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Mallorca VS Valencia

Mallorca logo

Mallorca

Samu Costa 49'
1-1
Full Time
Valencia logo

Valencia

U. Sadiq 67'
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix Tuesday, Apr 21, 2026 At 13:00 Edt César Soto Grado, Spain
AI

Mallorca VS Valencia — Match Preview

When Mallorca host Valencia at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix this Tuesday, the stakes for survival in La Liga could not be higher. Under the tactical guidance of manager [[manager:Martin Demichelis]], the home side finds themselves in 15th place, desperately needing points to distance themselves from the drop zone. Across the dugout, [[manager:Carlos Corberan]] brings his Valencia side to Palma looking to rectify a poor away record that has seen them drop ten games on their travels this season.

The Battle for Dominance in Midfield

The outcome of this encounter will hinge on which side controls the engine room. Mallorca will rely heavily on Samú Costa, who has been a consistent presence in midfield, and the creative vision of Darder. They must navigate the defensive setup of Valencia, which historically utilizes a 4-4-2 formation. Pepelu remains the heartbeat of the away side, and his duel with Samú Costa will be a defining physical and technical battle. If the home side can disrupt Pepelu early, they can isolate the Valencia attacking pair and limit supply lines to their frontmen.

Defensive Vulnerabilities and Attacking Threats

Mallorca have a clear focal point in V. Muriqi, who has notched 16 goals this term. He will face a stern test against a Valencia defense that, despite recent injury setbacks to players like Mouctar Diakhaby, remains disciplined. Conversely, Valencia look to Hugo Duro and L. Ramazani to exploit the spaces left behind by the attacking-minded fullbacks of the home side. With Mallorca averaging a significant peak in scoring between the 61st and 75th minute, the match could very well be decided by late-game stamina and concentration as both teams have shown tendencies to concede in the closing stages.

Discipline is another critical factor. With an average of nearly five cards per match in their 14 previous head-to-head encounters, the referee's presence will be felt. Both teams operate with high intensity, and a single rash tackle or tactical foul in the middle third could easily change the momentum of the game. For Mallorca, maintaining the defensive organization led by M. Valjent is imperative to stifle the creative outlets of Luis Rioja and Diego López.

Final Assessment

While the statistics suggest a tight affair, the home advantage at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, coupled with the desperation of Mallorca to secure safety, provides a slight psychological edge. If V. Muriqi finds his range early, the visiting defense will have a long 90 minutes. I expect the home side to capitalize on their territorial advantage and snatch a narrow victory in a high-tension encounter.

Match Events

Mallorca Mallorca
Valencia Valencia
11'
T. Rendall
On: T. Rendall Off: Renzo Saravia
Substitution
41'
Stole Dimitrievski
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
49'
Samu Costa
Assist: S. Darder
52'
Guido Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Foul
56'
T. Asano
On: T. Asano Off: J. Virgili
Substitution
60'
L. Beltran
On: L. Beltran Off: A. Danjuma
Substitution
60'
F. Ugrinic
On: F. Ugrinic Off: L. Rioja
Substitution
60'
D. Lopez
On: D. Lopez Off: J. Guerra
Substitution
67'
U. Sadiq
Assist: J. Guerra
76'
O. Mascarell
On: O. Mascarell Off: A. Sanchez
Substitution
76'
M. Morlanes
On: M. Morlanes Off: D. Lopez
Substitution
85'
P. Torre
On: P. Torre Off: J. Llabres
Substitution
90'+5
L. Ramazani
On: L. Ramazani Off: J. Vazquez
Substitution

Match Statistics

Mallorca Mallorca
Valencia Valencia
59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Blocked Shots 3
9 Fouls 12
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
4 Offsides 2
2 Saves 7
504 Passes 349
430 Accurate Passes 283
85% Pass Accuracy 81%

Team Comparison

43
Overall Strength
44.9
50.5% Attacking Power 49.5%
49.1% Defensive Strength 50.9%
45.8% Current Form 54.2%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Mallorca Mallorca
Valencia Valencia
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
16% | 24%
Avg Total Goals
2.7 | 2.6

Cards Analysis

Mallorca 1.9/Game
69
4
0-15'
4
16-30'
10
31-45'
14
46-60'
19
61-75'
12
76-90'
14
Valencia 1.7/Game
61
2
0-15'
1
16-30'
7
31-45'
9
46-60'
14
61-75'
16
76-90'
16

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Mallorca
11W 9D 0L | 47:57 | 1.11 ppg
Valencia
13W 10D 0L | 46:55 | 1.29 ppg
2024/2025
Mallorca
13W 9D 0L | 35:44 | 1.26 ppg
Valencia
11W 13D 0L | 44:54 | 1.21 ppg
2023/2024
Mallorca
8W 16D 0L | 33:44 | 1.05 ppg
Valencia
13W 10D 0L | 40:45 | 1.29 ppg
AI

Mallorca VS Valencia — Match Analysis

When Mallorca host Valencia at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix this Tuesday, the stakes for survival in La Liga could not be higher. Under the tactical guidance of manager [[manager:Martin Demichelis]], the home side finds themselves in 15th place, desperately needing points to distance themselves from the drop zone. Across the dugout, [[manager:Carlos Corberan]] brings his Valencia side to Palma looking to rectify a poor away record that has seen them drop ten games on their travels this season.

The Battle for Dominance in Midfield

The outcome of this encounter will hinge on which side controls the engine room. Mallorca will rely heavily on Samú Costa, who has been a consistent presence in midfield, and the creative vision of Darder. They must navigate the defensive setup of Valencia, which historically utilizes a 4-4-2 formation. Pepelu remains the heartbeat of the away side, and his duel with Samú Costa will be a defining physical and technical battle. If the home side can disrupt Pepelu early, they can isolate the Valencia attacking pair and limit supply lines to their frontmen.

Defensive Vulnerabilities and Attacking Threats

Mallorca have a clear focal point in V. Muriqi, who has notched 16 goals this term. He will face a stern test against a Valencia defense that, despite recent injury setbacks to players like Mouctar Diakhaby, remains disciplined. Conversely, Valencia look to Hugo Duro and L. Ramazani to exploit the spaces left behind by the attacking-minded fullbacks of the home side. With Mallorca averaging a significant peak in scoring between the 61st and 75th minute, the match could very well be decided by late-game stamina and concentration as both teams have shown tendencies to concede in the closing stages.

Discipline is another critical factor. With an average of nearly five cards per match in their 14 previous head-to-head encounters, the referee's presence will be felt. Both teams operate with high intensity, and a single rash tackle or tactical foul in the middle third could easily change the momentum of the game. For Mallorca, maintaining the defensive organization led by M. Valjent is imperative to stifle the creative outlets of Luis Rioja and Diego López.

Final Assessment

While the statistics suggest a tight affair, the home advantage at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, coupled with the desperation of Mallorca to secure safety, provides a slight psychological edge. If V. Muriqi finds his range early, the visiting defense will have a long 90 minutes. I expect the home side to capitalize on their territorial advantage and snatch a narrow victory in a high-tension encounter.

Key Factors

Mallorca's reliance on V. Muriqi to break down the Valencia defensive structure Midfield control battle between Samú Costa and Pepelu Historical high card count in head-to-head meetings indicating a physical match Mallorca's strong scoring peak between 61-75 minutes vs Valencia's late-game vulnerability Home advantage at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix favoring the desperate home side
The prediction reflects Mallorca's superior home form and the psychological edge of playing at the Son Moix in a high-stakes relegation battle, despite the thin 40.4% win probability.

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 56.8%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
52.6%

Both Teams Score

Yes
52.3%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Mallorca 56.8%
Draw 22.3%
Valencia 20.9%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
80.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 8 Shots on Target No 99.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 92.5% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 92.5% Good ✓ Correct
Over 5 Cards No 90.4% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 83.7% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 74.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 73.8% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 73.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 73.1% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 73.1% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 66.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 64.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 63.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 3 Cards No 62.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Home Win 56.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves Yes 56.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 2.5 Goals No 52.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 52.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score Yes 52.3% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots Yes 51.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 51.3% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 46.2% Low ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 1-0 18.6% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
92.5%
Over 1.5
73.1%
Over 2.5
47.4%
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 0.5
7.5%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Under 3.5
73.8%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
29.0%
HT Draw
46.2%
HT Away Win
24.9%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
66.8%
Goals After 80'
35.1%
Goals Both Halves
56.0%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
36.4%
Over 11 Corners
16.3%
Home Most Corners
51.3%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
37.9%
Over 5 Cards
9.6%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.5%
Home More Shots
51.8%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.2%
Away Exceed xG
47.4%
Total xG Over 2.5
24.5%
High xG Variance
38.6%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
8.6
Total Cards
3.1

Frequently Asked Questions about Mallorca vs Valencia