Melbourne Victory VS Newcastle Jets
Recent Form
Melbourne Victory
L
W
D
D
L
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2026
Melbourne Victory
VS
Newcastle Jets
2 - 2
Melbourne Victory
VS
Newcastle Jets
A-League
AAMI Park
2025
Oct 24, 2025
Newcastle Jets
VS
Melbourne Victory
5 - 2
Newcastle Jets
VS
Melbourne Victory
A-League
McDonald Jones Stadium
2025
May 4, 2025
Melbourne Victory
VS
Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Melbourne Victory
VS
Newcastle Jets
A-League
AAMI Park
2024
Feb 8, 2025
Newcastle Jets
VS
Melbourne Victory
3 - 0
Newcastle Jets
VS
Melbourne Victory
A-League
McDonald Jones Stadium
2024
Feb 3, 2024
Newcastle Jets
VS
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets
VS
Melbourne Victory
A-League
McDonald Jones Stadium
2023
Match Events
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
15'
Eli Adams
Yellow Card
Foul
19'
⚽
E. Adams
Assist: M. Burgess
25'
Roderick Miranda
Yellow Card
Foul
31'
⚽
C. Nduka
Assist: J. Rawlins
34'
⚽
C. Nduka
Assist: F. Lino
44'
Max Burgess
Yellow Card
Foul
57'
⇄
Z. Clough
On: Z. Clough
Off: X. Bertoncello
Substitution
58'
⇄
Z. Clough
On: Z. Clough
Off: X. Bertoncello
Substitution
65'
⇄
K. Jelacic
On: K. Jelacic
Off: M. Grimaldi
Substitution
70'
⇄
L. Rose
On: L. Rose
Off: B. Gibson
Substitution
81'
⇄
J. Valadon
On: J. Valadon
Off: L. D'Arrigo
Substitution
81'
⇄
N. Velupillay
On: N. Velupillay
Off: Clarismario
Substitution
81'
⇄
C. Taylor
On: C. Taylor
Off: A. Nunes
Substitution
82'
⇄
N. Velupillay
On: N. Velupillay
Off: Clarismario
Substitution
82'
⇄
J. Valadon
On: J. Valadon
Off: L. D'Arrigo
Substitution
82'
⇄
J. Valadon
On: J. Valadon
Off: L. D'Arrigo
Substitution
82'
⇄
N. Velupillay
On: N. Velupillay
Off: Clarismario
Substitution
89'
⚽
E. Adams
Penalty
90'+1
Joshua Rawlins
Yellow Card
Foul
Lineups
Melbourne Victory
(3-4-3)
Starting XI
J. Davidson
#2
J. Valadon
#8
D. Genreau
#10
S. Esposito
#15
N. Velupillay
#17
F. Lino
#18
Roderick
#21
J. Rawlins
#22
K. Jelacic
#23
J. Warshawsky
#40
C. Nduka
#44
Substitutes
Newcastle Jets
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
J. Delianov
#1
E. Adams
#7
L. Bayliss
#8
L. Rose
#9
Z. Clough
#10
C. Taylor
#13
M. Burgess
#14
K. Grozos
#17
J. Bertolissio
#22
D. Wilmering
#23
M. Natta
#33
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
38%
Possession
62%
18
Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Blocked Shots
3
9
Fouls
15
7
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Offsides
3
3
Saves
3
318
Passes
541
235
Accurate Passes
455
74%
Pass Accuracy
84%
Team Comparison
51.9
Overall Strength
56.3
44.5%
Attacking Power
55.5%
54.4%
Defensive Strength
45.6%
43.2%
Current Form
56.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
22%
|
18%
Avg Total Goals
2.9
|
3.5
Cards Analysis
Melbourne Victory
1.5/Game
40
0
0-15'
3
16-30'
5
31-45'
10
46-60'
11
61-75'
5
76-90'
6
Newcastle Jets
1.2/Game
33
1
0-15'
3
16-30'
4
31-45'
4
46-60'
8
61-75'
6
76-90'
9
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Melbourne Victory
11W 7D 0L
|
44:34
|
1.48 ppg
Newcastle Jets
15W 4D 0L
|
57:42
|
1.75 ppg
2024/2025
Melbourne Victory
14W 7D 0L
|
48:39
|
1.63 ppg
Newcastle Jets
8W 6D 0L
|
43:44
|
1.15 ppg
2023/2024
Melbourne Victory
11W 14D 0L
|
47:38
|
1.52 ppg
Newcastle Jets
6W 10D 0L
|
39:47
|
1.04 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
42.3%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
65.6%
Both Teams Score
Yes
67.9%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Melbourne Victory
18.3%
Draw
39.4%
Newcastle Jets
42.3%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
68.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 99.4% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 99.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 97.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 96.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 95.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 85.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 85.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 80.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 75.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | No | 70.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 67.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 67.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 65.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 65.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 65.1% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | No | 64.4% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 56.3% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 56.3% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Away Win | 42.3% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 0-0 | 19.6% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
85.1%
Over 2.5
65.6%
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 0.5
3.4%
Under 1.5
14.9%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.3%
HT Draw
50.1%
HT Away Win
21.6%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
75.0%
Goals After 80'
34.9%
Goals Both Halves
67.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
5.0%
Over 11 Corners
1.0%
Home Most Corners
30.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
19.2%
Over 5 Cards
2.8%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.7%
Home More Shots
35.6%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
47.6%
Away Exceed xG
48.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
22.4%
High xG Variance
38.2%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
5.4
Total Cards
2.3