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Wisla Plock VS Gornik Zabrze

0-1
Full Time
Gornik Zabrze logo

Gornik Zabrze

M. Khlan 75'
Orlen Stadion Saturday, May 16, 2026 At 11:30 Edt Wojciech Myc, Poland
AI

Wisla Plock VS Gornik Zabrze — Match Preview

Momentum Shifts as Wisla Plock Faces Resilient Gornik Zabrze

The upcoming clash at the Orlen Stadion between Wisla Plock and Gornik Zabrze presents a fascinating study in contrasting recent fortunes. Wisla Plock, currently managed by Mariusz Misiura, finds itself in a precarious position. Hovering in 7th place in the Ekstraklasa, the home side is currently struggling, coming off a disheartening run of three consecutive losses. The mood in Płock has undoubtedly darkened, with Mariusz Misiura needing to find an immediate tactical response to arrest this slide. The loss of key personnel including Marin Karamarko, Jorge Jiménez, Kyriakos Savvidis, Iban Salvador, and Filip Zając has stretched the squad thin, placing immense pressure on stalwarts like goalkeeper R. Leszczyński and top scorer Ł. Sekulski to stabilize the ship.

Conversely, Gornik Zabrze, under the guidance of Michal Gasparik, arrives in Płock with a different psychological profile. Having recently secured the Polish Cup, the visitors are buoyant despite a recent, albeit minor, dip in league momentum. Michal Gasparik has instilled a resilience that has propelled them to 2nd place in the table, putting them in the thick of the race for European qualification. While they will be without the suspended Nazariy Rusyn and Dawid Gojny, as well as the injured Luis Perea, the depth of their squad—featuring impactful contributors like P. Hellebrand and O. Sow—suggests they are well-equipped to manage these absences. The away team holds a psychological edge in this fixture, evidenced by their superior historical record in head-to-head meetings, where they have secured 4 wins to Wisla Plock's 2, alongside 4 draws.

Tactical Battles and Expectations

Tactically, the match hinges on how Wisla Plock navigates their 3-5-2 formation against a Gornik Zabrze side that has shown tactical flexibility under Michal Gasparik. The hosts must exploit their home advantage, yet their inability to find the net in 12 matches this season remains a glaring concern. If D. Kun and Dani Pacheco cannot dominate the central areas, the visitors, who have been clinical in transition, are well-positioned to exploit the gaps in Wisla Plock's defensive transitions, particularly during the late stages where the hosts have shown a tendency to concede.

The current league table highlights the stakes: Gornik Zabrze is chasing Lech Poznan for the summit, while Wisla Plock is fighting to stay relevant in the upper half. Given the form gap and the psychological momentum favouring the visitors, Gornik Zabrze are better positioned to dictate the flow of the game. Despite the lack of recent wins for either side, the visitors' ability to grind out results gives them the edge. Expect a tight contest, but one where the superior cohesion and recent trophy-winning confidence of the visitors prevail.

Verdict: Gornik Zabrze to secure a hard-fought away victory, capitalising on the current fragility of Wisla Plock to solidify their position at the top of the table.

Match Events

Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
24'
Łukasz Sekulski
Yellow Card
Foul
60'
D. Juric
On: D. Juric Off: S. Hamulic
Substitution
68'
L. Sekulski
On: L. Sekulski Off: G. Niarchos
Substitution
70'
Nemanja Mijušković
Yellow Card
Foul
70'
O. Zmrzly
On: O. Zmrzly Off: E. Janza
Substitution
70'
P. Hellebrand
On: P. Hellebrand Off: L. Ambros
Substitution
70'
L. Sadilek
On: L. Sadilek Off: L. Podolski
Substitution
70'
L. Sadilek
On: L. Sadilek Off: L. Podolski
Substitution
70'
O. Zmrzly
On: O. Zmrzly Off: E. Janza
Substitution
75'
M. Khlan
Assist: L. Ambros
77'
K. Pomorski
On: K. Pomorski Off: D. Sarapata
Substitution
78'
M. Khlan
On: M. Khlan Off: K. Lukoszek
Substitution
84'
Lukáš Ambros
Yellow Card
Foul
85'
Y. Ikia Dimi
On: Y. Ikia Dimi Off: R. Massimo
Substitution
90'+2
Quentin Lecoeuche
Yellow Card
Foul

Lineups

Wisla Plock Wisla Plock (3-1-4-2)

Starting XI
D
D. Kun
D. Kun #14
M
M
F
Z. Rogelj
Z. Rogelj #21
M
W. Nowak
W. Nowak #30
M
D
D. Juric
D. Juric #99
F

Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze (4-3-3)

Starting XI
G
M
M
D
Josema
Josema #20
D
S. Liseth
S. Liseth #23
F
D
M. Khlan
M. Khlan #33
F
O. Zmrzly
O. Zmrzly #67
D

Match Statistics

Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Blocked Shots 2
12 Fouls 11
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
1 Offsides 0
4 Saves 1
349 Passes 407
281 Accurate Passes 345
81% Pass Accuracy 85%

Team Comparison

46.9
Overall Strength
54
40.5% Attacking Power 59.5%
50% Defensive Strength 50%
42.9% Current Form 57.1%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
21% | 29%
Avg Total Goals
2.1 | 2.6

