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Nancy VS Annecy

Nancy logo

Nancy

M. Experience 76'
1-5
Full Time
Annecy logo

Annecy

M. S. Dion 21'
C. Billemaz 27'
M. S. Dion 53'
C. Billemaz 59'
A. Larose 88'
Stade Marcel-Picot Friday, Apr 17, 2026 At 14:00 Edt Azzedine Souifi, France
AI

Nancy VS Annecy — Match Preview

Tactical Analysis: Efficiency in the Final Third

At the Stade Marcel-Picot, Nancy find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 15th in Ligue 2 and desperate for points. Under the guidance of manager Pablo Correa, the side has struggled with consistency, particularly in their ability to convert chances into goals. With 13 matches this season where they failed to find the net, their offensive output is heavily dependent on specific moments rather than sustained pressure. Their expected goals (xG) metrics highlight a team that struggles to break down organized defenses, often relying on bursts of activity in the opening 15 minutes to gain an early foothold.

Conversely, Annecy, managed by Laurent Guyot, arrives with a more structured approach. Their preference for a 3-4-3 formation allows them to control the width and build from the back, utilizing players like Clément Billemaz, who currently leads the league in big chances created. While Annecy sits 8th in the table, their away record indicates a side capable of finding the back of the net, even if their conversion rate fluctuates. The key for Annecy will be to exploit the defensive vulnerabilities of Nancy during the crucial 46-60 minute window, where the hosts have proven particularly susceptible to conceding.

Midfield Battles and Tactical Nuance

The central midfield engagement will likely define the outcome of this encounter. Nancy will look to Zakaria Fdaouch to act as the primary catalyst for their attack, balancing his creativity with the defensive work rate of Teddy Bouriaud. Given the aggressive, high-card nature of their previous head-to-head encounters, where discipline has historically been an issue, midfield control will be as much about tactical fouls and breaking up play as it is about progression. For Annecy, Antoine Kashi provides the necessary stability to allow their wing-backs and attackers to push forward. If the visitors can manage the transition game effectively, they should find success exploiting spaces left behind by the hosts' wing-backs.

Data points suggest that possession has typically favored Annecy in their previous outings against the hosts, and controlling the rhythm of this match will be vital to stifling the crowd and minimizing the opportunities for the home side to capitalize on early-match momentum. With Antoine Larose returning to the squad, the attacking threat for the visitors is significantly bolstered, placing immediate pressure on the Nancy backline to maintain concentration for the full 90 minutes.

Verdict

The statistical profile favors the visitors despite their mid-table status. Nancy are fighting for survival, but their struggle to generate consistent attacking threat against disciplined opponents like Annecy is a significant concern. The visitors possess greater tactical cohesion and the individual quality in the final third to punish errors. Expect Annecy to dictate the pace and secure a narrow victory, compounding the difficulties for the hosts.

Match Events

Nancy Nancy
Annecy Annecy
21'
M. S. Dion
Assist: C. Billemaz
27'
C. Billemaz
28'
Zakaria Fdaouch
Yellow Card
Argument
39'
Axel Drouhin
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
J. Bourgault
On: J. Bourgault Off: M. Experience
Substitution
46'
M. Carlier
On: M. Carlier Off: R. Bamba
Substitution
46'
M. Carlier
On: M. Carlier Off: R. Bamba
Substitution
46'
J. Bourgault
On: J. Bourgault Off: M. Experience
Substitution
53'
M. S. Dion
Assist: A. Larose
59'
C. Billemaz
Assist: A. Larose
62'
E. Tacafred
On: E. Tacafred Off: N. Saint-Ruf
Substitution
62'
Z. Ztouti
On: Z. Ztouti Off: P. Ouotro
Substitution
62'
Z. Ztouti
On: Z. Ztouti Off: P. Ouotro
Substitution
62'
E. Tacafred
On: E. Tacafred Off: N. Saint-Ruf
Substitution
63'
Z. Fdaouch
On: Z. Fdaouch Off: J. Evans
Substitution
67'
M. S. Dion
On: M. S. Dion Off: B. Toure
Substitution
68'
T. Rambaud
On: T. Rambaud Off: A. Gomes
Substitution
71'
C. Billemaz
On: C. Billemaz Off: V. Jacob
Substitution
71'
P. Venot
On: P. Venot Off: A. Casadei
Substitution
76'
M. Experience
Assist: T. Bouriaud
87'
A. Drouhin
On: A. Drouhin Off: T. Delphis
Substitution
88'
A. Larose
Assist: A. Casadei

Match Statistics

Nancy Nancy
Annecy Annecy
49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Blocked Shots 2
11 Fouls 23
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
4 Offsides 3
3 Saves 0
381 Passes 406
276 Accurate Passes 313
72% Pass Accuracy 77%

Team Comparison

40
Overall Strength
52.6
0% Attacking Power 100%
100% Defensive Strength 0%
0% Current Form 100%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Nancy Nancy
Annecy Annecy
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
0% | 32%
Avg Total Goals
0 | 2.5

