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ST Mirren VS Partick

ST Mirren logo

ST Mirren

M. Fraser 65'
1-0
Full Time
The SMISA Stadium Monday, May 25, 2026 At 15:00 Edt N. Walsh
AI

ST Mirren VS Partick — Match Preview

High Stakes at The SMiSA Stadium

The 2026 Premiership play-off final reaches a critical juncture as ST Mirren host Partick at The SMiSA Stadium. With the tie locked at 1-1 following a tense first leg, the pressure on both squads is immense. For ST Mirren, this fixture represents the culmination of a tumultuous campaign that saw them navigate an interim period under Craig McLeish after the departure of their former manager. For Partick, led by head coach Mark Wilson, this is a golden opportunity to secure promotion and reassert themselves in the top flight.

Squad Depth and Management Pressure

The managerial transition at ST Mirren has been defined by defensive resilience, despite their challenging season. The Buddies face the challenge of managing a squad plagued by injuries, with key defensive personnel such as Declan John and veteran presence in goal missing. Craig McLeish will rely on the core of his defensive unit to withstand pressure from a Partick side that has demonstrated consistent grit throughout the playoffs. The absence of players on loan from their parent club, such as Oisin Smyth and Fraser Taylor, narrows the tactical options available to the visitors, forcing Mark Wilson to rely heavily on the availability of his established starters like Tony Watt and Logan Chalmers.

Strategic Outlook

The statistical profile of ST Mirren throughout the season has been marked by a tendency to struggle in the final third, with 18 games failing to register a goal. Their preference for a 3-5-2 formation suggests a tactical focus on control and containment, which will be essential against an aggressive Partick outfit. The referee, N. Walsh, averages 4.1 yellows per game, indicating that the midfield battle will likely be combative and disciplined. Both managers know that an early goal could dictate the tempo, yet the historical head-to-head records—with eight meetings showing a blend of tightly contested draws and narrow outcomes—point to a match where late tactical maneuvers and substitutions will likely prove decisive. The home side’s reliance on peak scoring in the final 15 minutes of matches suggests that the contest may remain balanced until the closing stages.

Verdict

The visitors hold a marginal advantage in momentum as they enter this decisive leg. While the tactical discipline of ST Mirren under McLeish provides a defensive anchor, the attacking limitations throughout the season leave them vulnerable to a well-organized Partick side looking to capitalize on any lapse in concentration. Expect a tight, attritional encounter where the visitors narrowly overcome the deficit to clinch victory.

Match Events

ST Mirren ST Mirren
Partick Partick
46'
B. McPherson
On: B. McPherson Off: C. Logan
Substitution
49'
Luke McBeth
Yellow Card
60'
Scott Tanser
Yellow Card
62'
A. Campbell
On: A. Campbell Off: M. O'Hara
Substitution
62'
J. Young
On: J. Young Off: R. Idowu
Substitution
62'
J. Young
On: J. Young Off: R. Idowu
Substitution
62'
A. Campbell
On: A. Campbell Off: M. O'Hara
Substitution
65'
M. Fraser
Assist: M. O'Hara
68'
L. McBeth
On: L. McBeth Off: L. Chalmers
Substitution
74'
P. Reading
On: P. Reading Off: G. Mackay-Steven
Substitution
74'
B. Stanway
On: B. Stanway Off: T. Letsosa
Substitution
75'
B. Stanway
On: B. Stanway Off: T. Letsosa
Substitution
75'
P. Reading
On: P. Reading Off: G. Mackay-Steven
Substitution
83'
R. Crawford
On: R. Crawford Off: K. Turner
Substitution
85'
J. Richardson
On: J. Richardson Off: R. King
Substitution
87'
Lee Ashcroft
Yellow Card
90'
K. Phillips
On: K. Phillips Off: D. N'Lundulu
Substitution
90'+3
Alex Samuel
Yellow Card
90'+3
Alexander Gogić
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

ST Mirren ST Mirren
Partick Partick
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0

Team Comparison

37.8
Overall Strength
55.2
35.1% Attacking Power 64.9%
41.1% Defensive Strength 58.9%
30.3% Current Form 69.7%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

ST Mirren ST Mirren
Partick Partick
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
23% | 36%
Avg Total Goals
2.2 | 2.5

Cards Analysis

ST Mirren 1.8/Game
67
4
0-15'
3
16-30'
10
31-45'
13
46-60'
14
61-75'
13
76-90'
18
Partick 1.8/Game
63
3
0-15'
3
16-30'
7
31-45'
12
46-60'
14
61-75'
14
76-90'
16

