Derby VS Millwall
Recent Form
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2026
Millwall
VS
Derby
1 - 0
Millwall
VS
Derby
Championship
The Den
2025
Dec 10, 2025
Derby
VS
Millwall
1 - 1
Derby
VS
Millwall
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2025
Feb 22, 2025
Derby
VS
Millwall
0 - 1
Derby
VS
Millwall
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2024
Oct 19, 2024
Millwall
VS
Derby
1 - 1
Millwall
VS
Derby
Championship
The Den
2024
Feb 23, 2022
Derby
VS
Millwall
1 - 2
Derby
VS
Millwall
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2021
Match Events
Derby
Millwall
3'
C. Elder
Yellow Card
19'
L. Thompson
Yellow Card
20'
L. Thompson
Yellow Card
67'
⇄
B. Brereton Diaz
On: B. Brereton Diaz
Off: L. Salvesen
Substitution
67'
⇄
A. Weimann
On: A. Weimann
Off: R. Brewster
Substitution
68'
⇄
R. Bangura-Williams
On: R. Bangura-Williams
Off: A. Emakhu
Substitution
78'
F. Azeez
Yellow Card
81'
⚽
M. Clarke
Own Goal
85'
⇄
S. Langas
On: S. Langas
Off: C. Blackett-Taylor
Substitution
85'
⇄
C. Elder
On: C. Elder
Off: K. Jackson
Substitution
85'
⇄
L. Thompson
On: L. Thompson
Off: E. Adams
Substitution
86'
⇄
C. Elder
On: C. Elder
Off: K. Jackson
Substitution
86'
⇄
L. Thompson
On: L. Thompson
Off: E. Adams
Substitution
88'
⚽
J. Cooper
Own Goal
89'
⚽
M. Clarke
89'
⇄
F. Azeez
On: F. Azeez
Off: D. McNamara
Substitution
89'
⇄
A. Doughty
On: A. Doughty
Off: J. Bryan
Substitution
90'+1
D. McNamara
Yellow Card
90'+2
⇄
T. Ballo
On: T. Ballo
Off: M. Langstaff
Substitution
90'+6
M. Langstaff
Yellow Card
Lineups
Derby
(3-4-1-2)
Starting XI
D
F
Andreas Weimann
#14
Liam Thompson
#16
Callum Elder
#20
Joe Ward
#23
F
Dion Sanderson
#28
Bobby Clark
#42
Substitutes
Millwall
(4-1-4-1)
Starting XI
D
Jake Cooper
#5
Caleb Taylor
#6
M
F
Camiel Neghli
#10
Femi Azeez
#11
Alfie Doughty
#14
Max Crocombe
#15
Daniel Kelly
#16
M
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Derby
Millwall
55%
Possession
45%
13
Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
5
9
Fouls
13
10
Corners
7
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Offsides
3
1
Saves
4
339
Passes
276
240
Accurate Passes
178
71%
Pass Accuracy
64%
Team Comparison
51.1
Overall Strength
54.4
52.2%
Attacking Power
47.8%
45.3%
Defensive Strength
54.7%
46.5%
Current Form
53.5%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Derby
Millwall
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
26%
|
40%
Avg Total Goals
2.8
|
2.4
Cards Analysis
Derby
2.3/Game
102
2
0-15'
5
16-30'
13
31-45'
17
46-60'
26
61-75'
20
76-90'
23
Millwall
1.7/Game
80
3
0-15'
5
16-30'
8
31-45'
14
46-60'
17
61-75'
17
76-90'
22
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Derby
20W 9D 0L
|
67:59
|
1.5 ppg
Millwall
24W 12D 0L
|
64:51
|
1.75 ppg
2024/2025
Derby
13W 11D 0L
|
48:56
|
1.09 ppg
Millwall
18W 12D 0L
|
47:49
|
1.43 ppg
2023/2024
Derby
28W 8D 0L
|
78:37
|
2 ppg
Millwall
16W 11D 0L
|
45:55
|
1.28 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
44.9%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
68.0%
Both Teams Score
No
58.6%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Derby
26.6%
Draw
28.5%
Millwall
44.9%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
73.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 99.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 98.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 87.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 87.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 86.3% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 83.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 83.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 80.3% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 77.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 68.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 68.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | No | 66.4% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 62.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 62.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 58.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 58.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | No | 58.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Both Teams Score | No | 58.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 58.4% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 55.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.6% | Low | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Away Win | 44.9% | Low | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 0-0 | 21.7% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
87.7%
Over 1.5
62.4%
Over 2.5
32.0%
Over 3.5
16.5%
Under 0.5
12.3%
Under 1.5
37.6%
Under 2.5
68.0%
Under 3.5
83.5%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.0%
HT Draw
48.6%
HT Away Win
22.5%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
58.9%
Goals After 80'
41.6%
Goals Both Halves
45.0%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
41.3%
Over 11 Corners
19.7%
Home Most Corners
41.3%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
13.8%
Over 5 Cards
1.6%
Red Card
22.1%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
1.0%
Home More Shots
33.6%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
47.6%
Away Exceed xG
48.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
19.9%
High xG Variance
37.7%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.0
Total Cards
2.0
League Position
Derby
69 Points
8
Millwall
83 Points
3