United States VS Ecuador
Q2 Stadium
Friday, Oct 10, 2025 At 20:30 Edt
Recent Form
Copa América
Match Events
United States
Ecuador
18'
Yellow Card
18'
Chris Richards
Yellow Card
Foul
24'
⚽
Enner Valencia
Assist: John Yeboah
40'
Yellow Card
40'
Miles Robinson
Yellow Card
Foul
44'
⇄
Pervis Estupiñán
On: Pervis Estupiñán
Off: Yaimar Medina
Substitution
46'
⇄
J. Yeboah
On: J. Yeboah
Off: N. Angulo
Substitution
46'
⇄
Kendry Páez
On: Kendry Páez
Off: Kevin Rodriguez
Substitution
46'
⇄
John Yeboah
On: John Yeboah
Off: Nilson Angulo
Substitution
63'
⇄
Weston McKennie
On: Weston McKennie
Off: Diego Luna
Substitution
63'
⇄
Miles Robinson
On: Miles Robinson
Off: Alexander Freeman
Substitution
71'
⚽
Folarin Balogun
Assist: Malik Tillman
73'
⇄
T. Ream
On: T. Ream
Off: M. McKenzie
Substitution
73'
⇄
Timothy Weah
On: Timothy Weah
Off: Christian Pulišić
Substitution
73'
⇄
A. Morris
On: A. Morris
Off: C. Roldan
Substitution
73'
⇄
Aidan Morris
On: Aidan Morris
Off: Cristian Roldán
Substitution
73'
⇄
Tim Ream
On: Tim Ream
Off: Mark McKenzie
Substitution
74'
⇄
Enner Valencia
On: Enner Valencia
Off: Leonardo Campana
Substitution
81'
⇄
Folarin Balogun
On: Folarin Balogun
Off: Haji Wright
Substitution
83'
Yaimar Medina
Yellow Card
Foul
84'
Yellow Card
90'
Yellow Card
90'
Willian Pacho
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
90'
⇄
Jordy Alcivar
On: Jordy Alcivar
Off: Denil Castillo
Substitution
Lineups
United States
(3-4-3)
Starting XI
D
M
F
Miles Robinson
#12
Tim Ream
#13
Malik Tillman
#17
M
Folarin Balogun
#20
Timothy Weah
#21
Aidan Morris
#23
Matthew Freese
#24
Substitutes
Ecuador
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
G
Joel Ordóñez
#4
D
D
M
John Yeboah
#9
Kendry Páez
#10
Enner Valencia
#13
Pedro Vite
#15
Ángelo Preciado
#17
Alan Franco
#21
Substitutes
Match Statistics
United States
Ecuador
66%
Possession
34%
11
Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
9
Fouls
12
8
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Offsides
2
2
Saves
5
583
Passes
303
511
Accurate Passes
224
88%
Pass Accuracy
74%
Cards Analysis
United States
1.9/Game
34
0
0-15'
1
16-30'
6
31-45'
7
46-60'
4
61-75'
6
76-90'
10
Ecuador
2.8/Game
26
2
16-30'
5
31-45'
2
46-60'
5
61-75'
7
76-90'
9
Season Comparison
2024/2025
United States — No Data Available
Ecuador
1W 2D 0L
|
5:4
|
1.25 ppg
2023/2024
United States — No Data Available
Ecuador
4W 0D 0L
|
10:6
|
2.4 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
54.6%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
60.1%
Both Teams Score
No
53.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
United States
16.5%
Draw
54.6%
Ecuador
28.8%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
71.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 99.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 95.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 90.3% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 76.4% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 71.4% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 62.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 60.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 60.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 57.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Draw | 54.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 53.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 53.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.9% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 13.3% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.2%
HT Draw
48.9%
HT Away Win
21.9%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
39.3%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
46.4%
Over 11 Corners
23.6%
Home Most Corners
62.7%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
9.7%
Over 5 Cards
0.9%
Red Card
5.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.3%
Over 25 Shots
0.3%
Over 8 On Target
71.4%
Home More Shots
57.1%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.4
Total Cards
1.7