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Sunderland VS Chelsea

Sunderland logo

Sunderland

T. Hume 25'
M. Gusto 50'
2-1
Full Time
Chelsea logo

Chelsea

C. Palmer 56'
Stadium of Light Sunday, May 24, 2026 At 11:00 Edt Chris Kavanagh, England
AI

Sunderland VS Chelsea — Match Preview

As the Premier League season reaches its dramatic conclusion, the Sunderland faithful at the Stadium of Light prepare for a clash of significant weight against Chelsea. For the home side, managed by Régis Le Bris, this is not merely a final fixture; it is a historic opportunity to secure European football for the first time since 1973. Currently sitting in 9th position, just one point adrift of their opponents, the Black Cats have displayed remarkable resilience in their return to the top flight.

Tactical Battles and Individual Form

The absence of Dan Ballard due to suspension leaves a considerable void in the Sunderland backline. His command of the defensive third has been central to their 11 clean sheets this season. With Omar Alderete also facing fitness concerns, the onus will fall upon N. Mukiele to marshal the defense against an unpredictable Chelsea attack. Sunderland's preference for a 4-2-3-1 setup relies heavily on the distribution of G. Xhaka in midfield, whose ability to transition from defense to attack dictates the tempo. He must find space against the aggressive pressing game often employed by the visitors.

Conversely, Chelsea arrives under the interim stewardship of Calum McFarlane, with the club already looking toward a future under incoming manager Xabi Alonso. Despite a turbulent season, Pedro Neto and C. Palmer have provided moments of genuine quality, boasting impressive form. Chelsea averages 62.5% possession and remains dangerous through the central channels. The battle between M. Caicedo and the Sunderland midfield will likely determine who controls the game's rhythm. If E. Fernández can exploit the gaps between the lines, Sunderland could find themselves forced deep into their own territory.

The Final Verdict

The statistical profile suggests a high-stakes encounter where Chelsea's superior possession metrics clash with Sunderland's efficient late-game scoring. The Black Cats are notably dangerous in the 76-90 minute window, a period where they have netted 13 goals this season. If the game remains tight as the clock nears the final quarter, the home crowd will undoubtedly sense an opening. However, the visitors have a psychological edge, and their superior xG per game indicates they have the firepower to disrupt the home team’s European aspirations. Expect a disciplined, tactical struggle that likely settles in favor of the visitors, though a draw remains a distinct possibility given the tight margins in the league table.

Match Events

Sunderland Sunderland
Chelsea Chelsea
25'
T. Hume
Assist: L. O'Nien
42'
Nilson Angulo
Yellow Card
Foul
50'
M. Gusto
Own Goal
51'
Lutsharel Geertruida
Yellow Card
52'
Lutsharel Geertruida
Yellow Card
53'
J. Hato
On: J. Hato Off: R. James
Substitution
54'
Wesley Fofana
Yellow Card
Foul
56'
C. Palmer
Assist: P. Neto
61'
B. Brobbey
On: B. Brobbey Off: W. Isidor
Substitution
61'
N. Angulo
On: N. Angulo Off: H. Diarra
Substitution
61'
N. Angulo
On: N. Angulo Off: H. Diarra
Substitution
61'
B. Brobbey
On: B. Brobbey Off: W. Isidor
Substitution
62'
Wesley Fofana
Yellow Card
Foul
62'
Wesley Fofana
Red Card
Foul
65'
P. Neto
On: P. Neto Off: T. Chalobah
Substitution
69'
Enzo Fernández
Yellow Card
Foul
70'
E. Fernandez
Yellow Card
Holding
73'
Granit Xhaka
Yellow Card
Foul
81'
Habib Diarra
Yellow Card
Foul
85'
M. Caicedo
On: M. Caicedo Off: L. Delap
Substitution
85'
M. Gusto
On: M. Gusto Off: J. Acheampong
Substitution
89'
Noah Sadiki
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
90'+7
João Pedro
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+8
E. Le Fee
On: E. Le Fee Off: C. Rigg
Substitution
90'+11
Cole Palmer
Yellow Card
Argument

Lineups

Sunderland Sunderland (4-2-3-1)

Starting XI
F
N. Angulo
N. Angulo #10
M
L. O'Nien
L. O'Nien #13
D
D
D
R. Roefs
R. Roefs #22
G
N. Sadiki
N. Sadiki #27
M
E. Le Fee
E. Le Fee #28
M
T. Hume
T. Hume #32
M
G. Xhaka
G. Xhaka #34
M

Chelsea Chelsea (3-4-1-2)

Starting XI
G
D
P. Neto
P. Neto #7
F
C. Palmer
C. Palmer #10
F
F
J. Hato
J. Hato #21
D
M
M. Gusto
M. Gusto #27
M
W. Fofana
W. Fofana #29
D

Match Statistics

Sunderland Sunderland
Chelsea Chelsea
44% Possession 56%
21 Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Blocked Shots 2
15 Fouls 12
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
346 Passes 452
285 Accurate Passes 376
82% Pass Accuracy 83%

Team Comparison

46.7
Overall Strength
48.8
42% Attacking Power 58%
52% Defensive Strength 48%
50% Current Form 50%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Sunderland Sunderland
Chelsea Chelsea
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
29% | 24%
Avg Total Goals
2.4 | 2.9

Cards Analysis

Sunderland 1.9/Game
70
2
0-15'
1
16-30'
9
31-45'
13
46-60'
19
61-75'
15
76-90'
15
Chelsea 2.4/Game
82
8
0-15'
8
16-30'
10
31-45'
9
46-60'
14
61-75'
24
76-90'
25

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Sunderland
14W 12D 0L | 42:48 | 1.42 ppg
Chelsea
14W 10D 0L | 58:52 | 1.37 ppg
2024/2025
Sunderland
23W 14D 0L | 63:47 | 1.69 ppg
Chelsea
1W 0D 0L | 5:2 | 1.5 ppg
2023/2024
Sunderland
16W 8D 0L | 52:54 | 1.22 ppg
Chelsea
2W 1D 0L | 7:4 | 2.33 ppg
AI

Sunderland VS Chelsea — Match Analysis

As the Premier League season reaches its dramatic conclusion, the Sunderland faithful at the Stadium of Light prepare for a clash of significant weight against Chelsea. For the home side, managed by Régis Le Bris, this is not merely a final fixture; it is a historic opportunity to secure European football for the first time since 1973. Currently sitting in 9th position, just one point adrift of their opponents, the Black Cats have displayed remarkable resilience in their return to the top flight.

Tactical Battles and Individual Form

The absence of Dan Ballard due to suspension leaves a considerable void in the Sunderland backline. His command of the defensive third has been central to their 11 clean sheets this season. With Omar Alderete also facing fitness concerns, the onus will fall upon N. Mukiele to marshal the defense against an unpredictable Chelsea attack. Sunderland's preference for a 4-2-3-1 setup relies heavily on the distribution of G. Xhaka in midfield, whose ability to transition from defense to attack dictates the tempo. He must find space against the aggressive pressing game often employed by the visitors.

Conversely, Chelsea arrives under the interim stewardship of Calum McFarlane, with the club already looking toward a future under incoming manager Xabi Alonso. Despite a turbulent season, Pedro Neto and C. Palmer have provided moments of genuine quality, boasting impressive form. Chelsea averages 62.5% possession and remains dangerous through the central channels. The battle between M. Caicedo and the Sunderland midfield will likely determine who controls the game's rhythm. If E. Fernández can exploit the gaps between the lines, Sunderland could find themselves forced deep into their own territory.

The Final Verdict

The statistical profile suggests a high-stakes encounter where Chelsea's superior possession metrics clash with Sunderland's efficient late-game scoring. The Black Cats are notably dangerous in the 76-90 minute window, a period where they have netted 13 goals this season. If the game remains tight as the clock nears the final quarter, the home crowd will undoubtedly sense an opening. However, the visitors have a psychological edge, and their superior xG per game indicates they have the firepower to disrupt the home team’s European aspirations. Expect a disciplined, tactical struggle that likely settles in favor of the visitors, though a draw remains a distinct possibility given the tight margins in the league table.

Key Factors

Sunderland's European qualification incentive Absence of key defender Dan Ballard for Sunderland Chelsea's superior possession and xG metrics Sunderland's high productivity in the final 15 minutes Interim management at Chelsea during a transition period
The prediction reflects Chelsea's statistical superiority in xG and possession, though Sunderland's strong home record and high motivation make this a tightly contested fixture.

Match Result

Away Win
Confidence: 50.5%

Goals Prediction

Over 2.5
58.2%

Both Teams Score

No
52.3%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Sunderland 29.9%
Draw 19.6%
Chelsea 50.5%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
60.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 94.8% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 94.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 79.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 79.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners Yes 75.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 20 Shots No 75.0% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 25 Shots No 75.0% Good ✕ Wrong
Goal Before 15' No 74.8% Good ✓ Correct
Home More Shots Yes 72.6% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 65.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 65.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals in First 30' Yes 63.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 61.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals No 58.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 58.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners Yes 53.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home Most Corners Yes 53.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score No 52.3% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 8 Shots on Target Yes 51.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves Yes 50.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Match Result Away Win 50.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 47.5% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 1-1 13.0% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
94.8%
Over 1.5
79.3%
Over 2.5
58.2%
Over 3.5
34.2%
Under 0.5
5.2%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Under 2.5
41.8%
Under 3.5
65.9%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
32.9%
HT Draw
47.5%
HT Away Win
19.6%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
63.2%
Goals After 80'
39.0%
Goals Both Halves
50.9%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
75.8%
Over 11 Corners
53.8%
Home Most Corners
53.8%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
0.1%
Over 5 Cards
0.1%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
25.0%
Over 25 Shots
25.0%
Over 8 On Target
51.8%
Home More Shots
72.6%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.5%
Away Exceed xG
50.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
43.0%
High xG Variance
42.0%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
12.0
Total Cards
0.0

Frequently Asked Questions about Sunderland vs Chelsea