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St. Truiden VS Anderlecht

St. Truiden logo

St. Truiden

K. Goto 75'
R. Merlen 90'
2-0
Full Time
Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium Thursday, Apr 23, 2026 At 14:45 Edt Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
AI

St. Truiden VS Anderlecht — Match Preview

Tactical Divergence at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium

The stakes for the upcoming fixture at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium between St. Truiden and Anderlecht are defined by contrasting desperation. For St. Truiden, under the guidance of manager Wouter Vrancken, the mission is to arrest a worrying slide that has seen the team collect only a handful of points recently. Sitting at #3 in the Jupiler Pro League, their recent form—DLLLL—is nothing short of alarming for a squad that held such high aspirations earlier this term. Their reliance on K. Goto, who has contributed 10 goals and 5 assists, remains their primary offensive outlet, but the team’s failure to secure points in four consecutive outings indicates a deeper struggle in managing the transition phase.

Conversely, Anderlecht travels to St.-Trond following a morale-boosting 1-2 victory over KV Mechelen and a 3-1 win over Gent. Interim manager Jérémy Taravel has seemingly instilled a more disciplined defensive structure since taking the helm in February. While they remain lower in the table at #6, their recent momentum contrasts sharply with the hosts. T. Hazard continues to be the creative heartbeat, having registered 11 goals and 6 assists. With Anderlecht holding a historical psychological edge—winning 10 of the 20 recorded meetings—the visiting side enters this encounter with the structural confidence that St. Truiden currently lacks.

Surface and Strategy

The artificial surface at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium frequently rewards teams with superior technical ball retention. Anderlecht historically averages higher possession (54.3%) compared to the hosts (45.7%), a statistic that will be critical in dictating the tempo of the game. Wouter Vrancken will likely look to deploy his preferred 4-2-3-1 to exploit space behind Anderlecht’s high line, particularly in the final 15 minutes where St. Truiden has historically been most lethal, netting 14 goals between minutes 76-90. However, Jérémy Taravel’s side is equally capable of executing late, as Anderlecht also records their peak scoring output in that same final quarter-hour.

Discipline will remain paramount. The fixture history shows a moderate disciplinary record with 3.1 cards per match, but given the intensity of the current standings and the pressure on both teams, the referee’s threshold for tactical fouls could well determine the complexion of the game. St. Truiden needs to find an immediate solution for their defensive fragility, while Anderlecht must prove that their recent resurgence is sustainable on the road against a desperate home opponent.

Verdict

The form guide dictates the outcome here. While St. Truiden possesses individual quality in R. Ito and K. Goto, the consistency of Anderlecht under Jérémy Taravel, combined with the visitors' recent winning momentum, suggests the away side will capitalize on the hosts' current vulnerabilities. Expect a tactical, closely contested affair where the visitors' superior organization eventually breaks down the home side's resolve. The prediction leans toward an away victory.

Match Events

St. Truiden St. Truiden
Anderlecht Anderlecht
9'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Yellow Card
Foul
66'
Moussa Diarra
Yellow Card
Foul
66'
J. Pupe
On: J. Pupe Off: S. Jukleroed
Substitution
70'
A. Maamar
On: A. Maamar Off: I. Camara
Substitution
70'
Y. Verschaeren
On: Y. Verschaeren Off: T. Hazard
Substitution
70'
Y. Verschaeren
On: Y. Verschaeren Off: T. Hazard
Substitution
70'
A. Maamar
On: A. Maamar Off: I. Camara
Substitution
71'
R. Yamamoto
On: R. Yamamoto Off: R. Merlen
Substitution
75'
K. Goto
Assist: R. Ito
80'
A. Bertaccini
On: A. Bertaccini Off: C. da Costa
Substitution
85'
K. Matsuzawa
On: K. Matsuzawa Off: O. Diouf
Substitution
85'
K. Goto
On: K. Goto Off: L. Mbe Soh
Substitution
85'
E. Llansana
On: E. Llansana Off: K. Nga
Substitution
85'
K. Goto
On: K. Goto Off: L. Mbe Soh
Substitution
85'
K. Matsuzawa
On: K. Matsuzawa Off: O. Diouf
Substitution
90'
R. Merlen
Assist: I. Sebaoui

Lineups

Match Statistics

St. Truiden St. Truiden
Anderlecht Anderlecht
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Blocked Shots 7
8 Fouls 9
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
1 Offsides 1
5 Saves 5
483 Passes 400
404 Accurate Passes 310
84% Pass Accuracy 78%

Team Comparison

56.4
Overall Strength
46.8
50.8% Attacking Power 49.2%
57.4% Defensive Strength 42.6%
59.5% Current Form 40.5%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

St. Truiden St. Truiden
Anderlecht Anderlecht
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
25% | 25%
Avg Total Goals
2.7 | 3.1

