Toluca VS Guadalajara Chivas
Recent Form
Toluca
W
D
L
?
L
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2026
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
0 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio AKRON
2026
Feb 28, 2026
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
2 - 0
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Sep 20, 2025
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
0 - 3
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio AKRON
2025
Feb 15, 2025
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
2 - 1
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Jul 6, 2024
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
0 - 0
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio AKRON
2024
Match Events
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
16'
Jesús Sánchez
Yellow Card
Foul
34'
Roberto Alvarado
Yellow Card
Foul
35'
Fernando Beltran
Yellow Card
Foul
43'
Jorge Torres
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
J. Sánchez
On: J. Sánchez
Off: C. Cisneros
Substitution
46'
⇄
Á. Zaldívar
On: Á. Zaldívar
Off: S. Ormeño
Substitution
58'
⇄
J. Sierra
On: J. Sierra
Off: L. Fernández
Substitution
64'
⇄
I. Brizuela
On: I. Brizuela
Off: A. Mozo
Substitution
76'
⇄
F. Navarro
On: F. Navarro
Off: Camilo Sanvezzo
Substitution
76'
⇄
R. Alvarado
On: R. Alvarado
Off: C. Calderón
Substitution
76'
⇄
C. González
On: C. González
Off: D. Álvarez
Substitution
77'
⇄
F. Beltrán
On: F. Beltrán
Off: R. González
Substitution
79'
Alexis Vega
Yellow Card
Argument
83'
•
Sergio Flores
Penalty Cancelled
90'+1
Fernando González
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+2
⇄
M. Ruiz
On: M. Ruiz
Off: I. Violante
Substitution
90'+2
⇄
J. Meneses
On: J. Meneses
Off: A. Rodríguez
Substitution
90'+3
Isaias Violante
Yellow Card
Foul
Lineups
Toluca
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
Tiago Volpi
#1
V. Huerta
#4
C. Guzmán
#5
J. Torres
#6
M. Ruiz
#14
J. Sierra
#15
J. Meneses
#16
F. Navarro
#18
B. Angulo
#21
C. Baeza
#23
C. González
#32
Substitutes
D
Guadalajara Chivas
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
G. Sepúlveda
#3
Á. Zaldívar
#9
A. Vega
#10
I. Brizuela
#11
J. Orozco
#13
L. Olivas
#15
J. Sánchez
#17
F. Beltrán
#20
M. Jiménez
#23
R. Alvarado
#25
S. Flores
#30
Substitutes
D
M
D
D
Match Statistics
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
66%
Possession
34%
10
Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
1
10
Fouls
8
7
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
5
1
Offsides
2
5
Saves
3
638
Passes
317
558
Accurate Passes
244
87%
Pass Accuracy
77%
Team Comparison
54.2
Overall Strength
52.1
58.2%
Attacking Power
41.8%
41.9%
Defensive Strength
58.1%
54.1%
Current Form
45.9%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
19%
|
34%
Avg Total Goals
3.2
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
Toluca
2.3/Game
95
6
0-15'
6
16-30'
13
31-45'
17
46-60'
25
61-75'
21
76-90'
19
Guadalajara Chivas
2.2/Game
85
4
0-15'
5
16-30'
13
31-45'
12
46-60'
15
61-75'
22
76-90'
22
Season Comparison
2022/2023
Toluca
21W 12D 0L
|
79:61
|
1.74 ppg
Guadalajara Chivas
17W 13D 0L
|
54:42
|
1.56 ppg
2021/2022
Toluca
11W 10D 0L
|
44:60
|
1.23 ppg
Guadalajara Chivas
13W 14D 0L
|
46:40
|
1.39 ppg
2020/2021
Toluca
13W 8D 0L
|
55:60
|
1.24 ppg
Guadalajara Chivas
15W 14D 0L
|
48:45
|
1.48 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
71.6%
Both Teams Score
Yes
70.9%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Toluca
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Guadalajara Chivas
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.6% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 88.5% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 88.5% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 79.3% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 74.1% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 71.6% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 71.6% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 70.9% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 68.1% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 67.3% | Good |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 59.7% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 58.4% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 56.8% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 56.3% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | Yes | 50.8% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | No | 50.8% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.8% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 8.4% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.6%
Over 1.5
88.5%
Over 2.5
71.6%
Over 3.5
50.8%
Under 0.5
2.5%
Under 1.5
11.5%
Under 2.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
49.2%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.2%
HT Draw
48.8%
HT Away Win
23.0%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
79.3%
Goals After 80'
40.3%
Goals Both Halves
74.1%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
56.8%
Over 11 Corners
32.7%
Home Most Corners
56.3%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.2%
Over 25 Shots
0.2%
Over 8 On Target
68.1%
Home More Shots
58.4%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
54.0%
Away Exceed xG
52.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
71.6%
High xG Variance
48.6%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.2
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Toluca
27 Points
6
Guadalajara Chivas
22 Points
9