← Predictions

Model v5 · Updated 28 Sep 2026

Our track record

Every forecast checked against the final 90-minute result, by league, competition and season. Nothing is hand-picked: every graded match counts.

The backtest runs model v5 over past seasons from Jun 2008 to Sep 2026. For every match it only uses information that existed before kickoff, exactly as if the forecast had been published that day. The model was tuned on matches from January 2025 to April 2026; every other month is an out-of-sample test.

Graded matches: 75
Match result hit rate: 53.3%
Brier score, 1X2: 0.591
Over/Under 2.5 hit rate: 53.3%
Both teams to score hit rate: 53.3%
Exact score hit rate: 5.3%

Every market

Results by market

Market	Matches	Hit rate	Brier score	Log loss
Match result (1X2)	75	53.3%	0.5913	0.9882
Over/Under 1.5 goals	75	76.0%	0.1880	0.5685
Over/Under 2.5 goals	75	53.3%	0.2474	0.6897
Over/Under 3.5 goals	75	68.0%	0.2339	0.6638
Both teams to score	75	53.3%	0.2485	0.6899
Exact score	75	5.3%	-	3.3797

Hit rate counts the outcome we marked as most likely. Brier score and log loss grade the full probabilities, so a confident miss costs more than a cautious one.

Season by season

Match result hit rate over time

Show as a table

Period	Matches	Hit rate	Brier score	Over/Under 2.5	Both teams to score
2026	15	66.7%	0.4871	53.3%	60.0%
2025	15	40.0%	0.6657	46.7%	80.0%
2024	15	46.7%	0.6425	66.7%	53.3%
2023	15	53.3%	0.5753	33.3%	33.3%
2022	15	60.0%	0.5861	66.7%	40.0%

Paler bars have fewer than 100 matches and move a lot by chance. The earliest seasons have few matches and little history for the model to learn from, so they read lower.

Do the percentages mean what they say?

Calibration

Each dot groups home, draw and away probabilities of similar size. Dots close to the diagonal mean that when we say 60%, it happens about 60% of the time.

Where it works best

By competition group

Group	Matches	Hit rate	Brier score
Major leagues	150,983	49.5%	0.607
Other men's leagues	1,020,923	51.0%	0.597
Cups	109,766	55.1%	0.566
Women's football	35,768	62.6%	0.494
Youth & reserves	52,996	53.6%	0.583
National teams	17,258	60.2%	0.516
Friendlies	44,799	54.7%	0.577

Groups follow the period and model filters. Mismatched competitions such as cups and women's leagues are easier to call than balanced top divisions.

