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Model Track Record

Every prediction is graded against the final result — hits and misses alike. These are the numbers.

155,243 graded predictions

When the model flags high confidence, it is right

64.1%

of the time · 2,645 graded predictions

49.9%
Model
43.4%
Always backing the home side
33.3%
Random guess

+6.5 edge over the baseline (Last 30 days)

Last 30 days

15,616 graded predictions
49.9%
Main Outcome Accuracy
54.6%
BTTS Accuracy
59%
O/U 2.5 Accuracy

All time

155,243 graded predictions
47.4%
Main Outcome Accuracy
49.8%
BTTS Accuracy
50.9%
O/U 2.5
75%
O/U 1.5

Accuracy by confidence level

High Confidence (70%+)
2,645 graded predictions
64.1%
Average Confidence (50-69%)
88,205 graded predictions
49.7%
Low Confidence (<50%)
64,393 graded predictions
43.4%

Major competitions

Competition Sample 1X2
World Cup World 103 56.3%
UEFA Champions League World 335 52.8%
Premier League England 286 51.7%
La Liga Spain 344 47.7%
Serie A Italy 354 45.8%
Bundesliga Germany 253 43.5%
Ligue 1 France 271 44.3%
UEFA Europa League World 299 49.5%
CONMEBOL Libertadores World 162 42%
Serie A Brazil 453 40.8%
Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 567 41.3%
Primeira Liga Portugal 287 47.7%

All competitions

No competition matches your search.

Only competitions with at least 30 graded predictions are listed. Accuracy over small samples is not reliable.

Recently graded predictions

Home Win
✗ Incorrect
Home Win
✗ Incorrect
Away Win
✗ Incorrect
Home Win
✗ Incorrect
Home Win
✓ Correct
Home Win
✗ Incorrect
Home Win
✗ Incorrect
Away Win
✗ Incorrect
Home Win
✗ Incorrect
Home Win
✓ Correct

How these numbers are produced

Predictions are generated by a machine-learning model trained on historical results and match data — recent form, league standings, squad availability, venue and weather conditions. Probabilities are recalculated as new information arrives, and each prediction is locked before kick-off.

After the final whistle, every prediction is automatically compared with the official result and marked correct or incorrect. Nothing is removed or adjusted after the fact: the figures on this page include every graded prediction, including the misses.

For reference: always backing the home side is right 43.9% of the time, and guessing at random 33.3%. We measure our model against those baselines on the very same matches.

Important notice

All statistics and predictions on this site are provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and no prediction is certain. Nothing on this page constitutes betting, financial or investment advice. You are responsible for ensuring that any use of this information complies with the laws applicable in your jurisdiction.

Quick Stats

Total Predictions 3,215
High Confidence 111
Today 147

Disclaimer

Images and logos are used under fair use for editorial purposes only.

We are not affiliated with any leagues, clubs, or players featured on this website.