Southampton VS Watford
Recent Form
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2026
Southampton
VS
Watford
1 - 0
Southampton
VS
Watford
Championship
St. Mary's Stadium
2025
Aug 30, 2025
Watford
VS
Southampton
2 - 2
Watford
VS
Southampton
Championship
Vicarage Road
2025
Apr 13, 2024
Southampton
VS
Watford
3 - 2
Southampton
VS
Watford
Championship
St. Mary's Stadium
2023
Feb 6, 2024
Southampton
VS
Watford
3 - 0
Southampton
VS
Watford
FA Cup
St. Mary's Stadium
2023
Jan 28, 2024
Watford
VS
Southampton
1 - 1
Watford
VS
Southampton
FA Cup
Vicarage Road
2023
Match Events
Southampton
Watford
38'
⇄
F. Downes
On: F. Downes
Off: S. Charles
Substitution
53'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Yellow Card
Foul
63'
⇄
M. Doumbia
On: M. Doumbia
Off: L. Kjerrumgaard
Substitution
66'
Giorgi Chakvetadze
Yellow Card
Foul
67'
⇄
R. Stewart
On: R. Stewart
Off: C. Larin
Substitution
67'
⇄
L. Scienza
On: L. Scienza
Off: S. Edozie
Substitution
67'
⇄
L. Scienza
On: L. Scienza
Off: S. Edozie
Substitution
67'
⇄
R. Stewart
On: R. Stewart
Off: C. Larin
Substitution
70'
⇄
S. Mfuni
On: S. Mfuni
Off: S. Goglichidze
Substitution
70'
⚽
C. Larin
Assist: J. Bree
75'
James Bree
Yellow Card
Foul
85'
⇄
J. Ngakia
On: J. Ngakia
Off: J. Petris
Substitution
85'
⇄
N. Mendy
On: N. Mendy
Off: F. Mendy
Substitution
85'
⇄
N. Mendy
On: N. Mendy
Off: F. Mendy
Substitution
85'
⇄
J. Ngakia
On: J. Ngakia
Off: J. Petris
Substitution
86'
⇄
O. Maamma
On: O. Maamma
Off: K. Baah
Substitution
90'
⇄
T. Fellows
On: T. Fellows
Off: N. Wood
Substitution
90'+2
Shea Charles
Yellow Card
Foul
Lineups
Southampton
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
F. Downes
#4
J. Stephens
#5
D
F. Azaz
#10
R. Stewart
#11
L. Scienza
#13
J. Bree
#14
T. Fellows
#18
C. Jander
#20
Welington
#34
D. Peretz
#41
Substitutes
F
D
Watford
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
E. Selvik
#1
J. Ngakia
#2
M
I. Louza
#10
M. Bola
#16
M. Doumbia
#20
S. Mfuni
#21
N. Mendy
#23
J. Abankwah
#25
E. Kayembe
#39
O. Maamma
#42
Substitutes
M
D
F
Match Statistics
Southampton
Watford
47%
Possession
53%
6
Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
2
1
Blocked Shots
5
10
Fouls
10
3
Corners
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
2
Saves
3
412
Passes
453
333
Accurate Passes
373
81%
Pass Accuracy
82%
Team Comparison
55.6
Overall Strength
43.6
60.3%
Attacking Power
39.7%
54.3%
Defensive Strength
45.7%
61.2%
Current Form
38.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Southampton
Watford
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
25%
|
15%
Avg Total Goals
3
|
2.6
Cards Analysis
Southampton
1.5/Game
73
0
0-15'
2
16-30'
8
31-45'
8
46-60'
16
61-75'
19
76-90'
20
Watford
1.7/Game
79
1
0-15'
3
16-30'
10
31-45'
13
46-60'
22
61-75'
16
76-90'
16
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Southampton
23W 15D 0L
|
84:57
|
1.75 ppg
Watford
14W 15D 0L
|
53:65
|
1.24 ppg
2024/2025
Southampton
2W 1D 0L
|
10:8
|
1.75 ppg
Watford
16W 9D 0L
|
53:61
|
1.24 ppg
2023/2024
Southampton
28W 10D 0L
|
91:64
|
1.92 ppg
Watford
13W 17D 0L
|
61:61
|
1.22 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
57.6%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
53.2%
Both Teams Score
No
63.1%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Southampton
57.6%
Draw
29.2%
Watford
13.2%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
80.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 97.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 93.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 93.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 80.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 79.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 76.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 76.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 74.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 73.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 69.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 69.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 68.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 63.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 11 Corners | Yes | 59.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Home Win | 57.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 53.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 53.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.9% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 1-0 | 21.2% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
93.8%
Over 1.5
76.5%
Over 2.5
53.2%
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 0.5
6.2%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.8%
HT Draw
51.5%
HT Away Win
20.7%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
61.2%
Goals After 80'
27.0%
Goals Both Halves
48.1%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
79.9%
Over 11 Corners
59.4%
Home Most Corners
68.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
74.7%
Over 5 Cards
39.9%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
2.1%
Home More Shots
80.0%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.2%
Away Exceed xG
46.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
21.4%
High xG Variance
38.0%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
12.5
Total Cards
5.1