Brisbane Roar VS Melbourne Victory
Recent Form
Brisbane Roar
L
L
D
D
L
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2026
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
1 - 1
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
A-League
AAMI Park
2025
Nov 28, 2025
Brisbane Roar
VS
Melbourne Victory
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
VS
Melbourne Victory
A-League
Suncorp Stadium
2025
Mar 1, 2025
Brisbane Roar
VS
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
VS
Melbourne Victory
A-League
Suncorp Stadium
2024
Nov 9, 2024
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
2 - 0
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
A-League
AAMI Park
2024
Apr 20, 2024
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
0 - 0
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
A-League
AAMI Park
2023
Match Events
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
8'
Storm Roux
Yellow Card
16'
Thomas Deng
Yellow Card
19'
⚽
A. Nabbout
35'
⇄
A. Nabbout
On: A. Nabbout
Off: K. Athiu
Substitution
39'
Scott Neville
Yellow Card
60'
⇄
K. Dobras
On: K. Dobras
Off: J. Poulsen
Substitution
62'
Roy O'Donovan
Yellow Card
76'
⇄
B. Inman
On: B. Inman
Off: A. Amadi-Holloway
Substitution
79'
James Donachie
Yellow Card
80'
Tom Aldred
Yellow Card
85'
⇄
J. McGing
On: J. McGing
Off: J. Ingham
Substitution
89'
Jakob Poulsen
Yellow Card
90'+1
⇄
C. OToole
On: C. OToole
Off: D. Wenzel-Halls
Substitution
90'+6
⇄
M. Basha
On: M. Basha
Off: B. Carrigan
Substitution
Lineups
Brisbane Roar
(3-1-4-2)
Starting XI
M. Crocombe
#1
S. Neville
#2
T. Aldred
#5
D
R. O'Donovan
#9
B. Inman
#10
A. O'Neill
#12
S. Mauk
#13
J. McGing
#22
C. O'Toole
#24
J. O'Shea
#26
Substitutes
Melbourne Victory
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
S. Roux
#2
J. Donachie
#4
L. Broxham
#6
A. Nabbout
#9
O. Toivonen
#11
T. Deng
#14
E. Kamsoba
#17
M. Basha
#18
L. Thomas
#20
A. Traoré
#21
K. Dobras
#22
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
66%
Possession
34%
17
Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Blocked Shots
0
16
Fouls
13
4
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
4
2
Offsides
2
2
Saves
4
651
Passes
335
547
Accurate Passes
243
84%
Pass Accuracy
73%
Team Comparison
49.5
Overall Strength
39.5
45.8%
Attacking Power
54.2%
61.2%
Defensive Strength
38.8%
63.8%
Current Form
36.2%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
26%
|
23%
Avg Total Goals
2.2
|
3
Cards Analysis
Brisbane Roar
2/Game
54
1
0-15'
3
16-30'
4
31-45'
9
46-60'
13
61-75'
13
76-90'
13
Melbourne Victory
2.3/Game
57
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
7
31-45'
7
46-60'
14
61-75'
7
76-90'
21
Season Comparison
2019/2020
Brisbane Roar
11W 7D 0L
|
29:29
|
1.48 ppg
Melbourne Victory
6W 5D 0L
|
33:44
|
0.88 ppg
2018/2019
Brisbane Roar
4W 6D 0L
|
38:71
|
0.67 ppg
Melbourne Victory
16W 5D 0L
|
53:33
|
1.89 ppg
2017/2018
Brisbane Roar
10W 5D 0L
|
33:42
|
1.25 ppg
Melbourne Victory
15W 5D 0L
|
49:40
|
1.67 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
69.2%
Both Teams Score
Yes
66.6%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Brisbane Roar
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Melbourne Victory
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.2% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.2% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 87.1% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 87.1% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 74.1% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 69.4% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 69.3% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 69.2% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 69.2% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 66.6% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 66.5% | Good |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 58.8% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 57.9% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 56.6% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 54.6% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 52.2% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 52.2% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.3% | Fair |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 9.3% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.2%
Over 1.5
87.1%
Over 2.5
69.2%
Over 3.5
47.8%
Under 0.5
2.8%
Under 1.5
12.9%
Under 2.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
52.2%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.1%
HT Draw
50.3%
HT Away Win
20.6%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
74.1%
Goals After 80'
30.6%
Goals Both Halves
66.5%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
54.6%
Over 11 Corners
30.7%
Home Most Corners
57.9%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
43.4%
Home More Shots
58.8%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
54.9%
Away Exceed xG
51.0%
Total xG Over 2.5
69.2%
High xG Variance
47.9%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.0
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Brisbane Roar
40 Points
4
Melbourne Victory
23 Points
10