Once Caldas VS Atletico Nacional
Recent Form
Once Caldas
W
D
L
W
D
Head to Head
May 1, 2026
Once Caldas
VS
Atletico Nacional
1 - 0
Once Caldas
VS
Atletico Nacional
Primera A
Estadio Palogrande
2026
Oct 22, 2025
Atletico Nacional
VS
Once Caldas
2 - 0
Atletico Nacional
VS
Once Caldas
Copa Colombia
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Oct 9, 2025
Once Caldas
VS
Atletico Nacional
0 - 1
Once Caldas
VS
Atletico Nacional
Copa Colombia
Estadio Palogrande
2025
Jul 11, 2025
Once Caldas
VS
Atletico Nacional
1 - 3
Once Caldas
VS
Atletico Nacional
Primera A
Estadio Palogrande
2025
Jun 19, 2025
Once Caldas
VS
Atletico Nacional
1 - 2
Once Caldas
VS
Atletico Nacional
Primera A
Estadio Palogrande
2025
Match Events
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
17'
Andrés Salazar
Yellow Card
Foul
24'
⚽
D. Asprilla
Assist: A. Morelos
42'
•
Juan David Cuesta
Penalty Cancelled
45'+2
Juan Castaño
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
J. Castro
On: J. Castro
Off: C. Uribe
Substitution
46'
⇄
A. García
On: A. García
Off: J. Zapata
Substitution
57'
⇄
J. Rosa
On: J. Rosa
Off: L. Landázuri
Substitution
61'
⇄
E. Beltrán
On: E. Beltrán
Off: Y. Valencia
Substitution
65'
⇄
A. Salazar
On: A. Salazar
Off: F. Gil
Substitution
67'
Mateo Zuleta
Yellow Card
Foul
67'
Alfredo Morelos
Yellow Card
Argument
75'
Jorman Campuzano
Yellow Card
Foul
76'
⇄
J. Castaño
On: J. Castaño
Off: H. Rincon
Substitution
76'
⚽
M. Hinestroza
Assist: A. Morelos
80'
⇄
M. Zuleta
On: M. Zuleta
Off: J. Garcia
Substitution
80'
⇄
I. Rojas
On: I. Rojas
Off: J. Díaz
Substitution
83'
⇄
J. Campuzano
On: J. Campuzano
Off: S. García
Substitution
84'
⇄
A. Morelos
On: A. Morelos
Off: K. Toscano
Substitution
89'
•
Yeiler Valencia
Penalty Confirmed
90'
⚽
D. Moreno
Penalty
Lineups
Once Caldas
(4-1-4-1)
Starting XI
I. Rojas
#5
M. Barrios
#7
E. Beltrán
#8
J. Aguirre
#12
J. Castaño
#15
D. Moreno
#17
J. Riquett
#18
A. García
#20
J. Cuesta
#22
M. Zuleta
#28
J. Cardona
#34
Atletico Nacional
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
A. Morelos
#9
H. Castillo
#15
W. Tesillo
#16
A. Salazar
#17
M. Hinestroza
#18
J. Castro
#20
J. Campuzano
#21
J. Arias
#23
D. Asprilla
#27
J. Rosa
#35
J. Zapata
#80
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
51%
Possession
49%
7
Shots
15
1
Shots on Target
4
2
Blocked Shots
3
8
Fouls
17
6
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
3
4
Offsides
1
2
Saves
0
428
Passes
418
363
Accurate Passes
364
85%
Pass Accuracy
87%
Team Comparison
51.3
Overall Strength
55.3
41.1%
Attacking Power
58.9%
50.9%
Defensive Strength
49.1%
47.9%
Current Form
52.1%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
36%
|
35%
Avg Total Goals
1.9
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
Once Caldas
2.7/Game
127
7
0-15'
4
16-30'
19
31-45'
23
46-60'
25
61-75'
28
76-90'
35
Atletico Nacional
2.9/Game
127
8
0-15'
11
16-30'
11
31-45'
26
46-60'
30
61-75'
29
76-90'
28
Season Comparison
2024/2025
Once Caldas
21W 14D 0L
|
50:44
|
1.54 ppg
Atletico Nacional
21W 13D 0L
|
66:42
|
1.65 ppg
2023/2024
Once Caldas
9W 15D 0L
|
39:45
|
1.05 ppg
Atletico Nacional
25W 16D 0L
|
71:48
|
1.69 ppg
2022/2023
Once Caldas
13W 17D 0L
|
39:36
|
1.4 ppg
Atletico Nacional
21W 18D 0L
|
71:48
|
1.69 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
40.2%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
60.1%
Both Teams Score
No
53.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Once Caldas
23.7%
Draw
40.2%
Atletico Nacional
36.1%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
58.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | N/A |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | N/A |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 70.5% | Good | N/A |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 66.4% | Good | N/A |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 63.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 60.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 60.1% | Fair | N/A |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 55.2% | Fair | N/A |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 54.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Both Teams Score | No | 53.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | N/A |
| Match Result | Draw | 40.2% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 13.3% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.7%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
20.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
29.5%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
60.6%
Over 11 Corners
36.5%
Home Most Corners
55.2%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.2%
Over 25 Shots
0.2%
Over 8 On Target
66.4%
Home More Shots
54.5%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.5
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Once Caldas
27 Points
11
Atletico Nacional
8 Points
3