1066 leagues with at least 30 matches

By league

League	Matches	Hit rate	Brier score	Over/Under 2.5	Both teams to score
Friendlies ClubsWorld	39,595	55.0%	0.576	62.6%	56.5%
FA CupEngland	10,697	48.2%	0.619	62.4%	57.6%
ChampionshipEngland	8,450	45.7%	0.635	53.5%	52.5%
League TwoEngland	8,328	44.3%	0.647	53.7%	51.9%
League OneEngland	8,289	46.8%	0.631	52.5%	52.5%
National LeagueEngland	8,212	47.1%	0.625	54.1%	54.7%
2. LigTurkey	7,404	51.9%	0.587	55.6%	51.0%
Primera NacionalArgentina	7,386	43.6%	0.642	66.6%	58.8%
Torneo Federal AArgentina	7,305	48.7%	0.614	62.0%	56.9%
J2 LeagueJapan	6,418	44.7%	0.641	55.3%	52.2%
Serie ABrazil	6,304	49.6%	0.614	56.2%	52.1%
Major League SoccerUnited States	6,217	50.0%	0.617	56.8%	56.9%
La LigaSpain	6,149	52.7%	0.582	57.2%	52.3%
Serie AItaly	6,131	53.4%	0.584	54.6%	53.8%
Premier LeagueEngland	6,120	53.1%	0.583	55.1%	54.6%
Ligue 2France	5,900	43.5%	0.645	56.8%	52.7%
Ligue 1France	5,813	49.7%	0.606	57.1%	52.8%
3. LigaGermany	5,762	45.9%	0.639	53.7%	54.2%
U19 BundesligaGermany	5,717	56.7%	0.558	69.7%	61.5%
Primera CArgentina	5,700	41.7%	0.652	63.7%	57.2%
Serie BBrazil	5,619	47.0%	0.625	58.8%	53.1%
Serie DBrazil	5,511	48.2%	0.614	58.0%	53.8%
Primera B MetropolitanaArgentina	5,481	40.1%	0.654	65.6%	57.7%
USL ChampionshipUnited States	5,310	48.3%	0.618	55.8%	55.0%
Serie C - Girone AItaly	5,288	42.9%	0.645	59.1%	53.4%
USL League TwoUnited States	5,159	59.2%	0.537	68.1%	59.9%
Primera DivisionGuatemala	5,110	62.8%	0.520	56.2%	54.1%
FA TrophyEngland	5,049	47.5%	0.628	63.0%	59.9%
EredivisieNetherlands	5,023	53.9%	0.572	60.0%	57.6%
Süper LigTurkey	5,001	50.8%	0.602	53.9%	53.0%
1. LigTurkey	4,972	47.5%	0.614	53.8%	51.9%
BundesligaGermany	4,948	51.4%	0.597	58.7%	56.7%
Ligue 2Algeria	4,930	56.1%	0.572	63.4%	58.0%
Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium	4,818	51.2%	0.598	55.1%	54.2%
J1 LeagueJapan	4,793	47.0%	0.630	55.5%	55.5%
Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina	4,784	44.0%	0.639	61.7%	56.2%
Segunda DivisiónSpain	4,754	44.8%	0.638	60.5%	53.3%
Primeira LigaPortugal	4,705	54.5%	0.560	56.0%	52.8%
2. BundesligaGermany	4,654	44.7%	0.645	55.6%	55.4%
Ligue 3France	4,615	41.8%	0.652	56.8%	51.4%
Primera DivisiónVenezuela	4,601	47.4%	0.624	55.0%	51.3%
NB IIHungary	4,582	47.4%	0.623	55.4%	54.8%
Liga AlefIsrael	4,575	47.4%	0.624	54.7%	52.3%
Primera AColombia	4,456	47.2%	0.621	59.2%	52.9%
UEFA Europa LeagueWorld	4,454	50.2%	0.621	54.0%	52.8%
3. Lig - Group 3Turkey	4,352	48.3%	0.614	58.9%	53.7%
3. Lig - Group 1Turkey	4,349	48.4%	0.607	57.2%	52.1%
2. DivisionBelarus	4,334	64.0%	0.479	72.5%	55.5%
3. Lig - Group 2Turkey	4,331	46.6%	0.625	55.3%	52.7%
Premier LeagueEgypt	4,236	46.3%	0.614	60.3%	52.8%
Thai League 2Thailand	4,210	49.7%	0.608	54.8%	54.0%
J3 LeagueJapan	4,144	47.2%	0.629	53.7%	52.8%
Liga NacionalGuatemala	4,122	55.8%	0.573	56.1%	53.6%
Serie BItaly	4,061	43.5%	0.648	56.2%	50.7%
Segunda DivisiónVenezuela	4,042	48.4%	0.627	55.0%	53.4%
Super LeagueZambia	4,027	46.2%	0.622	67.9%	59.3%
Thai League 1Thailand	3,860	52.2%	0.588	56.1%	56.0%
Super League 1Greece	3,837	53.9%	0.567	59.7%	58.1%
FKF Premier LeagueKenya	3,813	44.5%	0.634	64.8%	57.4%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands	3,798	50.4%	0.607	60.9%	59.4%
Premier LeagueGhana	3,783	56.7%	0.577	66.7%	60.4%
Championnat NationalBenin	3,771	46.2%	0.630	68.6%	61.1%
Ligue 1Algeria	3,760	53.0%	0.592	63.0%	57.3%
Persha LigaUkraine	3,760	51.2%	0.600	57.7%	54.0%
Primera DivisionEl Salvador	3,757	46.6%	0.629	52.9%	50.9%
PremiershipScotland	3,657	52.2%	0.582	54.5%	53.3%
NPFLNigeria	3,651	66.8%	0.492	65.3%	60.9%
First LeagueRussia	3,583	47.0%	0.622	58.5%	55.1%
1st DivisionAlbania	3,530	56.7%	0.568	57.7%	56.4%
FriendliesWorld	3,526	52.4%	0.590	55.2%	54.8%
Primera DivisiónPeru	3,474	51.2%	0.599	52.3%	54.1%
Erovnuli Liga 2Georgia	3,452	56.4%	0.565	57.2%	52.7%
National 2 - Group AFrance	3,435	43.8%	0.640	56.7%	51.1%
1. DivisionBelarus	3,427	52.7%	0.583	56.5%	53.3%
UEFA Champions LeagueWorld	3,425	54.0%	0.587	55.5%	53.2%
Liga MXMexico	3,408	48.1%	0.619	54.7%	53.8%
National 2 - Group CFrance	3,377	44.2%	0.642	55.6%	52.4%
National League - NorthEngland	3,319	47.4%	0.622	55.2%	54.3%
Regionalliga - MitteAustria	3,295	52.4%	0.593	61.9%	57.8%
National League - SouthEngland	3,282	46.8%	0.630	54.2%	55.4%
Division 1Saudi Arabia	3,282	45.2%	0.635	55.3%	52.0%
Premier LeagueUganda	3,278	48.9%	0.603	63.1%	57.3%
Premier LeagueBelarus	3,277	52.1%	0.594	57.0%	55.3%
National 2 - Group BFrance	3,265	43.5%	0.644	54.4%	52.1%
Segunda LigaPortugal	3,263	45.9%	0.641	53.3%	51.1%
Regionalliga - OstAustria	3,245	50.1%	0.614	60.9%	57.3%
2. LigaAustria	3,218	48.0%	0.627	57.3%	55.6%
NB IHungary	3,185	50.3%	0.610	53.8%	54.6%
Liga Pro Serie BEcuador	3,185	47.2%	0.624	58.4%	53.2%
Premier LeagueUkraine	3,183	54.3%	0.568	57.2%	55.5%
SuperligaDenmark	3,174	47.3%	0.625	54.7%	55.6%
FAW ChampionshipWales	3,147	57.3%	0.557	66.1%	60.5%
1 LygaLithuania	3,108	58.4%	0.538	63.6%	54.6%
Liga IIRomania	3,093	54.0%	0.580	55.7%	53.2%
National DivisionLuxembourg	3,084	57.3%	0.560	60.7%	55.0%
Super LigaSerbia	3,072	56.5%	0.552	56.6%	53.5%
Regionalliga - WestAustria	3,066	55.3%	0.575	65.6%	57.6%
Liga IRomania	3,066	48.0%	0.620	57.6%	52.9%
GirabolaAngola	3,057	51.8%	0.586	63.9%	59.9%
Serie CBrazil	3,052	47.1%	0.630	59.5%	52.6%
Football LeagueGreece	3,046	54.5%	0.568	62.9%	65.5%
Ligue 1Tunisia	3,045	52.2%	0.582	65.6%	61.5%
Premier LeagueJamaica	3,034	46.3%	0.625	59.4%	55.7%
Liga NacionalHonduras	3,030	50.3%	0.609	53.8%	55.0%
Liga LeumitIsrael	3,020	43.3%	0.648	57.2%	54.0%
Primera BColombia	3,003	49.0%	0.611	58.0%	52.6%
Azadegan LeagueIran	2,983	46.7%	0.612	68.1%	61.7%
Super LeagueUzbekistan	2,976	56.3%	0.560	55.3%	52.2%
Serie C - Girone BItaly	2,973	44.4%	0.633	57.8%	51.9%
Premier LeagueWales	2,972	55.7%	0.563	59.4%	55.1%
1. DivisionDenmark	2,972	47.2%	0.628	55.4%	53.6%
1. DivisionKazakhstan	2,969	59.1%	0.540	59.4%	53.8%
Liga ProEcuador	2,944	49.2%	0.613	54.5%	53.0%
National 2 - Group DFrance	2,943	43.2%	0.648	55.5%	53.2%
Serie C - Girone CItaly	2,932	48.0%	0.619	56.9%	54.2%
Coupe de FranceFrance	2,911	55.1%	0.557	55.4%	52.6%
Prva LigaSerbia	2,895	48.3%	0.615	59.7%	56.7%
Segunda DivisiónUruguay	2,885	42.4%	0.650	56.9%	52.7%
BundesligaAustria	2,864	50.2%	0.609	56.1%	54.1%
ChampionshipScotland	2,851	46.9%	0.625	53.6%	51.4%
Non League Premier - IsthmianEngland	2,849	52.0%	0.601	60.7%	58.4%
Second LeagueBulgaria	2,847	52.3%	0.596	57.2%	55.7%
Non League Premier - Southern SouthEngland	2,812	50.3%	0.608	60.7%	58.7%
Liga Premier Serie AMexico	2,800	55.5%	0.567	55.1%	52.1%
Esiliiga AEstonia	2,798	56.0%	0.569	68.3%	59.3%
MeistriliigaEstonia	2,798	64.0%	0.483	59.9%	54.3%
Première DivisionMali	2,787	47.4%	0.615	65.6%	63.0%
Non League Premier - NorthernEngland	2,785	47.3%	0.631	55.0%	53.5%
Premier LeagueKazakhstan	2,745	51.7%	0.593	54.2%	52.0%
Druha LigaUkraine	2,734	54.5%	0.577	52.9%	52.8%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico	2,731	47.8%	0.630	55.7%	54.0%
Elite OneCameroon	2,700	42.8%	0.643	66.0%	59.1%
Primera DivisiónCosta Rica	2,697	50.4%	0.605	54.1%	53.1%
VeikkausliigaFinland	2,685	49.3%	0.612	53.4%	52.7%
Ligi kuu BaraTanzania	2,676	53.0%	0.574	65.7%	59.0%
Premier Soccer LeagueZimbabwe	2,642	45.6%	0.626	69.0%	61.9%
Türkiye KupasıTurkey	2,640	53.3%	0.585	54.8%	50.6%
Third League - SoutheastBulgaria	2,639	63.4%	0.498	59.4%	51.8%
League OneChina	2,626	51.0%	0.596	54.6%	53.9%
SuperettanSweden	2,624	46.6%	0.634	52.7%	55.3%
1. DivisionNorway	2,616	51.0%	0.611	60.4%	59.9%
Reserve LeagueArgentina	2,608	47.5%	0.628	55.4%	53.3%
Campionato Primavera - 2Italy	2,605	51.4%	0.602	59.5%	57.3%
Pro LeagueUnited Arab Emirates	2,604	55.5%	0.575	61.2%	61.0%
Premier LeagueEthiopia	2,599	43.0%	0.639	65.3%	58.4%
SuperligaAlbania	2,590	50.3%	0.606	60.3%	56.7%
AllsvenskanSweden	2,590	50.3%	0.602	54.9%	53.9%
EliteserienNorway	2,577	50.4%	0.600	58.5%	56.0%
Third League - SouthwestBulgaria	2,568	57.2%	0.553	55.3%	54.0%
Tweede DivisieNetherlands	2,550	51.2%	0.605	63.7%	59.7%
I LigaPoland	2,548	45.8%	0.637	55.0%	54.2%
Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia	2,545	52.9%	0.581	55.5%	56.7%
Birinci DastaAzerbaijan	2,533	58.2%	0.548	56.6%	55.2%
Super LeagueChina	2,533	52.7%	0.578	58.0%	57.1%
1. LigaLatvia	2,531	64.8%	0.481	69.7%	55.6%
Division d'HonneurGuadeloupe	2,522	49.8%	0.608	59.4%	55.1%
Liga 1Indonesia	2,510	50.2%	0.607	52.6%	53.8%
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Spain	2,503	45.5%	0.636	57.9%	53.5%
Professional LeagueOman	2,493	46.7%	0.625	55.1%	55.7%
Premier LeagueRussia	2,488	52.0%	0.597	57.6%	56.1%
Premier Soccer LeagueSouth Africa	2,476	43.7%	0.634	65.2%	54.9%
Ettan - NorraSweden	2,476	51.9%	0.598	63.8%	61.4%
Ettan - SödraSweden	2,476	48.1%	0.617	56.5%	56.4%
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Spain	2,459	46.2%	0.634	58.2%	53.4%
EkstraklasaPoland	2,440	44.9%	0.638	54.8%	53.0%
1st DivisionSouth Africa	2,438	41.2%	0.655	61.2%	54.6%
Primera DArgentina	2,436	44.8%	0.637	63.3%	59.4%
Division IntermediaParaguay	2,435	44.1%	0.642	53.6%	51.4%
Ligat Ha'alIsrael	2,434	49.5%	0.608	55.9%	52.7%
Primera División FemeninaSpain	2,434	60.1%	0.507	58.1%	55.0%
Primera DivisiónBolivia	2,426	57.9%	0.550	59.4%	56.0%
Botola ProMorocco	2,415	46.5%	0.620	61.0%	51.8%
V.League 1Vietnam	2,414	49.2%	0.615	55.7%	56.2%
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueIran	2,392	45.2%	0.619	67.3%	58.9%
Non League Div One - Isthmian South EastEngland	2,386	52.9%	0.583	63.2%	58.9%
Non League Div One - Isthmian South CentralEngland	2,385	54.7%	0.582	63.2%	58.2%
1. Liga PromotionSwitzerland	2,362	49.2%	0.620	63.5%	61.5%
Non League Div One - Isthmian NorthEngland	2,360	54.1%	0.579	59.4%	56.1%
Division 1United Arab Emirates	2,331	56.8%	0.567	59.2%	58.9%
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueWorld	2,329	54.8%	0.574	52.9%	53.9%
Czech LigaCzech Republic	2,325	55.0%	0.573	55.3%	51.7%
Regionalliga - SudWestGermany	2,310	50.2%	0.612	57.6%	56.3%
Regionalliga - WestGermany	2,309	49.9%	0.609	58.0%	55.6%
First LeagueArmenia	2,303	60.7%	0.516	66.3%	54.6%
Premyer LiqaAzerbaijan	2,301	53.3%	0.583	55.5%	52.4%
A LygaLithuania	2,301	58.0%	0.539	55.7%	54.4%
Non League Div One - Southern SouthEngland	2,298	51.0%	0.597	60.9%	56.7%
Japan Football LeagueJapan	2,284	48.0%	0.626	55.9%	52.9%
K League 2South Korea	2,272	45.6%	0.637	51.8%	51.7%
II Liga - EastPoland	2,271	45.2%	0.636	55.7%	53.9%
Liga de AscensoCosta Rica	2,267	49.4%	0.607	55.7%	56.4%
A-LeagueAustralia	2,261	46.7%	0.630	57.5%	58.7%
Erovnuli LigaGeorgia	2,260	52.0%	0.592	55.9%	51.1%
1st League - FBiHBosnia	2,257	58.0%	0.560	55.6%	52.0%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Spain	2,237	46.7%	0.627	54.7%	51.6%
Second LeagueNorth Macedonia	2,219	60.9%	0.517	58.4%	52.6%
Suomen CupFinland	2,213	61.5%	0.525	72.8%	52.9%
Stars LeagueQatar	2,207	51.2%	0.598	60.0%	58.1%
K League 1South Korea	2,201	43.2%	0.647	53.2%	50.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Spain	2,195	55.3%	0.560	55.8%	54.4%
HKFA 1st DivisionHong Kong	2,186	57.4%	0.535	70.1%	60.4%
VirsligaLatvia	2,186	58.8%	0.532	56.0%	53.9%
YkkönenFinland	2,175	49.8%	0.609	59.5%	56.2%
Primera DivisiónChile	2,168	46.8%	0.635	51.6%	53.0%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Spain	2,165	48.5%	0.614	57.6%	52.5%
2. ligaSlovakia	2,159	54.1%	0.579	56.1%	53.8%
Sudani Premier LeagueSudan	2,159	50.6%	0.597	63.3%	58.5%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Spain	2,146	50.9%	0.598	58.1%	54.1%
Super League 2Greece	2,145	53.8%	0.578	59.5%	60.3%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Spain	2,136	51.1%	0.594	57.5%	56.6%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Spain	2,135	47.4%	0.618	57.8%	55.2%
Primera DivisiónUruguay	2,133	44.8%	0.635	55.4%	52.6%
First LeagueBulgaria	2,132	53.8%	0.571	55.4%	54.7%
First NLCroatia	2,128	47.8%	0.628	55.6%	52.3%
Magyar KupaHungary	2,118	65.8%	0.470	67.7%	52.2%
Brisbane Premier LeagueAustralia	2,114	61.4%	0.520	75.4%	64.6%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Spain	2,114	45.8%	0.629	55.7%	51.8%
1st League - RSBosnia	2,106	59.9%	0.530	57.3%	52.9%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Spain	2,098	46.0%	0.633	60.9%	56.3%
PremiershipNorthern Ireland	2,095	58.1%	0.549	56.3%	55.3%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Spain	2,092	50.0%	0.603	55.6%	53.1%
Premier LeagueBotswana	2,088	50.5%	0.597	56.6%	50.9%
Serie D - Girone AItaly	2,085	46.7%	0.628	56.2%	51.3%
Liga MX FemenilMexico	2,085	64.1%	0.484	60.4%	56.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Spain	2,075	49.6%	0.602	59.5%	56.7%
NB III - SouthwestHungary	2,074	57.0%	0.543	60.5%	55.4%
CupBelgium	2,073	58.5%	0.550	65.9%	53.1%
Serie D - Girone BItaly	2,070	43.3%	0.649	54.8%	54.8%
NB III - NortheastHungary	2,063	54.4%	0.573	60.3%	56.2%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Spain	2,058	47.2%	0.625	55.0%	53.4%
First Amateur DivisionBelgium	2,055	50.0%	0.608	57.4%	55.0%
Denmark Series - Group 1Denmark	2,050	51.0%	0.608	61.5%	59.2%
Super LeagueKenya	2,049	50.9%	0.601	59.7%	56.0%
Denmark Series - Group 2Denmark	2,048	54.4%	0.580	67.8%	62.0%
Ligue HaïtienneHaiti	2,046	50.2%	0.604	73.4%	67.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Spain	2,045	50.5%	0.604	57.2%	54.6%
Non League Div One - Northern WestEngland	2,044	49.1%	0.614	56.6%	57.5%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Spain	2,038	50.5%	0.597	56.8%	54.4%
III Liga - Group 1Poland	2,032	49.3%	0.609	62.2%	58.7%
Primera BChile	2,028	41.8%	0.655	53.3%	50.6%
NB III - NorthwestHungary	2,026	54.7%	0.577	57.2%	54.2%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Spain	2,026	52.1%	0.600	53.1%	52.4%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Spain	2,026	56.1%	0.559	56.3%	52.4%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Spain	2,022	52.3%	0.587	55.4%	52.5%
III Liga - Group 4Poland	2,022	53.4%	0.587	59.0%	54.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Spain	2,016	49.2%	0.614	54.3%	53.9%
Iraqi LeagueIraq	2,014	45.6%	0.617	60.0%	52.9%
Primera DivisionNicaragua	2,013	54.2%	0.575	54.1%	53.3%
Regionalliga - NordostGermany	2,013	51.2%	0.604	56.9%	54.8%
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Spain	2,013	50.7%	0.597	53.9%	52.1%
Super LeagueSwitzerland	2,012	47.6%	0.624	58.9%	60.4%
Non League Div One - Northern MidlandsEngland	2,010	51.7%	0.593	58.5%	53.3%
1. DeildFaroe Islands	2,010	58.7%	0.544	72.2%	61.5%
Regionalliga - BayernGermany	2,010	49.8%	0.614	57.8%	54.1%
MeistaradeildinFaroe Islands	2,005	61.1%	0.503	64.3%	57.1%
Campionato Primavera - 1Italy	2,004	46.0%	0.632	57.9%	58.5%
Ligue 1Guinea	1,996	47.9%	0.618	61.9%	57.1%
CampionatoSan Marino	1,974	59.5%	0.534	57.6%	53.0%
Denmark Series - Group 3Denmark	1,970	49.7%	0.606	65.9%	63.7%
III Liga - Group 2Poland	1,964	50.5%	0.600	58.8%	57.8%
League OneScotland	1,949	49.4%	0.614	55.6%	54.9%
Premier LeagueKuwait	1,947	57.6%	0.545	56.4%	54.0%
III Liga - Group 3Poland	1,945	50.1%	0.601	61.4%	58.9%
Serie D - Girone DItaly	1,943	47.6%	0.620	56.0%	55.4%
K3 LeagueSouth Korea	1,936	46.3%	0.632	54.2%	49.5%
Premier LeagueArmenia	1,934	53.6%	0.571	57.0%	54.8%
FNLCzech Republic	1,934	48.4%	0.621	54.6%	55.3%
2nd Division - Group BAlbania	1,932	67.8%	0.466	56.3%	51.4%
Botola 2Morocco	1,932	39.8%	0.655	64.5%	53.1%
Ligue 1Ivory Coast	1,929	41.5%	0.651	64.7%	56.7%
Serie D - Girone CItaly	1,928	45.3%	0.634	56.0%	52.5%
League TwoScotland	1,923	47.9%	0.627	54.4%	52.4%
Premijer LigaBosnia	1,923	55.2%	0.567	59.9%	55.0%
Non League Premier - Southern CentralEngland	1,922	49.6%	0.609	57.1%	55.9%
Youth ChampionshipRussia	1,922	56.2%	0.561	62.4%	55.7%
Division 2 - Norra GötalandSweden	1,920	51.8%	0.592	64.9%	60.6%
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSweden	1,920	53.2%	0.585	68.4%	61.9%
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSweden	1,920	50.1%	0.606	63.4%	59.4%
Division 2 - Västra GötalandSweden	1,919	53.2%	0.589	67.0%	61.2%
MLS Next ProUnited States	1,912	47.8%	0.639	65.1%	65.0%
Division 2 - NorrlandSweden	1,906	57.6%	0.556	66.4%	61.3%
Division 2 - Norra SvealandSweden	1,896	55.3%	0.566	66.0%	58.4%
Oberliga - HessenGermany	1,891	51.7%	0.608	68.4%	61.4%
Premier League 2 Division OneEngland	1,889	48.8%	0.627	70.4%	65.6%
Derde DivisieNetherlands	1,889	50.4%	0.614	65.6%	60.0%
Serie D - Girone HItaly	1,889	47.6%	0.625	53.8%	53.4%
2. DivisionCyprus	1,878	51.0%	0.608	53.4%	52.8%
Ligue 1Senegal	1,872	38.6%	0.651	71.4%	62.1%
Challenge LeagueMalta	1,871	50.9%	0.595	58.1%	57.0%
Serie D - Girone IItaly	1,867	51.4%	0.599	56.2%	54.7%
Regionalliga - NordGermany	1,865	51.3%	0.607	63.1%	58.5%
Oberliga - NiederrheinGermany	1,862	52.7%	0.588	67.2%	61.0%
3. liga - MSFLCzech Republic	1,861	52.4%	0.594	60.8%	56.0%
First LeagueNorth Macedonia	1,849	52.5%	0.592	57.4%	52.8%
Premier LeagueMalta	1,845	51.6%	0.595	55.1%	55.3%
Challenge LeagueSwitzerland	1,845	50.0%	0.615	57.9%	56.9%
National LeagueMyanmar	1,840	58.8%	0.533	58.8%	55.4%
2. SNLSlovenia	1,840	51.7%	0.602	55.1%	52.4%
HNLCroatia	1,839	55.5%	0.562	54.7%	53.7%
Segunda DivisiónPeru	1,837	54.8%	0.575	55.1%	54.9%
Football League - Lowland LeagueScotland	1,836	58.9%	0.544	68.8%	58.4%
2nd Division - Group AAlbania	1,832	64.4%	0.485	62.0%	54.1%
National Soccer LeagueRwanda	1,832	48.9%	0.612	60.8%	56.0%
Second Amateur Division - VFV ABelgium	1,827	47.6%	0.629	60.3%	58.7%
1. DivisionCyprus	1,821	54.3%	0.579	53.9%	53.2%
Serie D - Girone GItaly	1,815	44.5%	0.640	53.8%	54.6%
Serie D - Girone EItaly	1,814	45.0%	0.636	56.4%	50.9%
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergGermany	1,810	52.3%	0.591	67.0%	60.8%
Serie D - Girone FItaly	1,809	45.3%	0.637	56.5%	53.4%
Second Amateur Division - VFV BBelgium	1,802	47.1%	0.629	58.8%	57.0%
LeagueJordan	1,801	51.0%	0.591	55.7%	54.3%
Vysshaya LigaTajikistan	1,794	58.0%	0.529	56.8%	53.7%
ChampionshipNorthern Ireland	1,789	50.9%	0.609	64.3%	58.0%
Second League - Group 3Russia	1,768	54.4%	0.582	54.6%	51.5%
Liga Panameña de FútbolPanama	1,764	41.1%	0.652	60.8%	53.3%
Derde Divisie - SundayNetherlands	1,761	50.6%	0.616	62.7%	59.9%
Oberliga - WestfalenGermany	1,751	52.7%	0.593	64.7%	59.7%
Premier LeagueLebanon	1,746	55.7%	0.560	53.8%	55.4%
3. DivisionCyprus	1,742	50.2%	0.599	52.8%	52.9%
Ligue 1Democratic Republic of the Congo	1,731	52.9%	0.576	63.2%	60.3%
Primera División - ClausuraUruguay	1,728	47.1%	0.623	54.8%	53.8%
Second Amateur Division - ACFFBelgium	1,724	50.2%	0.606	60.0%	56.6%
Kakkonen - Lohko CFinland	1,722	55.3%	0.572	66.8%	56.9%
Third NL - SrediteCroatia	1,720	52.6%	0.599	60.2%	56.9%
Ligue 1Burkina Faso	1,713	38.3%	0.665	71.2%	63.1%
Ligue ABurundi	1,709	50.8%	0.594	58.2%	53.8%
Kakkonen - Lohko AFinland	1,707	54.3%	0.577	62.9%	58.2%
Feminine Division 1France	1,707	68.0%	0.426	63.5%	58.8%
Professional Development LeagueEngland	1,703	50.4%	0.614	69.3%	61.3%
Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSerbia	1,701	53.3%	0.591	56.1%	52.1%
Challenger Pro LeagueBelgium	1,697	49.4%	0.613	54.1%	55.2%
Srpska Liga - EastSerbia	1,695	61.2%	0.529	57.1%	53.2%
Srpska Liga - WestSerbia	1,682	54.1%	0.584	55.4%	56.1%
Third NL - JugCroatia	1,682	56.5%	0.565	55.8%	52.4%
Eerste DivisieSuriname	1,680	59.8%	0.537	66.4%	62.5%
Friendlies WomenWorld	1,678	54.5%	0.576	56.2%	50.4%
Premier LeagueLibya	1,664	50.5%	0.591	61.1%	56.7%
Taça de PortugalPortugal	1,663	63.2%	0.495	57.2%	51.0%
Non League Div One - Northern EastEngland	1,657	46.5%	0.626	57.5%	54.5%
Kakkonen - Lohko BFinland	1,653	53.3%	0.583	65.3%	60.3%
Third League - NorthwestBulgaria	1,652	62.8%	0.495	61.1%	53.5%
Football League - Highland LeagueScotland	1,652	64.3%	0.480	68.8%	56.4%
Second League - Group 2Russia	1,642	51.0%	0.602	52.1%	53.2%
Oberliga - HamburgGermany	1,640	58.0%	0.546	75.4%	66.3%
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarGermany	1,632	55.6%	0.566	70.5%	62.0%
Northern NSW NPLAustralia	1,626	57.5%	0.553	68.5%	61.4%
Liga 3Portugal	1,616	44.8%	0.640	55.3%	48.4%
Ligue 2Tunisia	1,598	50.9%	0.601	63.8%	58.6%
Srpska Liga - BelgradeSerbia	1,592	51.8%	0.592	56.6%	53.5%
Second League - Group 1Russia	1,590	56.6%	0.554	56.3%	55.0%
Third NL - ZapadCroatia	1,588	58.1%	0.554	60.3%	53.7%
Super LigaSlovakia	1,583	52.7%	0.595	56.1%	52.8%
Third League - NortheastBulgaria	1,580	68.7%	0.442	62.0%	51.7%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Spain	1,569	44.5%	0.647	59.1%	51.5%
Non League Div One - Southern CentralEngland	1,567	53.6%	0.584	65.2%	58.7%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Spain	1,566	44.9%	0.640	58.7%	53.6%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Spain	1,566	47.8%	0.615	58.9%	53.8%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Spain	1,566	47.4%	0.627	63.6%	56.3%
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Spain	1,565	44.5%	0.643	59.1%	55.9%
West Bank Premier LeaguePalestine	1,560	51.2%	0.593	57.6%	52.9%
ÚrvalsdeildIceland	1,559	52.4%	0.598	61.8%	60.6%
CupSlovakia	1,550	62.1%	0.497	70.5%	54.8%
DBU PokalenDenmark	1,548	65.9%	0.457	70.7%	55.0%
EFL TrophyEngland	1,541	47.4%	0.641	61.3%	56.8%
São Paulo Youth CupBrazil	1,529	56.6%	0.574	53.3%	50.9%
1a DivisióAndorra	1,526	57.9%	0.517	58.3%	52.8%
2. DivisionDenmark	1,510	47.7%	0.617	53.0%	54.9%
Second LeagueEgypt	1,506	45.4%	0.629	62.3%	55.0%
U21 League 1Algeria	1,505	57.5%	0.549	55.1%	54.0%
Central Youth LeaguePoland	1,501	50.7%	0.604	70.1%	64.3%
Landesliga - KarntenAustria	1,488	47.8%	0.631	64.1%	58.7%
First LeagueMontenegro	1,483	45.9%	0.628	57.2%	52.1%
Oberliga - NiedersachsenGermany	1,483	50.6%	0.611	64.6%	60.4%
1. SNLSlovenia	1,481	49.6%	0.614	56.5%	55.0%
UEFA Youth LeagueWorld	1,470	53.2%	0.598	64.4%	56.7%
3. liga - CFL ACzech Republic	1,467	51.1%	0.599	61.2%	57.4%
League CupEngland	1,466	52.8%	0.584	55.7%	55.2%
3. liga - WestSlovakia	1,461	52.8%	0.588	57.2%	52.2%
1. DeildIceland	1,459	52.2%	0.592	65.1%	62.4%
4. liga - Divizie CCzech Republic	1,443	56.9%	0.563	65.0%	58.9%
USL W LeagueUnited States	1,441	66.6%	0.462	70.9%	55.3%
2. DeildIceland	1,438	53.0%	0.596	68.1%	64.0%
4. liga - Divizie ACzech Republic	1,438	57.5%	0.551	64.3%	57.4%
New South Wales NPLAustralia	1,437	50.4%	0.607	59.3%	55.9%
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdGermany	1,430	52.6%	0.593	62.7%	57.7%
Oberliga - Nordost-NordGermany	1,423	55.9%	0.562	67.5%	59.7%
Third Amateur Division - VFV BBelgium	1,422	48.6%	0.609	63.2%	61.3%
Premier LeagueSyria	1,420	52.5%	0.587	59.9%	55.6%
4. liga - Divizie BCzech Republic	1,418	54.4%	0.573	64.1%	57.8%
CAF Confederation CupWorld	1,417	56.3%	0.549	60.2%	62.0%
Third Amateur Division - VFV ABelgium	1,410	48.4%	0.623	58.1%	55.2%
Division Profesional - AperturaParaguay	1,409	47.9%	0.622	53.2%	54.0%
Frauen BundesligaGermany	1,405	68.0%	0.438	64.3%	54.6%
Landesliga - OberosterreichAustria	1,404	52.2%	0.597	66.2%	60.2%
Second LeagueMontenegro	1,401	49.5%	0.618	55.2%	54.0%
Landesliga - WienAustria	1,399	52.3%	0.592	63.5%	57.9%
Brasileiro WomenBrazil	1,398	61.9%	0.500	57.4%	52.7%
Oberliga - BremenGermany	1,397	59.5%	0.526	83.8%	70.2%
1. Liga Classic - Group 3Switzerland	1,395	49.7%	0.621	62.3%	57.9%
Landesliga - SteiermarkAustria	1,395	52.7%	0.593	66.8%	61.1%
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Switzerland	1,394	49.6%	0.613	64.4%	61.0%
1. Liga Classic - Group 2Switzerland	1,394	47.0%	0.633	65.3%	61.8%
3. liga - CFL BCzech Republic	1,387	52.0%	0.608	58.1%	54.2%
Cupa RomânieiRomania	1,386	54.0%	0.585	66.4%	53.3%
GFA LeagueGambia	1,383	36.2%	0.668	69.9%	58.8%
Pro LeagueTrinidad and Tobago	1,382	57.7%	0.550	61.7%	55.9%
AFC Champions League EliteWorld	1,382	52.5%	0.608	56.4%	54.1%
Super LeagueMalaysia	1,378	55.2%	0.548	56.7%	57.5%
Super LeagueMalawi	1,372	52.3%	0.588	60.9%	57.4%
Copa Do BrasilBrazil	1,362	51.3%	0.592	60.0%	54.6%
USL League OneUnited States	1,359	47.8%	0.628	54.7%	57.9%
Provincial - Brabant VFVBelgium	1,353	46.2%	0.638	57.9%	55.1%
2. Division - Group 2Norway	1,350	55.5%	0.570	65.9%	60.4%
Landesliga - BurgenlandAustria	1,345	53.8%	0.579	66.2%	60.8%
Super LigaMoldova	1,342	61.6%	0.507	58.0%	53.6%
C-LeagueCambodia	1,340	64.2%	0.482	68.1%	60.3%
Oberliga - MittelrheinGermany	1,336	57.6%	0.557	67.6%	59.1%
Premier DivisionIreland	1,334	50.2%	0.603	55.2%	50.2%
Oberliga - Bayern NordGermany	1,334	51.9%	0.606	62.7%	59.5%
2. Division - Group 1Norway	1,331	55.6%	0.571	63.1%	59.7%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Greece	1,324	56.4%	0.553	54.0%	53.5%
Landesliga - NiederosterreichAustria	1,324	50.8%	0.603	58.0%	57.3%
1. Liga U19Czech Republic	1,322	53.9%	0.581	67.7%	60.1%
CupGreece	1,319	58.8%	0.542	52.7%	52.8%
SuperligaKosovo	1,318	51.7%	0.583	52.5%	51.1%
2a DivisióAndorra	1,316	65.8%	0.464	80.7%	58.0%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Greece	1,315	53.6%	0.566	59.6%	59.7%
Liga Revelação U23Portugal	1,306	47.3%	0.632	56.2%	58.0%
Paulista - U20Brazil	1,301	58.8%	0.538	58.5%	53.6%
Landesliga - VorarlbergligaAustria	1,300	50.5%	0.616	71.4%	63.4%
4. liga - Divizie DCzech Republic	1,296	54.5%	0.565	61.2%	55.5%
Premier LeagueHong Kong	1,295	58.1%	0.543	66.7%	60.2%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Greece	1,295	55.1%	0.560	56.6%	59.0%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Greece	1,291	58.6%	0.545	58.1%	55.6%
Premier LeagueKyrgyzstan	1,289	60.6%	0.529	55.7%	53.6%
Serie A WomenItaly	1,289	66.6%	0.458	63.7%	55.1%
Division Profesional - ClausuraParaguay	1,289	46.0%	0.629	54.4%	50.7%
3. liga - EastSlovakia	1,286	58.2%	0.538	61.6%	56.1%
WPSLUnited States	1,284	64.0%	0.497	71.3%	51.4%
Victoria NPLAustralia	1,279	55.5%	0.573	60.8%	55.6%
Premier LeagueEswatini	1,273	51.6%	0.588	55.4%	55.7%
Oberliga - Bayern SüdGermany	1,260	51.6%	0.610	59.4%	55.6%
Landesliga - TirolAustria	1,257	55.4%	0.574	72.0%	64.4%
Diski ChallengeSouth Africa	1,247	52.0%	0.597	56.6%	55.8%
4. liga - Divizie ECzech Republic	1,242	54.5%	0.576	63.9%	57.2%
First DivisionIreland	1,242	51.6%	0.595	55.2%	53.7%
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinGermany	1,240	57.3%	0.549	75.4%	63.3%
Queensland NPLAustralia	1,239	58.7%	0.545	70.8%	61.3%
League TwoChina	1,239	47.3%	0.626	58.5%	54.8%
Landesliga - SalzburgAustria	1,238	58.3%	0.534	70.7%	59.8%
CONMEBOL LibertadoresWorld	1,234	53.3%	0.570	58.6%	55.1%
Welsh CupWales	1,227	57.5%	0.567	74.3%	60.0%
Second DivisionQatar	1,227	51.8%	0.592	63.1%	58.3%
Brasileiro U20 ABrazil	1,214	50.2%	0.610	57.5%	56.3%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group APortugal	1,211	49.4%	0.610	53.8%	52.0%
4. liga - Divizie FCzech Republic	1,208	53.0%	0.591	65.1%	58.9%
Provincial - AntwerpenBelgium	1,202	54.1%	0.578	64.6%	57.9%
Emperor CupJapan	1,200	61.3%	0.521	56.7%	50.9%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DPortugal	1,200	48.8%	0.611	55.7%	53.1%
Division di HonorAruba	1,196	61.6%	0.503	70.4%	60.0%
New South Wales NPL 2Australia	1,195	51.0%	0.595	64.5%	60.1%
Premier Intermediate LeagueNorthern Ireland	1,180	53.4%	0.590	65.7%	58.8%
Provincial - HainautBelgium	1,173	51.9%	0.592	63.3%	59.8%
Second League - Group 4Russia	1,166	56.2%	0.566	54.5%	53.0%
Provincial - West-VlaanderenBelgium	1,163	54.8%	0.577	66.1%	60.9%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BPortugal	1,163	51.1%	0.604	58.0%	54.8%
Provincial - NamurBelgium	1,160	54.1%	0.575	73.4%	66.6%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CPortugal	1,158	48.4%	0.617	59.2%	55.4%
Provincial - LimburgBelgium	1,156	53.6%	0.593	65.9%	59.6%
Provincial - LiegeBelgium	1,152	50.9%	0.607	60.1%	58.6%
Third NL - IstokCroatia	1,152	53.9%	0.583	55.3%	49.9%
Liga 2Indonesia	1,150	52.0%	0.595	55.9%	52.3%
CONMEBOL SudamericanaWorld	1,147	50.5%	0.599	57.6%	54.7%
Premier LeagueMauritania	1,144	46.8%	0.611	61.5%	55.3%
FA WSLEngland	1,143	64.9%	0.466	59.9%	58.8%
DamallsvenskanSweden	1,138	62.2%	0.499	58.8%	54.3%
Provincial - Oost-VlaanderenBelgium	1,137	51.4%	0.591	64.8%	58.0%
Eredivisie WomenNetherlands	1,136	65.6%	0.472	66.5%	57.5%
US Open CupUnited States	1,130	53.6%	0.577	55.6%	56.9%
Premier LeagueBangladesh	1,130	55.7%	0.565	55.3%	54.6%
Premier LeagueBahrain	1,120	49.0%	0.606	52.9%	53.8%
CupCzech Republic	1,115	65.0%	0.472	70.2%	54.4%
South Australia NPLAustralia	1,114	52.2%	0.610	64.5%	59.7%
National 3 - Group DFrance	1,086	49.1%	0.611	53.0%	52.9%
Júniores U19Portugal	1,084	50.0%	0.601	57.7%	54.3%
Western Australia NPLAustralia	1,076	47.4%	0.621	66.9%	61.5%
Northern Territory Premier LeagueAustralia	1,075	63.3%	0.494	79.8%	66.1%
Liga Primera U20Nicaragua	1,075	60.4%	0.518	60.1%	55.4%
National 3 - Group FFrance	1,069	48.5%	0.619	54.0%	55.6%
National 3 - Group HFrance	1,069	46.7%	0.628	52.9%	54.0%
Denmark Series - Group 4Denmark	1,064	54.0%	0.581	70.6%	65.9%
Super League WomenBelgium	1,063	68.5%	0.430	62.7%	56.1%
National 3 - Group BFrance	1,060	44.9%	0.639	53.5%	54.1%
National 3 - Group CFrance	1,058	48.2%	0.625	55.5%	54.7%
National 3 - Group EFrance	1,057	49.2%	0.618	52.6%	56.3%
CAF Champions LeagueWorld	1,054	55.9%	0.543	64.0%	65.0%
Third NL - SjeverCroatia	1,053	59.4%	0.537	62.7%	54.5%
KNVB BekerNetherlands	1,052	57.9%	0.549	66.2%	55.5%
ElitettanSweden	1,050	56.9%	0.547	62.2%	56.0%
U18 Premier League - SouthEngland	1,043	54.9%	0.584	79.7%	70.0%
NWSL WomenUnited States	1,042	47.5%	0.635	49.0%	50.4%
Segunda DivisiónChile	1,036	44.6%	0.645	53.4%	50.0%
CupRussia	1,035	48.6%	0.613	58.3%	50.6%
FA CupThailand	1,027	62.9%	0.495	62.4%	50.2%
Premier LeagueSingapore	1,027	57.4%	0.535	68.5%	63.6%
National 3 - Group AFrance	1,027	44.3%	0.647	53.7%	55.1%
CupAustria	1,025	64.4%	0.483	70.0%	55.4%
U18 Premier League - NorthEngland	1,021	54.9%	0.571	75.7%	64.8%
Second NLCroatia	1,017	53.9%	0.586	55.3%	53.8%
Copa del ReySpain	1,014	55.9%	0.548	58.5%	53.4%
3. DivisionDenmark	1,013	50.7%	0.608	59.0%	57.7%
UEFA Champions League WomenWorld	1,011	66.4%	0.469	66.1%	52.1%
LFA First DivisionLiberia	1,010	49.6%	0.614	56.3%	53.3%
Liga 1Moldova	998	60.3%	0.534	69.2%	59.0%
Provincial - Brabant ACFFBelgium	989	56.8%	0.563	62.9%	55.6%
Premier LeagueLesotho	989	54.1%	0.559	60.9%	58.3%
FA Women's CupEngland	987	53.9%	0.587	78.4%	50.2%
AFC Champions League TwoWorld	984	49.6%	0.626	58.7%	53.3%
Third Amateur Division - ACFF BBelgium	980	50.1%	0.593	61.5%	58.4%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 1Switzerland	978	52.1%	0.602	67.6%	63.9%
DFB PokalGermany	977	61.4%	0.511	62.0%	54.2%
3. Division - Girone 6Norway	976	60.5%	0.524	76.8%	65.9%
Paulista - A3Brazil	967	44.3%	0.635	58.6%	53.2%
3. Division - Girone 3Norway	966	56.0%	0.567	74.6%	65.1%
3. Division - Girone 4Norway	966	58.0%	0.558	77.3%	66.4%
3. Division - Girone 5Norway	966	59.0%	0.529	76.0%	64.0%
3. Division - Girone 2Norway	965	59.3%	0.540	74.3%	64.5%
3. Division - Girone 1Norway	964	59.8%	0.536	76.8%	64.6%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 2Switzerland	964	52.2%	0.606	68.5%	63.3%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 4Switzerland	963	46.7%	0.628	66.0%	61.2%
Paulista - A2Brazil	954	40.3%	0.657	59.0%	51.9%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 3Switzerland	946	51.2%	0.614	65.2%	60.3%
Victoria NPL 2Australia	946	51.8%	0.607	67.5%	63.2%
League CupScotland	943	63.8%	0.495	58.9%	51.3%
Indian Super LeagueIndia	930	48.4%	0.617	54.2%	55.7%
Third Amateur Division - ACFF ABelgium	930	54.4%	0.577	60.2%	56.2%
NM CupenNorway	917	73.1%	0.373	75.0%	55.6%
Reserve LeagueBelarus	915	60.1%	0.524	66.7%	56.9%
Capital Territory NPLAustralia	912	63.0%	0.512	73.9%	60.9%
Supreme Division WomenRussia	900	66.7%	0.455	59.7%	62.6%
Svenska CupenSweden	894	65.0%	0.479	62.9%	51.7%
Provincial - LuxembourgBelgium	892	53.5%	0.586	65.0%	57.4%
National 3 - Group JFrance	883	49.4%	0.615	55.5%	55.2%
National 3 - Group IFrance	875	47.9%	0.630	53.6%	53.4%
I-LeagueIndia	874	48.3%	0.623	55.9%	57.7%
J-League CupJapan	872	45.6%	0.632	53.0%	51.5%
NPSLUnited States	864	61.1%	0.503	76.6%	57.8%
A-League WomenAustralia	859	49.8%	0.613	60.1%	58.3%
Liga FemeninaColombia	859	58.1%	0.541	52.7%	56.0%
FA CupScotland	854	62.1%	0.515	67.0%	55.7%
Copa PerúPeru	848	58.6%	0.563	54.6%	50.2%
Coppa Italia Serie DItaly	838	45.6%	0.649	51.7%	50.6%
South Australia State League 1Australia	833	51.1%	0.591	64.0%	58.0%
State CupIsrael	830	55.1%	0.573	59.8%	51.3%
Reserve Pro LeagueBelgium	827	56.2%	0.567	68.7%	62.5%
Copa ArgentinaArgentina	822	52.6%	0.585	58.4%	53.8%
Ligue 1Congo	821	46.9%	0.618	64.6%	63.1%
Division 2Saudi Arabia	802	45.0%	0.645	54.7%	52.1%
Elite TwoCameroon	801	49.2%	0.618	55.1%	52.6%
Premier LeagueBermuda	785	57.2%	0.542	70.2%	61.3%
Premier LeagueMongolia	785	63.9%	0.481	74.8%	60.4%
NB III - SoutheastHungary	785	55.4%	0.551	63.6%	59.1%
Kansallinen LiigaFinland	774	66.1%	0.462	65.6%	54.4%
Women's ChampionshipEngland	772	54.0%	0.597	54.7%	52.7%
U19 LeagueUkraine	771	58.6%	0.537	61.6%	53.4%
Queensland Premier LeagueAustralia	767	58.4%	0.566	73.9%	64.5%
CupUkraine	764	54.1%	0.578	50.9%	51.8%
Liga Premier Serie BMexico	758	59.6%	0.528	58.3%	52.2%
Premier LeagueMalaysia	753	51.1%	0.607	53.7%	59.9%
Division One LeagueGhana	752	53.7%	0.592	59.3%	55.6%
Liga III - Serie 1Romania	746	55.0%	0.577	56.0%	52.9%
Druha Liga - Group BUkraine	741	58.8%	0.538	54.9%	51.8%
World Cup - Qualification EuropeWorld	740	67.6%	0.432	57.2%	57.0%
Premier DivisionGibraltar	739	67.8%	0.441	67.0%	53.7%
Taiwan Football Premier LeagueChinese Taipei	738	64.0%	0.496	63.0%	51.8%
V.League 2Vietnam	728	47.5%	0.615	60.7%	57.6%
Paulista - A1Brazil	717	48.4%	0.616	59.3%	53.6%
National 3 - Group KFrance	712	47.6%	0.616	54.6%	53.4%
Ýokary LigaTurkmenistan	712	68.5%	0.439	59.4%	54.1%
Canadian Premier LeagueCanada	712	45.6%	0.632	50.7%	53.7%
Liga 1 FemininRomania	711	72.6%	0.384	75.7%	54.0%
I Liga - WomenSlovakia	711	68.5%	0.434	75.2%	56.1%
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationWorld	710	70.0%	0.428	58.6%	57.6%
AXA Women’s Super LeagueSwitzerland	708	68.1%	0.445	66.4%	56.8%
Copa PaulistaBrazil	704	42.8%	0.653	62.6%	56.1%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld	704	53.1%	0.575	56.8%	55.5%
Gaúcho - 2Brazil	701	46.8%	0.624	65.0%	58.3%
ToppserienNorway	701	65.0%	0.478	57.2%	53.1%
Liga III - Serie 3Romania	700	56.1%	0.550	64.4%	57.1%
Liga III - Serie 6Romania	700	54.3%	0.577	59.4%	53.4%
Liga III - Serie 7Romania	693	59.7%	0.536	64.6%	56.4%
League 1 OntarioCanada	692	58.8%	0.541	67.3%	60.5%
Carioca - 2Brazil	687	45.4%	0.643	59.8%	54.9%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Greece	686	52.0%	0.591	60.5%	55.2%
3. Lig - Group 4Turkey	686	56.7%	0.562	53.5%	53.8%
Liga III - Serie 2Romania	684	62.9%	0.501	66.4%	52.6%
World Cup - Qualification AsiaWorld	681	63.7%	0.482	57.1%	54.6%
Liga III - Serie 8Romania	680	55.4%	0.552	55.6%	50.3%
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationWorld	680	63.2%	0.489	64.6%	55.3%
Nacional BBolivia	678	55.2%	0.577	61.4%	58.0%
WK-LeagueSouth Korea	674	58.0%	0.543	51.6%	50.9%
Liga III - Serie 5Romania	673	54.7%	0.571	59.3%	54.7%
FrauenligaAustria	672	70.4%	0.412	67.4%	57.4%
KvindeligaDenmark	671	62.3%	0.506	59.5%	55.0%
Liga III - Serie 4Romania	671	56.2%	0.569	55.7%	52.0%
Copa ChileChile	669	50.2%	0.608	54.7%	52.5%
U20 LeagueMexico	668	47.2%	0.635	54.8%	56.1%
U23 LeagueMexico	668	46.7%	0.636	53.9%	54.9%
Liga 3Georgia	656	54.7%	0.575	58.5%	53.8%
Calcutta Premier DivisionIndia	648	52.3%	0.594	56.6%	51.2%
Liga MayorDominican Republic	644	49.8%	0.602	51.2%	50.0%
CupSlovenia	640	63.0%	0.485	73.1%	52.7%
Premier LeagueBelize	636	57.9%	0.540	59.7%	53.1%
WE LeagueJapan	635	55.6%	0.554	53.2%	53.5%
Coppa ItaliaItaly	628	59.4%	0.535	54.8%	52.4%
UEFA U19 Championship - QualificationWorld	623	62.6%	0.493	56.8%	58.3%
League CupUnited Arab Emirates	612	47.1%	0.642	59.8%	55.4%
CupIceland	611	65.5%	0.475	80.2%	57.6%
Santosh TrophyIndia	608	59.4%	0.524	59.9%	44.2%
CoppaBelarus	607	65.2%	0.474	65.7%	50.2%
Premier League CupEngland	606	49.8%	0.623	69.5%	62.9%
Premier LeagueBarbados	606	57.4%	0.543	69.0%	58.7%
Copa ColombiaColombia	601	48.9%	0.611	53.4%	53.1%
1. Division WomenNorway	598	56.7%	0.561	60.4%	53.3%
3. liga - CenterSlovakia	597	57.3%	0.552	64.8%	52.1%
2. Frauen BundesligaGermany	596	57.4%	0.561	60.2%	51.5%
Carioca - 1Brazil	589	52.5%	0.592	56.2%	55.7%
2nd Division - Group 2Denmark	584	47.8%	0.628	55.7%	53.6%
AmazonenseBrazil	581	50.9%	0.590	56.6%	50.9%
AcreanoBrazil	575	58.1%	0.558	59.5%	53.0%
Tasmania NPLAustralia	574	71.6%	0.420	74.9%	59.6%
U21 Divisie 1Netherlands	569	51.1%	0.609	67.0%	61.2%
Úrvalsdeild WomenIceland	568	59.9%	0.537	64.4%	54.0%
Mineiro - 2Brazil	566	42.0%	0.658	64.0%	55.1%
CupTunisia	562	52.1%	0.587	56.8%	54.3%
Copa do NordesteBrazil	559	50.4%	0.591	54.7%	48.1%
Primera División RFEF - Group 3Spain	554	42.4%	0.662	59.9%	50.9%
CupLuxembourg	547	65.1%	0.468	77.1%	60.0%
CupBulgaria	546	59.5%	0.528	61.4%	52.9%
World Cup - Qualification AfricaWorld	544	57.0%	0.541	61.6%	56.8%
National 3 - Group GFrance	543	41.4%	0.678	52.7%	53.8%
Paranaense - 1Brazil	534	51.9%	0.592	59.9%	56.2%
Goiano - 1Brazil	534	52.8%	0.577	58.4%	56.2%
Primera División RFEF - Group 4Spain	528	42.8%	0.653	57.0%	52.7%
National League - NorthernNew Zealand	528	60.6%	0.533	68.0%	61.6%
Catarinense - 1Brazil	527	44.6%	0.634	60.7%	55.8%
National 3 - Group LFrance	526	42.0%	0.658	56.5%	58.0%
National 3 - Group MFrance	526	49.8%	0.609	57.2%	54.0%
National Football LeagueFiji	523	51.4%	0.604	57.2%	56.2%
Esiliiga BEstonia	520	59.0%	0.534	74.2%	66.3%
CupPoland	511	56.8%	0.562	55.8%	51.9%
NISAUnited States	505	51.7%	0.584	55.2%	50.5%
1. Liga WomenCzech Republic	505	73.1%	0.346	71.5%	56.0%
Liga III - Serie 9Romania	504	56.2%	0.568	60.1%	58.3%
1a Divisão - WomenPortugal	504	67.7%	0.447	63.9%	59.5%
Gaúcho - 1Brazil	502	48.2%	0.600	64.3%	52.4%
Liga III - Serie 10Romania	499	56.5%	0.567	55.5%	50.5%
Coupe NationaleAlgeria	498	64.3%	0.497	51.4%	57.6%
CupEstonia	492	67.9%	0.455	82.5%	42.9%
FA CupChina	489	56.6%	0.562	54.0%	46.6%
FA CupSouth Korea	484	55.4%	0.571	55.6%	51.2%
Baiano U20Brazil	483	55.9%	0.558	60.7%	53.6%
Second League - Group CEgypt	480	46.3%	0.630	65.2%	59.0%
Second League - Group BEgypt	479	48.6%	0.619	59.9%	54.9%
Challenge CupScotland	478	55.9%	0.575	66.9%	57.5%
League CupIceland	476	62.4%	0.511	73.3%	64.3%
Euro ChampionshipWorld	476	61.1%	0.490	55.7%	55.9%
Mineiro - 1Brazil	475	52.6%	0.591	60.8%	53.3%
Brasileiro U17Brazil	474	55.9%	0.549	62.0%	58.0%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Greece	471	55.0%	0.587	56.7%	53.3%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 5Switzerland	470	55.7%	0.563	68.9%	58.5%
CONCACAF Nations LeagueWorld	455	64.2%	0.502	58.7%	53.0%
CONCACAF Champions LeagueWorld	449	55.2%	0.575	54.3%	53.7%
Schweizer CupSwitzerland	445	70.1%	0.401	68.8%	56.2%
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationWorld	439	60.1%	0.548	56.3%	58.1%
Carioca A2Brazil	433	39.0%	0.674	62.4%	53.3%
Division 1Kuwait	428	50.9%	0.598	52.8%	52.3%
Championnat D1Gabon	428	50.0%	0.606	61.9%	55.1%
PFLPhilippines	425	70.6%	0.392	68.9%	51.8%
Somali Premier LeagueSomalia	425	56.0%	0.561	60.9%	54.6%
UEFA U19 ChampionshipWorld	424	60.6%	0.513	63.9%	53.8%
Denmark Series - Relegation RoundDenmark	423	50.4%	0.622	66.4%	60.3%
PremiershipNew Zealand	418	56.0%	0.561	70.8%	64.6%
Regionalliga - TirolAustria	418	53.8%	0.586	70.1%	63.4%
Africa Cup of NationsWorld	418	47.1%	0.611	57.7%	57.7%
Ekstraliga WomenPoland	417	65.9%	0.456	65.9%	57.1%
Second League A - Division A GoldRussia	417	42.7%	0.659	56.6%	53.7%
Sul-MatogrossenseBrazil	415	52.0%	0.598	54.0%	45.1%
Championnat NationalTogo	414	43.5%	0.633	65.2%	63.3%
CapixabaBrazil	413	45.8%	0.630	54.2%	54.5%
AlagoanoBrazil	410	52.9%	0.581	50.2%	52.2%
ParaenseBrazil	409	50.1%	0.591	54.5%	53.5%
Cearense - 2Brazil	408	46.8%	0.632	56.1%	50.2%
CupCroatia	407	69.5%	0.431	64.9%	50.9%
Curaçao Sekshon PagáCuracao	407	48.2%	0.623	54.5%	54.8%
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalArgentina	407	41.3%	0.651	62.7%	56.3%
Nasjonal U19 Champions LeagueNorway	406	56.4%	0.577	85.5%	75.1%
BrasilienseBrazil	402	56.5%	0.561	54.0%	48.8%
World Cup - Women - Qualification EuropeWorld	401	78.8%	0.299	67.3%	62.8%
Paulista - A4Brazil	400	44.3%	0.641	60.8%	59.0%
Western Australia State League 1Australia	400	56.8%	0.570	69.3%	65.8%
Pernambucano - 1Brazil	399	54.1%	0.576	54.1%	53.6%
YkkösliigaFinland	399	54.1%	0.601	55.9%	55.9%
Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsSpain	396	37.1%	0.672	69.7%	55.1%
African Nations ChampionshipWorld	395	43.3%	0.629	64.6%	60.8%
Liga MX U21Mexico	393	42.7%	0.658	54.7%	50.6%
Premier DivisionAntigua and Barbuda	389	65.0%	0.500	75.3%	61.2%
Svenska Cupen - WomenSweden	388	60.6%	0.513	74.7%	53.9%
MatogrossenseBrazil	387	50.9%	0.591	57.6%	54.3%
CupKazakhstan	383	49.3%	0.627	51.7%	51.4%
Regionalliga - SalzburgAustria	383	53.8%	0.599	63.7%	56.4%
SergipanoBrazil	381	49.1%	0.597	57.2%	54.3%
Coupe de la LigueFrance	380	47.4%	0.620	56.1%	57.4%
Torneo Promocional AmateurArgentina	377	46.4%	0.628	59.9%	60.7%
UEFA U21 ChampionshipWorld	374	58.8%	0.537	63.6%	52.4%
David Kipiani CupGeorgia	373	52.8%	0.589	62.7%	52.5%
Paranaense - 2Brazil	373	47.7%	0.622	54.4%	50.7%
Canadian Soccer LeagueCanada	371	63.6%	0.486	70.6%	56.9%
CupBosnia	370	64.6%	0.478	55.9%	48.1%
Paulista Série BBrazil	369	49.3%	0.595	54.5%	49.9%
Liga E PareKosovo	367	54.0%	0.563	55.0%	53.7%
A DivisionNepal	364	39.6%	0.655	60.4%	59.3%
Cearense - 1Brazil	364	51.9%	0.581	56.6%	54.9%
League CupThailand	364	53.8%	0.578	56.0%	50.5%
3. SNL - WestSlovenia	362	55.2%	0.569	66.0%	55.2%
3. liga - BratislavaSlovakia	360	60.3%	0.528	56.4%	49.2%
National League - CentralNew Zealand	360	62.5%	0.492	81.9%	70.3%
World CupWorld	360	50.6%	0.618	50.3%	53.1%
National League - SouthernNew Zealand	359	70.2%	0.434	79.1%	63.0%
Second League A - Division A SilverRussia	358	44.7%	0.654	57.8%	45.0%
CupUzbekistan	357	60.8%	0.511	59.4%	56.3%
Coppa Italia Serie CItaly	354	43.8%	0.649	49.7%	44.9%
Mineiro U20Brazil	354	56.8%	0.551	54.0%	52.3%
Baiano - 1Brazil	353	45.3%	0.631	58.6%	54.7%
Premier LeagueBhutan	353	66.6%	0.448	74.8%	58.4%
PotiguarBrazil	352	54.5%	0.561	52.3%	58.5%
CupSouth Africa	350	47.1%	0.631	54.6%	51.7%
Primera DivisionCuba	347	55.3%	0.575	52.7%	49.3%
ParaibanoBrazil	342	49.1%	0.611	59.9%	51.5%
I-League - 2nd DivisionIndia	341	48.4%	0.619	49.6%	49.9%
Copa ParaguayParaguay	340	56.2%	0.540	56.2%	51.8%
Paranaense U20Brazil	340	55.6%	0.549	61.2%	53.8%
Federation CupBahrain	339	55.5%	0.586	59.9%	51.9%
QSL CupQatar	338	38.8%	0.681	63.9%	58.3%
UEFA Nations League - WomenWorld	338	65.4%	0.494	50.0%	56.5%
PiauienseBrazil	336	45.2%	0.627	57.1%	50.9%
King's CupSaudi Arabia	335	64.5%	0.490	56.4%	52.8%
Mauritian LeagueMauritius	334	53.6%	0.577	52.1%	53.0%
Baiano - 2Brazil	331	51.7%	0.601	58.6%	51.4%
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAFWorld	330	61.5%	0.497	60.3%	54.8%
CupLatvia	328	63.1%	0.511	77.4%	54.9%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 7Greece	326	53.4%	0.583	58.3%	55.2%
OFC Champions LeagueWorld	325	54.5%	0.562	69.2%	58.5%
U18 Divisie 1Netherlands	323	61.0%	0.511	74.6%	61.3%
Pacific Coast Soccer LeagueCanada	320	59.1%	0.535	70.0%	58.8%
Lao LeagueLaos	314	63.4%	0.501	63.1%	57.3%
Brasileiro de AspirantesBrazil	311	51.4%	0.605	55.0%	53.1%
MaranhenseBrazil	311	49.2%	0.601	58.8%	58.5%
Catarinense U20Brazil	308	61.4%	0.510	60.1%	56.5%
Primeira DivisãoMacao	307	72.6%	0.389	79.5%	58.6%
Pro League AUzbekistan	307	58.3%	0.548	53.1%	53.1%
3. SNL - EastSlovenia	306	50.7%	0.619	60.8%	60.1%
Copa do Brasil U20Brazil	304	58.2%	0.523	62.5%	51.0%
CupAzerbaijan	302	60.6%	0.499	56.0%	48.0%
Malaysia CupMalaysia	301	61.1%	0.503	61.5%	57.1%
Catarinense - 2Brazil	299	42.5%	0.624	60.2%	56.2%
CupAlbania	295	64.1%	0.494	54.2%	48.5%
Coppa Italia PrimaveraItaly	294	56.1%	0.589	71.4%	62.2%
Leagues CupWorld	294	46.3%	0.648	62.2%	59.9%
Hazfi CupIran	292	56.8%	0.537	58.6%	58.6%
AmapaenseBrazil	289	46.4%	0.619	56.1%	50.5%
CupLithuania	285	68.4%	0.454	72.3%	53.0%
League CupNorthern Ireland	282	66.3%	0.474	68.4%	52.8%
NNSW League 1Australia	279	52.3%	0.590	69.2%	60.2%
Copa UruguayUruguay	274	49.6%	0.602	54.4%	50.7%
RondonienseBrazil	273	53.8%	0.590	59.0%	59.3%
USL Super LeagueUnited States	269	44.6%	0.640	50.2%	51.7%
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld	269	51.3%	0.585	55.4%	55.8%
Copa de la División ProfesionalBolivia	268	50.7%	0.608	60.8%	57.5%
Brasiliense U20Brazil	266	66.9%	0.485	67.7%	49.6%
UEFA Championship - WomenWorld	266	78.2%	0.349	66.2%	50.4%
Chatham CupNew Zealand	264	63.3%	0.503	83.0%	57.2%
FAI CupIreland	263	65.0%	0.464	66.2%	49.4%
CupaMoldova	263	61.6%	0.507	71.9%	53.6%
WSL CupEngland	260	63.1%	0.519	64.6%	52.3%
2. Liga Interregional - Group 6Switzerland	260	54.6%	0.560	71.5%	65.0%
Youth Viareggio CupWorld	260	52.3%	0.596	65.0%	52.3%
DFB Junioren PokalGermany	259	59.1%	0.549	73.4%	57.9%
Irish CupNorthern Ireland	259	57.9%	0.526	67.2%	59.1%
Denmark Series - Promotion RoundDenmark	258	53.1%	0.605	66.3%	61.2%
Presidents CupUnited Arab Emirates	248	65.7%	0.512	53.2%	48.4%
CupCyprus	248	62.5%	0.469	62.5%	52.4%
Primera División RFEF - Group 5Spain	248	42.7%	0.672	61.7%	56.0%
TocantinenseBrazil	248	44.4%	0.634	57.7%	48.8%
Tasmania Southern ChampionshipAustralia	246	70.3%	0.433	87.4%	68.7%
Cearense U20Brazil	243	61.3%	0.519	53.9%	53.9%
FA TrophyMalta	242	63.6%	0.488	65.3%	52.9%
Goiano U20Brazil	242	50.8%	0.612	53.7%	55.4%
CupEgypt	239	65.3%	0.480	49.4%	55.2%
Euro Championship - QualificationWorld	239	69.5%	0.435	56.5%	61.9%
Goiano - 2Brazil	238	45.0%	0.639	57.1%	47.1%
League CupWales	237	60.8%	0.540	68.4%	62.4%
Tasmania Northern ChampionshipAustralia	237	70.5%	0.403	89.0%	64.6%
Toto Cup Ligat AlIsrael	228	42.5%	0.655	51.3%	53.5%
Premier DivisionGrenada	228	65.8%	0.499	73.2%	62.7%
RoraimenseBrazil	227	64.8%	0.487	63.4%	55.9%
Caribbean CupWorld	226	54.0%	0.585	54.9%	51.8%
U19 Divisie 1Netherlands	225	56.4%	0.569	77.3%	69.8%
USL League One CupUnited States	224	47.8%	0.607	57.1%	61.2%
CupSerbia	223	56.5%	0.524	48.0%	50.2%
DFB Pokal - WomenGermany	222	60.8%	0.513	74.3%	47.3%
CONCACAF Central American CupWorld	222	57.7%	0.550	55.0%	52.7%
League CupEgypt	219	38.4%	0.725	55.7%	58.4%
Carioca U20Brazil	219	53.0%	0.580	51.6%	50.7%
Liga III - Play-offsRomania	218	53.7%	0.566	59.2%	56.0%
Copa EcuadorEcuador	215	45.1%	0.683	45.1%	55.8%
CupKosovo	212	63.7%	0.484	60.8%	49.5%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group EPortugal	211	44.1%	0.631	62.1%	49.3%
Copa FederacionSpain	209	49.3%	0.620	46.4%	46.9%
World Cup - U20World	208	48.6%	0.626	51.9%	48.1%
World Cup - U17World	208	57.2%	0.565	63.9%	55.8%
Premier League International CupWorld	208	47.1%	0.671	67.3%	63.9%
CupGhana	204	50.0%	0.611	47.1%	50.5%
Premiership WomenNorthern Ireland	204	79.9%	0.300	79.9%	55.4%
Asian GamesWorld	204	63.2%	0.504	58.8%	51.0%
CONCACAF U20World	204	71.6%	0.436	73.0%	51.0%
Taça da LigaPortugal	203	52.2%	0.598	50.2%	55.7%
Pernambucano - U20Brazil	203	62.1%	0.488	55.2%	54.2%
CupMorocco	202	58.9%	0.543	51.0%	48.0%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group FPortugal	201	53.2%	0.571	58.2%	50.7%
Copa VenezuelaVenezuela	201	49.8%	0.603	51.7%	44.3%
Paraense U20Brazil	201	63.2%	0.515	67.2%	50.7%
Dhivehi Premier LeagueMaldives	195	60.0%	0.500	60.5%	56.9%
National League - NationalNew Zealand	195	53.3%	0.604	73.8%	66.2%
Australia CupAustralia	194	48.5%	0.582	64.9%	51.5%
World Cup - WomenWorld	194	58.8%	0.541	52.6%	51.5%
Sultan CupOman	192	54.2%	0.561	51.0%	49.5%
Kakkonen - Play-offsFinland	192	58.9%	0.534	79.7%	66.7%
AFC U23 Asian CupWorld	191	54.5%	0.554	49.7%	46.1%
ASEAN ChampionshipWorld	190	67.9%	0.461	70.0%	56.8%
UEFA Championship - Women - QualificationWorld	190	66.3%	0.446	62.1%	61.1%
Asian Cup - QualificationWorld	189	68.3%	0.429	57.7%	51.9%
CupNorth Macedonia	187	61.5%	0.467	57.2%	48.1%
Alagoano U20Brazil	186	59.7%	0.518	56.5%	43.0%
CupVietnam	185	56.8%	0.546	51.4%	57.3%
Copa RioBrazil	185	39.5%	0.659	58.9%	58.4%
Estadual Junior U20Brazil	184	55.4%	0.562	52.2%	56.0%
U21 LeagueUkraine	182	65.9%	0.471	70.3%	57.7%
Second League A - Spring Season GoldRussia	182	46.2%	0.641	61.0%	53.3%
Shield CupJordan	180	52.2%	0.602	50.0%	48.3%
Second League A - Spring Season SilverRussia	180	45.0%	0.660	61.1%	56.1%
Capital Territory NPL 2Australia	176	60.2%	0.503	76.1%	60.2%
National League CupEngland	175	45.7%	0.666	70.3%	58.3%
CONCACAF Gold CupWorld	175	53.7%	0.572	51.4%	50.9%
AFC U17 Asian CupWorld	175	63.4%	0.508	67.4%	46.9%
Sergipano - 2Brazil	173	58.4%	0.554	53.2%	52.0%
AFC U23 Asian Cup - QualificationWorld	173	75.7%	0.359	61.8%	58.4%
Super LeagueBhutan	172	56.4%	0.543	79.1%	59.3%
Copa Espírito SantoBrazil	170	57.1%	0.578	55.9%	51.8%
MFL CupMalaysia	170	53.5%	0.582	52.9%	51.8%
Copa VerdeBrazil	169	47.9%	0.597	50.3%	46.2%
Copa Santa CatarinaBrazil	169	47.3%	0.640	47.9%	45.0%
CupJordan	168	63.1%	0.498	48.8%	49.4%
Paranaense - 3Brazil	166	42.2%	0.646	51.2%	42.8%
Asian CupWorld	166	53.6%	0.594	53.0%	50.0%
Africa Cup of Nations U20World	166	42.2%	0.663	53.0%	53.6%
Coppa TitanoSan Marino	163	58.9%	0.561	46.6%	46.6%
Paraibano 2Brazil	163	50.3%	0.612	49.7%	47.9%
Carioca CBrazil	159	55.3%	0.579	61.0%	44.7%
FA Youth CupEngland	157	59.9%	0.528	73.9%	66.2%
League CupFinland	157	44.6%	0.635	61.1%	56.1%
Copa Rio U20Brazil	157	57.3%	0.556	56.1%	56.7%
Serie C - Promotion - Play-offsItaly	156	36.5%	0.674	54.5%	53.2%
LøgmanssteypidFaroe Islands	155	58.7%	0.534	66.5%	50.3%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 8Greece	150	44.7%	0.654	48.0%	50.0%
FA CupMalaysia	149	67.8%	0.457	73.2%	58.4%
Oberliga - Relegation RoundGermany	149	47.7%	0.632	65.8%	55.0%
Mineiro - 3Brazil	149	56.4%	0.578	43.6%	46.3%
FIFA Club World CupWorld	148	58.1%	0.534	56.8%	58.8%
Piala IndonesiaIndonesia	146	61.6%	0.507	60.3%	45.2%
Canadian ChampionshipCanada	145	57.2%	0.560	55.2%	56.6%
Northern Super LeagueCanada	144	45.1%	0.656	63.9%	56.9%
Copa AmericaWorld	144	50.7%	0.615	52.1%	54.9%
Premier LeagueNamibia	143	38.5%	0.673	51.7%	52.4%
Arab Club Champions CupWorld	142	52.1%	0.565	48.6%	51.4%
Premier LeagueUkraine	141	56.0%	0.555	61.0%	51.1%
Carioca B2Brazil	138	50.0%	0.589	49.3%	44.9%
World Cup - U20 - WomenWorld	136	59.6%	0.485	61.0%	47.8%
Segunda División RFEF - Play-offsSpain	135	38.5%	0.678	71.1%	62.2%
CECAFA Senior Challenge CupWorld	135	52.6%	0.581	58.5%	57.8%
Federation CupBangladesh	134	63.4%	0.501	60.4%	45.5%
World Cup - Women - Qualification ConcacafWorld	134	80.6%	0.379	76.9%	41.8%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group GPortugal	132	51.5%	0.603	60.6%	53.0%
Paraibano U20Brazil	132	59.1%	0.544	62.1%	43.9%
CONMEBOL Libertadores U20World	132	55.3%	0.591	57.6%	47.7%
CONCACAF Caribbean Club ChampionshipWorld	131	48.9%	0.629	59.5%	53.4%
AIFF Super CupIndia	129	53.5%	0.569	62.8%	56.6%
Olympics MenWorld	128	41.4%	0.682	50.8%	53.9%
CONMEBOL Libertadores FemeninaWorld	128	65.6%	0.480	57.8%	61.7%
AFC Women's Champions LeagueWorld	128	64.8%	0.496	68.8%	34.4%
NWSL Women - Challenge CupUnited States	125	44.0%	0.653	50.4%	46.4%
Goiano - 3Brazil	125	56.8%	0.558	55.2%	49.6%
Brasileiro U20 BBrazil	125	59.2%	0.558	58.4%	47.2%
UEFA U17 ChampionshipWorld	124	54.8%	0.561	67.7%	62.1%
Capixaba BBrazil	123	57.7%	0.562	55.3%	39.0%
UEFA Europa Cup - WomenWorld	123	61.0%	0.521	57.7%	49.6%
U20 Elite LeagueWorld	122	53.3%	0.618	57.4%	61.5%
AFC U20 Asian CupWorld	122	61.5%	0.532	59.8%	51.6%
CupArmenia	121	57.9%	0.549	61.2%	49.6%
CONCACAF Women U17World	120	72.5%	0.433	78.3%	40.0%
YkköscupFinland	119	46.2%	0.649	57.1%	50.4%
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld	116	65.5%	0.488	63.8%	54.3%
All-Island Cup - WomenWorld	115	47.0%	0.648	63.5%	56.5%
Tournoi Maurice RevelloWorld	114	43.0%	0.646	50.9%	51.8%
Copa GaúchaBrazil	113	48.7%	0.605	54.0%	54.0%
COSAFA CupWorld	113	43.4%	0.649	57.5%	48.7%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group HPortugal	110	55.5%	0.554	47.3%	53.6%
Npl Nsw U20Australia	110	49.1%	0.626	72.7%	64.5%
Maranhense - 2Brazil	108	49.1%	0.608	58.3%	43.5%
QFA CupQatar	107	39.3%	0.674	68.2%	64.5%
Alagoano - 2Brazil	107	61.7%	0.522	57.0%	41.1%
Copa AlagoasBrazil	106	57.5%	0.576	50.9%	49.1%
Sudamericano U20World	105	55.2%	0.585	52.4%	49.5%
CONCACAF Caribbean Club ShieldWorld	104	58.7%	0.595	60.6%	44.2%
Emir CupQatar	103	54.4%	0.545	69.9%	63.1%
Copa Costa RicaCosta Rica	103	48.5%	0.601	44.7%	45.6%
CupMontenegro	102	59.8%	0.534	52.9%	40.2%
Olympics Women - Qualification AsiaWorld	102	66.7%	0.478	59.8%	44.1%
Pro League U23United Arab Emirates	102	42.2%	0.628	52.0%	62.7%
CONCACAF LeagueWorld	101	44.6%	0.645	41.6%	51.5%
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion RoundPortugal	100	43.0%	0.637	45.0%	46.0%
Derde Divisie - Relegation RoundNetherlands	100	36.0%	0.724	52.0%	52.0%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 10Greece	99	52.5%	0.599	49.5%	48.5%
CONCACAF U17World	99	68.7%	0.469	78.8%	46.5%
CupLiechtenstein	98	58.2%	0.559	80.6%	55.1%
COSAFA U20 ChampionshipWorld	97	67.0%	0.484	49.5%	45.4%
AFC Challenge LeagueWorld	97	45.4%	0.612	60.8%	51.5%
Reykjavik CupIceland	96	58.3%	0.519	76.0%	64.6%
Matogrossense 2Brazil	96	46.9%	0.620	57.3%	47.9%
League CupSingapore	95	52.6%	0.610	63.2%	44.2%
Pernambucano - 2Brazil	95	55.8%	0.582	53.7%	52.6%
3. Lig - Play-offsTurkey	93	43.0%	0.644	48.4%	49.5%
CONMEBOL - U17World	91	56.0%	0.572	54.9%	51.6%
CAF Cup of Nations - U17World	91	44.0%	0.636	53.8%	48.4%
League CupSouth Africa	90	34.4%	0.728	44.4%	45.6%
Emir CupKuwait	90	72.2%	0.471	61.1%	58.9%
Copa BicentenarioPeru	88	38.6%	0.694	50.0%	48.9%
Shield CupKenya	88	53.4%	0.566	43.2%	44.3%
Copa do Brasil U17Brazil	88	51.1%	0.586	65.9%	61.4%
Africa Cup of Nations - WomenWorld	88	53.4%	0.573	60.2%	56.8%
Victoria Premier League 2Australia	88	53.4%	0.599	60.2%	58.0%
Copa Paulino AlcantaraPhilippines	86	61.6%	0.514	62.8%	52.3%
CONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification - WomenWorld	86	64.0%	0.489	60.5%	45.3%
Copa MXMexico	84	57.1%	0.584	46.4%	48.8%
International Champions CupWorld	84	45.2%	0.685	63.1%	67.9%
ASEAN Club ChampionshipWorld	84	59.5%	0.532	63.1%	58.3%
Copa ConstitucióAndorra	83	63.9%	0.472	57.8%	51.8%
Taça Revelação U23Portugal	83	63.9%	0.551	61.4%	60.2%
Gaúcho - 3Brazil	83	57.8%	0.569	53.0%	48.2%
COTIF TournamentWorld	83	61.4%	0.551	45.8%	48.2%
Piala PresidenIndonesia	82	43.9%	0.634	41.5%	50.0%
Paraense A3Brazil	82	54.9%	0.592	62.2%	43.9%
Asian Cup Women - QualificationWorld	82	80.5%	0.341	73.2%	31.7%
Serie D - Promotion - Play-offsItaly	81	65.4%	0.567	45.7%	58.0%
CupSingapore	80	56.3%	0.549	70.0%	66.3%
AFC U20 Asian Cup - QualificationWorld	80	55.0%	0.550	56.3%	36.3%
Crown Prince CupKuwait	79	63.3%	0.487	54.4%	44.3%
Potiguar - U20Brazil	79	60.8%	0.513	59.5%	44.3%
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Greece	78	44.9%	0.657	64.1%	47.4%
Erste Liga CupSwitzerland	78	55.1%	0.589	73.1%	56.4%
Olympics WomenWorld	78	57.7%	0.566	61.5%	52.6%
Oberliga - Promotion RoundGermany	77	61.0%	0.530	67.5%	66.2%
Arab CupWorld	77	57.1%	0.550	42.9%	54.5%
Brasiliense BBrazil	76	51.3%	0.538	55.3%	44.7%
UEFA U19 Championship - WomenWorld	75	53.3%	0.591	53.3%	53.3%
CECAFA Club CupWorld	74	47.3%	0.640	48.6%	59.5%
Liga WomenPeru	74	70.3%	0.443	67.6%	55.4%
Paraense B1Brazil	73	30.1%	0.695	52.1%	54.8%
Non League Div One - Play-offsEngland	72	61.1%	0.547	61.1%	58.3%
Copa LDFDominican Republic	72	61.1%	0.513	48.6%	47.2%
OFC Pro LeagueWorld	72	50.0%	0.634	61.1%	56.9%
8 CupSouth Africa	71	35.2%	0.696	39.4%	53.5%
Premier LeaguePakistan	71	46.5%	0.602	46.5%	42.3%
ASEAN Championship U19World	70	65.7%	0.435	61.4%	50.0%
CONMEBOL U20 FemeninoWorld	70	55.7%	0.539	55.7%	55.7%
Regionalliga - NorthAustria	70	52.9%	0.618	70.0%	55.7%
AFC U17 Asian Cup - QualificationWorld	69	66.7%	0.501	66.7%	39.1%
Gulf Cup of NationsWorld	68	48.5%	0.608	51.5%	55.9%
CONCACAF Nations League - QualificationWorld	68	77.9%	0.409	66.2%	50.0%
AFC U20 Asian Cup - WomenWorld	68	60.3%	0.509	64.7%	41.2%
Regionalliga - SouthAustria	68	45.6%	0.636	67.6%	55.9%
Sergipano U20Brazil	67	65.7%	0.457	59.7%	44.8%
Rock CupGibraltar	66	72.7%	0.424	60.6%	50.0%
Yemeni LeagueYemen	66	39.4%	0.643	53.0%	45.5%
EAFF E-1 Football ChampionshipWorld	66	63.6%	0.492	57.6%	47.0%
King's CupBahrain	65	58.5%	0.517	58.5%	49.2%
SAFF ChampionshipWorld	65	66.2%	0.508	55.4%	50.8%
FA CupOman	63	38.1%	0.668	47.6%	52.4%
Division 2 - Play-offsSweden	62	45.2%	0.683	74.2%	66.1%
Torneo Amistoso de VeranoBolivia	62	56.5%	0.537	67.7%	58.1%
World Cup - Qualification OceaniaWorld	61	57.4%	0.590	62.3%	52.5%
Southeast Asian GamesWorld	61	75.4%	0.474	65.6%	59.0%
Coppa Italia WomenItaly	60	55.0%	0.593	63.3%	48.3%
Africa U23 Cup of Nations - QualificationWorld	60	33.3%	0.742	45.0%	38.3%
FA CupHong Kong	59	49.2%	0.598	59.3%	66.1%
Third Amateur Division - Play-offsBelgium	58	55.2%	0.563	75.9%	65.5%
Potiguar - 2Brazil	57	59.6%	0.517	52.6%	35.1%
AGCFF Gulf Champions LeagueWorld	57	49.1%	0.650	49.1%	52.6%
Provincial - Play-offs ACFFBelgium	56	55.4%	0.594	66.1%	50.0%
Serie D - Championship RoundItaly	56	50.0%	0.629	57.1%	69.6%
Amazonense - 2Brazil	56	46.4%	0.641	60.7%	53.6%
The Atlantic CupWorld	56	50.0%	0.660	60.7%	46.4%
Copa De La LigaPeru	56	44.6%	0.668	46.4%	55.4%
Cearense - 3Brazil	55	47.3%	0.620	63.6%	47.3%
CONMEBOL - U17 FemeninoWorld	55	54.5%	0.544	58.2%	49.1%
Australian ChampionshipAustralia	55	47.3%	0.650	56.4%	58.2%
Primera División RFEF - Play OffsSpain	54	40.7%	0.623	48.1%	42.6%
African Nations Championship - QualificationWorld	53	39.6%	0.707	66.0%	56.6%
U19 leagueTurkey	53	56.6%	0.591	67.9%	56.6%
Asian Cup WomenWorld	52	69.2%	0.403	65.4%	55.8%
Copa PresidenteEl Salvador	52	46.2%	0.634	55.8%	53.8%
CONCACAF W Champions CupWorld	51	62.7%	0.466	70.6%	33.3%
Copa America FemeninaWorld	50	70.0%	0.404	68.0%	54.0%
Pacific GamesWorld	49	65.3%	0.399	71.4%	42.9%
U19 leagueSerbia	49	51.0%	0.627	79.6%	75.5%
Senior ShieldHong Kong	48	56.3%	0.595	64.6%	56.3%
CONCACAF U20 - QualificationWorld	48	72.9%	0.402	75.0%	60.4%
UEFA U17 Championship - WomenWorld	48	47.9%	0.601	50.0%	45.8%
Confederations CupWorld	47	53.2%	0.586	53.2%	57.4%
Kakkosen CupFinland	46	63.0%	0.564	73.9%	60.9%
ASEAN Championship U23World	46	63.0%	0.502	56.5%	60.9%
Provincial - Play-offs VVBelgium	44	45.5%	0.565	70.5%	63.6%
CupLebanon	43	69.8%	0.423	51.2%	37.2%
Gamma Ethniki - Promotion GroupGreece	43	60.5%	0.556	67.4%	46.5%
Copa Fares LopesBrazil	43	41.9%	0.687	37.2%	41.9%
Hun Sen CupCambodia	43	58.1%	0.504	65.1%	51.2%
AFC Challenge CupWorld	43	51.2%	0.642	55.8%	48.8%
Copa NicaraguaNicaragua	43	55.8%	0.636	55.8%	60.5%
1. Liga Classic - Play-offsSwitzerland	42	38.1%	0.714	47.6%	64.3%
Serie A Cup WomenItaly	42	76.2%	0.428	59.5%	45.2%
Fotbolti.net Cup AIceland	41	56.1%	0.523	87.8%	73.2%
AFC U17 Asian Cup - WomenWorld	41	70.7%	0.427	78.0%	46.3%
Kings World Cup NationsWorld	40	50.0%	0.584	100.0%	97.5%
Serie D - Relegation - Play-offsItaly	39	48.7%	0.646	46.2%	46.2%
Copa De La LigaChile	39	59.0%	0.587	48.7%	56.4%
Primera PremierMexico	39	56.4%	0.564	69.2%	53.8%
SWF Scottish CupScotland	38	55.3%	0.600	86.8%	42.1%
Olympics Men - Qualification ConcacafWorld	38	34.2%	0.684	52.6%	42.1%
Copa Sul-SudesteBrazil	38	50.0%	0.631	36.8%	42.1%
SWPL CupScotland	37	64.9%	0.505	83.8%	54.1%
K4 LeagueSouth Korea	37	45.9%	0.660	67.6%	62.2%
Copa por MéxicoMexico	36	44.4%	0.664	36.1%	44.4%
Olympics Women - Qualification CAFWorld	36	52.8%	0.544	47.2%	41.7%
CONMEBOL Nations League WomenWorld	36	58.3%	0.540	66.7%	50.0%
CONCACAF SeriesWorld	35	42.9%	0.626	57.1%	54.3%
Piauiense - 2Brazil	35	45.7%	0.634	48.6%	45.7%
NWSL - Liga MXF Summer CupUnited States	33	36.4%	0.785	57.6%	48.5%
CECAFA U20 ChampionshipWorld	33	66.7%	0.535	63.6%	39.4%
CAF Women's Champions LeagueWorld	33	63.6%	0.540	45.5%	30.3%
Second Amateur Division - Play-offs Belgium	32	40.6%	0.671	56.3%	40.6%
South American Youth GamesWorld	32	34.4%	0.739	43.8%	50.0%
Mediterranean GamesWorld	32	46.9%	0.677	37.5%	40.6%
Copa NorteBrazil	32	65.6%	0.551	53.1%	43.8%
CONCACAF Gold Cup - QualificationWorld	31	64.5%	0.478	51.6%	48.4%
Kings CupBrazil	31	45.2%	0.631	96.8%	100.0%
FIFA SeriesWorld	31	54.8%	0.604	58.1%	58.1%

With a few hundred matches, a league's hit rate can move by several points from luck alone. Compare leagues with large samples.

Reading the numbers

How we measure accuracy

Hit rate: How often the outcome we marked as most likely happened. Simple, but it ignores how confident the forecast was.
Brier score: The squared gap between our probabilities and what happened. 0 is perfect; for match results, spreading a third on each outcome scores 0.667.
Log loss: Punishes confident mistakes harder than the Brier score. Lower is better.
Backtest: The current model run over past matches with only the information available before each kickoff. It shows how the model behaves across many seasons, but it is a simulation, not a record of published forecasts.
Published forecasts: Forecasts we actually showed, stored with a timestamp before kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Result used: The score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count.

Forecast archive → Methodology →

Forecasts are probabilities, not certainties. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.