Sao Paulo VS Gremio
Recent Form
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2026
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
2 - 0
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
Serie A
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)
2026
Oct 16, 2025
Gremio
VS
Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Gremio
VS
Sao Paulo
Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
2025
May 17, 2025
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
2 - 1
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
Serie A
MorumBIS
2025
Dec 1, 2024
Gremio
VS
Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Gremio
VS
Sao Paulo
Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
2024
Jul 17, 2024
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
1 - 0
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
Serie A
MorumBIS
2024
Match Events
Sao Paulo
Gremio
22'
Weverton
Yellow Card
Elbowing
23'
⚽
Lucas Moura
Penalty
24'
⚽
Lucas Moura
Penalty
32'
⇄
D. Bobadilla
On: D. Bobadilla
Off: Pablo Maia
Substitution
40'
⇄
Edenilson
On: Edenilson
Off: Willian
Substitution
43'
Luciano
Yellow Card
Foul
45'
Luciano
Yellow Card
Foul
45'+4
Pablo Maia
Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike Conduct
45'+5
Wagner Leonardo
Yellow Card
Tripping
47'
Wagner Leonardo
Yellow Card
Holding
47'
Wagner Leonardo
Red Card
Holding
52'
⇄
F. Amuzu
On: F. Amuzu
Off: Gustavo Martins
Substitution
53'
⇄
F. Amuzu
On: F. Amuzu
Off: Gustavo Martins
Substitution
59'
⚽
Jonathan Calleri
Assist: Luciano
63'
❌
Luciano
Assist: Luciano
Missed Penalty
64'
❌
Luciano
Assist: Luciano
Missed Penalty
68'
⇄
Carlos Vinicius
On: Carlos Vinicius
Off: Andre Henrique
Substitution
68'
⇄
Joao Pedro
On: Joao Pedro
Off: J. Enamorado
Substitution
68'
⇄
Tete
On: Tete
Off: C. Pavon
Substitution
68'
⇄
Joao Pedro
On: Joao Pedro
Off: J. Enamorado
Substitution
68'
⇄
Carlos Vinicius
On: Carlos Vinicius
Off: Andre Henrique
Substitution
69'
⇄
Joao Pedro
On: Joao Pedro
Off: J. Enamorado
Substitution
70'
⇄
Tete
On: Tete
Off: C. Pavon
Substitution
70'
⇄
A. Franco
On: A. Franco
Off: G. Tapia
Substitution
71'
⇄
Lucas Moura
On: Lucas Moura
Off: N. Ferraresi
Substitution
85'
⇄
Luciano
On: Luciano
Off: Ferreira
Substitution
85'
⇄
Marcos Antonio
On: Marcos Antonio
Off: Pedro Ferreira
Substitution
85'
⇄
Marcos Antonio
On: Marcos Antonio
Off: Pedro Ferreira
Substitution
85'
⇄
Luciano
On: Luciano
Off: Ferreira
Substitution
90'+5
Andre Henrique
Yellow Card
Foul
Lineups
Sao Paulo
(4-3-1-2)
Starting XI
Lucas Moura
#7
M
F
Luciano
#10
E. Diaz
#13
D. Bobadilla
#16
Lucas Ramon
#19
Lucas Ramon
#19
Rafael
#23
A. Franco
#28
Sabino
#35
Danielzinho
#94
Substitutes
D
F
F
D
D
Gremio
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
Weverton
#1
D
D
Edenilson
#8
F. Amuzu
#9
Joao Pedro
#18
E. Noriega
#19
Tete
#21
Marlon
#23
Arthur Melo
#29
Carlos Vinicius
#95
Substitutes
F
M
M
M
Match Statistics
Sao Paulo
Gremio
58%
Possession
42%
18
Shots
5
4
Shots on Target
1
2
Blocked Shots
0
11
Fouls
16
3
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
0
1
Saves
2
516
Passes
381
463
Accurate Passes
318
90%
Pass Accuracy
83%
Team Comparison
47.2
Overall Strength
46.4
47.8%
Attacking Power
52.2%
51.5%
Defensive Strength
48.5%
51.9%
Current Form
48.1%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
32%
|
18%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
2.5
Cards Analysis
Sao Paulo
2.2/Game
81
2
0-15'
2
16-30'
12
31-45'
15
46-60'
17
61-75'
18
76-90'
19
Gremio
2.4/Game
88
3
0-15'
3
16-30'
14
31-45'
17
46-60'
22
61-75'
19
76-90'
16
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Sao Paulo
14W 9D 0L
|
43:47
|
1.34 ppg
Gremio
13W 10D 0L
|
47:50
|
1.29 ppg
2023/2024
Sao Paulo
14W 11D 0L
|
40:38
|
1.39 ppg
Gremio
21W 5D 0L
|
63:56
|
1.79 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
54.7%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
50.8%
Both Teams Score
Yes
54.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Sao Paulo
18.2%
Draw
27.1%
Gremio
54.7%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
45.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 96.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 94.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 93.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 93.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 78.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 75.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 75.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 71.9% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 71.4% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 71.4% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 64.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 64.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 63.9% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 11 Corners | Yes | 57.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 54.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Away Win | 54.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | No | 52.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 51.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 50.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 50.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 49.7% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 0-0 | 19.0% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
93.3%
Over 1.5
75.1%
Over 2.5
50.8%
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 0.5
6.7%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Under 2.5
49.2%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.2%
HT Draw
49.7%
HT Away Win
22.1%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
63.9%
Goals After 80'
35.6%
Goals Both Halves
51.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
78.8%
Over 11 Corners
57.9%
Home Most Corners
64.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
28.2%
Over 5 Cards
5.5%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
3.5%
Home More Shots
47.9%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
47.6%
Away Exceed xG
48.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
23.2%
High xG Variance
38.3%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
12.4
Total Cards
2.7
League Position
Sao Paulo
25 Points
8
Gremio
21 Points
15