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Colchester VS Milton Keynes Dons

Colchester logo

Colchester

J. Payne 90'
1-0
Full Time
JobServe Community Stadium Thursday, Jan 1, 2026 At 10:00 Est Stephen Parkinson, England

Match Events

Colchester Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
20'
T. Bishop
On: T. Bishop Off: R. Hunt
Substitution
60'
Luke Offord
Yellow Card
Foul
61'
C. Paterson
On: C. Paterson Off: S. Hogan
Substitution
61'
A. Collins
On: A. Collins Off: K. Thompson-Sommers
Substitution
61'
D. Crowley
On: D. Crowley Off: C. Lemonheigh-Evans
Substitution
64'
S. Tovide
On: S. Tovide Off: K. Lisbie
Substitution
64'
W. Goodwin
On: W. Goodwin Off: M. Mbick
Substitution
83'
M. Ekpiteta
On: M. Ekpiteta Off: A. Nemane
Substitution
87'
R. Hepburn-Murphy
On: R. Hepburn-Murphy Off: J. Leko
Substitution
90'
Jonathan Leko
Yellow Card
Foul
90'
J. Payne
Penalty
90'+5
Jack Payne
Yellow Card
90'+5
O. Edwards
On: O. Edwards Off: F. Terry
Substitution

Lineups

Colchester Colchester (4-2-3-1)

Starting XI
G
D
D
M
M
J. Payne
J. Payne #10
M
A. Read
A. Read #16
M
F
M
H. Araujo
H. Araujo #24
D

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons (3-5-2)

Starting XI

Match Statistics

Colchester Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Blocked Shots 1
9 Fouls 14
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 1
426 Passes 293
309 Accurate Passes 176
73% Pass Accuracy 60%

Team Comparison

51.2
Overall Strength
59.9
41.9% Attacking Power 58.1%
47.9% Defensive Strength 52.1%
42.9% Current Form 57.1%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Colchester Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
24% | 33%
Avg Total Goals
2.4 | 2.9

Cards Analysis

Colchester 1.6/Game
72
1
0-15'
2
16-30'
15
31-45'
12
46-60'
12
61-75'
14
76-90'
18
Milton Keynes Dons 1.8/Game
77
4
0-15'
5
16-30'
9
31-45'
12
46-60'
22
61-75'
20
76-90'
13

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Colchester
18W 12D 0L | 62:49 | 1.43 ppg
Milton Keynes Dons
24W 14D 0L | 86:45 | 1.87 ppg
2024/2025
Colchester
16W 19D 0L | 52:47 | 1.46 ppg
Milton Keynes Dons
14W 10D 0L | 52:66 | 1.13 ppg
2023/2024
Colchester
11W 12D 0L | 59:80 | 0.98 ppg
Milton Keynes Dons
23W 9D 0L | 84:76 | 1.63 ppg

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 58.5%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
63.8%

Both Teams Score

No
56.7%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Colchester 58.5%
Draw 21.6%
Milton Keynes Dons 19.9%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
81.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 95.1% Good N/A
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 87.6% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 87.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 80.8% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 80.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 75.2% Good N/A
Goal Before 15' No 73.8% Good N/A
Over 3 Cards No 73.5% Good N/A
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good N/A
Goals After 80' No 71.9% Good N/A
Home Most Corners Yes 65.9% Good N/A
Red Card No 65.0% Fair N/A
Home More Shots Yes 65.0% Fair N/A
Under 1.5 Goals No 64.9% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 64.9% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 2.5 Goals No 63.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 63.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair N/A
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair N/A
Match Result Home Win 58.5% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score No 56.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 52.2% Fair N/A
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair N/A
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 1-0 18.2% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
87.6%
Over 1.5
64.9%
Over 2.5
36.2%
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 0.5
12.4%
Under 1.5
35.1%
Under 2.5
63.8%
Under 3.5
80.8%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
28.9%
HT Draw
50.7%
HT Away Win
20.4%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
28.1%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
47.8%
Over 11 Corners
24.8%
Home Most Corners
65.9%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
26.5%
Over 5 Cards
4.9%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.1%
Home More Shots
65.0%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.4%
Away Exceed xG
47.5%
Total xG Over 2.5
26.4%
High xG Variance
38.9%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
9.5
Total Cards
2.6

Frequently Asked Questions about Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons