Toluca VS Leon
Recent Form
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2026
Toluca
VS
Leon
4 - 1
Toluca
VS
Leon
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Oct 4, 2025
Leon
VS
Toluca
2 - 4
Leon
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio León (Nou Camp)
2025
Feb 8, 2025
Leon
VS
Toluca
3 - 3
Leon
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio León (Nou Camp)
2024
Nov 2, 2024
Toluca
VS
Leon
2 - 2
Toluca
VS
Leon
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Feb 3, 2024
Toluca
VS
Leon
4 - 1
Toluca
VS
Leon
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2023
Match Events
Toluca
Leon
15'
⚽
S. Mendoza
28'
Alfonso Blanco
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
46'
⇄
Luan
On: Luan
Off: B. Méndez
Substitution
55'
Paulinho
Yellow Card
Foul
57'
⚽
A. Alvarado
Assist: S. Reyes
58'
⇄
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
On: Jesús Ricardo Angulo
Off: I. López
Substitution
58'
⇄
B. García
On: B. García
Off: J. Domínguez
Substitution
59'
⇄
C. Baeza
On: C. Baeza
Off: F. Amaya
Substitution
60'
⚽
Paulinho
Assist: A. Vega
68'
Jesús Gallardo
Yellow Card
Foul
69'
⇄
A. Alvarado
On: A. Alvarado
Off: J. Cádiz
Substitution
70'
⇄
L. Cabral
On: L. Cabral
Off: A. Frías
Substitution
74'
Juan Dominguez
Yellow Card
Foul
80'
Alexis Vega
Yellow Card
Argument
80'
Adonis Frías
Yellow Card
Argument
81'
Bruno Méndez
Red Card
Violent Conduct
84'
⇄
S. Mendoza
On: S. Mendoza
Off: D. Hernández
Substitution
84'
Isaías Violante
Yellow Card
Foul
87'
⚽
Paulinho
Assist: F. Amaya
90'
⇄
A. Vega
On: A. Vega
Off: V. Arteaga
Substitution
90'+2
⇄
S. Santos
On: S. Santos
Off: E. Guerra
Substitution
Lineups
Toluca
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
Tiago Volpi
#1
F. Pereira
#6
M
Luan
#13
M. Ruíz
#14
B. García
#17
J. Gallardo
#20
C. Baeza
#23
A. Vega
#25
Paulinho
#26
I. Violante
#190
Substitutes
F
M
D
Leon
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
A. Blanco
#1
L. Cabral
#8
S. Mendoza
#11
A. Guardado
#18
A. Alvarado
#20
S. Barreiro
#21
P. Bellón
#25
S. Reyes
#26
Á. Estrada
#27
D. Ramírez
#28
S. Santos
#31
Substitutes
D
F
D
F
Match Statistics
Toluca
Leon
55%
Possession
45%
21
Shots
15
8
Shots on Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
5
12
Fouls
7
4
Corners
6
5
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
5
3
Saves
6
412
Passes
338
346
Accurate Passes
263
84%
Pass Accuracy
78%
Team Comparison
61.8
Overall Strength
46.4
61.4%
Attacking Power
38.6%
54.9%
Defensive Strength
45.1%
63.2%
Current Form
36.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Toluca
Leon
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
33%
|
22%
Avg Total Goals
3.2
|
2.7
Cards Analysis
Toluca
1.8/Game
73
4
0-15'
4
16-30'
8
31-45'
17
46-60'
18
61-75'
13
76-90'
17
Leon
2.1/Game
69
7
0-15'
2
16-30'
12
31-45'
14
46-60'
10
61-75'
20
76-90'
18
Season Comparison
2024/2025
Toluca
24W 11D 0L
|
89:47
|
1.98 ppg
Leon
12W 12D 0L
|
48:49
|
1.33 ppg
2023/2024
Toluca
14W 12D 0L
|
61:43
|
1.5 ppg
Leon
14W 9D 0L
|
53:56
|
1.34 ppg
2022/2023
Toluca
21W 12D 0L
|
79:61
|
1.74 ppg
Leon
14W 10D 0L
|
49:46
|
1.44 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
72.1%
Both Teams Score
Yes
69.6%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Toluca
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Leon
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.6% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 88.7% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 88.7% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 78.7% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 77.5% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 73.2% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 72.1% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 72.1% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 70.0% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 69.6% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 64.1% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 62.4% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 58.6% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 55.1% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | Yes | 51.4% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | No | 51.4% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 8.9% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.6%
Over 1.5
88.7%
Over 2.5
72.1%
Over 3.5
51.4%
Under 0.5
2.4%
Under 1.5
11.3%
Under 2.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
48.6%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.5%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
20.5%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
78.7%
Goals After 80'
35.9%
Goals Both Halves
73.2%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
44.9%
Over 11 Corners
22.5%
Home Most Corners
58.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.2%
Over 25 Shots
0.2%
Over 8 On Target
70.0%
Home More Shots
62.4%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
55.1%
Away Exceed xG
51.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
72.1%
High xG Variance
48.7%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.3
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Toluca
35 Points
2
Leon
18 Points
11