Middlesbrough VS Derby
Recent Form
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2026
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2025
Nov 29, 2025
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
Championship
Riverside Stadium
2025
Mar 1, 2025
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
Championship
Riverside Stadium
2024
Aug 17, 2024
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2024
Feb 12, 2022
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
4 - 1
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
Championship
Riverside Stadium
2021
Match Events
Middlesbrough
Derby
2'
⚽
P. Agyemang
Assist: L. Salvesen
22'
Bobby Clark
Yellow Card
Foul
54'
⇄
A. Browne
On: A. Browne
Off: R. McGree
Substitution
54'
⇄
S. Hansen
On: S. Hansen
Off: D. Strelec
Substitution
67'
Callum Elder
Yellow Card
Foul
71'
⇄
T. Conway
On: T. Conway
Off: M. K. Sene
Substitution
71'
⇄
D. Burgzorg
On: D. Burgzorg
Off: S. Nypan
Substitution
71'
⇄
D. Burgzorg
On: D. Burgzorg
Off: S. Nypan
Substitution
71'
⇄
T. Conway
On: T. Conway
Off: M. K. Sene
Substitution
75'
⚽
M. Targett
Assist: H. Hackney
80'
⇄
L. Salvesen
On: L. Salvesen
Off: K. Jackson
Substitution
80'
⇄
J. Ward
On: J. Ward
Off: R. Nyambe
Substitution
84'
⚽
M. Whittaker
Assist: H. Hackney
88'
⇄
B. Brereton Diaz
On: B. Brereton Diaz
Off: A. Weimann
Substitution
88'
⇄
B. Clark
On: B. Clark
Off: L. Thompson
Substitution
88'
⇄
S. Langas
On: S. Langas
Off: C. Blackett-Taylor
Substitution
88'
⇄
S. Langas
On: S. Langas
Off: C. Blackett-Taylor
Substitution
88'
⇄
B. Brereton Diaz
On: B. Brereton Diaz
Off: A. Weimann
Substitution
88'
⇄
B. Clark
On: B. Clark
Off: L. Thompson
Substitution
89'
⇄
M. Whittaker
On: M. Whittaker
Off: A. Baptiste
Substitution
Lineups
Middlesbrough
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
C. Brittain
#2
M. Targett
#3
A. Jones
#5
H. Hackney
#7
T. Conway
#9
D. Burgzorg
#10
M. Whittaker
#11
A. Browne
#16
A. Bangura
#24
S. Hansen
#27
S. Brynn
#31
Substitutes
M
Derby
(3-5-2)
Starting XI
M. Clarke
#5
S. Langas
#6
P. Agyemang
#7
L. Salvesen
#15
C. Elder
#20
J. Ward
#23
B. Brereton Diaz
#25
D. Sanderson
#28
E. Adams
#32
B. Clark
#42
Substitutes
M
Match Statistics
Middlesbrough
Derby
74%
Possession
26%
21
Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
1
7
Blocked Shots
2
9
Fouls
13
9
Corners
8
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
1
0
Saves
2
536
Passes
180
455
Accurate Passes
111
85%
Pass Accuracy
62%
Team Comparison
54.4
Overall Strength
51.1
50.6%
Attacking Power
49.4%
55.7%
Defensive Strength
44.3%
50.8%
Current Form
49.2%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Middlesbrough
Derby
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
29%
|
26%
Avg Total Goals
2.5
|
2.8
Cards Analysis
Middlesbrough
1.3/Game
63
1
0-15'
6
16-30'
7
31-45'
10
46-60'
10
61-75'
11
76-90'
20
Derby
2.3/Game
102
2
0-15'
5
16-30'
13
31-45'
17
46-60'
26
61-75'
20
76-90'
23
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Middlesbrough
22W 15D 0L
|
73:50
|
1.65 ppg
Derby
20W 9D 0L
|
67:59
|
1.5 ppg
2024/2025
Middlesbrough
18W 10D 0L
|
64:56
|
1.39 ppg
Derby
13W 11D 0L
|
48:56
|
1.09 ppg
2023/2024
Middlesbrough
20W 9D 0L
|
71:62
|
1.5 ppg
Derby
28W 8D 0L
|
78:37
|
2 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
70.0%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
77.6%
Both Teams Score
No
67.6%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Middlesbrough
5.0%
Draw
25.1%
Derby
70.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
55.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 99.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 88.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 88.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 82.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 82.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 78.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 77.6% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 77.6% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 74.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 71.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Away Win | 70.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 69.7% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Both Teams Score | No | 67.6% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 67.4% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 63.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 54.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 53.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 53.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 52.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 0-1 | 19.8% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
82.9%
Over 1.5
53.7%
Over 2.5
22.5%
Over 3.5
11.1%
Under 0.5
17.1%
Under 1.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
77.6%
Under 3.5
88.9%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
26.8%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
23.2%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
52.0%
Goals After 80'
32.6%
Goals Both Halves
36.1%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
54.2%
Over 11 Corners
30.3%
Home Most Corners
78.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
0.1%
Over 5 Cards
0.1%
Red Card
25.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.4%
Home More Shots
71.7%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
47.1%
Away Exceed xG
49.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
22.7%
High xG Variance
38.2%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.0
Total Cards
0.2
League Position
Middlesbrough
80 Points
5
Derby
69 Points
8