Cards Analysis

Wisla Plock 1.6/Game
55
0
0-15'
3
16-30'
5
31-45'
10
46-60'
11
61-75'
12
76-90'
14
Gornik Zabrze 1.1/Game
39
0
0-15'
1
16-30'
7
31-45'
8
46-60'
4
61-75'
5
76-90'
14

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Wisla Plock
12W 10D 0L | 34:38 | 1.35 ppg
Gornik Zabrze
16W 8D 0L | 50:38 | 1.65 ppg
2024/2025
Wisla Plock
20W 10D 0L | 62:39 | 1.94 ppg
Gornik Zabrze
13W 8D 0L | 43:39 | 1.38 ppg
2023/2024
Wisla Plock
14W 9D 0L | 46:46 | 1.5 ppg
Gornik Zabrze
15W 8D 0L | 45:41 | 1.56 ppg
AI

Wisla Plock VS Gornik Zabrze — Match Analysis

Momentum Shifts as Wisla Plock Faces Resilient Gornik Zabrze

The upcoming clash at the Orlen Stadion between Wisla Plock and Gornik Zabrze presents a fascinating study in contrasting recent fortunes. Wisla Plock, currently managed by Mariusz Misiura, finds itself in a precarious position. Hovering in 7th place in the Ekstraklasa, the home side is currently struggling, coming off a disheartening run of three consecutive losses. The mood in Płock has undoubtedly darkened, with Mariusz Misiura needing to find an immediate tactical response to arrest this slide. The loss of key personnel including Marin Karamarko, Jorge Jiménez, Kyriakos Savvidis, Iban Salvador, and Filip Zając has stretched the squad thin, placing immense pressure on stalwarts like goalkeeper R. Leszczyński and top scorer Ł. Sekulski to stabilize the ship.

Conversely, Gornik Zabrze, under the guidance of Michal Gasparik, arrives in Płock with a different psychological profile. Having recently secured the Polish Cup, the visitors are buoyant despite a recent, albeit minor, dip in league momentum. Michal Gasparik has instilled a resilience that has propelled them to 2nd place in the table, putting them in the thick of the race for European qualification. While they will be without the suspended Nazariy Rusyn and Dawid Gojny, as well as the injured Luis Perea, the depth of their squad—featuring impactful contributors like P. Hellebrand and O. Sow—suggests they are well-equipped to manage these absences. The away team holds a psychological edge in this fixture, evidenced by their superior historical record in head-to-head meetings, where they have secured 4 wins to Wisla Plock's 2, alongside 4 draws.

Tactical Battles and Expectations

Tactically, the match hinges on how Wisla Plock navigates their 3-5-2 formation against a Gornik Zabrze side that has shown tactical flexibility under Michal Gasparik. The hosts must exploit their home advantage, yet their inability to find the net in 12 matches this season remains a glaring concern. If D. Kun and Dani Pacheco cannot dominate the central areas, the visitors, who have been clinical in transition, are well-positioned to exploit the gaps in Wisla Plock's defensive transitions, particularly during the late stages where the hosts have shown a tendency to concede.

The current league table highlights the stakes: Gornik Zabrze is chasing Lech Poznan for the summit, while Wisla Plock is fighting to stay relevant in the upper half. Given the form gap and the psychological momentum favouring the visitors, Gornik Zabrze are better positioned to dictate the flow of the game. Despite the lack of recent wins for either side, the visitors' ability to grind out results gives them the edge. Expect a tight contest, but one where the superior cohesion and recent trophy-winning confidence of the visitors prevail.

Verdict: Gornik Zabrze to secure a hard-fought away victory, capitalising on the current fragility of Wisla Plock to solidify their position at the top of the table.

Key Factors

Wisla Plock's three-match losing streak and psychological fragility Gornik Zabrze's confidence following their recent Polish Cup title Significant injury absences for Wisla Plock limiting tactical options Head-to-head historical advantage favouring Gornik Zabrze Crucial absences for Gornik Zabrze offset by superior squad depth and momentum
Confidence is set at 55.5% for an away win based on Gornik Zabrze's superior league standing and recent cup success, balanced against their own suspensions and the inherent unpredictability of Wisla Plock's home performance.

Match Result

Away Win
Confidence: 57.6%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
55.9%

Both Teams Score

No
59.6%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Wisla Plock 4.3%
Draw 38.0%
Gornik Zabrze 57.6%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
86.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 8 Shots on Target No 96.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 91.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 91.3% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 79.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 77.0% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 77.0% Good ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 73.8% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 71.9% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 70.0% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 1.5 Goals No 70.0% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 70.0% Good ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Both Teams Score No 59.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves No 59.3% Fair ✓ Correct
Match Result Away Win 57.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 55.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 55.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 55.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home Most Corners Yes 55.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners Yes 51.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 51.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots No 50.4% Fair ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 0-1 19.4% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
91.3%
Over 1.5
70.0%
Over 2.5
44.1%
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 0.5
8.7%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Under 2.5
55.9%
Under 3.5
77.0%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
27.7%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
20.8%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
55.6%
Goals After 80'
26.2%
Goals Both Halves
40.7%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
51.7%
Over 11 Corners
28.1%
Home Most Corners
55.1%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
0.1%
Over 5 Cards
0.1%
Red Card
30.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
3.4%
Home More Shots
49.6%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
47.2%
Away Exceed xG
49.3%
Total xG Over 2.5
24.3%
High xG Variance
38.5%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
65.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
9.8
Total Cards
0.2

Frequently Asked Questions about Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze