1%54.3%
NWSL - Liga MXF Summer CupUnited States 3336.4%0.78557.6%48.5%
CAF Women's Champions LeagueWorld 3363.6%0.54045.5%30.3%
Second Amateur Division - Play-offs Belgium 3240.6%0.67156.3%40.6%
Piauiense - 2Brazil 3240.6%0.65046.9%43.8%
Copa NorteBrazil 3265.6%0.55153.1%43.8%
Primera PremierMexico 3253.1%0.56865.6%53.1%
CONCACAF Gold Cup - QualificationWorld 3164.5%0.47851.6%48.4%
CECAFA U20 ChampionshipWorld 3171.0%0.51067.7%41.9%
Kings CupBrazil 3145.2%0.63196.8%100.0%
FIFA SeriesWorld 3154.8%0.60458.1%58.1%

With a few hundred matches, a league's hit rate can move by several points from luck alone. Compare leagues with large samples.

Reading the numbers

How we measure accuracy

Hit rate
How often the outcome we marked as most likely happened. Simple, but it ignores how confident the forecast was.
Brier score
The squared gap between our probabilities and what happened. 0 is perfect; for match results, spreading a third on each outcome scores 0.667.
Log loss
Punishes confident mistakes harder than the Brier score. Lower is better.
Backtest
The current model run over past matches with only the information available before each kickoff. It shows how the model behaves across many seasons, but it is a simulation, not a record of published forecasts.
Published forecasts
Forecasts we actually showed, stored with a timestamp before kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Result used
The score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count.

Forecasts are probabilities, not certainties. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.