Recent Form
Head to Head
May 3, 2026
Sao Paulo
VS
Bahia
2 - 2
Sao Paulo
VS
Bahia
Serie A
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)
2026
Oct 25, 2025
Sao Paulo
VS
Bahia
2 - 0
Sao Paulo
VS
Bahia
Serie A
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)
2025
May 31, 2025
Bahia
VS
Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Bahia
VS
Sao Paulo
Serie A
Arena Fonte Nova
2025
Nov 5, 2024
Bahia
VS
Sao Paulo
0 - 3
Bahia
VS
Sao Paulo
Serie A
Arena Fonte Nova
2024
Jun 30, 2024
Sao Paulo
VS
Bahia
3 - 1
Sao Paulo
VS
Bahia
Serie A
MorumBIS
2024
Match Events
Sao Paulo
Bahia
30'
⚽
J. Calleri
Assist: Igor Vinícius
32'
⚽
Ferreira
Assist: Luciano
33'
Ferreira
Yellow Card
34'
•
Ferreira
Goal Confirmed
44'
Kanu
Yellow Card
Foul
49'
⚽
Gilberto
61'
⇄
Jean Lucas
On: Jean Lucas
Off: Biel
Substitution
65'
⚽
Luciano
Assist: Ferreira
65'
Luciano
Yellow Card
Argument
69'
⇄
Cauly
On: Cauly
Off: Ademir
Substitution
70'
⇄
Éverton Ribeiro
On: Éverton Ribeiro
Off: C. de Pena
Substitution
70'
⇄
Everaldo
On: Everaldo
Off: Ó. Estupiñán
Substitution
80'
•
Jonathan Calleri
Goal Cancelled
81'
⇄
Caio Alexandre
On: Caio Alexandre
Off: Rezende
Substitution
84'
⇄
Welington
On: Welington
Off: Patryck
Substitution
84'
⇄
Ferreira
On: Ferreira
Off: M. Araújo
Substitution
84'
⇄
Luciano
On: Luciano
Off: Wellington Rato
Substitution
86'
Alisson
Yellow Card
Foul
89'
Luiz Gustavo
Yellow Card
Foul
90'
⇄
Lucas Moura
On: Lucas Moura
Off: Juan
Substitution
90'+5
⇄
Igor Vinícius
On: Igor Vinícius
Off: Diego Costa
Substitution
Lineups
Sao Paulo
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
D
R. Arboleda
#5
Welington
#6
Lucas Moura
#7
J. Calleri
#9
Luciano
#10
Luiz Gustavo
#16
Alisson
#25
A. Franco
#28
Ferreira
#47
Jandrei
#93
Substitutes
F
F
D
D
D
G
Bahia
(4-1-3-2)
Starting XI
Gilberto
#2
D
Kanu
#4
Jean Lucas
#6
Cauly
#8
Everaldo
#9
Éverton Ribeiro
#10
Thaciano
#16
Caio Alexandre
#19
Marcos Felipe
#22
Luciano Juba
#46
Substitutes
M
F
F
G
D
D
Match Statistics
Sao Paulo
Bahia
41%
Possession
59%
10
Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
6
0
Blocked Shots
2
15
Fouls
9
4
Corners
4
4
Yellow Cards
1
2
Offsides
0
5
Saves
1
411
Passes
608
350
Accurate Passes
554
85%
Pass Accuracy
91%
Team Comparison
48.9
Overall Strength
45.4
44.4%
Attacking Power
55.6%
58.2%
Defensive Strength
41.8%
53.8%
Current Form
46.2%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
39%
|
24%
Avg Total Goals
2.1
|
2.7
Cards Analysis
Sao Paulo
2.3/Game
85
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
17
31-45'
6
46-60'
26
61-75'
15
76-90'
20
Bahia
2.3/Game
81
5
0-15'
4
16-30'
14
31-45'
11
46-60'
19
61-75'
17
76-90'
21
Season Comparison
2023/2024
Sao Paulo
14W 11D 0L
|
40:38
|
1.39 ppg
Bahia
12W 8D 0L
|
50:53
|
1.16 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
63.2%
Both Teams Score
Yes
64.1%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Sao Paulo
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Bahia
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.2% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 96.2% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 83.7% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 83.7% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 75.3% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 71.9% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 70.4% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 68.3% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 64.1% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 63.3% | Fair |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 63.2% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 60.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 58.9% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 58.9% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 54.8% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 53.4% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 51.2% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.7% | Fair |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 10.1% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.2%
Over 1.5
83.7%
Over 2.5
63.2%
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 0.5
3.8%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Under 2.5
36.8%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.5%
HT Draw
50.7%
HT Away Win
20.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
75.3%
Goals After 80'
28.1%
Goals Both Halves
68.3%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
53.4%
Over 11 Corners
29.6%
Home Most Corners
60.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
51.2%
Home More Shots
54.8%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
53.0%
Away Exceed xG
51.4%
Total xG Over 2.5
63.2%
High xG Variance
46.3%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.9
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Sao Paulo
59 Points
6
Bahia
53 Points
8