Leon VS Toluca
Recent Form
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2026
Toluca
VS
Leon
4 - 1
Toluca
VS
Leon
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Oct 4, 2025
Leon
VS
Toluca
2 - 4
Leon
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio León (Nou Camp)
2025
Feb 8, 2025
Leon
VS
Toluca
3 - 3
Leon
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio León (Nou Camp)
2024
Nov 2, 2024
Toluca
VS
Leon
2 - 2
Toluca
VS
Leon
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Feb 3, 2024
Toluca
VS
Leon
4 - 1
Toluca
VS
Leon
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2023
Match Events
Leon
Toluca
17'
Fidel Ambríz
Yellow Card
Foul
26'
Fernando Navarro
Yellow Card
Foul
27'
Luis Montes
Yellow Card
Argument
27'
Jordan Sierra
Yellow Card
Argument
36'
Lucas Di Yorio
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
Camilo Sanvezzo
On: Camilo Sanvezzo
Off: C. González
Substitution
52'
Fidel Ambríz
Red Card
Foul
56'
⇄
Á. Mena
On: Á. Mena
Off: J. Rodríguez
Substitution
67'
⇄
L. Montes
On: L. Montes
Off: J. Ibarra
Substitution
77'
⇄
V. Dávila
On: V. Dávila
Off: Y. Moreno
Substitution
77'
⇄
J. Campbell
On: J. Campbell
Off: A. Alvarado
Substitution
77'
⇄
J. Meneses
On: J. Meneses
Off: S. Saucedo
Substitution
85'
Jaine Barreiro
Yellow Card
Foul
87'
⇄
F. Navarro
On: F. Navarro
Off: A. Rodríguez
Substitution
87'
⇄
J. Sierra
On: J. Sierra
Off: D. Álvarez
Substitution
90'
⚽
D. Álvarez
Assist: L. Fernández
90'+4
Paul Bellón
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+6
Osvaldo Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Argument
Lineups
Leon
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
V. Dávila
#7
L. Montes
#10
J. Campbell
#12
Á. Mena
#13
L. Di Yorio
#18
J. Barreiro
#21
B. Castillo
#23
O. Rodríguez
#24
P. Bellón
#25
F. Ambríz
#26
R. Cota
#30
Substitutes
M
Toluca
(4-1-4-1)
Starting XI
Tiago Volpi
#1
R. López
#2
V. Huerta
#4
F
L. Fernández
#10
M. Ruiz
#14
J. Sierra
#15
J. Meneses
#16
F. Navarro
#18
B. Angulo
#21
A. Mosquera
#26
Substitutes
M
Match Statistics
Leon
Toluca
40%
Possession
60%
13
Shots
16
2
Shots on Target
6
4
Blocked Shots
5
15
Fouls
15
4
Corners
5
6
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
5
Saves
2
326
Passes
507
271
Accurate Passes
445
83%
Pass Accuracy
88%
Team Comparison
49.6
Overall Strength
41.7
47.8%
Attacking Power
52.2%
60.9%
Defensive Strength
39.1%
56%
Current Form
44%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Leon
Toluca
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
33%
|
14%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
3
Cards Analysis
Leon
2.2/Game
81
7
0-15'
9
16-30'
11
31-45'
11
46-60'
24
61-75'
12
76-90'
21
Toluca
2.4/Game
80
5
0-15'
9
16-30'
9
31-45'
17
46-60'
20
61-75'
14
76-90'
16
Season Comparison
2021/2022
Leon
16W 11D 0L
|
46:44
|
1.48 ppg
Toluca
11W 10D 0L
|
44:60
|
1.23 ppg
2020/2021
Leon
23W 9D 0L
|
62:43
|
1.9 ppg
Toluca
13W 8D 0L
|
55:60
|
1.24 ppg
2019/2020
Leon
16W 7D 0L
|
65:42
|
1.83 ppg
Toluca
6W 9D 0L
|
32:44
|
0.96 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
36.3%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
73.8%
Both Teams Score
Yes
72.6%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Leon
36.3%
Draw
33.0%
Toluca
30.7%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.9% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.9% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 89.6% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 89.6% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 79.4% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 74.2% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 73.8% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 72.6% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 68.3% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 63.2% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 61.3% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 61.0% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 59.3% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | Yes | 53.5% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | No | 53.5% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 51.7% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.8% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 36.3% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 8.1% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.9%
Over 1.5
89.6%
Over 2.5
73.8%
Over 3.5
53.5%
Under 0.5
2.2%
Under 1.5
10.4%
Under 2.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
46.5%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.8%
HT Draw
48.8%
HT Away Win
22.4%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
79.4%
Goals After 80'
40.7%
Goals Both Halves
74.2%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
61.0%
Over 11 Corners
36.8%
Home Most Corners
61.3%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.2%
Over 25 Shots
0.2%
Over 8 On Target
68.3%
Home More Shots
51.7%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
54.2%
Away Exceed xG
53.0%
Total xG Over 2.5
73.8%
High xG Variance
49.2%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.6
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Leon
22 Points
10
Toluca
27 Points
6