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Lazio VS AC Milan

Lazio logo

Lazio

M. Zaccagni 80'
1-0
Full Time
Stadio Olimpico Thursday, Dec 4, 2025 At 15:00 Est Marco Guida, Italy

Match Events

Lazio Lazio
AC Milan AC Milan
2'
S. Pavlovic
Yellow Card
Tripping
58'
M. Vecino
On: M. Vecino Off: F. Dele-Bashiru
Substitution
58'
T. Castellanos
On: T. Castellanos Off: T. Noslin
Substitution
64'
A. Saelemaekers
On: A. Saelemaekers Off: C. Nkunku
Substitution
71'
L. Pellegrini
On: L. Pellegrini Off: N. Tavares
Substitution
80'
M. Zaccagni
Assist: N. Tavares
81'
R. Loftus-Cheek
On: R. Loftus-Cheek Off: C. Pulisic
Substitution
81'
A. Jashari
On: A. Jashari Off: L. Modric
Substitution
83'
M. Zaccagni
On: M. Zaccagni Off: Pedro
Substitution
83'
G. Isaksen
On: G. Isaksen Off: M. Cancellieri
Substitution
84'
K. De Winter
Yellow Card
Holding
87'
P. Estupinan
On: P. Estupinan Off: D. Bartesaghi
Substitution

Match Statistics

Lazio Lazio
AC Milan AC Milan
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Fouls 16
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
3 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
459 Passes 646
396 Accurate Passes 577
86% Pass Accuracy 89%

Team Comparison

48.6
Overall Strength
57
43.6% Attacking Power 56.4%
46.7% Defensive Strength 53.3%
41.2% Current Form 58.8%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Lazio Lazio
AC Milan AC Milan
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
39% | 39%
Avg Total Goals
2.2 | 2.3

Cards Analysis

Lazio 2/Game
67
8
0-15'
2
16-30'
8
31-45'
14
46-60'
8
61-75'
18
76-90'
25
AC Milan 1.5/Game
55
2
0-15'
4
16-30'
8
31-45'
4
46-60'
13
61-75'
12
76-90'
16

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Lazio
14W 12D 0L | 41:40 | 1.42 ppg
AC Milan
20W 10D 0L | 53:35 | 1.84 ppg
2024/2025
Lazio
18W 11D 0L | 61:49 | 1.71 ppg
AC Milan
18W 9D 0L | 61:43 | 1.66 ppg
2023/2024
Lazio
18W 7D 0L | 49:39 | 1.61 ppg
AC Milan
22W 9D 0L | 76:49 | 1.97 ppg

Match Result

Draw
Confidence: 39.7%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
60.1%

Both Teams Score

No
53.8%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Lazio 35.4%
Draw 39.7%
AC Milan 24.9%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
74.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 96.1% Good ✓ Correct
Over 8 Shots on Target No 95.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 82.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 76.8% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 73.8% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 66.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 1.5 Goals No 66.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 65.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 9 Corners No 61.5% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 60.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 60.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Both Teams Score No 53.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners No 52.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots No 50.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Match Result Draw 39.7% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 0-0 19.4% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
28.4%
HT Draw
50.1%
HT Away Win
21.5%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
34.9%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
38.5%
Over 11 Corners
17.7%
Home Most Corners
47.4%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
23.2%
Over 5 Cards
3.9%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
4.2%
Home More Shots
49.9%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
48.5%
Away Exceed xG
47.7%
Total xG Over 2.5
22.7%
High xG Variance
38.2%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
8.8
Total Cards
2.5

Frequently Asked Questions about Lazio vs AC Milan