Model Track Record
Every prediction is graded against the final result — hits and misses alike. These are the numbers.
When the model flags high confidence, it is right
of the time · 2,645 graded predictions
+6.5 edge over the baseline (Last 30 days)
Last 30 days
15,616 graded predictionsAll time
155,243 graded predictionsAccuracy by confidence level
Major competitions
| Competition | Sample | 1X2 |
|---|---|---|
|
|
103 | 56.3% |
|
|
335 | 52.8% |
|
|
286 | 51.7% |
|
|
344 | 47.7% |
|
|
354 | 45.8% |
|
|
253 | 43.5% |
|
|
271 | 44.3% |
|
|
299 | 49.5% |
|
|
162 | 42% |
|
|
453 | 40.8% |
|
|
567 | 41.3% |
|
|
287 | 47.7% |
Recently graded predictions
How these numbers are produced
Predictions are generated by a machine-learning model trained on historical results and match data — recent form, league standings, squad availability, venue and weather conditions. Probabilities are recalculated as new information arrives, and each prediction is locked before kick-off.
After the final whistle, every prediction is automatically compared with the official result and marked correct or incorrect. Nothing is removed or adjusted after the fact: the figures on this page include every graded prediction, including the misses.
For reference: always backing the home side is right 43.9% of the time, and guessing at random 33.3%. We measure our model against those baselines on the very same matches.
Important notice
All statistics and predictions on this site are provided for informational and editorial purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and no prediction is certain. Nothing on this page constitutes betting, financial or investment advice. You are responsible for ensuring that any use of this information complies with the laws applicable in your jurisdiction.
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