Toluca VS Atlas
Recent Form
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2026
Toluca
VS
Atlas
1 - 1
Toluca
VS
Atlas
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Nov 1, 2025
Atlas
VS
Toluca
0 - 0
Atlas
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Jalisco
2025
Apr 12, 2025
Atlas
VS
Toluca
2 - 3
Atlas
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Jalisco
2024
Sep 28, 2024
Toluca
VS
Atlas
4 - 1
Toluca
VS
Atlas
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Apr 7, 2024
Toluca
VS
Atlas
4 - 1
Toluca
VS
Atlas
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2023
Match Events
Toluca
Atlas
3'
⚽
L. Fernández
Assist: F. Navarro
10'
⚽
F. Navarro
Assist: J. Meneses
12'
•
Fernando Navarro
Goal Confirmed
15'
⚽
V. Huerta
Assist: L. Fernández
30'
⇄
R. López
On: R. López
Off: C. Guzmán
Substitution
39'
Hugo Nervo
Yellow Card
Foul
41'
Edgar Zaldívar
Yellow Card
Foul
43'
⚽
J. Ocejo
Assist: A. Rocha
46'
⇄
C. González
On: C. González
Off: Camilo Sanvezzo
Substitution
46'
⇄
E. Aguilera
On: E. Aguilera
Off: E. Flores
Substitution
60'
Anibal Chalá
Yellow Card
Foul
65'
Anderson Santamaría
Yellow Card
Foul
69'
⇄
A. Chalá
On: A. Chalá
Off: C. Trejo
Substitution
71'
•
Marcel Ruíz
Card Upgrade
72'
Marcel Ruíz
Red Card
Foul
76'
⇄
É. Zaldívar
On: É. Zaldívar
Off: L. Rodríguez
Substitution
76'
⇄
J. Abella
On: J. Abella
Off: J. Márquez
Substitution
83'
⇄
F. Navarro
On: F. Navarro
Off: A. Rodríguez
Substitution
83'
⇄
L. Fernández
On: L. Fernández
Off: J. Sierra
Substitution
84'
⚽
A. Rocha
Assist: H. Nervo
90'+1
Jean Meneses
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
Lineups
Toluca
(4-3-2-1)
Starting XI
Tiago Volpi
#1
R. López
#2
V. Huerta
#4
L. Fernández
#10
M. Ruiz
#14
J. Meneses
#16
F. Navarro
#18
B. Angulo
#21
C. Baeza
#23
A. Mosquera
#26
C. González
#32
Substitutes
Atlas
(5-3-2)
Starting XI
H. Nervo
#2
J. Abella
#4
D
É. Zaldívar
#6
O. Herrera
#7
A. Chalá
#8
C. Vargas
#12
L. Reyes
#14
J. Ocejo
#20
A. Rocha
#26
E. Aguilera
#29
Substitutes
D
F
M
Match Statistics
Toluca
Atlas
49%
Possession
51%
14
Shots
25
9
Shots on Target
7
3
Blocked Shots
5
8
Fouls
15
4
Corners
8
1
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
5
Saves
6
381
Passes
368
316
Accurate Passes
311
83%
Pass Accuracy
85%
Team Comparison
41.7
Overall Strength
53.9
50.8%
Attacking Power
49.2%
32.5%
Defensive Strength
67.5%
42%
Current Form
58%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Toluca
Atlas
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
14%
|
41%
Avg Total Goals
3
|
2
Cards Analysis
Toluca
2.4/Game
80
5
0-15'
9
16-30'
9
31-45'
17
46-60'
20
61-75'
14
76-90'
16
Atlas
2.2/Game
95
7
0-15'
9
16-30'
17
31-45'
17
46-60'
20
61-75'
18
76-90'
21
Season Comparison
2021/2022
Toluca
11W 10D 0L
|
44:60
|
1.23 ppg
Atlas
20W 14D 0L
|
56:38
|
1.61 ppg
2020/2021
Toluca
13W 8D 0L
|
55:60
|
1.24 ppg
Atlas
11W 9D 0L
|
32:38
|
1.14 ppg
2019/2020
Toluca
6W 9D 0L
|
32:44
|
0.96 ppg
Atlas
9W 3D 0L
|
29:43
|
1.07 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
70.6%
Both Teams Score
Yes
69.1%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Toluca
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Atlas
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.4% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.4% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 87.9% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 87.9% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 77.0% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 75.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 70.6% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 70.6% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 70.6% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 69.1% | Good |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 62.9% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 62.7% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 60.2% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 58.6% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 53.0% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 50.5% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 50.5% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.9% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 8.9% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.4%
Over 1.5
87.9%
Over 2.5
70.6%
Over 3.5
49.5%
Under 0.5
2.6%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Under 2.5
29.4%
Under 3.5
50.5%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.2%
HT Draw
48.9%
HT Away Win
22.9%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
77.0%
Goals After 80'
37.3%
Goals Both Halves
70.6%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
47.0%
Over 11 Corners
24.2%
Home Most Corners
60.2%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
58.6%
Home More Shots
62.9%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
54.5%
Away Exceed xG
51.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
70.6%
High xG Variance
48.3%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.4
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Toluca
27 Points
6
Atlas
13 Points
17