Cards Analysis

St. Truiden 1.4/Game
53
3
0-15'
6
16-30'
7
31-45'
4
46-60'
14
61-75'
10
76-90'
15
Anderlecht 2.3/Game
86
7
0-15'
3
16-30'
15
31-45'
15
46-60'
21
61-75'
19
76-90'
20

Season Comparison

2025/2026
St. Truiden
22W 5D 0L | 61:46 | 1.78 ppg
Anderlecht
15W 10D 0L | 59:62 | 1.38 ppg
2023/2024
St. Truiden
13W 14D 0L | 49:61 | 1.33 ppg
Anderlecht — No Data Available
AI

St. Truiden VS Anderlecht — Match Analysis

Tactical Divergence at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium

The stakes for the upcoming fixture at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium between St. Truiden and Anderlecht are defined by contrasting desperation. For St. Truiden, under the guidance of manager Wouter Vrancken, the mission is to arrest a worrying slide that has seen the team collect only a handful of points recently. Sitting at #3 in the Jupiler Pro League, their recent form—DLLLL—is nothing short of alarming for a squad that held such high aspirations earlier this term. Their reliance on K. Goto, who has contributed 10 goals and 5 assists, remains their primary offensive outlet, but the team’s failure to secure points in four consecutive outings indicates a deeper struggle in managing the transition phase.

Conversely, Anderlecht travels to St.-Trond following a morale-boosting 1-2 victory over KV Mechelen and a 3-1 win over Gent. Interim manager Jérémy Taravel has seemingly instilled a more disciplined defensive structure since taking the helm in February. While they remain lower in the table at #6, their recent momentum contrasts sharply with the hosts. T. Hazard continues to be the creative heartbeat, having registered 11 goals and 6 assists. With Anderlecht holding a historical psychological edge—winning 10 of the 20 recorded meetings—the visiting side enters this encounter with the structural confidence that St. Truiden currently lacks.

Surface and Strategy

The artificial surface at the Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium frequently rewards teams with superior technical ball retention. Anderlecht historically averages higher possession (54.3%) compared to the hosts (45.7%), a statistic that will be critical in dictating the tempo of the game. Wouter Vrancken will likely look to deploy his preferred 4-2-3-1 to exploit space behind Anderlecht’s high line, particularly in the final 15 minutes where St. Truiden has historically been most lethal, netting 14 goals between minutes 76-90. However, Jérémy Taravel’s side is equally capable of executing late, as Anderlecht also records their peak scoring output in that same final quarter-hour.

Discipline will remain paramount. The fixture history shows a moderate disciplinary record with 3.1 cards per match, but given the intensity of the current standings and the pressure on both teams, the referee’s threshold for tactical fouls could well determine the complexion of the game. St. Truiden needs to find an immediate solution for their defensive fragility, while Anderlecht must prove that their recent resurgence is sustainable on the road against a desperate home opponent.

Verdict

The form guide dictates the outcome here. While St. Truiden possesses individual quality in R. Ito and K. Goto, the consistency of Anderlecht under Jérémy Taravel, combined with the visitors' recent winning momentum, suggests the away side will capitalize on the hosts' current vulnerabilities. Expect a tactical, closely contested affair where the visitors' superior organization eventually breaks down the home side's resolve. The prediction leans toward an away victory.

Key Factors

St. Truiden's poor form (DLLLL) versus Anderlecht's recent wins Anderlecht's superior historical H2H record (10W vs 3W) Management pressure on Wouter Vrancken following the recent slide The impact of the artificial turf on Anderlecht's possession-based style High late-game scoring output for both sides (76-90 min)
The 59.8% confidence rating reflects the marked disparity in recent form and the historical head-to-head advantage held by the away team.

Match Result

Away Win
Confidence: 59.8%

Goals Prediction

Over 2.5
66.0%

Both Teams Score

Yes
72.1%

Match Outcome Probabilities

St. Truiden 4.4%
Draw 35.8%
Anderlecht 59.8%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
48.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 97.4% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 96.6% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 96.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 8 Shots on Target No 95.7% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 85.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 85.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 81.4% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 73.8% Good ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 73.4% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score Yes 72.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 11 Corners No 69.5% Good ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 66.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals No 66.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 65.6% Good ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves Yes 65.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Away Win 59.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home Most Corners Yes 57.9% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home More Shots Yes 56.9% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 3.5 Goals No 55.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 55.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners Yes 54.5% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 0-1 16.1% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
85.3%
Over 2.5
66.0%
Over 3.5
44.1%
Under 0.5
3.4%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Under 2.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
55.9%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
29.8%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
20.2%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
73.4%
Goals After 80'
34.4%
Goals Both Halves
65.5%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
54.5%
Over 11 Corners
30.6%
Home Most Corners
57.9%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
18.6%
Over 5 Cards
2.6%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
4.3%
Home More Shots
56.9%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
48.1%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
30.7%
High xG Variance
39.7%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
10.0
Total Cards
2.2

Frequently Asked Questions about St. Truiden vs Anderlecht