Season Comparison

2025/2026
ST Mirren
8W 11D 0L | 31:56 | 0.9 ppg
Partick
17W 15D 0L | 53:36 | 1.83 ppg
2024/2025
ST Mirren
14W 8D 0L | 53:59 | 1.32 ppg
Partick
1W 0D 0L | 2:5 | 0.75 ppg
2023/2024
ST Mirren
13W 8D 0L | 46:52 | 1.24 ppg
Partick
2W 1D 0L | 7:6 | 1.75 ppg
AI

ST Mirren VS Partick — Match Analysis

High Stakes at The SMiSA Stadium

The 2026 Premiership play-off final reaches a critical juncture as ST Mirren host Partick at The SMiSA Stadium. With the tie locked at 1-1 following a tense first leg, the pressure on both squads is immense. For ST Mirren, this fixture represents the culmination of a tumultuous campaign that saw them navigate an interim period under Craig McLeish after the departure of their former manager. For Partick, led by head coach Mark Wilson, this is a golden opportunity to secure promotion and reassert themselves in the top flight.

Squad Depth and Management Pressure

The managerial transition at ST Mirren has been defined by defensive resilience, despite their challenging season. The Buddies face the challenge of managing a squad plagued by injuries, with key defensive personnel such as Declan John and veteran presence in goal missing. Craig McLeish will rely on the core of his defensive unit to withstand pressure from a Partick side that has demonstrated consistent grit throughout the playoffs. The absence of players on loan from their parent club, such as Oisin Smyth and Fraser Taylor, narrows the tactical options available to the visitors, forcing Mark Wilson to rely heavily on the availability of his established starters like Tony Watt and Logan Chalmers.

Strategic Outlook

The statistical profile of ST Mirren throughout the season has been marked by a tendency to struggle in the final third, with 18 games failing to register a goal. Their preference for a 3-5-2 formation suggests a tactical focus on control and containment, which will be essential against an aggressive Partick outfit. The referee, N. Walsh, averages 4.1 yellows per game, indicating that the midfield battle will likely be combative and disciplined. Both managers know that an early goal could dictate the tempo, yet the historical head-to-head records—with eight meetings showing a blend of tightly contested draws and narrow outcomes—point to a match where late tactical maneuvers and substitutions will likely prove decisive. The home side’s reliance on peak scoring in the final 15 minutes of matches suggests that the contest may remain balanced until the closing stages.

Verdict

The visitors hold a marginal advantage in momentum as they enter this decisive leg. While the tactical discipline of ST Mirren under McLeish provides a defensive anchor, the attacking limitations throughout the season leave them vulnerable to a well-organized Partick side looking to capitalize on any lapse in concentration. Expect a tight, attritional encounter where the visitors narrowly overcome the deficit to clinch victory.

Key Factors

First leg scoreline is currently 1-1, creating immense pressure. St Mirren is managed by interim coach Craig McLeish, while Partick is led by Mark Wilson. St Mirren faces significant injury absences, including key defensive and goalkeeper positions. Partick is restricted by player ineligibility for loan signings. The match is likely to be decided by late goals, given the historical trend of St Mirren's scoring patterns.
The 51.6% prediction for an away win reflects Partick's current momentum and the significant injury and availability challenges facing St Mirren.

Match Result

Away Win
Confidence: 51.7%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
71.7%

Both Teams Score

No
64.2%

Match Outcome Probabilities

ST Mirren 10.3%
Draw 37.9%
Partick 51.7%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
69.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 11 Corners No 98.7% Good ✓ Correct
Over 8 Shots on Target No 97.7% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 93.9% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 88.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 88.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 84.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 84.3% Good ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 80.0% Good ✕ Wrong
Goal Before 15' No 74.8% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 71.7% Good ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 71.7% Good ✓ Correct
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score No 64.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 60.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves No 59.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots Yes 55.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals in First 30' Yes 55.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 1.5 Goals No 55.2% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 55.2% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Away Win 51.7% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 49.4% Low ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 0-1 19.2% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
84.3%
Over 1.5
55.2%
Over 2.5
28.3%
Over 3.5
11.7%
Under 0.5
15.7%
Under 1.5
44.8%
Under 2.5
71.7%
Under 3.5
88.3%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
27.7%
HT Draw
49.4%
HT Away Win
22.9%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
55.4%
Goals After 80'
39.1%
Goals Both Halves
40.4%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
6.1%
Over 11 Corners
1.3%
Home Most Corners
80.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
0.1%
Over 5 Cards
0.1%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
2.3%
Home More Shots
55.5%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
47.3%
Away Exceed xG
49.3%
Total xG Over 2.5
24.3%
High xG Variance
38.5%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
5.6
Total Cards
0.3

Frequently Asked Questions about ST Mirren vs Partick