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Rayo Vallecano VS Atletico Madrid

Rayo Vallecano logo

Rayo Vallecano

F. Perez 40'
O. Valentin 45'
N. Mendy 76'
3-0
Full Time
Estadio de Vallecas Sunday, Feb 15, 2026 At 10:15 Est Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain

Match Events

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
29'
Johnny Cardoso
Yellow Card
Foul
40'
F. Perez
Assist: A. Ratiu
45'
O. Valentin
52'
Rodrigo Mendoza
Yellow Card
Foul
56'
R. Mendoza
On: R. Mendoza Off: R. Le Normand
Substitution
56'
M. Ruggeri
On: M. Ruggeri Off: O. Vargas
Substitution
56'
A. Baena
On: A. Baena Off: J. Alvarez
Substitution
63'
J. Cardoso
On: J. Cardoso Off: M. Llorente
Substitution
63'
C. Lenglet
On: C. Lenglet Off: A. Lookman
Substitution
64'
I. Palazon
On: I. Palazon Off: P. Diaz
Substitution
64'
J. de Frutos
On: J. de Frutos Off: J. Vertrouwd
Substitution
64'
F. Perez
On: F. Perez Off: A. Garcia
Substitution
64'
J. de Frutos
On: J. de Frutos Off: J. Vertrouwd
Substitution
64'
I. Palazon
On: I. Palazon Off: P. Diaz
Substitution
70'
Marcos Llorente
Yellow Card
Foul
74'
I. Akhomach
On: I. Akhomach Off: R. Nteka
Substitution
76'
N. Mendy
Assist: A. Garcia
83'
G. Gumbau
On: G. Gumbau Off: U. Lopez
Substitution
90'+2
Álvaro García
Yellow Card
Foul

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano (4-1-4-1)

Starting XI
D
M
M
G
G. Gumbau
G. Gumbau #15
M
F
F. Perez
F. Perez #21
M
Pacha
Pacha #22
D
M
D
N. Mendy
N. Mendy #32
D

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid (4-1-4-1)

Starting XI
D
M
M
F
A. Baena
A. Baena #10
M
T. Almada
T. Almada #11
M
J. Oblak
J. Oblak #13
G
D
N. Molina
N. Molina #16
D
M

Match Statistics

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Blocked Shots 4
10 Fouls 13
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
3 Offsides 0
3 Saves 6
354 Passes 486
286 Accurate Passes 413
81% Pass Accuracy 85%

Team Comparison

46
Overall Strength
57.2
39.8% Attacking Power 60.2%
50% Defensive Strength 50%
36.4% Current Form 63.6%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
32% | 37%
Avg Total Goals
2.3 | 2.8

Cards Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 2.3/Game
83
5
0-15'
2
16-30'
11
31-45'
13
46-60'
21
61-75'
23
76-90'
18
Atletico Madrid 2/Game
70
5
0-15'
1
16-30'
15
31-45'
17
46-60'
15
61-75'
13
76-90'
14

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Rayo Vallecano
12W 14D 0L | 41:44 | 1.32 ppg
Atletico Madrid
21W 6D 0L | 62:44 | 1.82 ppg
2024/2025
Rayo Vallecano
13W 13D 0L | 41:45 | 1.37 ppg
Atletico Madrid
22W 10D 0L | 68:30 | 2 ppg
2023/2024
Rayo Vallecano
8W 14D 0L | 29:48 | 1 ppg
Atletico Madrid
24W 4D 0L | 70:43 | 2 ppg

Match Result

Away Win
Confidence: 78.0%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
50.1%

Both Teams Score

No
59.0%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Rayo Vallecano 4.1%
Draw 17.9%
Atletico Madrid 78.0%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
48.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 8 Shots on Target No 96.6% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 93.1% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 93.1% Good ✓ Correct
Over 5 Cards No 92.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 79.2% Good ✓ Correct
Match Result Away Win 78.0% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 74.6% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 74.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 73.6% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 72.1% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 72.1% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 66.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 66.0% Good ✓ Correct
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 63.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Both Teams Score No 59.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots Yes 55.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves No 51.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 9 Corners No 50.2% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 2.5 Goals No 50.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 50.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 46.6% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 0-1 13.8% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
93.1%
Over 1.5
74.6%
Over 2.5
49.9%
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 0.5
6.9%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Under 3.5
72.1%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
29.8%
HT Draw
46.6%
HT Away Win
23.6%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
61.4%
Goals After 80'
34.0%
Goals Both Halves
48.4%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
49.8%
Over 11 Corners
26.4%
Home Most Corners
63.1%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
33.9%
Over 5 Cards
7.8%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
3.4%
Home More Shots
55.2%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
48.5%
Away Exceed xG
51.3%
Total xG Over 2.5
41.7%
High xG Variance
41.8%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
9.7
Total Cards
2.9

Frequently Asked Questions about Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid