Madrid Derby
Real Madrid VS Atletico Madrid
Recent Form
Real Madrid
W
W
W
L
W
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2026
Real Madrid
VS
Atletico Madrid
3 - 2
Real Madrid
VS
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
2025
Jan 8, 2026
Atletico Madrid
VS
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Atletico Madrid
VS
Real Madrid
Super Cup
Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
2025
Sep 27, 2025
Atletico Madrid
VS
Real Madrid
5 - 2
Atletico Madrid
VS
Real Madrid
La Liga
Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
2025
Mar 12, 2025
Atletico Madrid
VS
Real Madrid
PEN
Atletico Madrid
VS
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League
Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
2024
Mar 4, 2025
Real Madrid
VS
Atletico Madrid
2 - 1
Real Madrid
VS
Atletico Madrid
UEFA Champions League
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
2024
Match Events
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
4'
⚽
Rodrygo
Assist: F. Valverde
32'
⚽
J. Alvarez
Assist: Javi Galán
55'
⚽
Brahim Díaz
Assist: F. Mendy
56'
Brahim Díaz
Yellow Card
62'
⇄
E. Camavinga
On: E. Camavinga
Off: L. Modrić
Substitution
64'
⇄
G. Simeone
On: G. Simeone
Off: N. Molina
Substitution
64'
⇄
Samuel Lino
On: Samuel Lino
Off: C. Gallagher
Substitution
71'
⇄
A. Griezmann
On: A. Griezmann
Off: Robin Le Normand
Substitution
75'
⇄
Pablo Barrios
On: Pablo Barrios
Off: A. Sørloth
Substitution
75'
⇄
R. De Paul
On: R. De Paul
Off: Á. Correa
Substitution
82'
⇄
F. Valverde
On: F. Valverde
Off: Lucas Vázquez
Substitution
89'
⇄
Brahim Díaz
On: Brahim Díaz
Off: Endrick
Substitution
Lineups
Real Madrid
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
T. Courtois
#1
E. Camavinga
#6
F
F. Valverde
#8
K. Mbappé
#9
Rodrygo
#11
A. Tchouaméni
#14
Brahim Díaz
#21
A. Rüdiger
#22
F. Mendy
#23
Raúl Asencio
#35
Substitutes
D
G
M
F
Atletico Madrid
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
J. Giménez
#2
R. De Paul
#5
A. Griezmann
#7
M
Samuel Lino
#12
J. Oblak
#13
Marcos Llorente
#14
C. Lenglet
#15
J. Alvarez
#19
Javi Galán
#21
G. Simeone
#22
Substitutes
G
M
D
Match Statistics
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
51%
Possession
49%
13
Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
2
4
Blocked Shots
1
10
Fouls
13
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Saves
5
642
Passes
602
596
Accurate Passes
538
93%
Pass Accuracy
89%
Team Comparison
65.9
Overall Strength
62.9
53.4%
Attacking Power
46.6%
44.1%
Defensive Strength
55.9%
54.2%
Current Form
45.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
39%
|
45%
Avg Total Goals
3.1
|
2.6
Cards Analysis
Real Madrid
1.4/Game
51
3
0-15'
1
16-30'
3
31-45'
10
46-60'
11
61-75'
12
76-90'
17
Atletico Madrid
1.7/Game
61
2
0-15'
3
16-30'
5
31-45'
10
46-60'
14
61-75'
18
76-90'
13
Season Comparison
2024/2025
Real Madrid
26W 6D 0L
|
78:38
|
2.21 ppg
Atletico Madrid
22W 10D 0L
|
68:30
|
2 ppg
2023/2024
Real Madrid
29W 8D 0L
|
87:26
|
2.5 ppg
Atletico Madrid
24W 4D 0L
|
70:43
|
2 ppg
2022/2023
Real Madrid
24W 6D 0L
|
75:36
|
2.05 ppg
Atletico Madrid
23W 8D 0L
|
70:33
|
2.03 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
75.8%
Both Teams Score
Yes
72.6%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Real Madrid
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Atletico Madrid
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.0% | Good |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.0% | Good |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 98.1% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 98.1% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 90.6% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 90.6% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 83.6% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 83.1% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 79.5% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 75.8% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 75.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 72.6% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 72.0% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 64.2% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 63.0% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 61.5% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | Yes | 56.1% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | No | 56.1% | Fair |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 50.9% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.5% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 8.4% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
98.1%
Over 1.5
90.6%
Over 2.5
75.8%
Over 3.5
56.1%
Under 0.5
1.9%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Under 2.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
43.9%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.6%
HT Draw
48.5%
HT Away Win
22.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
83.1%
Goals After 80'
38.5%
Goals Both Halves
79.5%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
72.0%
Over 11 Corners
49.1%
Home Most Corners
64.2%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
1.0%
Over 25 Shots
1.0%
Over 8 On Target
83.6%
Home More Shots
63.0%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
55.8%
Away Exceed xG
52.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
75.8%
High xG Variance
49.9%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
11.6
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Real Madrid
15 Points
9
Atletico Madrid
13 Points
14