Brisbane Roar VS Melbourne Victory
Recent Form
Brisbane Roar
L
L
D
D
L
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2026
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
1 - 1
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
A-League
AAMI Park
2025
Nov 28, 2025
Brisbane Roar
VS
Melbourne Victory
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar
VS
Melbourne Victory
A-League
Suncorp Stadium
2025
Mar 1, 2025
Brisbane Roar
VS
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
VS
Melbourne Victory
A-League
Suncorp Stadium
2024
Nov 9, 2024
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
2 - 0
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
A-League
AAMI Park
2024
Apr 20, 2024
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
0 - 0
Melbourne Victory
VS
Brisbane Roar
A-League
AAMI Park
2023
Match Events
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
3'
⚽
3'
⚽
S. Klein
Assist: J. Vidic
30'
M. Valkanis
Yellow Card
31'
Yellow Card
31'
Sebastian Esposito
Yellow Card
Argument
31'
Justin Vidic
Yellow Card
Argument
35'
Yellow Card
35'
Roderick Miranda
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
M. Grimaldi
On: M. Grimaldi
Off: Clarismario
Substitution
60'
Michael Ruhs
Yellow Card
Foul
64'
⇄
G. Vrakas
On: G. Vrakas
Off: N. Maieroni
Substitution
64'
⇄
S. Klein
On: S. Klein
Off: Q. MacNicol
Substitution
64'
⇄
J. Reec
On: J. Reec
Off: N. Vergos
Substitution
64'
⇄
S. Klein
On: S. Klein
Off: Q. MacNicol
Substitution
64'
⇄
G. Vrakas
On: G. Vrakas
Off: N. Maieroni
Substitution
72'
⇄
L. D'Arrigo
On: L. D'Arrigo
Off: J. Mata
Substitution
72'
⇄
K. Jelacic
On: K. Jelacic
Off: N. Velupillay
Substitution
72'
⇄
M. Ruhs
On: M. Ruhs
Off: C. Long
Substitution
72'
⇄
K. Jelacic
On: K. Jelacic
Off: N. Velupillay
Substitution
72'
⇄
L. D'Arrigo
On: L. D'Arrigo
Off: J. Mata
Substitution
80'
⇄
J. Inserra
On: J. Inserra
Off: J. Rawlins
Substitution
85'
⇄
J. Vidic
On: J. Vidic
Off: H. Hore
Substitution
90'+8
•
Denis Genreau
Card Upgrade
90'+10
Denis Genreau
Red Card
Violent Conduct
90'+12
Dean Bouzanis
Yellow Card
Argument
Lineups
Brisbane Roar
(4-1-4-1)
Starting XI
D. Bouzanis
#1
Y. Salas
#2
D. Valkanis
#3
S. Klein
#8
G. Vrakas
#10
L. Herrington
#12
J. Vidic
#17
M. Ruhs
#19
J. McGarry
#23
J. O'Shea
#26
M. Stajic
#77
Substitutes
Melbourne Victory
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
J. Davidson
#2
J. Valadon
#8
D. Genreau
#10
M. Grimaldi
#14
S. Esposito
#15
J. Inserra
#16
J. Reec
#19
Roderick
#21
K. Jelacic
#23
J. Duncan
#25
L. D'Arrigo
#27
Substitutes
50
O. Von Schrenk
M
Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
41%
Possession
59%
11
Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
6
3
Blocked Shots
2
6
Fouls
13
8
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
6
Saves
1
307
Passes
434
211
Accurate Passes
324
69%
Pass Accuracy
75%
Team Comparison
40.9
Overall Strength
51.9
38.9%
Attacking Power
61.1%
47.6%
Defensive Strength
52.4%
36.2%
Current Form
63.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
27%
|
22%
Avg Total Goals
2.4
|
2.9
Cards Analysis
Brisbane Roar
2.4/Game
61
2
0-15'
5
16-30'
11
31-45'
11
46-60'
14
61-75'
11
76-90'
11
Melbourne Victory
1.5/Game
40
0
0-15'
3
16-30'
5
31-45'
10
46-60'
11
61-75'
5
76-90'
6
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Brisbane Roar
6W 8D 0L
|
27:36
|
1 ppg
Melbourne Victory
11W 7D 0L
|
44:34
|
1.48 ppg
2024/2025
Brisbane Roar
5W 6D 0L
|
32:51
|
0.81 ppg
Melbourne Victory
14W 7D 0L
|
48:39
|
1.63 ppg
2023/2024
Brisbane Roar
8W 6D 0L
|
42:55
|
1.11 ppg
Melbourne Victory
11W 14D 0L
|
47:38
|
1.52 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
56.1%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
60.1%
Both Teams Score
No
53.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Brisbane Roar
56.1%
Draw
39.0%
Melbourne Victory
4.9%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
71.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11 Corners | No | 99.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 99.4% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 97.3% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 80.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 74.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 66.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 60.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Home Win | 56.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 53.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-0 | 24.2% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.2%
HT Draw
50.8%
HT Away Win
22.0%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
33.1%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
2.7%
Over 11 Corners
0.4%
Home Most Corners
80.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
0.1%
Over 5 Cards
0.1%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.6%
Home More Shots
74.0%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
50.1%
Away Exceed xG
46.0%
Total xG Over 2.5
21.9%
High xG Variance
38.1%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
4.9
Total Cards
0.4
League Position
Brisbane Roar
26 Points
11
Melbourne Victory
40 Points
4