Clásico Paisa
Independiente Medellin VS Atletico Nacional
2-3
Full Time
Recent Form
Independiente Medellin
W
D
L
W
D
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2026
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
2 - 3
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2026
Dec 17, 2025
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
0 - 1
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
Copa Colombia
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Dec 13, 2025
Atletico Nacional
VS
Independiente Medellin
0 - 0
Atletico Nacional
VS
Independiente Medellin
Copa Colombia
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Dec 4, 2025
Atletico Nacional
VS
Independiente Medellin
2 - 1
Atletico Nacional
VS
Independiente Medellin
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Nov 23, 2025
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
0 - 0
Independiente Medellin
VS
Atletico Nacional
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Match Events
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
3'
⚽
D. Catano
4'
⚽
4'
⚽
D. Catano
7'
⚽
A. Sarmiento
Assist: M. Uribe
8'
⚽
8'
⚽
A. Sarmiento
10'
⚽
10'
⚽
J. Rengifo
26'
⚽
D. Londono
Assist: A. Serna
57'
⇄
D. Catano
On: D. Catano
Off: Yony Gonzalez
Substitution
64'
⇄
H. Palacios
On: H. Palacios
Off: H. Loboa
Substitution
66'
⇄
A. Sarmiento
On: A. Sarmiento
Off: E. Cardona
Substitution
66'
⇄
M. Uribe
On: M. Uribe
Off: C. Arango
Substitution
67'
⇄
A. Sarmiento
On: A. Sarmiento
Off: E. Cardona
Substitution
78'
E. Cardona
Yellow Card
79'
⇄
E. Bello
On: E. Bello
Off: M. Moreno
Substitution
79'
⇄
A. Serna
On: A. Serna
Off: D. Moreno
Substitution
79'
⇄
F. Fydriszewski
On: F. Fydriszewski
Off: A. Davila
Substitution
79'
⇄
F. Chaverra
On: F. Chaverra
Off: J. Montano
Substitution
79'
⇄
F. Fydriszewski
On: F. Fydriszewski
Off: A. Davila
Substitution
79'
⇄
A. Serna
On: A. Serna
Off: D. Moreno
Substitution
80'
⇄
F. Fydriszewski
On: F. Fydriszewski
Off: A. Davila
Substitution
80'
⇄
E. Bello
On: E. Bello
Off: M. Moreno
Substitution
80'
⇄
F. Chaverra
On: F. Chaverra
Off: J. Montano
Substitution
80'
⇄
F. Fydriszewski
On: F. Fydriszewski
Off: A. Davila
Substitution
82'
W. Tesillo
Yellow Card
86'
H. Loboa
Yellow Card
88'
⇄
A. Morelos
On: A. Morelos
Off: J. Rosa
Substitution
90'
⚽
J. Ortiz
Own Goal
90'+4
⚽
Lineups
Independiente Medellin
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
A. Serna
#8
D. Catano
#10
F. Chaverra
#13
B. Perlaza
#14
F. Fabra
#18
F. Fydriszewski
#19
J. Ortiz
#24
E. Chaux
#25
E. Mena Perea
#26
H. Palacios
#30
D. Londono
#33
Substitutes
M
D
Atletico Nacional
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
D. Ospina
#1
A. Roman
#6
M. Uribe
#8
A. Morelos
#9
W. Tesillo
#16
E. Bello
#18
J. Rengifo
#19
M. Casco
#20
J. Campuzano
#21
S. Garcia
#28
A. Sarmiento
#29
Substitutes
D
D
F
Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
41%
Possession
59%
10
Shots
16
7
Shots on Target
6
0
Blocked Shots
5
4
Fouls
8
3
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
2
6
Saves
5
286
Passes
427
248
Accurate Passes
381
87%
Pass Accuracy
89%
Team Comparison
55.4
Overall Strength
56.3
46.5%
Attacking Power
53.5%
52.4%
Defensive Strength
47.6%
49.6%
Current Form
50.4%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
37%
|
33%
Avg Total Goals
2.5
|
2.8
Cards Analysis
Independiente Medellin
2.8/Game
144
8
0-15'
7
16-30'
26
31-45'
23
46-60'
30
61-75'
33
76-90'
33
Atletico Nacional
2.6/Game
124
9
0-15'
9
16-30'
17
31-45'
33
46-60'
29
61-75'
24
76-90'
21
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Independiente Medellin
25W 17D 0L
|
80:52
|
1.7 ppg
Atletico Nacional
24W 16D 0L
|
87:54
|
1.73 ppg
2024/2025
Independiente Medellin
15W 13D 0L
|
45:46
|
1.53 ppg
Atletico Nacional
21W 13D 0L
|
66:42
|
1.65 ppg
2023/2024
Independiente Medellin
24W 16D 0L
|
79:56
|
1.63 ppg
Atletico Nacional
25W 16D 0L
|
71:48
|
1.69 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
49.9%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
50.1%
Both Teams Score
No
51.7%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Independiente Medellin
8.6%
Draw
41.6%
Atletico Nacional
49.9%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
60.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 94.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 94.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 93.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 93.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 90.4% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 81.1% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 74.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 74.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 72.1% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 72.1% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 70.7% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 70.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 69.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | No | 64.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 62.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | Yes | 61.3% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 60.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | No | 55.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 51.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 50.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 50.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Away Win | 49.9% | Low | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 0-0 | 23.0% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
93.1%
Over 1.5
74.6%
Over 2.5
49.9%
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 0.5
6.9%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.2%
HT Draw
50.8%
HT Away Win
22.0%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
70.0%
Goals After 80'
30.8%
Goals Both Halves
60.5%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
81.1%
Over 11 Corners
61.3%
Home Most Corners
44.9%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
38.0%
Over 5 Cards
9.7%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
5.8%
Over 25 Shots
5.8%
Over 8 On Target
29.3%
Home More Shots
35.2%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
47.0%
Away Exceed xG
48.4%
Total xG Over 2.5
18.4%
High xG Variance
37.4%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
12.7
Total Cards
3.1
League Position
Independiente Medellin
0 Points
2
Atletico Nacional
0 Points
7