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Sao Paulo VS Palmeiras

Sao Paulo logo

Sao Paulo

Luciano 15'
G. Tapia 34'
2-3
Full Time
Palmeiras logo

Palmeiras

Vitor Roque 70'
J. Lopez 74'
R. Sosa 89'
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) Sunday, Oct 5, 2025 At 15:00 Edt Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil

Match Events

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Palmeiras Palmeiras
-5'
Emiliano Martínez
Yellow Card
Argument
11'
Raphael Veiga
Yellow Card
Foul
15'
Luciano
Assist: Marcos Antonio
22'
Damián Bobadilla
Yellow Card
Foul
34'
G. Tapia
Assist: E. Diaz
46'
Raphael Veiga
On: Raphael Veiga Off: Mauricio
Substitution
46'
Murilo
On: Murilo Off: Bruno Fuchs
Substitution
46'
A. Giay
On: A. Giay Off: Allan
Substitution
46'
Murilo
On: Murilo Off: Bruno Fuchs
Substitution
46'
Raphael Veiga
On: Raphael Veiga Off: Mauricio
Substitution
54'
D. Bobadilla
On: D. Bobadilla Off: Alisson
Substitution
55'
Andreas Pereira
Yellow Card
Foul
64'
Pablo Maia
Yellow Card
Foul
65'
Marcos Antonio
On: Marcos Antonio Off: Rodriguinho
Substitution
65'
J. Piquerez
On: J. Piquerez Off: Jefte
Substitution
65'
Felipe Anderson
On: Felipe Anderson Off: R. Sosa
Substitution
70'
Vitor Roque
Assist: Mauricio
74'
J. Lopez
Assist: Mauricio
80'
Vitor Roque
Yellow Card
Argument
80'
Enzo Díaz
Yellow Card
Argument
82'
G. Tapia
On: G. Tapia Off: Lucas Moura
Substitution
89'
R. Sosa
Assist: A. Moreno
90'+2
Gustavo Gómez
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
90'+3
E. Martinez
Yellow Card
Misses Next Match
90'+7
Aníbal Moreno
Yellow Card
Foul

Lineups

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo (3-4-1-2)

Starting XI
M
Luciano
Luciano #10
F
E. Diaz
E. Diaz #13
M
G. Tapia
G. Tapia #14
F
M
Rafael
Rafael #23
G
A. Franco
A. Franco #28
D
M
Sabino
Sabino #35
D

Palmeiras Palmeiras (4-1-3-2)

Starting XI
A. Giay
A. Giay #4
D
M
M
G. Gomez
G. Gomez #15
D
Weverton
Weverton #21
G
D
Murilo
Murilo #26
D
J. Lopez
J. Lopez #42
F

Match Statistics

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Palmeiras Palmeiras
51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Blocked Shots 3
12 Fouls 12
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 3
305 Passes 282
235 Accurate Passes 216
77% Pass Accuracy 77%

Team Comparison

47.2
Overall Strength
62.5
39.4% Attacking Power 60.6%
41.3% Defensive Strength 58.7%
37.8% Current Form 62.2%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Palmeiras Palmeiras
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
32% | 39%
Avg Total Goals
2.3 | 2.6

Cards Analysis

Sao Paulo 2.2/Game
81
2
0-15'
2
16-30'
12
31-45'
15
46-60'
17
61-75'
18
76-90'
19
Palmeiras 1.8/Game
65
2
0-15'
6
16-30'
7
31-45'
12
46-60'
12
61-75'
13
76-90'
17

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Sao Paulo
14W 9D 0L | 43:47 | 1.34 ppg
Palmeiras
23W 7D 0L | 66:33 | 2 ppg
2023/2024
Sao Paulo
14W 11D 0L | 40:38 | 1.39 ppg
Palmeiras
20W 10D 0L | 64:33 | 1.84 ppg

Match Result

Draw
Confidence: 42.8%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
60.5%

Both Teams Score

No
56.6%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Sao Paulo 22.8%
Draw 42.8%
Palmeiras 34.5%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
48.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 94.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 90.2% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 90.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 79.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 79.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 71.9% Good ✕ Wrong
Goal Before 15' No 69.7% Good ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 69.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 67.4% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 67.4% Fair ✓ Correct
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 63.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 60.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 60.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 9 Corners Yes 60.3% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves Yes 59.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 59.2% Fair ✕ Wrong
Both Teams Score No 56.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home More Shots No 55.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners No 51.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 8 Shots on Target Yes 51.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 49.1% Low ✕ Wrong
Match Result Draw 42.8% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 1-0 14.4% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
90.2%
Over 1.5
67.4%
Over 2.5
39.5%
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 0.5
9.8%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Under 2.5
60.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
28.2%
HT Draw
49.1%
HT Away Win
22.7%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
69.6%
Goals After 80'
40.8%
Goals Both Halves
59.9%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
60.3%
Over 11 Corners
36.1%
Home Most Corners
48.1%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
28.2%
Over 5 Cards
5.5%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
51.0%
Home More Shots
45.0%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
51.3%
Away Exceed xG
48.3%
Total xG Over 2.5
40.9%
High xG Variance
41.6%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
10.5
Total Cards
2.7

League Position

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
51 Points 8
Palmeiras Palmeiras
76 Points 2

Frequently Asked Questions about Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras