Toluca VS Guadalajara Chivas
Recent Form
Toluca
W
D
L
?
L
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2026
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
0 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio AKRON
2026
Feb 28, 2026
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
2 - 0
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Sep 20, 2025
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
0 - 3
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio AKRON
2025
Feb 15, 2025
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
2 - 1
Toluca
VS
Guadalajara Chivas
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Jul 6, 2024
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
0 - 0
Guadalajara Chivas
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio AKRON
2024
Match Events
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
3'
•
Paulinho
Penalty Confirmed
5'
⚽
J. Gallardo
Penalty
13'
Franco Romero
Yellow Card
Foul
16'
⚽
J. Diaz
Assist: Paulinho
40'
⇄
L. Romo
On: L. Romo
Off: B. Gutierrez
Substitution
45'+7
Diego Barbosa
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
S. Simon
On: S. Simon
Off: E. del Villar
Substitution
46'
⇄
J. Castillo
On: J. Castillo
Off: S. Sandoval
Substitution
46'
⇄
E. Alvarez
On: E. Alvarez
Off: A. Sepulveda
Substitution
46'
⇄
R. Ledezma
On: R. Ledezma
Off: H. Camberos
Substitution
51'
Jesús Gallardo
Yellow Card
Foul
53'
Fernando González
Yellow Card
Foul
60'
⇄
A. Gonzalez
On: A. Gonzalez
Off: R. Marin
Substitution
64'
Daniel Aguirre
Yellow Card
Foul
67'
Ángel Sepúlveda
Yellow Card
Foul
71'
⇄
J. Diaz
On: J. Diaz
Off: Helinho
Substitution
75'
⇄
J. Angulo
On: J. Angulo
Off: P. Perez
Substitution
90'+2
Marcel Ruíz
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+3
⇄
J. Gallardo
On: J. Gallardo
Off: Luan
Substitution
90'+4
⇄
M. Ruiz
On: M. Ruiz
Off: F. Arce
Substitution
Lineups
Toluca
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
D. Barbosa
#2
Bruno Mendez
#4
F. Romero
#5
F. Pereira
#6
J. Angulo
#10
M. Ruiz
#14
S. Simon
#19
J. Gallardo
#20
L. Garcia
#22
Paulinho
#26
J. Diaz
#29
Substitutes
F
D
M
D
M
F
Guadalajara Chivas
(3-4-2-1)
Starting XI
R. Rangel
#1
J. Castillo
#2
B. Gonzalez
#5
L. Romo
#7
E. Alvarez
#10
D
D. Aguirre
#23
R. Alvarado
#25
F. Gonzalez
#28
A. Gonzalez
#34
R. Ledezma
#37
Substitutes
M
F
D
Match Statistics
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
46%
Possession
54%
12
Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
1
Blocked Shots
4
19
Fouls
15
2
Corners
4
4
Yellow Cards
3
3
Offsides
5
4
Saves
3
351
Passes
411
279
Accurate Passes
338
79%
Pass Accuracy
82%
Team Comparison
59.6
Overall Strength
56.6
51.8%
Attacking Power
48.2%
54.5%
Defensive Strength
45.5%
49.9%
Current Form
50.1%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
31%
|
35%
Avg Total Goals
2.9
|
3
Cards Analysis
Toluca
2.1/Game
82
5
0-15'
5
16-30'
14
31-45'
21
46-60'
17
61-75'
15
76-90'
15
Guadalajara Chivas
1.9/Game
74
2
0-15'
3
16-30'
8
31-45'
18
46-60'
13
61-75'
20
76-90'
14
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Toluca
22W 11D 0L
|
79:43
|
1.83 ppg
Guadalajara Chivas
21W 7D 0L
|
70:49
|
1.75 ppg
2024/2025
Toluca
24W 11D 0L
|
89:47
|
1.98 ppg
Guadalajara Chivas
12W 10D 0L
|
43:38
|
1.31 ppg
2023/2024
Toluca
14W 12D 0L
|
61:43
|
1.5 ppg
Guadalajara Chivas
19W 9D 0L
|
48:43
|
1.65 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
49.4%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
57.4%
Both Teams Score
Yes
54.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Toluca
49.4%
Draw
24.0%
Guadalajara Chivas
26.7%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
52.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 95.6% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 91.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 91.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 77.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 77.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 73.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 73.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 70.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 70.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 69.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 69.3% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 66.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 64.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 57.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 57.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 56.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 55.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 54.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 50.4% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Home Win | 49.4% | Low | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.6% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 0-0 | 21.4% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
91.3%
Over 1.5
70.0%
Over 2.5
42.6%
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 0.5
8.7%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.0%
HT Draw
48.6%
HT Away Win
22.5%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
73.1%
Goals After 80'
44.8%
Goals Both Halves
64.9%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
50.4%
Over 11 Corners
27.0%
Home Most Corners
56.5%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
66.8%
Over 5 Cards
30.7%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
4.4%
Home More Shots
69.5%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
48.4%
Away Exceed xG
47.4%
Total xG Over 2.5
20.1%
High xG Variance
37.7%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.7
Total Cards
4.6
League Position
Toluca
3 Points
3
Guadalajara Chivas
0 Points
17