Recent Form
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2026
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
2 - 0
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
Serie A
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)
2026
Oct 16, 2025
Gremio
VS
Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Gremio
VS
Sao Paulo
Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
2025
May 17, 2025
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
2 - 1
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
Serie A
MorumBIS
2025
Dec 1, 2024
Gremio
VS
Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Gremio
VS
Sao Paulo
Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
2024
Jul 17, 2024
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
1 - 0
Sao Paulo
VS
Gremio
Serie A
MorumBIS
2024
Match Events
Sao Paulo
Gremio
10'
⚽
Lucas Moura
Assist: Alisson
23'
Pepê
Yellow Card
Foul
31'
Mathias Villasanti
Yellow Card
Foul
38'
Igor Vinícius
Yellow Card
Foul
41'
Lucas Moura
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
Everton Galdino
On: Everton Galdino
Off: Nathan
Substitution
46'
⇄
Pepê
On: Pepê
Off: F. Carballo
Substitution
55'
⇄
Alisson
On: Alisson
Off: Wellington Rato
Substitution
64'
⇄
Lucas Moura
On: Lucas Moura
Off: Rodrigo Nestor
Substitution
64'
⇄
Luciano
On: Luciano
Off: G. Galoppo
Substitution
69'
⇄
J. Calleri
On: J. Calleri
Off: André Silva
Substitution
74'
⇄
Dodi
On: Dodi
Off: Gustavo Nunes
Substitution
75'
⇄
C. Pavón
On: C. Pavón
Off: Nathan Fernandes
Substitution
78'
Rafael
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
80'
Nathan Fernandes
Yellow Card
Foul
88'
⇄
Natã
On: Natã
Off: Ronald
Substitution
90'+1
Welington
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
90'+9
Igor Vinícius
Red Card
Time Wasting
90'+9
Igor Vinícius
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
90'+13
Ferreira
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
Lineups
Sao Paulo
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
D
R. Arboleda
#5
Welington
#6
Lucas Moura
#7
J. Calleri
#9
Luciano
#10
D. Bobadilla
#21
Rafael
#23
Alisson
#25
N. Ferraresi
#32
Ferreira
#47
Substitutes
D
F
F
D
D
F
G
Gremio
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
A. Marchesín
#1
Rodrigo Ely
#5
Reinaldo
#6
Y. Soteldo
#7
Everton Galdino
#13
Dodi
#17
João Pedro
#18
M. Villasanti
#20
C. Pavón
#21
Pepê
#23
Natã
#36
Substitutes
D
D
M
D
M
Match Statistics
Sao Paulo
Gremio
55%
Possession
45%
14
Shots
19
8
Shots on Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
7
16
Fouls
8
8
Corners
9
6
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
5
Saves
7
468
Passes
391
395
Accurate Passes
322
84%
Pass Accuracy
82%
Team Comparison
48.9
Overall Strength
54.3
38.8%
Attacking Power
61.2%
59.6%
Defensive Strength
40.4%
40%
Current Form
60%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
39%
|
21%
Avg Total Goals
2.1
|
3.2
Cards Analysis
Sao Paulo
2.3/Game
85
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
17
31-45'
6
46-60'
26
61-75'
15
76-90'
20
Gremio
2.4/Game
89
3
0-15'
2
16-30'
12
31-45'
16
46-60'
22
61-75'
14
76-90'
26
Season Comparison
2023/2024
Sao Paulo
14W 11D 0L
|
40:38
|
1.39 ppg
Gremio
21W 5D 0L
|
63:56
|
1.79 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
34.5%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
58.1%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60.5%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Sao Paulo
31.6%
Draw
33.9%
Gremio
34.5%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 95.1% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 95.1% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 80.4% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 80.4% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 74.6% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 68.7% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 67.2% | Good |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 64.3% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 64.3% | Fair |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 62.9% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 61.2% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 60.5% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 58.1% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 58.1% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 57.4% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 54.8% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 51.2% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.7% | Fair |
| Match Result | Away Win | 34.5% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 11.1% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
95.1%
Over 1.5
80.4%
Over 2.5
58.1%
Over 3.5
35.7%
Under 0.5
4.9%
Under 1.5
19.6%
Under 2.5
41.9%
Under 3.5
64.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.5%
HT Draw
50.7%
HT Away Win
20.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
74.6%
Goals After 80'
31.3%
Goals Both Halves
67.2%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
61.2%
Over 11 Corners
37.1%
Home Most Corners
57.4%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
51.2%
Home More Shots
54.8%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
52.0%
Away Exceed xG
51.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
58.1%
High xG Variance
45.1%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.6
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Sao Paulo
59 Points
6
Gremio
45 Points
14