Cards Analysis

Nancy 2.6/Game
102
9
0-15'
6
16-30'
18
31-45'
15
46-60'
18
61-75'
28
76-90'
26
Annecy 2.1/Game
70
2
0-15'
9
16-30'
13
31-45'
10
46-60'
15
61-75'
11
76-90'
14

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Nancy — No Data Available
Annecy
15W 7D 0L | 49:39 | 1.53 ppg
2024/2025
Nancy — No Data Available
Annecy
14W 9D 0L | 42:43 | 1.5 ppg
2023/2024
Nancy — No Data Available
Annecy
12W 10D 0L | 49:50 | 1.21 ppg
AI

Nancy VS Annecy — Match Analysis

Tactical Analysis: Efficiency in the Final Third

At the Stade Marcel-Picot, Nancy find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 15th in Ligue 2 and desperate for points. Under the guidance of manager Pablo Correa, the side has struggled with consistency, particularly in their ability to convert chances into goals. With 13 matches this season where they failed to find the net, their offensive output is heavily dependent on specific moments rather than sustained pressure. Their expected goals (xG) metrics highlight a team that struggles to break down organized defenses, often relying on bursts of activity in the opening 15 minutes to gain an early foothold.

Conversely, Annecy, managed by Laurent Guyot, arrives with a more structured approach. Their preference for a 3-4-3 formation allows them to control the width and build from the back, utilizing players like Clément Billemaz, who currently leads the league in big chances created. While Annecy sits 8th in the table, their away record indicates a side capable of finding the back of the net, even if their conversion rate fluctuates. The key for Annecy will be to exploit the defensive vulnerabilities of Nancy during the crucial 46-60 minute window, where the hosts have proven particularly susceptible to conceding.

Midfield Battles and Tactical Nuance

The central midfield engagement will likely define the outcome of this encounter. Nancy will look to Zakaria Fdaouch to act as the primary catalyst for their attack, balancing his creativity with the defensive work rate of Teddy Bouriaud. Given the aggressive, high-card nature of their previous head-to-head encounters, where discipline has historically been an issue, midfield control will be as much about tactical fouls and breaking up play as it is about progression. For Annecy, Antoine Kashi provides the necessary stability to allow their wing-backs and attackers to push forward. If the visitors can manage the transition game effectively, they should find success exploiting spaces left behind by the hosts' wing-backs.

Data points suggest that possession has typically favored Annecy in their previous outings against the hosts, and controlling the rhythm of this match will be vital to stifling the crowd and minimizing the opportunities for the home side to capitalize on early-match momentum. With Antoine Larose returning to the squad, the attacking threat for the visitors is significantly bolstered, placing immediate pressure on the Nancy backline to maintain concentration for the full 90 minutes.

Verdict

The statistical profile favors the visitors despite their mid-table status. Nancy are fighting for survival, but their struggle to generate consistent attacking threat against disciplined opponents like Annecy is a significant concern. The visitors possess greater tactical cohesion and the individual quality in the final third to punish errors. Expect Annecy to dictate the pace and secure a narrow victory, compounding the difficulties for the hosts.

Key Factors

Nancy's poor conversion rate (13 matches without scoring) Annecy's superior chance creation led by Clément Billemaz Nancy's defensive vulnerability in the 46-60 minute window Annecy's tactical stability with the 3-4-3 formation High disciplinary tension and card risk in head-to-head history
The prediction is based on the significant disparity in offensive efficiency and structural stability between the two teams, though the narrow confidence reflects Nancy's desperation and home advantage.

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 43.3%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
50.8%

Both Teams Score

No
53.8%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Nancy 43.3%
Draw 37.6%
Annecy 19.1%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
45.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 92.9% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 92.9% Good ✓ Correct
Over 20 Shots No 88.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 25 Shots No 88.5% Good ✓ Correct
Home More Shots Yes 80.0% Good ✕ Wrong
Goal Before 15' No 79.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 74.0% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 74.0% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 72.7% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 72.7% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 71.4% Good ✓ Correct
Over 8 Shots on Target No 71.0% Good ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 69.6% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 63.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Both Teams Score No 53.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 9 Corners Yes 52.3% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 2.5 Goals No 50.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 50.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Home Win 43.3% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 1-0 18.1% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
92.9%
Over 1.5
74.0%
Over 2.5
49.2%
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 0.5
7.1%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Under 3.5
72.7%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
28.7%
HT Draw
50.8%
HT Away Win
20.5%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
30.4%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
52.3%
Over 11 Corners
28.6%
Home Most Corners
63.8%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
0.1%
Over 5 Cards
0.1%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
11.5%
Over 25 Shots
11.5%
Over 8 On Target
29.0%
Home More Shots
80.0%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.2%
Away Exceed xG
47.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
25.6%
High xG Variance
38.8%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
9.9
Total Cards
0.1

Frequently Asked Questions about Nancy vs Annecy