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Milton Keynes Dons VS Accrington ST

Milton Keynes Dons logo

Milton Keynes Dons

A. Gilbey 48'
1-2
Full Time
Accrington ST logo

Accrington ST

I. Sinclair 18'
I. Sinclair 19'
C. Caton 73'
74'
Stadium mk Saturday, Sep 20, 2025 At 10:00 Edt Scott Jackson, England

Match Events

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Accrington ST Accrington ST
17'
Liam Kelly
Yellow Card
Foul
18'
I. Sinclair
Assist: T. Walton
19'
I. Sinclair
Assist: T. Walton
27'
Isaac Heath
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
38'
Seamus Conneely
Yellow Card
Foul
38'
Yellow Card
44'
Yellow Card
45'
Luke Offord
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
L. Kelly
On: L. Kelly Off: W. Collar
Substitution
48'
A. Gilbey
52'
Connor Lemonheigh-Evans
Yellow Card
Foul
65'
S. Conneely
On: S. Conneely Off: L. Coyle
Substitution
65'
T. Walton
On: T. Walton Off: C. Caton
Substitution
65'
T. Walton
On: T. Walton Off: C. Caton
Substitution
65'
S. Conneely
On: S. Conneely Off: L. Coyle
Substitution
73'
C. Caton
Assist: I. Heath
74'
79'
C. Brown
On: C. Brown Off: D. Love
Substitution
79'
N. Mendez-Laing
On: N. Mendez-Laing Off: L. Maguire
Substitution
79'
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
On: C. Lemonheigh-Evans Off: S. Hogan
Substitution
79'
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
On: C. Lemonheigh-Evans Off: S. Hogan
Substitution
79'
N. Mendez-Laing
On: N. Mendez-Laing Off: L. Maguire
Substitution
83'
J. Woods
On: J. Woods Off: A. Henderson
Substitution
86'
D. Crowley
On: D. Crowley Off: K. Thompson-Sommers
Substitution
87'
R. Hepburn-Murphy
On: R. Hepburn-Murphy Off: J. Leko
Substitution
87'
D. Crowley
On: D. Crowley Off: K. Thompson-Sommers
Substitution
87'
R. Hepburn-Murphy
On: R. Hepburn-Murphy Off: J. Leko
Substitution
87'
D. Crowley
On: D. Crowley Off: K. Thompson-Sommers
Substitution
90'+5
Yellow Card
90'+5
Red Card
90'+5
Alex Gilbey
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+5
Luke Offord
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+5
Luke Offord
Red Card
Foul

Lineups

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons (4-3-3)

Accrington ST Accrington ST (3-4-1-2)

Starting XI
F
O. Wright
O. Wright #13
B. Ward
B. Ward #14
D
M
C. Brown
C. Brown #20
M
T. Walton
T. Walton #23
F
J. Smith
J. Smith #25
D
M
M
I. Heath
I. Heath #30
J. Woods
J. Woods #39
F

Match Statistics

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Accrington ST Accrington ST
54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Blocked Shots 4
14 Fouls 7
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
4 Offsides 1
4 Saves 2
381 Passes 315
259 Accurate Passes 196
68% Pass Accuracy 62%

Team Comparison

59.9
Overall Strength
44.2
64.7% Attacking Power 35.3%
56.3% Defensive Strength 43.7%
63.2% Current Form 36.8%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Accrington ST Accrington ST
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
33% | 26%
Avg Total Goals
2.9 | 2.3

Cards Analysis

Milton Keynes Dons 1.8/Game
77
4
0-15'
5
16-30'
9
31-45'
12
46-60'
22
61-75'
20
76-90'
13
Accrington ST 1.9/Game
83
4
0-15'
6
16-30'
12
31-45'
12
46-60'
10
61-75'
29
76-90'
18

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Milton Keynes Dons
24W 14D 0L | 86:45 | 1.87 ppg
Accrington ST
14W 11D 0L | 47:58 | 1.15 ppg
2024/2025
Milton Keynes Dons
14W 10D 0L | 52:66 | 1.13 ppg
Accrington ST
12W 14D 0L | 53:69 | 1.09 ppg
2023/2024
Milton Keynes Dons
23W 9D 0L | 84:76 | 1.63 ppg
Accrington ST
16W 9D 0L | 63:71 | 1.24 ppg

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 46.2%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
60.1%

Both Teams Score

No
53.8%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Milton Keynes Dons 46.2%
Draw 38.0%
Accrington ST 15.8%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
52.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 11 Corners No 98.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 93.7% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 79.2% Good ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 78.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 8 Shots on Target No 77.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 75.1% Good ✓ Correct
Over 5 Cards No 73.7% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 66.5% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 66.5% Fair ✓ Correct
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home More Shots No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards Yes 62.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 60.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 60.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Both Teams Score No 53.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 51.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Home Win 46.2% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 1-1 13.3% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
27.7%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
20.8%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
24.9%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
6.3%
Over 11 Corners
1.4%
Home Most Corners
78.5%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
62.2%
Over 5 Cards
26.3%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
22.9%
Home More Shots
35.0%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
5.7
Total Cards
4.3

League Position

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
86 Points 2
Accrington ST Accrington ST
53 Points 16

Frequently Asked Questions about Milton Keynes Dons vs Accrington ST