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York VS Carlisle

York logo

York

4'
M. Fagan-Walcott 5'
39'
O. Pearce 39'
44'
49'
86'
5-0
Full Time
LNER Community Stadium Tuesday, Sep 23, 2025 At 14:45 Edt Zac Kennard-Kettle

Match Events

York York
Carlisle Carlisle
4'
4'
M. Fagan-Walcott
Assist: O. Pearce
5'
M. Fagan-Walcott
29'
Yellow Card
29'
T. Thomas
Yellow Card
39'
Yellow Card
39'
39'
O. Pearce
Penalty
39'
G. Breeze
Yellow Card
44'
44'
O. Pearce
Assist: H. Boateng
49'
49'
A. Newby
Assist: J. Grey
51'
J. Grey
Yellow Card
52'
Yellow Card
56'
J. Ellis
On: J. Ellis Off: G. Kelly
Substitution
57'
J. Ellis
On: J. Ellis Off: G. Kelly
Substitution
59'
J. Ellis
On: J. Ellis Off: G. Kelly
Substitution
60'
Yellow Card
60'
A. Gilliead
Yellow Card
61'
H. Boateng
On: H. Boateng Off: D. Batty
Substitution
61'
T. Sinclair
On: T. Sinclair Off: B. Brookes
Substitution
61'
T. Sinclair
On: T. Sinclair Off: B. Brookes
Substitution
61'
H. Boateng
On: H. Boateng Off: D. Batty
Substitution
65'
Yellow Card
65'
A. Hunt
Yellow Card
65'
S. Murray
On: S. Murray Off: J. Jones
Substitution
66'
R. Linney
On: R. Linney Off: C. Whelan
Substitution
66'
S. Wearne
On: S. Wearne Off: M. Feeney
Substitution
66'
S. Wearne
On: S. Wearne Off: M. Feeney
Substitution
66'
R. Linney
On: R. Linney Off: C. Whelan
Substitution
67'
R. Linney
On: R. Linney Off: C. Whelan
Substitution
68'
S. Wearne
On: S. Wearne Off: M. Feeney
Substitution
70'
B. Brookes
Yellow Card
70'
B. Brookes
Yellow Card
70'
B. Brookes
Yellow Card
73'
O. Pearce
On: O. Pearce Off: J. Stones
Substitution
73'
J. Grey
On: J. Grey Off: R. Fallowfield
Substitution
73'
J. Grey
On: J. Grey Off: R. Fallowfield
Substitution
73'
O. Pearce
On: O. Pearce Off: J. Stones
Substitution
80'
A. Newby
On: A. Newby Off: O. Banks
Substitution
82'
L. Armstrong
On: L. Armstrong Off: J. Luamba
Substitution
86'
86'
J. Stones
90'+1
C. Whelan
Yellow Card
90'+2
Yellow Card
90'+2
M. Feeney
Yellow Card
90'+3
J. Stones
Yellow Card
90'+4
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

Match statistics not available

Statistics are not available for this match yet.

Team Comparison

71.2
Overall Strength
61.3
57% Attacking Power 43%
55.9% Defensive Strength 44.1%
53.8% Current Form 46.2%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

York York
Carlisle Carlisle
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
41% | 38%
Avg Total Goals
3.4 | 3

Cards Analysis

York 1.7/Game
74
2
0-15'
2
16-30'
8
31-45'
13
46-60'
24
61-75'
14
76-90'
15
Carlisle 1.8/Game
82
2
0-15'
7
16-30'
15
31-45'
10
46-60'
19
61-75'
13
76-90'
20

Season Comparison

2025/2026
York
33W 9D 0L | 114:41 | 2.35 ppg
Carlisle
29W 8D 0L | 88:53 | 2.02 ppg
2024/2025
York
1W 0D 0L | 5:4 | 1.5 ppg
Carlisle
10W 12D 0L | 44:71 | 0.91 ppg
2023/2024
York
2W 2D 0L | 3:2 | 1.6 ppg
Carlisle
7W 9D 0L | 41:81 | 0.65 ppg

Match Result

Draw
Confidence: 55.0%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
67.4%

Both Teams Score

No
59.9%

Match Outcome Probabilities

York 17.6%
Draw 55.0%
Carlisle 27.4%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
43.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 99.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 11 Corners No 99.5% Good N/A
Over 9 Corners No 96.8% Good N/A
Over 3 Cards No 92.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 90.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 86.6% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 86.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 85.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 85.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Home More Shots Yes 80.0% Good N/A
Home Most Corners Yes 80.0% Good N/A
Goal Before 15' No 74.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 67.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 2.5 Goals No 67.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair N/A
Both Teams Score No 59.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 59.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 59.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 58.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves No 55.9% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Draw 55.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 49.9% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 0-1 14.1% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
86.6%
Over 1.5
59.7%
Over 2.5
32.6%
Over 3.5
14.5%
Under 0.5
13.4%
Under 1.5
40.3%
Under 2.5
67.4%
Under 3.5
85.5%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
27.0%
HT Draw
49.9%
HT Away Win
23.1%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
58.2%
Goals After 80'
40.0%
Goals Both Halves
44.1%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
3.2%
Over 11 Corners
0.5%
Home Most Corners
80.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
7.2%
Over 5 Cards
0.5%
Red Card
9.8%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.1%
Home More Shots
80.0%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
48.8%
Away Exceed xG
49.3%
Total xG Over 2.5
32.6%
High xG Variance
40.0%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
5.0
Total Cards
1.6

League Position

York York
108 Points 1
Carlisle Carlisle
95 Points 3

Frequently Asked Questions about York vs Carlisle