Puebla VS Toluca
Recent Form
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2026
Puebla
VS
Toluca
0 - 0
Puebla
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Cuauhtémoc
2025
Sep 13, 2025
Toluca
VS
Puebla
3 - 1
Toluca
VS
Puebla
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Mar 14, 2025
Puebla
VS
Toluca
0 - 3
Puebla
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Cuauhtémoc
2024
Oct 22, 2024
Toluca
VS
Puebla
5 - 0
Toluca
VS
Puebla
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Jan 26, 2024
Puebla
VS
Toluca
1 - 1
Puebla
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Cuauhtémoc
2023
Match Events
Puebla
Toluca
45'+1
•
Nicolás Castro
Penalty Confirmed
45'+7
Edgar Guerra
Yellow Card
Argument
45'+7
Bruno Méndez
Yellow Card
Argument
46'
⇄
A. Organista
On: A. Organista
Off: A. Ramirez
Substitution
46'
⇄
L. Rey
On: L. Rey
Off: K. Velasco
Substitution
60'
Marcel Ruíz
Yellow Card
Foul
61'
⇄
S. Cordova
On: S. Cordova
Off: F. Rossi
Substitution
62'
Jesús Gallardo
Yellow Card
Foul
63'
Nicolás Díaz
Red Card
Foul
69'
⇄
C. Baltazar
On: C. Baltazar
Off: J. R. Pachuca Martinez
Substitution
76'
⇄
Bruno Mendez
On: Bruno Mendez
Off: E. del Villar
Substitution
76'
⇄
N. Castro
On: N. Castro
Off: P. Perez
Substitution
78'
⇄
E. Gomez
On: E. Gomez
Off: M. Ramirez
Substitution
78'
⇄
E. Guerra
On: E. Guerra
Off: B. Garnica
Substitution
83'
⇄
J. Angulo
On: J. Angulo
Off: J. Diaz
Substitution
90'+1
Ricardo Gutierrez
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
Lineups
Puebla
(4-1-4-1)
Starting XI
L. Rey
#3
J. Vargas
#4
N. Diaz
#6
E. Gomez
#11
I. Moreno
#12
E. Guerra
#15
E. Lozano
#17
C. Baltazar
#22
A. Organista
#24
D. Gutierrez
#28
E. Navarro
#192
Substitutes
Toluca
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
Bruno Mendez
#4
F. Romero
#5
F. Pereira
#6
S. Cordova
#7
N. Castro
#8
J. Angulo
#10
M. Ruiz
#14
S. Simon
#19
J. Gallardo
#20
L. Garcia
#22
Paulinho
#26
Substitutes
D
M
D
F
M
Match Statistics
Puebla
Toluca
30%
Possession
70%
4
Shots
27
1
Shots on Target
5
1
Blocked Shots
11
12
Fouls
10
0
Corners
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
6
Saves
1
238
Passes
559
179
Accurate Passes
496
75%
Pass Accuracy
89%
Team Comparison
32.8
Overall Strength
59.6
34.7%
Attacking Power
65.3%
33.9%
Defensive Strength
66.1%
25.2%
Current Form
74.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Puebla
Toluca
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
18%
|
31%
Avg Total Goals
3
|
2.9
Cards Analysis
Puebla
2.3/Game
71
6
0-15'
4
16-30'
10
31-45'
10
46-60'
22
61-75'
13
76-90'
18
Toluca
2.1/Game
82
5
0-15'
5
16-30'
14
31-45'
21
46-60'
17
61-75'
15
76-90'
15
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Puebla
6W 7D 0L
|
34:68
|
0.74 ppg
Toluca
22W 11D 0L
|
79:43
|
1.83 ppg
2024/2025
Puebla
6W 5D 0L
|
29:56
|
0.68 ppg
Toluca
24W 11D 0L
|
89:47
|
1.98 ppg
2023/2024
Puebla
8W 7D 0L
|
44:73
|
0.86 ppg
Toluca
14W 12D 0L
|
61:43
|
1.5 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
67.8%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
51.1%
Both Teams Score
No
54.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Puebla
11.5%
Draw
20.7%
Toluca
67.8%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
64.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 94.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 92.9% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 92.9% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 91.1% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 81.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 74.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 74.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 72.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 72.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Away Win | 67.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 66.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 63.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 59.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | No | 55.9% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 55.3% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Both Teams Score | No | 54.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 51.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 51.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 0-1 | 17.4% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
92.9%
Over 1.5
74.0%
Over 2.5
48.9%
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 0.5
7.1%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
26.8%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
23.2%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
33.8%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
40.1%
Over 11 Corners
18.8%
Home Most Corners
55.3%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
36.4%
Over 5 Cards
8.9%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
5.9%
Home More Shots
44.1%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
47.7%
Away Exceed xG
49.7%
Total xG Over 2.5
28.8%
High xG Variance
39.3%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
8.9
Total Cards
3.1
League Position
Puebla
3 Points
6
Toluca
0 Points
10