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Swindon Town VS Bristol Rovers

Swindon Town logo

Swindon Town

O. Palmer 58'
1-1
Full Time
Bristol Rovers logo

Bristol Rovers

K. Thompson-Sommer... 43'
The Nigel Eady County Ground Saturday, Feb 28, 2026 At 07:30 Est R. Ricardo

Match Events

Swindon Town Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
32'
Kofi Balmer
Yellow Card
Argument
32'
Ollie Clarke
Yellow Card
Argument
43'
K. Thompson-Sommers
Assist: E. Harrison
58'
O. Palmer
Assist: J. Batty
67'
E. Harrison
On: E. Harrison Off: F. Cavegn
Substitution
69'
J. Hoilett
On: J. Hoilett Off: M. Olakigbe
Substitution
69'
W. Wright
On: W. Wright Off: B. Kirkman
Substitution
69'
J. Snowdon
On: J. Snowdon Off: F. Holman
Substitution
69'
Joe Snowdon
On: Joe Snowdon Off: Fletcher Holman
Substitution
69'
Junior Hoilett
On: Junior Hoilett Off: Michael Olakigbe
Substitution
83'
Joel Senior
Yellow Card
Foul
88'
Joe Quigley
Yellow Card
Foul
89'
J. Batty
On: J. Batty Off: B. Bodin
Substitution
90'
Richard Smallwood
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+3
R. De Havilland
On: R. De Havilland Off: L. Thomas
Substitution

Lineups

Swindon Town Swindon Town (3-4-1-2)

Starting XI
G
D
F
M
M
A. Drinan
A. Drinan #23
F
M
J. Batty
J. Batty #26
D
O. Palmer
O. Palmer #28
F
M

Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers (4-4-2)

Starting XI

Match Statistics

Swindon Town Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Blocked Shots 1
11 Fouls 10
13 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
3 Offsides 0
3 Saves 4
307 Passes 279
195 Accurate Passes 175
64% Pass Accuracy 63%

Team Comparison

52.9
Overall Strength
47.4
55.6% Attacking Power 44.4%
52.4% Defensive Strength 47.6%
53.7% Current Form 46.3%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Swindon Town Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
28% | 24%
Avg Total Goals
2.8 | 2.6

Cards Analysis

Swindon Town 1.6/Game
72
3
0-15'
1
16-30'
14
31-45'
16
46-60'
18
61-75'
9
76-90'
17
Bristol Rovers 2.1/Game
92
6
0-15'
5
16-30'
12
31-45'
26
46-60'
18
61-75'
16
76-90'
21

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Swindon Town
22W 9D 0L | 70:59 | 1.63 ppg
Bristol Rovers
19W 5D 0L | 56:65 | 1.35 ppg
2024/2025
Swindon Town
15W 17D 0L | 71:63 | 1.35 ppg
Bristol Rovers
12W 7D 0L | 44:76 | 0.93 ppg
2023/2024
Swindon Town
14W 12D 0L | 77:83 | 1.17 ppg
Bristol Rovers
16W 9D 0L | 52:68 | 1.24 ppg

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 73.3%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
51.2%

Both Teams Score

Yes
50.8%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Swindon Town 73.3%
Draw 24.4%
Bristol Rovers 2.3%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
70.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 99.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 91.4% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 91.4% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 91.4% Good ✕ Wrong
Home More Shots Yes 76.3% Good ✓ Correct
Match Result Home Win 73.3% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 73.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 73.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 72.6% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 72.6% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 69.7% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners Yes 66.8% Good ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 66.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 62.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 11 Corners No 57.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves Yes 54.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 53.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 51.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 51.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score Yes 50.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 48.9% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 1-0 23.1% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
91.4%
Over 1.5
73.3%
Over 2.5
48.8%
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 0.5
8.6%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
Under 3.5
72.6%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
28.4%
HT Draw
48.9%
HT Away Win
22.7%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
66.1%
Goals After 80'
37.3%
Goals Both Halves
54.9%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
66.8%
Over 11 Corners
43.0%
Home Most Corners
53.8%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
8.6%
Over 5 Cards
0.7%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.2%
Home More Shots
76.3%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.5%
Away Exceed xG
46.3%
Total xG Over 2.5
20.4%
High xG Variance
37.8%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
65.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
11.1
Total Cards
1.7

Frequently Asked Questions about Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers