Football models & analysis
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Wednesday, September 30
Selected matches in the next seven days. Times: America/New_York.
Model probabilities · 1X2
Model probabilities are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Major League Soccer · Sep 30, 19:30
J. Hall’s nine goals in 15 appearances give New York Red Bulls the clearest individual edge, but the matchup will be shaped by whether their leading scorer can exploit a St. Louis City defence that has conceded 19 goals away from home. St. Louis arrive third in the table with 44...
Read Full AnalysisMajor League Soccer · Oct 1, 21:30
Seattle Sounders have won 6 of their 13 home matches this season, scoring 21 goals and keeping a clean sheet in seven league games overall. That record gives them a clear platform at Lumen Field, especially against Sporting Kansas City, whose away record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 10...
Read Full AnalysisMajor League Soccer · Oct 6, 20:30
Vancouver Whitecaps enter this contest at the summit of the Major League Soccer table with 32 points, establishing a six-point advantage over Chicago Fire, who currently hold 26 points. The gap between these two sides in the Western Conference highlights the divergent trajectorie...
Read Full AnalysisReal results. A clearer view of the model.
147,838 graded predictions · All time
Updated 30 Sep 2026, 14:26 America/New_York
Updated 30 Sep 2026, 14:26 America/New_York
| Date | Overall accuracy | Predictions |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 60.3% | 174 |
| 2026-09-28 | 59.3% | 86 |
| 2026-09-27 | 53.0% | 862 |
| 2026-09-26 | 53.1% | 1,163 |
| 2026-09-25 | 51.3% | 261 |
| 2026-09-24 | 61.1% | 90 |
| 2026-09-23 | 64.3% | 196 |
| 2026-09-22 | 49.2% | 191 |
| 2026-09-21 | 41.5% | 142 |
| 2026-09-20 | 42.0% | 1,132 |
| 2026-09-19 | 45.1% | 1,525 |
| 2026-09-18 | 48.6% | 422 |
| 2026-09-17 | 53.0% | 164 |
| 2026-09-16 | 50.2% | 404 |
| 2026-09-15 | 50.8% | 246 |
Model probabilities are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
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