Melbourne Victory VS Wellington Phoenix
Recent Form
Melbourne Victory
L
W
D
D
L
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2026
Melbourne Victory
VS
Wellington Phoenix
0 - 1
Melbourne Victory
VS
Wellington Phoenix
A-League
AAMI Park
2025
Feb 6, 2026
Wellington Phoenix
VS
Melbourne Victory
2 - 3
Wellington Phoenix
VS
Melbourne Victory
A-League
Sky Stadium
2025
Dec 29, 2025
Melbourne Victory
VS
Wellington Phoenix
5 - 1
Melbourne Victory
VS
Wellington Phoenix
A-League
AAMI Park
2025
Apr 12, 2025
Wellington Phoenix
VS
Melbourne Victory
2 - 3
Wellington Phoenix
VS
Melbourne Victory
A-League
Sky Stadium
2024
Feb 14, 2025
Melbourne Victory
VS
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 0
Melbourne Victory
VS
Wellington Phoenix
A-League
AAMI Park
2024
Match Events
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
22'
⇄
S. Esposito
On: S. Esposito
Off: J. Davidson
Substitution
34'
Denis Genreau
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
N. Vergos
On: N. Vergos
Off: C. Nduka
Substitution
54'
Nishan Velupillay
Yellow Card
Foul
61'
⇄
D. Edwards
On: D. Edwards
Off: L. Kelly-Heald
Substitution
68'
⇄
K. Jelacic
On: K. Jelacic
Off: R. Piscopo
Substitution
68'
⇄
Denis Genreau
On: Denis Genreau
Off: Louis D'Arrigo
Substitution
68'
⇄
N. Velupillay
On: N. Velupillay
Off: M. Grimaldi
Substitution
68'
⇄
Nishan Velupillay
On: Nishan Velupillay
Off: Matthew Grimaldi
Substitution
68'
⇄
K. Jelacic
On: K. Jelacic
Off: R. Piscopo
Substitution
68'
⇄
D. Genreau
On: D. Genreau
Off: L. D'Arrigo
Substitution
68'
⇄
N. Velupillay
On: N. Velupillay
Off: M. Grimaldi
Substitution
69'
⇄
K. Jelacic
On: K. Jelacic
Off: R. Piscopo
Substitution
69'
⇄
D. Genreau
On: D. Genreau
Off: L. D'Arrigo
Substitution
69'
⇄
N. Velupillay
On: N. Velupillay
Off: M. Grimaldi
Substitution
73'
⇄
R. Najjarine
On: R. Najjarine
Off: S. Kartum
Substitution
76'
Alex Rufer
Yellow Card
Foul
83'
⇄
P. Retre
On: P. Retre
Off: F. Conchie
Substitution
84'
⇄
K. Nagasawa
On: K. Nagasawa
Off: C. Armiento
Substitution
84'
⇄
C. Piper
On: C. Piper
Off: L. Brooke-Smith
Substitution
84'
⇄
C. Piper
On: C. Piper
Off: L. Brooke-Smith
Substitution
84'
⇄
K. Nagasawa
On: K. Nagasawa
Off: C. Armiento
Substitution
88'
⇄
J. Mata
On: J. Mata
Off: Clarismario
Substitution
89'
⚽
S. Kartum
Assist: I. Eze
90'+1
⇄
I. Eze
On: I. Eze
Off: M. James
Substitution
Lineups
Melbourne Victory
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
J. Valadon
#8
N. Vergos
#9
D. Genreau
#10
S. Esposito
#15
N. Velupillay
#17
F. Lino
#18
Roderick
#21
J. Rawlins
#22
K. Jelacic
#23
J. Warshawsky
#40
J. Mata
#64
Substitutes
Wellington Phoenix
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
J. Oluwayemi
#1
C. Piper
#3
I. Eze
#7
P. Retre
#8
D. Edwards
#12
A. Rufer
#14
I. Hughes
#15
R. Najjarine
#20
K. Nagasawa
#25
M. Sheridan
#27
B. Tuiloma
#28
Substitutes
D
30
A. Kelly-Heald
Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
49%
Possession
51%
10
Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Blocked Shots
4
14
Fouls
13
7
Corners
8
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Offsides
3
1
Saves
3
412
Passes
423
317
Accurate Passes
333
77%
Pass Accuracy
79%
Team Comparison
51.9
Overall Strength
42.3
54.1%
Attacking Power
45.9%
59.4%
Defensive Strength
40.6%
54.1%
Current Form
45.9%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
22%
|
15%
Avg Total Goals
2.9
|
3.2
Cards Analysis
Melbourne Victory
1.5/Game
40
0
0-15'
3
16-30'
5
31-45'
10
46-60'
11
61-75'
5
76-90'
6
Wellington Phoenix
1.3/Game
32
2
0-15'
1
16-30'
3
31-45'
7
46-60'
11
61-75'
3
76-90'
9
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Melbourne Victory
11W 7D 0L
|
44:34
|
1.48 ppg
Wellington Phoenix
9W 6D 0L
|
36:48
|
1.27 ppg
2024/2025
Melbourne Victory
14W 7D 0L
|
48:39
|
1.63 ppg
Wellington Phoenix
6W 6D 0L
|
27:43
|
0.92 ppg
2023/2024
Melbourne Victory
11W 14D 0L
|
47:38
|
1.52 ppg
Wellington Phoenix
15W 9D 0L
|
43:28
|
1.86 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
48.8%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
68.6%
Both Teams Score
Yes
71.4%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Melbourne Victory
48.8%
Draw
35.7%
Wellington Phoenix
15.5%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
60.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 99.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 96.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 86.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 86.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 81.1% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 79.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 76.6% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 71.4% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | No | 70.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 68.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 68.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | No | 66.4% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 58.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 52.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 52.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 49.3% | Low | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Home Win | 48.8% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-0 | 16.3% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.1%
Over 1.5
86.8%
Over 2.5
68.6%
Over 3.5
47.2%
Under 0.5
2.9%
Under 1.5
13.2%
Under 2.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
52.8%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.9%
HT Draw
49.3%
HT Away Win
22.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
81.1%
Goals After 80'
41.4%
Goals Both Halves
76.6%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
0.1%
Over 11 Corners
0.1%
Home Most Corners
30.0%
Goal from Corner
10.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
20.4%
Over 5 Cards
3.1%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
1.0%
Home More Shots
33.6%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.8%
Away Exceed xG
48.0%
Total xG Over 2.5
31.3%
High xG Variance
39.8%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
1.0
Total Cards
2.3